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Institutional Data and Market Intelligence for Digital Assets.

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$BTC rebounded from a low near $60K as selling pressure eased and options markets unwound fear. With volume, open interest, and capital flows still weak, the move looks more like stabilization than a confirmed reversal.

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A Market in Repair

$BTC fell to nearly $60K as losses mounted and recent buyers came under pressure. Yet improving liquidity, stronger passive bids, and patient ETF holders suggest the market may be building a floor.

Read the full Week On-ChainπŸ‘‡
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BTC is back at a major support zone as price tests the February lows.

Here's what BTC options data reveals about positioning, volatility, and sentiment beneath the surface.

Volatility Cools From Recent Highs

BTC implied volatility has eased despite price testing the Feb lows.

1 week IV has fallen from 60% to 35%, with the rest of the curve also drifting lower.

The market is pricing less uncertainty than two weeks ago.

https://glassno.de/4elkXSs

Protection Demand Normalizes

25D skew has eased from the extreme levels reached during the June selloff.

1 week skew has fallen from nearly 30% to 15%, with the rest of the curve also normalizing.

The rush for downside protection has largely subsided.

https://glassno.de/4oCtPGR

Calls Continue to Lose Ground

The skew index ratio compares upside IV against downside IV.

Near term options continue to favor downside exposure over upside participation.

https://glassno.de/44j2eRD

Volatility Risk Premium Turns Negative

1M IV has fallen below realized volatility.

Implied volatility sits near 39%, while realized volatility has risen above 42%.

Recent price swings have exceeded what options markets are currently pricing.

https://glassno.de/4xID4cM

Short Gamma Remains Dominant

The largest negative gamma cluster sits at 62K, just below spot, where $1.8B of short gamma is concentrated.

A move lower could accelerate a retest of 60K, where a small pocket of long gamma may help contain volatility.

https://glassno.de/3QvDHFC

Put Buying Continues to Lead

Put buying dominated taker flow over the past 7 days, accounting for 28% of premium traded.

Put selling followed at 26.8%, while call buying represented 24.1%.

The tape continues to favor protection over upside exposure.

https://glassno.de/44kFm4a

Wrap Up

Implied volatility has cooled.

Protection demand has normalized.

Calls remain out of favor.

Realized volatility exceeds implied volatility.

BTC sits on a major short gamma cluster.

Flow continues to favor puts.

Defensive positioning persists near key support.
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$BTC traded between $61K and $67K before stabilising near $65K. Institutional demand softened, but resilient holder behaviour and stable futures positioning continue to support a constructive market backdrop.

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The Altcoin Cycle Signal is back in Altcoin Season. The typical version of this print has alts running while BTC stays bid. Currently, we see alts running out of sellers after nearly two years and BTC drawing down aggressively. For now, the BTC side is still doing most of the work.

https://glassno.de/4eIE8Vr
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