$BTC
rolled over from a local peak above $82K into the mid-$76Ks, with spot demand, ETF flows, and speculative positioning weakening. Long-term holder strength remains a key source of support.
Read this weekβs Market Pulseπ
https://glassno.de/4nzZuIp
rolled over from a local peak above $82K into the mid-$76Ks, with spot demand, ETF flows, and speculative positioning weakening. Long-term holder strength remains a key source of support.
Read this weekβs Market Pulseπ
https://glassno.de/4nzZuIp
β€12π11β2
As IBIT options continue to grow, they offer new insight into institutional risk pricing, hedging activity, and positioning.
We just expanded coverage to IBIT options, bringing Glassnode's institutional-grade options market intelligence to the largest US spot Bitcoin ETF.
40+ new metrics available, including:
- OI & Volume
- ATM Implied Volatility
- Proprietary Skew metrics
- IV heatmaps
Use IBIT options data to:
β Measure institutional sentiment
β Compare TradFi and crypto-native positioning
β Monitor hedging activity around macro events and drawdowns
β Track volatility risk across tenors
π Read launch article glassno.de/4eWucJx
π Explore the new metrics glassno.de/499a0R5
We just expanded coverage to IBIT options, bringing Glassnode's institutional-grade options market intelligence to the largest US spot Bitcoin ETF.
40+ new metrics available, including:
- OI & Volume
- ATM Implied Volatility
- Proprietary Skew metrics
- IV heatmaps
Use IBIT options data to:
β Measure institutional sentiment
β Compare TradFi and crypto-native positioning
β Monitor hedging activity around macro events and drawdowns
β Track volatility risk across tenors
π Read launch article glassno.de/4eWucJx
π Explore the new metrics glassno.de/499a0R5
π₯12π6β€1
BTC remains structurally resilient, but weakening spot demand, slowing ETF inflows, and increasingly crowded long positioning suggest upside momentum is cooling down.
Executive Summary
- BTC reclaimed True Market Mean at $78.3k but couldn't hold. History suggests weeks to months of consolidation needed before a bull transition.
- 30D SMA of Realized P/L Ratio jumped from 0.4 to 1.8 during the rally. Needs a sustained move above 2 to confirm real buy-side recovery.
- 30D cost basis at $78.2k flipped from support to resistance. The Feb-April cohort at $71.4k is the next support floor.
- Spot internals have weakened. Aggregate Spot CVD stays negative and Coinbase lags, pointing to softer US institutional demand.
- CME Futures OI keeps recovering with price, showing better institutional participation in derivatives.
- US Spot ETF inflows are slowing, leaving futures to drive positioning as spot demand fades.
- Options positioning stays defensive. Skew shows demand for downside hedges.
glassno.de/43lYUEO
Executive Summary
- BTC reclaimed True Market Mean at $78.3k but couldn't hold. History suggests weeks to months of consolidation needed before a bull transition.
- 30D SMA of Realized P/L Ratio jumped from 0.4 to 1.8 during the rally. Needs a sustained move above 2 to confirm real buy-side recovery.
- 30D cost basis at $78.2k flipped from support to resistance. The Feb-April cohort at $71.4k is the next support floor.
- Spot internals have weakened. Aggregate Spot CVD stays negative and Coinbase lags, pointing to softer US institutional demand.
- CME Futures OI keeps recovering with price, showing better institutional participation in derivatives.
- US Spot ETF inflows are slowing, leaving futures to drive positioning as spot demand fades.
- Options positioning stays defensive. Skew shows demand for downside hedges.
glassno.de/43lYUEO
β€5π4π₯1
Which coins are currently exposed to quantum risk at rest?
In our latest research, we quantify Bitcoinβs exposed supply and separate exposure into two categories:
β’ Structural exposure: 1.92M BTC (9.6%) coins exposed by design
β’ Operational exposure: 4.12M BTC (20.6%) linked to wallet behavior, address reuse, and custody practices.
β· The larger share is operational, suggesting that part of Bitcoinβs visible exposure may still be reduced through improved wallet and custody management.
β· Exchange-related balances alone account for 1.63M BTC (8.1% of issued supply).
Read all findings π glassno.de/4v2wdJ1
In our latest research, we quantify Bitcoinβs exposed supply and separate exposure into two categories:
β’ Structural exposure: 1.92M BTC (9.6%) coins exposed by design
β’ Operational exposure: 4.12M BTC (20.6%) linked to wallet behavior, address reuse, and custody practices.
β· The larger share is operational, suggesting that part of Bitcoinβs visible exposure may still be reduced through improved wallet and custody management.
β· Exchange-related balances alone account for 1.63M BTC (8.1% of issued supply).
Read all findings π glassno.de/4v2wdJ1
π10β€5π»1
Directional strategies posted their strongest month of the year as market-neutral books continued to quietly compound gains.
Across a survey of 400+ managers, every major digital asset sub-strategy delivered positive average returns in April β a level of alignment not seen in recent memory.
Read all the insights in the latest edition of Strategy Watch now live: glassno.de/3RqzSSn
Inside the new edition:
βͺοΈ Every major crypto hedge fund sub-strategy finished positive in April
βͺοΈ A deep dive into DeFi/Yield strategies, featuring a CIOβs perspective on where edge comes from as lending spreads compress and smart contract risk evolves
βͺοΈ How 400+ managers are positioning for Q2, with cash levels climbing despite a more constructive market backdrop
βͺοΈ The latest allocator activity across tokenized funds, BTC treasury strategies, and institutional on-chain yield vehicles.
Produced in collaboration with Crypto Insights Group.
Subscribe at glassno.de/4dzrjvW
Across a survey of 400+ managers, every major digital asset sub-strategy delivered positive average returns in April β a level of alignment not seen in recent memory.
Read all the insights in the latest edition of Strategy Watch now live: glassno.de/3RqzSSn
Inside the new edition:
βͺοΈ Every major crypto hedge fund sub-strategy finished positive in April
βͺοΈ A deep dive into DeFi/Yield strategies, featuring a CIOβs perspective on where edge comes from as lending spreads compress and smart contract risk evolves
βͺοΈ How 400+ managers are positioning for Q2, with cash levels climbing despite a more constructive market backdrop
βͺοΈ The latest allocator activity across tokenized funds, BTC treasury strategies, and institutional on-chain yield vehicles.
Produced in collaboration with Crypto Insights Group.
Subscribe at glassno.de/4dzrjvW
π6π₯5β€3
Since May 7, US Spot ETFs have recorded net outflows on nearly every trading day, a persistent institutional sell signal now running for more than two weeks.
This steady drip of outflow continues to add to the supply side without a visible demand offset.
πhttp://glassno.de/43yFdJX
This steady drip of outflow continues to add to the supply side without a visible demand offset.
πhttp://glassno.de/43yFdJX
π7β€2π₯2
#Bitcoin pulled back from $79K to $74K before rebounding toward $77K, with momentum and activity cooling. Despite softer sentiment, easing sell pressure hints at early signs of stabilization.
Read this weekβs Market Pulseπ
https://glassno.de/4nQerGs
Read this weekβs Market Pulseπ
https://glassno.de/4nQerGs
π8β€7π₯1
Funding rates have flipped decisively positive again, with traders increasingly paying a premium to maintain long exposure as $BTC consolidates near the mid-$70Ks.
The move marks a sharp reversal from Aprilβs heavily short-biased positioning.
πglassno.de/4wLHSNT
The move marks a sharp reversal from Aprilβs heavily short-biased positioning.
πglassno.de/4wLHSNT
π11β€5π1π1
The Week On-Chain 21, 2026
Stalling at the Threshold
#BTC pushes beyond $80K toward key resistance near $85K, with bulls in control. ETF demand builds and shorts persist, but overhead supply may cap upside without stronger spot follow-through.
Executive Summary
- Bitcoin is consolidating within the $75kβ$78k range, with the Short-Term Holder Cost Basis and True Market Mean converging near $78k, creating a top-heavy structure where a sustained hold above the True Market Mean is required to support a pre-bull market transition.
- Spot demand remains directionless despite improving price action, with Spot Volume Delta holding near neutral and BTC recently reclaiming the $110K region, suggesting buying interest is stabilising but conviction remains limited.
- Implied volatility continues to compress across the curve as realized volatility trends lower, reinforcing calmer short term conditions and supportive carry for volatility sellers.
Read the full Week On-Chain
Stalling at the Threshold
#BTC pushes beyond $80K toward key resistance near $85K, with bulls in control. ETF demand builds and shorts persist, but overhead supply may cap upside without stronger spot follow-through.
Executive Summary
- Bitcoin is consolidating within the $75kβ$78k range, with the Short-Term Holder Cost Basis and True Market Mean converging near $78k, creating a top-heavy structure where a sustained hold above the True Market Mean is required to support a pre-bull market transition.
- Spot demand remains directionless despite improving price action, with Spot Volume Delta holding near neutral and BTC recently reclaiming the $110K region, suggesting buying interest is stabilising but conviction remains limited.
- Implied volatility continues to compress across the curve as realized volatility trends lower, reinforcing calmer short term conditions and supportive carry for volatility sellers.
Read the full Week On-Chain
β€10β5π2
Hidden Signals Inside Crypto Option Premiums
Chart of The Week: Options Premiumsπ
https://glassno.de/43AiflI
Chart of The Week: Options Premiumsπ
https://glassno.de/43AiflI
π₯7β€3π1