As price spiked from $78k to $80k, the 2Y-3Y holder cohort, those who accumulated ahead of the ETF launch, ramped up profit-taking to over $209M/hr, realizing 60%-100% in gains.
Long-term holders are using this strength to exit into liquidity.
📉 glassno.de/4w9QfT2
Long-term holders are using this strength to exit into liquidity.
📉 glassno.de/4w9QfT2
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The Week On-Chain 18, 2026
Bulls Approach the Ceiling
#BTC pushes beyond $80K toward key resistance near $85K, with bulls in control. ETF demand builds and shorts persist, but overhead supply may cap upside without stronger spot follow-through.
Executive Summary
- Bitcoin has broken above the True Market Mean at $78.2k and Short-Term Holder Cost Basis at $79.1k, with holding above these levels suggesting a short-lived deep value phase and $85.2k as the next key resistance.
- Glassnode’s Moderate Strategy has re-entered allocation after BTC reclaimed ~$76K, capturing recent upside while maintaining a focus on downside protection.
- Front-end implied volatility has repriced higher following the breakout, while realized volatility lags, rebuilding a positive volatility risk premium.
Read the full Week On-Chain
Bulls Approach the Ceiling
#BTC pushes beyond $80K toward key resistance near $85K, with bulls in control. ETF demand builds and shorts persist, but overhead supply may cap upside without stronger spot follow-through.
Executive Summary
- Bitcoin has broken above the True Market Mean at $78.2k and Short-Term Holder Cost Basis at $79.1k, with holding above these levels suggesting a short-lived deep value phase and $85.2k as the next key resistance.
- Glassnode’s Moderate Strategy has re-entered allocation after BTC reclaimed ~$76K, capturing recent upside while maintaining a focus on downside protection.
- Front-end implied volatility has repriced higher following the breakout, while realized volatility lags, rebuilding a positive volatility risk premium.
Read the full Week On-Chain
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New addresses appearing on the XRP network have collapsed from 18k/day in Dec 2024 to 2.7k/day today, an 85% decline.
Monthly active supply tells a similar story, dropping from 7.45B XRP/day to ~2B XRP/day over the same period.
The speculative wave that drove XRP's late-2024 surge has largely unwound at the network level.
📉http://glassno.de/4u8BDBW
Monthly active supply tells a similar story, dropping from 7.45B XRP/day to ~2B XRP/day over the same period.
The speculative wave that drove XRP's late-2024 surge has largely unwound at the network level.
📉http://glassno.de/4u8BDBW
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#BTC climbed from the high-$77Ks to low-$82Ks as spot demand and futures activity strengthened. Momentum cooled near highs, while options markets continued pricing elevated uncertainty.
Read this week’s Market Pulse👇
https://glassno.de/48PCn6D
Read this week’s Market Pulse👇
https://glassno.de/48PCn6D
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US 10Y yields have rebounded toward 4.4%, a level that previously coincided with pressure on
$BTC.
This time, BTC has recovered above $80K despite the rates backdrop, suggesting the market is absorbing the macro headwind more effectively than earlier in the cycle.
📈https://glassno.de/4nqHY9i
$BTC.
This time, BTC has recovered above $80K despite the rates backdrop, suggesting the market is absorbing the macro headwind more effectively than earlier in the cycle.
📈https://glassno.de/4nqHY9i
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BTC has recovered above $80K as ETF inflows, spot demand, and positioning improve. However, weaker capital inflows and heavy overhead supply near $86K keep conviction below prior bull phases.
Executive Summary
– US spot ETF inflows have turned firmly positive as BTC recovered from mid-$60Ks to low-$80Ks
Shallow drawdown – Relative Unrealized Loss peaked at 25% in February, now compressed to 8%; bear regime stays shallow if $60K holds
– Realized Cap 30D Net Position Change back to $2.8B/month, but well below the $10B+ seen in prior bull expansions
– Support at $76.9K (30-day cost basis), resistance at $86.9K (Nov-Feb accumulation range)
– Coinbase Spot Volume Delta flipped sharply positive over the last two weeks
– Hyperliquid traders steadily adding long exposure alongside rising prices
– Implied volatility falling across the curve, led by the front end, as realized vol trends lower
– Downside hedging demand fading, options structure more balanced around $80K
Read the full Report
glassno.de/4wo7d0c
Executive Summary
– US spot ETF inflows have turned firmly positive as BTC recovered from mid-$60Ks to low-$80Ks
Shallow drawdown – Relative Unrealized Loss peaked at 25% in February, now compressed to 8%; bear regime stays shallow if $60K holds
– Realized Cap 30D Net Position Change back to $2.8B/month, but well below the $10B+ seen in prior bull expansions
– Support at $76.9K (30-day cost basis), resistance at $86.9K (Nov-Feb accumulation range)
– Coinbase Spot Volume Delta flipped sharply positive over the last two weeks
– Hyperliquid traders steadily adding long exposure alongside rising prices
– Implied volatility falling across the curve, led by the front end, as realized vol trends lower
– Downside hedging demand fading, options structure more balanced around $80K
Read the full Report
glassno.de/4wo7d0c
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