Фашик Донецький
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Forwarded from Добрый Шубин
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В связи с укреплением фубля шмара в ролике тоже бюджетная.
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Українські вчені з Бердичева запустили росіянина в космос

Та він навіть до стратосфери не долетів!

Ну… може не весь…

Ясно
В сенсі «трудна асуждать тєх, каво ніщєта загнала на фронт»??? Може їх панять і прастіть?

Расіянє вєдь, кагда убівают украінцев, дєлают ето нє із-за того, чьто оні плахіє - просто дєньгі очінь нужни, вайдітє в палаженіє, блядь

іноді ловлю себе на думці шо узкая апазіция гірша, ніж ватани - ватани хоча б не приховують шо хочуть нас знищити і прямо про це кажуть

P.s - раку крові вам на новий рік під подушку, лицеміри, сука

Підтримати канал https://www.patreon.com/fashdonetsk
Чьють нє росплаколся, блять
Та зігуйте вже, вам же хочеться
Вата, говно будешь?
Forwarded from Добрый Шубин
мыгыбы, есть над чем подумать)
А что случилось?)

Сывыо не нравится?
🔥Часів Яр. Піхота готується до боїв за місто — що таке психологічна смуга. Випробування бійців.

В умовах сучасної війни критично важливою залишається підготовка бійців, оскільки тільки в руках навченого та мотивованого солдата технології можуть переламати ситуацію на полі бою.

Одним з ключових моментів навчання є проходження воїнами психологічної смуги перешкод, яка максимально наближено імітує реальний бій.

«Мотивація в бойових бригадах підіймається. Ми готуємо бійців. В цій війні воюють люди всіх вікових категорій», — розповідає інструктор 24 ОМБр імені короля Данила.

Жорстка підготовка з фізичними навантаженнями та психологічним тиском забезпечить максимальні шанси на виживання на полі битви.

Дивіться репортаж про «психосмугу» Королівської бригади на нашому YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8jgkUlJNXGg

Слідкуй за нами.

🦁24 ОМБр🇺🇦 | Facebook | Instagram | YouTube | Twitter | TikTok | Рекрутинг
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Граждане чекисты, вы действительно считаете это говно контрпропагандой, да?)
False Flag Operation in Moldova: Will It Happen or Not?

Preamble or a Bit of Theory

A false flag operation is an operation carried out by a state, organization, or individuals, where actions are performed to create the appearance of involvement by another participant (state, group, or individual). During such operations, symbols, uniforms, slogans, or other identifying signs of the opposing side are often used to mislead the public, the international community, or enemies.

The primary goals of such operations can include creating a pretext for military action, discrediting the enemy, diverting attention from other issues, or manipulating public opinion. These events are often aimed at creating panic, fear, or hatred toward a specific group or state.

Notable historical examples include the Reichstag fire of 1933, where the Nazis blamed the Communists for setting fire to Germany’s parliament building to justify repressive actions. Similarly, in 1939, German intelligence staged an attack on the Gleiwitz radio station to justify the invasion of Poland. In 1964, the Gulf of Tonkin incident served as a pretext for the Vietnam War, although the authenticity of the events remains disputed. In 1954, Israeli agents in Egypt orchestrated bombings in public places to blame local nationalists.

And of course, the invasion of Ukraine follows the same pattern. Initially framed as the “protection of Donbas,” the Russian army bombarded peaceful civilians in eastern Ukraine to create a negative image of Ukraine’s military and justify the invasion.

Such operations can often be identified by inconsistencies in official narratives, lack of convincing evidence, unusually rapid responses, or logical contradictions in the motives of the alleged perpetrators. Despite technological progress and media development, false flag operations remain a powerful political tool and continue to significantly influence international relations—evidence of such operations is indirect in 90% of cases.

Now About Moldova and Transnistria

Russia needs a victory to appease its domestic audience. The situation in Ukraine is stagnant, so Russia might turn to an opponent unable to resist effectively (Russia never attacks those who can hit back). Alternatively, they might strike someone unable to react in time, as events could unfold far too quickly.

As cynical as it may sound, the cards currently on the table are:
Russia’s urgent need for victory.
The Transnistrian factor as a foundation for a false flag operation.
Significant pro-Russian sentiment in Moldova, as recent elections have shown.

Can Russia theoretically or technically use Transnistria to carry out a false flag operation to create a pretext for invading Moldova? Yes, it can. The narrative that Moldova has been “bombing Tiraspol for over 30 years” aligns perfectly with Russian propaganda talking points, and nothing new needs to be invented—just follow the standard playbook.

Stages of the Operation

Stage 1: Preparing the Information Background
• Russian state media begins spreading stories about the alleged persecution of Russian-speaking populations in Moldova and Transnistria, portraying an “imminent threat” to Russian citizens and Russian-speaking residents of the region.
• Provocations in Transnistria begin: staged attacks on facilities are orchestrated and presented as “aggression by Moldova or pro-European forces.”

Stage 2: Political Pressure + Diplomatic Maneuvers (Ritual Dances)
Accusations against Moldova: Russian officials express “deep concern” over the situation, accusing Moldova of “human rights violations” and “destabilizing the region.”
International appeals: Moscow appeals to the UN and other international organizations, calling for condemnation of Moldova’s actions and measures to “protect the Russian-speaking population.”

Stage 3: Military Preparation
Covert troop deployment: Under the guise of “exercises” or “peacekeeping force rotations,” Russia increases its military presence in Transnistria, including moving equipment and personnel.

👇
Formation of operational groups: Special units are formed for sabotage operations and coordination with local pro-Russian forces.

Stage 4: Conducting the False Flag Operation
Staged attacks: Attacks on facilities in Transnistria or border regions are staged and presented as “aggression by Moldova” or its allies.
Artificial protests: In Transnistria and other regions, mass protests are staged, demanding “protection from Moldovan aggression,” with Russian or pro-Russian journalists covering the events.

Final Stage: Official Address and Invasion
• The President of Russia delivers a speech, declaring the need to “protect Russian-speaking populations” and “peacekeepers” in Transnistria, announcing the start of a “special operation” in Moldova.
Troop deployment: Russian forces cross the border under the pretext of “protecting civilians and stabilizing the situation,” effectively beginning a military invasion of Moldova.

Preparation Time: 1–2 months for building the information background, conducting disinformation campaigns, and covertly moving troops.
Active Phase: 1–2 weeks for false flag operations, escalating tensions, and initiating the invasion.
Total Duration: The preparation and implementation of the operation could take 6 to 10 weeks.

Romania’s Role

Let’s be honest: Romania will not go to war for Moldova.
At best, Romania will:
• Condemn Russian aggression on international platforms.
• Advocate for stronger sanctions against Russia.
• Provide moral support to Moldova at the UN and EU levels.
• Assist refugees and offer economic and medical aid.

However, direct military intervention by Romania is highly unlikely due to NATO obligations and the risks of direct confrontation with Russia. Romanian President Klaus Iohannis has previously stated that Romania would not send troops but would assist with arms and defense capacity building.

Geography as Moldova’s Advantage

A direct Russian invasion into Transnistria is nearly impossible without:
• A successful breakthrough through Odesa.
Air superiority over the region.

Alternatively, Russia would have to invade Moldova via Romania, which is equally improbable since it would involve flying a massive number of aircraft loaded with troops and equipment into NATO airspace—an unimaginable scenario.

Most Likely Scenario

A hybrid operation with Russian sabotage groups, such as an attempt to seize Moldova’s parliament, seems far more plausible. Alternatively, terrorist attacks might trigger snap elections or government overthrow—something that pro-Russian sentiment, as shown in the recent elections, could facilitate.

But would this count as a “victory” for Russia? Hard to say. Putin wants a grand parade in Chisinau, Kyiv, Paris, Berlin, or Madrid, not just another puppet leader like Fico or Orban.

Other Targets?
Belarus: Pointless.
Abkhazia: Also pointless.
Kazakhstan: Off-limits—China wouldn’t allow it.
Mongolia: Irrelevant.
Finland, Sweden, Poland, Norway, Denmark, Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia: NATO.
Georgia: Possible, but not ready yet.
Azerbaijan: Untouchable (Turkey’s ally).
USA, Japan, China, North Korea: No chance.

Conclusion

A terrorist seizure of strategic facilities in Moldova by disguised “tourists” posing as local militias during the New Year holidays seems plausible.

Let’s hope I’m wrong.

Well, we have our work cut out for us.

The End.

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