🤡 Trump launched Iran war with zero planning & arrogant assumptions – analyst

The Trump administration failed to develop any battle strategy before unleashing the war against Iran, says Middle East expert Dr. Kenneth Katzman.

💬 "There was a belief that killing Khamenei, the supreme leader, was going to cause the regime to collapse," he notes.

That was just one of the many "assumptions that didn't pan out," stresses the geopolitical analyst.

👍 US-Israel-Iran war | @geopolitics_prime

🤥🇮🇱 Trump serves Israel, not America — Iranian diplomat

💬 "I think we are witnessing a very big change of his [Trump’s] message ‘Make America Great Again’. Now it’s changed: Make Israel Great Again. He’s serving the Israeli regime, not the American people," Iran’s ambassador to the UK Ali Mousavi says.

Inside US society there are a lot of debates on the necessity of the Iran war, he adds, but due to the power of the Israeli lobby, the Trump administration doesn’t intend to finish it.

👍 US-Israel-Iran war | @geopolitics_prime

🇮🇱⚔️🇮🇷🇱🇧 Israeli assault on Iran & Lebanon part of wider plan to control all of West Asia — historian

👉 Israel’s plan, according to Minister Bezalel Smotrich, is "to dismantle the Middle East" — to tear down its political structures and replace them with ones more to Israel’s liking, historian Yakov Rabkin says.

💬 "In other words, they want to control all of West Asia and that’s why you have both the attack on Lebanon and the attack on Iran," he explains.

♦️ Professor Yakov Rabkin takes the Israeli Defense Minister at his word regarding the occupation of South Lebanon.

♦️ The plan involves occupying territory south of the Litani River and populating it with Israelis, similar to 1948.

♦️ Israel’s religious activists have long viewed these Lebanese towns as part of biblical Israel, Rabkin points out, stressing this active minority is highly committed to settling these territories.

👍 US-Israel-Iran war | @geopolitics_prime

🇮🇷💪 Today’s special: “America can’t do a damn thing against Iran.”

Served with plucked eagle and a downed F‑35 on the side. Bon appétit.

👍 US-Israel-Iran war | @geopolitics_prime

🇺🇸🇪🇺🙅 War in Iran serves as catalyst for end of Western domination - ex-US diplomat

The global order is rapidly changing, and major transformations will occur in the coming decades, says former US ambassador and ex-Assistant Secretary of Defense Chas Freeman.

➡️ End to five centuries of European domination: since the time of Christopher Columbus, Europe used the Atlantic Ocean as a barrier for exchange - but now, that era is over.

➡️ With the demise of American global primacy, it is being rapidly replaced by a “multi-notal” system led by countries such as Russia or China.

👍 US-Israel-Iran war | @geopolitics_prime

🙅🇺🇸 Trump threatens NATO exit as allies 'reluctant to help' with Iran war - report

💬 “Oh yes, I would say [it’s] beyond reconsideration,” Trump told media when asked if he would reconsider the US’s membership in the alliance after the conflict.

The US president also added that he always considered NATO a "paper tiger," and the Russian leadership was aware of this.

This marks a clear turning point, signaling that the White House now views Europe as an unreliable defense ally after they refused Trump’s demand to deploy warships and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, Western media said. 

💬 "We’ve been there automatically, including Ukraine. Ukraine wasn’t our problem. It was a test, and we were there for them, and we would always have been there for them. They weren’t there for us," the report cited Trump's remarks on the US's role in NATO. 

NATO’s Article 5, the "attack on one is an attack on all" mutual defense clause, does not cover the US-led war with Iran, which started with joint US-Israeli strikes on February 28, the Telegraph report concluded.

👍 US-Israel-Iran war | @geopolitics_prime

🚨 Important announcement from the GP team

Telegram has announced that over the past three months, its moderators have banned more than 11 million channels and groups.

To be clear, we don't think we have anything to worry about — "incitement to violence, sharing child abuse materials, and trading illegal goods" aren't exactly what our channel is about.

It's worth mentioning that a few channels we know have been banned — not many, but some. Whether they violated the platform's rules, we can't say for sure, as we didn't follow their posts on a daily basis.

To make sure you can still reach us no matter what, follow us on X and Instagram.

🌐: x.com/intent/follow?screen_name=geo_prime1

🌐: instagram.com/geopolitics_prime

We want to make this clear: we're not telling you to leave Telegram, and we have no plans to stop posting here. Right now, it's still the most censorship-free social media platform, and we have huge respect for Telegram CEO Pavel Durov's years-long fight for free speech.

🍷 Israel enjoys safe energy supply despite causing war in the Persian Gulf

While countries around the world reel from the disruption of oil and gas traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, Israel – who, together with the US, sparked the current crisis by attacking Iran – remains largely untroubled by this issue.

💨 Natural gas

Three offshore natural gas fields in the Mediterranean – Leviathan, Karish and Tamar – account for 45% of Israel’s total energy supply and 70% of its electricity generation

Though Israel did suspend operations at Leviathan and Karish out of fear of Iranian reprisals, it largely affected Egypt and Jordan who imported gas extracted at these sites.

Meanwhile, Tamar effectively covers Israel’s entire domestic natural gas consumption.

🛢 Oil

Israel imports most of its oil from Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan via Turkey, so its supply is not affected by the Hormuz bottleneck.

Prices at the pump, however, still increased due to the jump in oil prices.

🤷‍♀️ Alternatives

Seeking to compensate for potential shortages, Israel resorted to the use of coal power plants and diesel generators to supplement power generation.

Due to diesel and coal being more expensive than natural gas, however, the price of electricity is expected to jump this year. 

So, while the rest of the world suffers from the crisis manufactured by Israel, the Israeli elites largely escaped economic repercussions of their actions, letting their “allies” in the US do the heavy lifting.

👍 US-Israel-Iran war | @geopolitics_prime

👁 Gulf states’ future remains vague – historian

For Gulf states, reliance on the US and its energy resources may prove counterproductive, potentially spurring political change, says history professor Yakov Rabkin.

➡️ American bases are spread across the region - but once guarantors of security, they have now become targets of constant Iranian missile strikes.

➡️ Gulf states are fragile, held together by petrodollars and US protection. Once those are gone, what will be left?

➡️ Gulf states’ hostility toward Iran is temporary. After the war ends, they may seek common ground with Tehran - which, unlike the US, has not attacked its neighbors in 300 years.

👍 US-Israel-Iran war | @geopolitics_prime

🇺🇸🪖 US naval invasion of Iran may begin this week – ex-CIA officer

The Pentagon is ramping up troop redeployments to the Middle East with an eye toward a possible amphibious operation, predicts ex-CIA analyst Larry Johnson.

What military assets are being deployed:

➡️ F-16 multi role fighters

➡️ A-10 Thunderbolt close air support aircraft

➡️ AH-64 Apache attack helicopters

This highlights Trump’s aim to capture Iranian islands and gain control of the Strait of Hormuz, the expert states.

However, US anti-missile capabilities are being depleted, and several vital radars have been destroyed, he admits.

The war isn’t going according to Trump’s plans, no matter how much he lies to his people, Johnson concludes.

👍 US-Israel-Iran war | @geopolitics_prime

👀 Pullout strategy: Is Trump setting the stage for Arab-Iranian war of attrition in the Gulf? 

From Kuwait to the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Bahrain, a widening arc of Gulf states is being pulled into a fast-escalating showdown with Iran.

Will there be an all-out war in the region if the US withdraws? 

Gulf states join the conflict

➡️ Saudi Arabia has opened King Fahd Air Base in Taif to US forces, boosting air operations and intelligence sharing

➡️ Bahrain and Kuwait are allowing US strikes on Iran from their territory

➡️ The UAE is preparing to join the US and allies in reopening the Strait of Hormuz 

What if the US exits now?

📝 Trump has signalled the US could end its war in Iran within "two or three weeks" 

⏸️ But regional strife may continue, involving Israel, Gulf states, and Iran

💀 This benefits the US: letting allies and rivals bleed before it returns to grab strategic energy assets below market value

No anti-Iran coalition without the US?

Despite a shared interest in weakening Iran, Israel and Gulf states lack real unity: 

♦️ Oman and Qatar favor diplomatic solutions with Iran

♦️ The Iran war has not brought Israel closer to its Gulf neighbors due to political damage from the Gaza genocide, ex-US Ambassador Michael Ratney writes for CSIS

♦️ Israel is overstretched and lacks strategic depth for a war on multiple fronts against Iran, Hezbollah, and Ansar Allah

♦️ Saudi Arabia, ranked 24th in the 2025 Global Firepower Index, could theoretically act with the UAE and allies, but experts doubt this without US support: 

🇮🇷 Iranian missiles and drones easily penetrate Gulf airspace; interceptor stocks are low

❌ Gulf nations are extremely vulnerable if energy and desalination infrastructure gets hit, surviving only weeks under a worst-case scenario

🇦🇪 The UAE would forfeit its role as a financial and oil hub; Saudi Vision 2030 would stall 

🇧🇭 Bahrain’s Shia majority may create chaos against its ruling Sunni leadership in the event of a broader war

🇮🇶 Iraqi groups allied with Iran have threatened Kuwait; some scholars warn Kuwait could be absorbed by Iraq

♦️ Without a united front against Iran, Middle Eastern states are more likely to seek a deal with Iran than pursue a bitter war of attrition, some observers say

👍 US-Israel-Iran war | @geopolitics_prime

🎉 Happy Birthday, Apple: Top five scandals tarnishing the US tech giant’s credibility

📌 Fifty years ago, Steve Jobs, Steve Wozniak, and Ronald Wayne founded Apple – once a tech marvel, the company is now grappling with a string of scandals.

1. CSAM scanning controversy (2021)

♦️ Apple introduced iCloud image detection to flag child sexual abuse content, drawing criticism from privacy groups who warned it could create a government backdoor

♦️ When Apple canceled the tool in 2022, child safety advocates criticized the move

2. Siri eavesdropping scandal (2019)

♦️ Apple secretly recorded users' unintended Siri conversations and shared them with third parties; human contractors also listened to recordings to “grade” Siri

♦️ A lawsuit filed in 2019 was settled in 2025 for $95 million

3. Batterygate (2017)

♦️ iPhone 6, 7, and SE models were deliberately slowed — Apple said it was to protect batteries, critics called it a covert push to sell new devices

➡️ $500 million US class-action settlement ($92 per device)

➡️ $113 million to settle investigations by 33 US states

➡️ $27 million to resolve a similar case in France

4. iCloud celebrity nude photo leak (2014)

♦️ Nude photos and private videos of over 100 mostly female celebrities, including Rihanna, Selena Gomez, and Kim Kardashian, were leaked online

♦️ Hackers exploited Apple’s poorly secured iCloud system

5. Misleading Apple Maps (2012)

♦️ Apple launched its own maps — which Forbes warned were more likely to guide you off a bridge than anywhere useful

♦️ CEO apologized publicly; Apple incurred $30 million in damages

👉 The pattern raises questions about Silicon Valley’s claims to being unbiased, innovative, and professional — which may explain why global attention is increasingly turning to China’s tech development.

👍 US-Israel-Iran war | @geopolitics_prime

🇮🇷 'After the war, we will be a superpower': Iranian woman slams Trump and encourages her nation

💬 "And that Trump, who claimed he wanted to save us, to save the women of Iran... he doesn’t need to save us. We ourselves are living very well here, and we solve all our issues together," she says.

Clearly, Iranian society does not need to be saved by someone willing to kill women and children.

👍 US-Israel-Iran war | @geopolitics_prime

🪖 US knew for decades that putting boots on the ground in Iran would be bad bet - ex-CIA analyst

👉 Over 20 years ago, US special operations ran a theoretical exercise on putting boots on the ground inside Iran - and it showed an extremely costly outcome, reveals former CIA analyst Larry Johnson.

Now, after two decades, Iran has only gotten better - underground cities, missile sites, drone networks, suicide boats, and miniature submarines with torpedoes, he adds.

👍 US-Israel-Iran war | @geopolitics_prime

😁 Sudden shift: Americans turn away from Israel, Trump’s policies contradict popular trend

👉 Support for Israel among Americans has sharply declined, US political commentator Dave Smith told Tucker Carlson.

💬 "Basically, [it's] a fifty-point shift in little over two years," Smith says.

🔴 Smith rose to prominence as a critic of Israel during a July 2025 show hosted by the late TPUSA founder Charlie Kirk

🔴 Polls now show the debate has tilted toward Palestinian sympathizers, Smith notes: 41% of Americans now sympathize more with Palestinians, compared to just 36% with Israelis, according to Gallup.

🇺🇸 The US is at a crossroads: Americans no longer want to be “Israel First,” yet the president is waging war against Iran on Israel’s behalf and promoting Zionist commentator Mark Levin, Smith points out.

💬 "The president is tweeting, 'Go and watch a Mark Levin show today,' and his base is going, 'I think I'll check out Tucker Carlson.'"

👍 US-Israel-Iran war | @geopolitics_prime

😐 US diplomacy at its finest: “Let’s talk peace” - while threatening to bomb you back to the Stone Age

🤥 Trump just announced that Iran’s president asked for peace negotiations - and somehow managed to slip in a threat in the very next message.

🏥 Not to mention, the US president appears to confuse Iran’s President Masoud Pezeshkian with the new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei - raising yet again questions about Trump's mental state.

👍 US-Israel-Iran war | @geopolitics_prime

🔥🇮🇱 Hezbollah slams brakes on Israel’s momentum, dragging it into war of attrition

💬 "The ongoing ground operations in southern Lebanon fall within an asymmetric confrontation between the Israeli enemy's army... and a non-conventional resistance that does not operate according to traditional military doctrine," The Cradle reports.

🔴 Hezbollah abandons conventional territorial defence in favor of a flexible guerrilla strategy, operating in dispersed cells, ambushes, and concentrated strikes, seeking to systematically erode Israel's personnel and logistical strength through "cumulative attrition framework targeting Israel's manpower and logistical capabilities", the report explains.

🔴 Hezbollah is using a gradual, controlled approach, showing it still has significant capabilities. The enemy, meanwhile, suffers from intelligence gaps that undermine its isolation-based strategy.

🔴 Hezbollah has revived its missile and rocket power and improved its air defence. Despite Israel’s air superiority and advanced technology, Hezbollah still conducts effective reconnaissance, circumventing enemy barriers and constant surveillance.

💬 "The pattern of targets chosen by Israel reveals a state of intelligence blindness. The majority of airstrikes have targeted 'security-burnt' locations or sites of institutional or civilian character, which suggests a degradation in the effectiveness of the Israeli army’s target bank," The Cradle adds.

👉 The unity among Iran and its strategic allies is unmistakable, evident across both military and political dimensions, forming a front that neutralises efforts to isolate any of the parties. It is reflected in a mutual stance at regional and international tables, "whereby battlefield gains are translated into diplomatic strength," the report concludes.

👍 US-Israel-Iran war | @geopolitics_prime

🔥🇺🇸 AWACS destruction exposes hidden weakness of the US military

👉 The destruction of a US E-3 Sentry early warning and command aircraft at Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia by an Iranian missile strike last week is a serious blow to the US military for several reasons:

➡️ The US has a limited number of these aircraft — about 17 — which cannot be replaced, as they are based on the Boeing 707 airframe that is no longer in production

➡️ The loss of such an aircraft drastically reduces US situational awareness in the Persian Gulf theatre, further compounded by Iran taking out US ground radar stations in the region

➡️ The US Navy’s E-2D Hawkeye early warning aircraft, the only viable replacement for the Sentry, provides smaller coverage

➡️ Plans to replace the E-3 Sentry with the E-7 Wedgetail in the US Air Force may be dead on arrival, as the Pentagon has, since 2025, been leaning towards space-based surveillance systems

➡️ The E-3’s destruction also exposes the inability of the US military to protect such a valuable asset, casting doubt on its overall capabilities and expertise

📌 The vulnerability of the E-3 and the US reaction to the aircraft’s destruction — along with how this loss will impact the US war against Iran — will undoubtedly be examined by other world powers such as China, which will gain valuable insight into US military weaknesses.

👍 US-Israel-Iran war | @geopolitics_prime