Insurance back in vogue as volatility returns
Volatility returns to the financial markets. In the previous two days, investors had to return to the expectation that trade wars may widen and deepen in the coming months. Hopes for a soon-to-be-signed phase one trade deal began to melt after Trump’s words that it might have been better to make a deal with China after the 2020 elections. Later, the Ministry of Commerce also made it clear that the priority was the essence of the agreement, not the speed of its conclusion. Isn’t this an eternal trade war?
This news caused a typical market reaction. Indices of implied volatility jumped, key stock indices turned down, so-called safe currencies and gold enjoyed increasing demand. Now more details and where it can lead.
https://fxpro.news/daily-forex-outlook/insurance-back-in-vogue-as-volatility-returns-20191204/
Volatility returns to the financial markets. In the previous two days, investors had to return to the expectation that trade wars may widen and deepen in the coming months. Hopes for a soon-to-be-signed phase one trade deal began to melt after Trump’s words that it might have been better to make a deal with China after the 2020 elections. Later, the Ministry of Commerce also made it clear that the priority was the essence of the agreement, not the speed of its conclusion. Isn’t this an eternal trade war?
This news caused a typical market reaction. Indices of implied volatility jumped, key stock indices turned down, so-called safe currencies and gold enjoyed increasing demand. Now more details and where it can lead.
https://fxpro.news/daily-forex-outlook/insurance-back-in-vogue-as-volatility-returns-20191204/
Bit-comment: Resumed decline
Bitcoin has lost almost 2% in the last 24 hours and trades near $7,150. The inability to develop a confident rebound for the BTC practically always ended in a decline. The altcoin market demonstrates the same dynamics.
https://fxpro.news/daily-forex-outlook/bit-comment-resumed-decline-20191204/
Bitcoin has lost almost 2% in the last 24 hours and trades near $7,150. The inability to develop a confident rebound for the BTC practically always ended in a decline. The altcoin market demonstrates the same dynamics.
https://fxpro.news/daily-forex-outlook/bit-comment-resumed-decline-20191204/
#WaveAnalysis
#Bank of America is expected to rise further toward the next resistance level 33.65
https://fxpro.news/market-snapshots/bank-of-america-wave-analysis-04-december-2019-20191204/
#Bank of America is expected to rise further toward the next resistance level 33.65
https://fxpro.news/market-snapshots/bank-of-america-wave-analysis-04-december-2019-20191204/
#WaveAnalysis
#GBPCAD is expected to rise further toward the next resistance level 1,7500.
https://fxpro.news/market-snapshots/gbpcad-wave-analysis-04-december-2019-20191204/
#GBPCAD is expected to rise further toward the next resistance level 1,7500.
https://fxpro.news/market-snapshots/gbpcad-wave-analysis-04-december-2019-20191204/
Important upcoming events (GMT):
07:00 EUR 🇩🇪 [!!] Ge Factory Orders
13:30 USD 🇺🇸 [!!] US Trade Balance
13:30 USD 🇺🇸 [!!!] US Initial Unemployment Claims
Detailed economic calendar
07:00 EUR 🇩🇪 [!!] Ge Factory Orders
13:30 USD 🇺🇸 [!!] US Trade Balance
13:30 USD 🇺🇸 [!!!] US Initial Unemployment Claims
Detailed economic calendar
GBP broke through important levels. What’s next?
On Wednesday, the pressure in the financial markets has slightly decreased after Bloomberg reports that China and the U.S. are edged closer to their positions on trade and can avoid a new wave of escalation. The message is not very trustworthy, as it cites unnamed sources.
Most importantly, this news has allowed market participants to distract themselves from the theme of eternal trade wars, which has benefited the British currency. GBPUSD jumped to $1.31 on Wednesday, its highest level since May, while EURGBP declined to 0.8450, its lowest point since May 2017.
In the course of yesterday’s breakthrough, the British pound came out of the traded ranges both against the dollar and the euro, which opens up the way for further growth in the coming days on the triggering of stop-orders.
https://fxpro.news/daily-forex-outlook/gbp-broke-through-important-levels-whats-next-20191205/
On Wednesday, the pressure in the financial markets has slightly decreased after Bloomberg reports that China and the U.S. are edged closer to their positions on trade and can avoid a new wave of escalation. The message is not very trustworthy, as it cites unnamed sources.
Most importantly, this news has allowed market participants to distract themselves from the theme of eternal trade wars, which has benefited the British currency. GBPUSD jumped to $1.31 on Wednesday, its highest level since May, while EURGBP declined to 0.8450, its lowest point since May 2017.
In the course of yesterday’s breakthrough, the British pound came out of the traded ranges both against the dollar and the euro, which opens up the way for further growth in the coming days on the triggering of stop-orders.
https://fxpro.news/daily-forex-outlook/gbp-broke-through-important-levels-whats-next-20191205/
Forex: The dollar index is down for the fifth trading session, DXY sank to 97.5, the monthly lows, touched the 200-day average on Wednesday. EURUSD near 1.1090, changing slightly before the release of major employment US data on Friday. GBPUSD touched 1.3047 earlier this morning, the highest since May.
Stocks: Futures for S&P500 add 0.7%, reaching 3123. EuroStoxx 50 index adds 2% a little more than a day, while MSCI World increased 0.8%. The VIX index fell from 15.07 to 14.40.
Commodities: Brent is trying to break above $63.00 in anticipation of news from the OPEC meeting. Gold hardly changed during the day, remaining at $ 1,475.
Crypto: Bitcoin is at $ 7,350, making growth attempts. The top-10 altcoins range from -2.8% (BSV) to + 2.3% (BCH).
Stocks: Futures for S&P500 add 0.7%, reaching 3123. EuroStoxx 50 index adds 2% a little more than a day, while MSCI World increased 0.8%. The VIX index fell from 15.07 to 14.40.
Commodities: Brent is trying to break above $63.00 in anticipation of news from the OPEC meeting. Gold hardly changed during the day, remaining at $ 1,475.
Crypto: Bitcoin is at $ 7,350, making growth attempts. The top-10 altcoins range from -2.8% (BSV) to + 2.3% (BCH).
#WaveAnalysis
#Intel is expected to fall further toward the next support level 55.45
https://fxpro.news/market-snapshots/intel-wave-analysis-05-december-2019-20191205/
#Intel is expected to fall further toward the next support level 55.45
https://fxpro.news/market-snapshots/intel-wave-analysis-05-december-2019-20191205/
#WaveAnalysis
#CADCHF is expected to rise further toward the next resistance level 0.7530
https://fxpro.news/market-snapshots/cadchf-wave-analysis-05-december-2019-20191205/
#CADCHF is expected to rise further toward the next resistance level 0.7530
https://fxpro.news/market-snapshots/cadchf-wave-analysis-05-december-2019-20191205/
Important upcoming events (GMT):
07:00 EUR 🇩🇪 [!!] Ge Industrial Production
13:30 CAD 🇨🇦 [!!!] Ca Employment report
13:30 USD 🇺🇸 [!!!] US Employment report
15:00 USD 🇺🇸 [!!] US Consumer Sentiment
Detailed economic calendar
07:00 EUR 🇩🇪 [!!] Ge Industrial Production
13:30 CAD 🇨🇦 [!!!] Ca Employment report
13:30 USD 🇺🇸 [!!!] US Employment report
15:00 USD 🇺🇸 [!!] US Consumer Sentiment
Detailed economic calendar
Weak NFP data is the problem for USD or for the rest of the world?
Today is the day of the release of the US employment data – an influential macroeconomic report that traditionally causes the maximum volatility of markets among all the world’s data publications. In recent months, markets have been shifting their focus from employment data to attempts to determine the impact of US and Chinese trade conflict.
Previous lull on employment report does not mean that the markets have lost interest in the NFP. Just the opposite. It may well turn out that the current release will attract more attention, if it sparks speculation around the further path of the economy and, as a consequence, monetary policy.
On average, the markets predicted an increase in employment by 180K. If the figure is closer to the levels indicated by ADP, it may be a severe disappointment for the optimists.
https://fxpro.news/daily-forex-outlook/weak-data-is-the-problem-for-usd-or-for-the-rest-of-the-world-20191206/
Today is the day of the release of the US employment data – an influential macroeconomic report that traditionally causes the maximum volatility of markets among all the world’s data publications. In recent months, markets have been shifting their focus from employment data to attempts to determine the impact of US and Chinese trade conflict.
Previous lull on employment report does not mean that the markets have lost interest in the NFP. Just the opposite. It may well turn out that the current release will attract more attention, if it sparks speculation around the further path of the economy and, as a consequence, monetary policy.
On average, the markets predicted an increase in employment by 180K. If the figure is closer to the levels indicated by ADP, it may be a severe disappointment for the optimists.
https://fxpro.news/daily-forex-outlook/weak-data-is-the-problem-for-usd-or-for-the-rest-of-the-world-20191206/
The US employment report rolled out noticeably better than expected, helping markets to discard concerns about slowdowns amid prolonged trade wars.
The number of new jobs increased by 266K in November, the highest rate in 13 months. The number of payrolls in the manufacturing sector jumped by 54K over the last month after a 43K decline previously due to strikes at GM factories.
The unemployment rate returned to more than 50-year lows at 3.5%, where it was in September.
For almost all key parameters, this was a positive report, so the market reaction in the first minutes looks very classic.
The dollar index climbed 0.3%, getting support at the 200-day average. EURUSD retreated below 1.11000 levels, while GBPUSD turned lower from 1.3150. In the stock markets, futures for S&P500 experienced an increase in growth momentum, added 0.5% after the publication of the data and reaching Monday levels.
Healthy labour market data may cement expectations that the Fed will not cut rates soon.
However, if you look beyond the limits of short-term fluctuations, it is crucial to understand that improvements in Europe and Asia often follow robust data from the US. If this will be so, other central banks can also take a more robust monetary position as Fed did, which will undermine the value of USD to other currencies.
The number of new jobs increased by 266K in November, the highest rate in 13 months. The number of payrolls in the manufacturing sector jumped by 54K over the last month after a 43K decline previously due to strikes at GM factories.
The unemployment rate returned to more than 50-year lows at 3.5%, where it was in September.
For almost all key parameters, this was a positive report, so the market reaction in the first minutes looks very classic.
The dollar index climbed 0.3%, getting support at the 200-day average. EURUSD retreated below 1.11000 levels, while GBPUSD turned lower from 1.3150. In the stock markets, futures for S&P500 experienced an increase in growth momentum, added 0.5% after the publication of the data and reaching Monday levels.
Healthy labour market data may cement expectations that the Fed will not cut rates soon.
However, if you look beyond the limits of short-term fluctuations, it is crucial to understand that improvements in Europe and Asia often follow robust data from the US. If this will be so, other central banks can also take a more robust monetary position as Fed did, which will undermine the value of USD to other currencies.
Holiday market mood: risky assets purchases prevails
The end of the year on the financial markets turned out to be very positive. Asian stock markets ply near multi-month highs; the American markets are leaning towards growth, according to the dynamics of futures on the major indices.
Markets engrossed by the idea that the worst is over. The easing of the central bank policy is already bearing fruit, which can be seen in the improved macroeconomic indicators of China and the Japan. Separately, China and the U.S. have managed to agree on a phase one trade deal, but it is not officially signed yet.
The single currency behaves a little more modestly. On Friday, EURUSD failed to climb to levels above 1.1200 and consolidate over the 200-day average. However, the markets will follow with caution the release of the first PMI estimates in December for the countries of the Euro-region.
https://fxpro.news/daily-forex-outlook/holiday-mood-risky-assets-purchases-prevail-in-the-markets-20191216/
The end of the year on the financial markets turned out to be very positive. Asian stock markets ply near multi-month highs; the American markets are leaning towards growth, according to the dynamics of futures on the major indices.
Markets engrossed by the idea that the worst is over. The easing of the central bank policy is already bearing fruit, which can be seen in the improved macroeconomic indicators of China and the Japan. Separately, China and the U.S. have managed to agree on a phase one trade deal, but it is not officially signed yet.
The single currency behaves a little more modestly. On Friday, EURUSD failed to climb to levels above 1.1200 and consolidate over the 200-day average. However, the markets will follow with caution the release of the first PMI estimates in December for the countries of the Euro-region.
https://fxpro.news/daily-forex-outlook/holiday-mood-risky-assets-purchases-prevail-in-the-markets-20191216/
FX: The dollar index develops a downtrend, DXY sank to 97.0, returning to decline in the new week. EURUSD is trading near 1.1140, failing to build its growth on Friday. GBPUSD is correcting after the jump above 1.35 on Friday but maintain a positive bias.
Stocks: Futures for S&P500 added 0.3% to Friday closing levels, reaching 3182. EuroStoxx 50 Index added 0.4% since the beginning of the day. The VIX volatility index fell 1.5% to 12.50.
Commodities: Brent stands at $ 64.50, pumping on the positive mood of the financial markets. Gold added slightly to $ 1,477amid falling dollar.
Crypto: Bitcoin is near $ 7050, desperate to turn around for growth. The top 10 altcoins ranged from -2.8% (XRP) to -0.8% (BSV).
Stocks: Futures for S&P500 added 0.3% to Friday closing levels, reaching 3182. EuroStoxx 50 Index added 0.4% since the beginning of the day. The VIX volatility index fell 1.5% to 12.50.
Commodities: Brent stands at $ 64.50, pumping on the positive mood of the financial markets. Gold added slightly to $ 1,477amid falling dollar.
Crypto: Bitcoin is near $ 7050, desperate to turn around for growth. The top 10 altcoins ranged from -2.8% (XRP) to -0.8% (BSV).
#WaveAnalysis
#AUDCAD is expected to fall further toward the next support level 0.9000
https://fxpro.news/market-snapshots/audcad-wave-analysis-16-december-2019-20191216/
#AUDCAD is expected to fall further toward the next support level 0.9000
https://fxpro.news/market-snapshots/audcad-wave-analysis-16-december-2019-20191216/
#WaveAnalysis
#Apple is expected to rise further toward the next resistance level 280.0, intersecting with the resistance trendline of the wide daily up channel from May.
https://fxpro.news/market-snapshots/apple-wave-analysis-16-december-2019-20191216/
#Apple is expected to rise further toward the next resistance level 280.0, intersecting with the resistance trendline of the wide daily up channel from May.
https://fxpro.news/market-snapshots/apple-wave-analysis-16-december-2019-20191216/
The Santa Claus Rally on World Markets
US stock exchanges continue to make new highs, pulling up the indices of European and Asian exchanges. Markets want a positive end of the year, waving away some unpleasant signals over and over again.
Weak data on the European PMI, as well as relatively inexpressive statistics from the US, did not prevent the stock price growth.
It should be noted that such indicators act as a leading indicator of business cycles, and therefore market players usually pay such close attention to them, but not now.
https://fxpro.news/daily-forex-outlook/the-santa-claus-rally-on-world-markets-20191217/
US stock exchanges continue to make new highs, pulling up the indices of European and Asian exchanges. Markets want a positive end of the year, waving away some unpleasant signals over and over again.
Weak data on the European PMI, as well as relatively inexpressive statistics from the US, did not prevent the stock price growth.
It should be noted that such indicators act as a leading indicator of business cycles, and therefore market players usually pay such close attention to them, but not now.
https://fxpro.news/daily-forex-outlook/the-santa-claus-rally-on-world-markets-20191217/