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Bitcoin avoids volatility while BAT rallies

The crypto market has remained largely unaffected by volatility, trading within a range of just 0.7% over the past day, reaching $2.80T by the start of active trading in Europe, compared with $2.81T the previous day. It appears that cryptocurrency traders are adopting a wait-and-see approach, slow to capitalise on the dollar’s pullback from its highs and the strengthening of bond buying, which is a sign of a recovery in risk appetite. The urge to take profits in big tech stocks at the start of the new earnings season is weighing on cryptocurrencies, as evidenced by the Nasdaq-100’s decline over four of the last five days. Among altcoins, the ratio of rising to falling coins is 1:9. The top gainers were BAT (+4.7%), Bitcoin Cash (+1.2%) and Tron (+0.4%). Polkadot (βˆ’5.2%), Near Protocol (βˆ’4.5%) and Internet Computer (βˆ’4.3%) have fallen the most.

Bitcoin remains stagnant, hovering around $83.4K, and has avoided sharp drops or surges over the past 24 hours. The leading cryptocurrency has managed to stay above its 50-day moving average near $81K without much difficulty, but has so far been unable to break above $84K. For institutional investors, BTC is positioned near the Nasdaq-100 on the risk asset spectrum. The latter’s caution is preventing Bitcoin from spreading its wings. Perhaps everyone is simply waiting for the release of US inflation data.

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⚠️ USA β€” Consumer Price Index at 12:30 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 0.4% | 3.4%

πŸ•’ Exp: 0.6% | 3.6%

🎯 Fact.: 0.6% | 3.7% πŸ“ˆ

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⚠️ USA β€” Core CPI at 12:30 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 0.3% | 2.4%

πŸ•’ Exp: 0.2% | 2.5%

🎯 Fact.: 0.3% πŸ“ˆ | 2.6% πŸ“ˆ
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Pre-market trading trends on the US stock market

πŸ“‰ Negative sentiment is prevailing in the US stock market's pre-market session: major technology and financial companies are mostly trading lower, indicating that investors are adopting a cautious approach to risk.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is down 1.04%, while Broadcom (AVGO) is down 1.22%.

In the Financials sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) is up 0.15%, while JPMorgan Chase (JPM) is down 0.98%.

In the Consumer Discretionary sector, Tesla (TSLA) is down 0.93%, while McDonald's (MCD) is up 0.03%.

Risk aversion in major liquid securities is creating short-term demand for safe-haven dollar assets: the dollar is receiving moderate support from inflows into Treasuries and the money markets, which is preventing it from weakening even against the backdrop of external factors.
⚠️ Australia β€” Employment Change at 00:30 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 29.3K

πŸ•’ Exp: 20.0K

🎯 Fact.: -39.3K πŸ“‰

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⚠️ Australia β€” Unemployment Rate at 00:30 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 4.7%

πŸ•’ Exp: 4.6%

🎯 Fact.: 4.7% πŸ“‰
⚠️ Switzerland β€” SNB Chairman Martin Schlegel Speaks at 04:30 GMT
πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/10/16 (GMT)

09:00 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ BOC Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Rogers Speaks

10:00 πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί EU Economic Summit Actual: Π”Π΅Π½ΡŒ 2

12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ Producer Price Index β€” Exp: 0.5% | 5.3% Actual: 1.3% | 6.3%

12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ Core PPI β€” Exp: 0.3% | 4.4% Actual: 0.7% | 5.0%

12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ Retail Sales β€” Exp: 0.3% | 0.5% Actual: 0.8% | 0.9%

12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Philly Fed Manufacturing Index β€” Exp: 26.5 Actual: 20.9

12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Empire State Manufacturing Index β€” Exp: 10.3 Actual: 25.5

12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Unemployment Claims β€” Exp: 200K Actual: 199K

16:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Crude Oil Inventories β€” Exp: -200K Actual: -8557K

17:15 πŸ‡³πŸ‡Ώ ⚑️ RBNZ Governor Anna Breman Speaks

02:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ ⚑️ BOE Governor Andrew Bailey Speaks

03:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh Speaks

04:15 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ ⚑️ BOC Governor Tiff Macklem Speaks


[Updated in real time]
FxPro pinned Β«πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/10/16 (GMT) 09:00 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ BOC Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Rogers Speaks 10:00 πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί EU Economic Summit Actual: Π”Π΅Π½ΡŒ 2 12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ Producer Price Index β€” Exp: 0.5% | 5.3% Actual: 1.3% | 6.3% 12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ Core PPI β€” Exp: 0.3% |…»
Market Sentiment for October 15, 2026
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⚠️ UK β€” Gross Domestic Product at 06:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 0.4% | 0.5%

πŸ•’ Exp: -0.1% | 0.5%

🎯 Fact.: 0.1% πŸ“ˆ | 0.7% πŸ“ˆ
⚠️ UK β€” BOE Governor Andrew Bailey Speaks at 07:30 GMT
Bitcoin is barely clinging to its uptrend

The crypto market accelerated its decline on Wednesday following a sell-off in big tech stocks and a surge in the likelihood of interest rate hikes after core inflation exceeded expectations. Market capitalisation fell to $2.72T (βˆ’2.8%), its lowest level in nearly a month. Of the top 100 coins by market capitalisation, only six are rising. Among the most liquid coins, declines range from βˆ’0.4% (Tron) and βˆ’1.5% (Hyperliquid) to βˆ’9.1% (Filecoin) and βˆ’8.5% (SushiSwap).

The sentiment index plummeted to 53, a new low since 17 September. As with Bitcoin, market sentiment is undergoing a crucial test of its readiness to turn the page on the bear market. Remaining in the upper half of the scale would indicate a fundamental shift in market sentiment, given that the index spent only a single day in that range between October 2025 and August 2026.

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⚠️ USA β€” Producer Price Index at 12:30 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 0.5% | 5.6%

πŸ•’ Exp: 0.5% | 5.3%

🎯 Fact.: 1.3% πŸ“ˆ | 6.3% πŸ“ˆ

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⚠️ USA β€” Core PPI at 12:30 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 0.2% | 4.8%

πŸ•’ Exp: 0.3% | 4.4%

🎯 Fact.: 0.7% πŸ“ˆ | 5.0% πŸ“ˆ

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⚠️ USA β€” Retail Sales at 12:30 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 1.3% | 1.4%

πŸ•’ Exp: 0.3% | 0.5%

🎯 Fact.: 0.8% πŸ“ˆ | 0.9% πŸ“ˆ
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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Pre-market trading trends on the US stock market

πŸ“ˆ Mixed trends are prevailing in the US stock market's pre-market session: gains among a number of major companies are offsetting losses in the technology sector, while the overall picture does not indicate a marked flight from risk.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is down 1.73%, Apple (AAPL) is up 0.68%, while Microsoft (MSFT) is down 0.42%.

In the Communication Services sector, Alphabet (GOOGL) is down 0.75%.

In the Financials sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) is up 0.88%, while Visa (V) is up 1.14%.

Under these conditions, the foreign exchange market is receiving mixed signals: risk appetite for certain blue-chip stocks is holding back demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset, while weakness in parts of the technology sector is not generating a pronounced flow of capital either into or out of the dollar. As a result, the short-term trend for the USD remains largely neutral, with no clear momentum toward sustained strengthening or weakening.
▢️ GBP/USD. Larger triangle

Today is Thursday, October 15, and we’re going to talk about the British pound and its reaction to the inflation data that came out in the US yesterday. Let’s look at and discuss only the daily chart today.

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The yen seized the moment

The selling of the USD, verbal interventions, and β€˜hawkish’ rhetoric from the BoJ have helped the yen.

The wide bond yield spread suggests the USDJPY uptrend remains intact.

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⚠️ New Zealand β€” RBNZ Governor Anna Breman Speaks at 17:15 GMT