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Crypto: traders want more risk

The crypto market capitalisation rose by a further 1.7% to $2.95T, briefly exceeding the $3T mark. Altcoins remain the driving force, but the wave of growth has now spread to smaller coins, while BTC, ETH, and BNB have gained less than 0.5% over this period. Bitcoin Cash (+34%), Uniswap (+15%) and The Graph (+12.8%) have surged over the past day. The worst performers over the same period were Tron (βˆ’1.4%), Tezos (βˆ’0.1%) and Algorand (βˆ’0.1%).

Bitcoin is trading at around $86.2K on Wednesday morning, having matched Monday’s intraday highs of $87.3K, but facing similar selling pressure. Optimism in the altcoin market and in equities suggests that we are witnessing a temporary shift of speculative capital from the leading cryptocurrency into altcoins. Many investors had parked their cryptocurrency-allocated capital in the most liquid asset class and are now seeking more profitable opportunities. In such situations, there has previously been a slowdown but not a reversal in BTC, as price pullbacks have attracted new buyers who had previously kept their money out of the risky crypto market. This is a typical cyclical rise driven by a growing appetite for risk in search of higher returns.

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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Pre-market trading trends on the US stock market

πŸ“ˆ Pre-market trading in the US stock market is mixed, with a slight upward bias.

In the Financials sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) is up 0.31%, while Bank of America (BAC) is down 0.18%.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is down 0.67%, while Apple (AAPL) is up 0.41%.

In the Energy sector, Exxon Mobil (XOM) is up 0.96%, while Chevron (CVX) is up 0.77%.

Overall, a moderate risk-on sentiment prevails: interest in major US stocks is supporting risk demand, so in the short term, the dollar is unlikely to gain significant momentum as a safe-haven asset; its performance remains largely neutral and will depend on incoming macroeconomic and monetary data.
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Is it time for gold to go on the offensive?

Gold has withstood the pressure from the Fed’s rate-hiking cycle.

Due to US fiscal problems, the correlation between gold and Treasury yields has broken down.

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⚠️ Australia β€” Employment Change at 01:30 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: -15.9K

πŸ•’ Exp: 20.9K

🎯 Fact.: 39.5K πŸ“ˆ

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⚠️ Australia β€” Unemployment Rate at 01:30 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 4.5%

πŸ•’ Exp: 4.5%

🎯 Fact.: 4.6% πŸ“‰
πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/09/25 (GMT)

08:00 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡­ ⚑️ SNB Press Conference

08:00 πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Ifo Business Climate β€” Exp: 89.0 Actual: 89.9

08:00 πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ IFO - Current Assessment β€” Exp: 89.0 Actual: 89.5

08:00 πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ IFO - Expectations β€” Exp: 89.3 Actual: 90.4

12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Unemployment Claims β€” Exp: 201K Actual: 197K

12:30 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Retail Sales β€” Exp: -0.8% | -0.5% Actual: -0.7% | -0.7%

14:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ New Home Sales β€” Exp: 620K Actual: 684K | 6.4%


[Updated in real time]
FxPro pinned Β«πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/09/25 (GMT) 08:00 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡­ ⚑️ SNB Press Conference 08:00 πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Ifo Business Climate β€” Exp: 89.0 Actual: 89.9 08:00 πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ IFO - Current Assessment β€” Exp: 89.0 Actual: 89.5 08:00 πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ IFO - Expectations β€” Exp: 89.3 Actual: 90.4…»
⚠️ Switzerland β€” SNB Policy Rate at 07:30 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 0.00%

πŸ•’ Exp: 0.00%

🎯 Fact.: 0.00%

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⚠️ Switzerland β€” SNB Press Conference at 08:00 GMT
A pause, not a reversal, for crypto

The crypto market has taken a breather, falling by 3% over the past 24 hours to $2.86T, following a 15% rally since mid-September and a nearly 40% rise from its mid-August lows. External factors, ranging from a strengthening US dollar to a spike in bond yields and a decline in share prices, triggered a wave of selling in risk assets, leading to active profit-taking in cryptocurrencies. The support zone, which had been in place from November 2025 to February 2026, has now become a resistance level. External factors prevented the cryptocurrency market from quickly returning to the consolidation zone around $3.0T–$3.25T. Among the 40 most liquid coins, there were sharp declines ranging from -0.3% (Tron) to -10.5% (Official Trump, Uniswap), while only Litecoin is 5.5% higher than it was a day ago.

Bitcoin fell below $84K on Wednesday, selling off alongside other risky assets. As with the overall market capitalisation, the leading cryptocurrency encountered resistance near a previously significant support level. However, BTC failed to complete the Fibonacci extension pattern to 161.8% of the impulse that began in mid-August in a single move. Despite the pullback, the ongoing, unfinished nature of the uptrend suggests it may be a temporary pause on the way up. However, it is worth remembering that in 2021, Bitcoin lost over 50% from its peak before reaching new highs. Similarly, today, a decline to $70K may be painful for short-term speculators, but it does not undermine the bullish outlook.

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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Pre-market trading trends on the US stock market

πŸ“‰ Negative trends are dominating pre-market trading in the US stock market.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is down 1.04%, Intel (INTC) is down 2.88%, while Microsoft (MSFT) is down 0.50%.
In the Communication Services sector, Alphabet (GOOGL) is down 0.26%.

In the Consumer Discretionary sector, Amazon (AMZN) is down 1.08%, while in the Consumer Staples sector, Walmart (WMT) is up 0.45%.

In the foreign exchange market, this pre-market configuration reflects a risk-off sentiment within the US. Pressure on mega-cap shares is supporting demand for safe-haven dollar assets and Treasuries, creating conditions for a moderate strengthening of the dollar against a basket of riskier currencies while maintaining interest in it as a safe-haven.
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πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/09/26 (GMT)

09:15 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ ⚑️ BOE Governor Andrew Bailey Speaks

12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Durable Goods Orders β€” Exp: -0.3% | 0.6% Actual: 0.0% | 0.3%

14:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ UoM Consumer Sentiment β€” Exp: 47.8 Actual: 48.1


[Updated in real time]
FxPro pinned Β«πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/09/26 (GMT) 09:15 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ ⚑️ BOE Governor Andrew Bailey Speaks 12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Durable Goods Orders β€” Exp: -0.3% | 0.6% Actual: 0.0% | 0.3% 14:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ UoM Consumer Sentiment β€” Exp: 47.8 Actual: 48.1 [Updated in real time]Β»