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▢️ USDCAD. Soon reversal

Today is Tuesday, the 15th of September, and I’d like to talk to you about the Canadian dollar. It’s been a while since we last looked at it. So let’s take a look at the four-hour chart together. What I’d like to draw your attention to is that we’re entering the final stages of this major Wave B...

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▢️ Pro News Flash: The Next S&P Move

πŸ“ˆ The S&P 500 is swinging wildly as investors shift their focus toward macroeconomic data, geopolitical developments and the Fed’s upcoming monetary tightening cycle. History shows that aggressive Fed hikes have often been linked to major market declines, but the outcome is far from certain.

⚠️ Rising U.S. government debt and uncertainty around White House policy are adding pressure to stocks. If the 10-year Treasury yield moves above 6%, Macro Risk Advisors estimates the S&P 500 could fall by 8-10% as higher rates weigh on corporate profits and potentially trigger a volatility shock.

πŸ“‰ Seasonal factors could add to the pressure, with September historically one of the weakest months for stocks. In midterm election years, the S&P 500 has averaged a 2.4% decline from July to early October as uncertainty rises.

🎯 Forecasts are also divided. Bank of America has cut its year-end S&P 500 target from 7,400 to 7,100, while TALL-BACK-en has raised its target to 8,500. With the index currently around 7,600, the Fed’s policy path could be crucial for what comes next.

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πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/09/17 (GMT)

12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ Retail Sales β€” Exp: 0.8% | 0.6% Actual: 1.2% | 1.4%

14:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Crude Oil Inventories β€” Exp: -1600K Actual: -640K

18:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ FOMC Rate Decision β€” Exp: 4.00% Actual: 4.00%

18:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ FOMC Statement

18:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ FOMC Economic Projections

18:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ FOMC Press Conference

22:45 πŸ‡³πŸ‡Ώ ⚑️ Gross Domestic Product β€” Exp: 0.1% | 2.3% Actual: 0.2% | 2.6%


[Updated in real time]
FxPro pinned Β«πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/09/17 (GMT) 12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ Retail Sales β€” Exp: 0.8% | 0.6% Actual: 1.2% | 1.4% 14:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Crude Oil Inventories β€” Exp: -1600K Actual: -640K 18:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ FOMC Rate Decision β€” Exp: 4.00% Actual: 4.00% 18:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ FOMC Statement…»
⚠️ UK β€” Consumer Price Index at 06:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 0.3% | 2.9%

πŸ•’ Exp: 0.5% | 3.1%

🎯 Fact.: 0.5% | 3.1%
πŸ‘1
Bitcoin slips, Zcash shines as crypto awaits the Fed

The crypto market capitalisation has fallen by 2.3% over the past 24 hours to $2.58T. Of the approximately 40 most actively traded cryptocurrencies, only Zcash has risen over the past 24 hours, gaining 3.8%. The worst performers in our sample were Filecoin (βˆ’9.2%), IOTA (βˆ’8.8%) and Stellar (βˆ’8.6%).

Bitcoin fell below $75K on Tuesday, hitting a 3.5-week low after the CLARITY Act vote failed in the US Senate, before partially recovering to $75.9K by the start of active trading in Europe. Nevertheless, the price has fallen below the consolidation range, forming a downtrend over the past week and a half. The market lull can easily be attributed to expectations of signals from the Fed later on Wednesday, which have greater potential to influence volatility than the 25-basis-point rate hike already priced in. From a technical analysis perspective, a drop in BTC to $72K does not break the medium-term bullish picture. However, it is likely to flush out a significant portion of marginal short-term long positions from the market.

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⚠️ USA β€” Retail Sales at 12:30 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: -0.5% | -0.2%

πŸ•’ Exp: 0.8% | 0.6%

🎯 Fact.: 1.2% πŸ“ˆ | 1.4% πŸ“ˆ
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US Pre-Market: Moderately Positive πŸ“ˆ

Ahead of the Fed's interest rate decision, the US stock market is showing a moderately positive trend in pre-market trading.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is up 0.75%, while Micron Technology (MU) is up 0.80%.

In the Financials sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) is down 0.22%, while Bank of America (BAC) is up 0.13%.

In the Consumer Discretionary sector, Amazon (AMZN) is up 0.31%, while in the Consumer Staples sector, Walmart (WMT) is up 0.14%.

The predominance of gains in the most liquid technology and retail shares is creating a risk-on environment within the US.

Demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset is limited: the dollar index may remain in a neutral range without significant upward momentum, while the performance of EURUSD and other major crosses will depend more on the differential in Fed rate expectations and external news than on domestic equity market dynamics.
⚠️ USA β€” FOMC Rate Decision at 18:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 3.75%

πŸ•’ Exp: 4.00%

🎯 Fact.: 4.00%

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⚠️ USA β€” FOMC Press Conference at 18:30 GMT
⚠️ New Zealand β€” Gross Domestic Product at 22:45 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 0.8% | 1.5%

πŸ•’ Exp: 0.1% | 2.3%

🎯 Fact.: 0.2% πŸ“ˆ | 2.6% πŸ“ˆ
πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/09/18 (GMT)

11:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ ⚑️ Bank of England Interest Rate Decision β€” Exp: 3.75% Actual: 3.75%

11:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ ⚑️ MPC Official Bank Rate Votes β€” Exp: 3-0-6 Actual: 3-0-6

11:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ ⚑️ Monetary Policy Summary

12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Unemployment Claims β€” Exp: 207K Actual: 196K

12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Philly Fed Manufacturing Index β€” Exp: 31.3 Actual: 37.8

12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Building Permits β€” Exp: 1410K Actual: 1394K | -2.7%

12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Housing Starts β€” Exp: 1310K Actual: 1275K | -2.6%

14:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Pending Home Sales β€” Exp: -0.2% Actual: 0.3% | -4.7%

22:45 πŸ‡³πŸ‡Ώ Trade Balance β€” Exp: -1775M Actual: -1349M | -5442M

23:30 πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί ⚑️ RBA Governor Michele Bullock Speaks

23:30 πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ ⚑️ National Consumer Price Index Actual: 1.9%

23:30 πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ National Consumer Price Index Ex-Fresh Food β€” Exp: 1.8% Actual: 2.0%

02:54 πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ ⚑️ Overnight Call Rate β€” Exp: 1.25% Actual: 1.25%

02:54 πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ ⚑️ Monetary Policy Statement

06:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Retail Sales With Auto Fuel β€” Exp: -0.2% | 1.9%

06:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Retail Sales Ex Auto Fuel β€” Exp: -0.1% | 1.9%

06:30 πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ ⚑️ BOJ Press Conference


[Updated in real time]
FxPro pinned Β«πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/09/18 (GMT) 11:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ ⚑️ Bank of England Interest Rate Decision β€” Exp: 3.75% Actual: 3.75% 11:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ ⚑️ MPC Official Bank Rate Votes β€” Exp: 3-0-6 Actual: 3-0-6 11:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ ⚑️ Monetary Policy Summary 12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Unemployment…»