⚠️ USA — ISM Services PMI at 14:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 54.1

🕒 Exp: 54.3

🎯 Fact.: 55.4 📈

Bullish crypto consolidation

The crypto market’s capitalisation has remained within the $2.58T–$2.68T range for almost two weeks now. Having staged an impressive rally from 19 to 22 August, the market has returned to a consolidation phase. However, this is already a bullish consolidation rather than a mere pause, as the market achieved a significant technical breakout last month, and the lull of recent days is merely alleviating short-term overbought conditions.

The sentiment index, at 65 (greed), confirms the optimistic mood and a fundamental shift in the cryptocurrency market’s trend. That said, it is quite reasonable to expect that sentiment has not yet reached extreme greed, given that the market is nearly 40% below its peak.

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Dow Jones Index Wave Analysis – 3 September 2026

Dow Jones Index: ⬆️ Buy

– Dow Jones Index reversed from support zone

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CHFJPY Wave Analysis – 3 September 2026

– CHFJPY reversed from key support level 192.55

– Likely to rise to resistance level 194.00

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/09/05 (GMT)

08:50 🇬🇧 ⚡️ BOE Governor Andrew Bailey Speaks

12:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Non-Farm Employment Change — Exp: 55K Actual: 162K

12:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Unemployment Rate — Exp: 4.1% Actual: 4.1%

12:30 🇺🇸 Average Hourly Earnings — Exp: 0.3% | 3.0% Actual: 0.3% | 3.1%

12:30 🇺🇸 Change in Private Payrolls — Exp: 45K Actual: 127K

12:30 🇨🇦 ⚡️ Employment Change — Exp: 15.1K Actual: -41.7K

12:30 🇨🇦 ⚡️ Unemployment Rate — Exp: 6.4% Actual: 6.4%

12:30 🇨🇦 Part-Time Employment Change Actual: -35.9K | -5.8K

14:00 🇨🇦 Ivey PMI — Exp: 56.2 Actual: 64.3 | 62.7


[Updated in real time]

⚠️ UK — BOE Governor Andrew Bailey Speaks at 08:50 GMT

The crypto market is testing May’s highs

The crypto market soared by more than 4% to $2.71T, reaching May’s highs at the very start of the day following nearly two weeks of consolidation after the rally. Bitcoin was the key driver, with altcoins actively supporting it, but the renewal of highs soon fuelled profit-taking. It appears there is a strong inclination towards short-term profit-taking in the markets, coupled with scepticism about the market shifting into a bullish phase. Among the top coins over the past 24 hours, the top gainers were Dash (+18%), Zcash (14.7%) and Uniswap (+9.5%), whilst the worst performers were Filecoin (-4.8%), Aptos (-2.7%) and Immutable (-0.6%).

Overnight, Bitcoin rose to $82K between the active trading sessions in the US and Asia. Still, by the start of active trading in Europe, it had pulled back to just below $81K, whilst remaining above the local resistance level seen in recent days. The leading cryptocurrency reached its May rebound highs, rallying within a few hours from the lows of its consolidation range to break above its upper boundary. Further gains pave the way to the year’s opening highs near $95K. However, it appears that this will require support in the form of further strengthening of stock indices and a weaker dollar.

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The dollar has staked its fate on the NFP

The US employment figures for August could send the US dollar on a rollercoaster ride.

The strengthening of the yen is leading to a fall in yields on Japanese and US bonds alike.

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⚠️ USA — Non-Farm Employment Change at 12:30 GMT

✔️ Prev: 21K

🕒 Exp: 55K

🎯 Fact.: 162K 📈

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⚠️ USA — Unemployment Rate at 12:30 GMT

✔️ Prev: 4.1%

🕒 Exp: 4.1%

🎯 Fact.: 4.1%

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⚠️ Canada — Employment Change at 12:30 GMT

✔️ Prev: 75.1K

🕒 Exp: 15.1K

🎯 Fact.: -41.7K 📉

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⚠️ Canada — Unemployment Rate at 12:30 GMT

✔️ Prev: 6.4%

🕒 Exp: 6.4%

🎯 Fact.: 6.4%

🇺🇸 US Pre-Market: Mostly Negative 📉

Following the release of unemployment figures, the US stock market is trending predominantly lower in pre-market trading.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is up 1.11%, Apple (AAPL) is down 0.29%, while Microsoft (MSFT) is down 0.35%.

In the Communication Services sector, Alphabet (GOOGL) is down 0.28%.
In the Consumer Discretionary sector, Amazon (AMZN) is up 0.37%, while Tesla (TSLA) is down 3.06%.

Overall, declines are prevailing among the largest names by market cap, indicating a flight from risk within the US market and a shift in demand toward safe-haven dollar assets.

In these conditions, the dollar is receiving moderate short-term support through interest in US monetary instruments.

Brent Wave Analysis – 4 September 2026

– Brent crude oil reversed from resistance level 96.00

– Likely to fall to support level 90.00

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DAX Index Wave Analysis – 4 September 2026

DAX Index: ⬆️ Buy

– DAX Index reversed from support level 25900.00

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Johnson & Johnson Wave Analysis – 4 September 2026

Johnson & Johnson: ⬆️ Buy

– Johnson & Johnson broke resistance zone

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Zcash Wave Analysis – 4 September 2026

– Zcash broke resistance level 1000.00

– Likely to rise to resistance level 1100.00

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▶️ Pro News Weekly: Bitcoin Defies the Dollar

Welcome to Pro News Weekly!

💵 The U.S. dollar faces a tough road ahead of the August employment report, with mixed macro data, Middle East tensions and differing FOMC views pushing expectations for a September rate rise from 70% down to 62%.

📈 The S&P 500 remains around 2% below its peak, but rising Treasury yields and seasonal weakness are prompting caution, with September historically delivering an average 0.8% decline for the index.

🪙 Gold rebounds as the pullback in the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields gives the precious metal room to recover, while the return of the “debasement trade” brings gold buyers back into the market.

₿ Bitcoin holds firm despite the headwinds of a stronger dollar and higher Treasury yields. Strategy purchased nearly $370 million of Bitcoin, while August ETF inflows reached $3.5 billion, the highest level since July 2025.

📊 Next week, investors will focus on U.S. producer and consumer price data, which could influence expectations for Fed policy and the dollar, alongside developments in the Middle East and the potential escalation of the U.S.-Canada trade war.

🔔 Like, share, and subscribe for more weekly updates from FxPro!

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▶️ FxPro: What’s Moving Markets Next Week

Stay informed with FxPro’s weekly update and stay ahead of what’s shaping the markets.

It’s a short week ahead, with US markets closed Monday for Labour Day. 🇺🇸🏦

Thursday brings the ECB rate decision. With eurozone inflation still running hot, another hike is looking increasingly likely, putting the euro in focus. 🇪🇺📊

Then Friday brings US CPI. After months of easing, helped by lower oil prices, price pressures may be building again. Is US inflation about to re-accelerate? 🇺🇸📈

With two major events packed into a shortened week, the euro and dollar could be in for some serious moves. 🌍👀

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/09/08 (GMT)

09:00 🇪🇺 Gross Domestic Product — Exp: 0.4% | 1.0% Actual: 0.6% | 1.2%

23:50 🇯🇵 Gross Domestic Product — Exp: 0.3% | 1.1% Actual: 0.4% | 1.4%

02:35 🇨🇳 Trade Balance — Exp: 118.6B | 805B Actual: 119.1B | 809B


[Updated in real time]

The dollar is in no hurry to gain ground

• The greenback was unimpressed by strong US employment figures.

• Japan was likely selling Treasuries for currency intervention.

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The S&P 500 is moving away from record highs

• The stock market is moving further and further away from its record highs.

• Good news from the US economy is turning out to be bad news for the S&P 500.

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