▶️ USDCHF Diagonal?

Today is Tuesday, the 1st of September, and let’s talk about the Swiss franc. So, regarding the Swiss franc, we’ll only be looking at the daily chart today, and we’ll be discussing the concept of an initial diagonal, which is most likely forming in this local wave A.

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▶️ Pro News Flash: Oil’s Next Big Move

🛢️Oil gained 4% in August but remained stuck in its narrowest trading range since December, as tensions in the Middle East keep traders on edge and the risk of renewed disruption through the Strait of Hormuz grows.

⚠️Iran may not need to attack every vessel to disrupt the world’s key oil artery. Just a few attacks or mines could trigger fear among suppliers, while record supertanker profits are encouraging carriers to keep navigating the Strait.

📈Oil flows through the Strait have recovered to an estimated 6 to 8 million barrels per day, helping explain why Brent has struggled to remain above $100 despite falling global inventories. Meanwhile, the US plans to replenish its strategic reserves with Venezuelan oil.

🚨TD Securities expects Brent to keep rising as the Middle East conflict shows no clear end, but further de-escalation or a continued willingness from tanker owners to take the risk could put the brakes on the rally.

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Palladium Wave Analysis – 1 September  2026

– Palladium reversed from resistance area

– Likely to fall to support level 1270.00

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Silver Wave Analysis – 1 September  2026

– Silver reversed from resistance area

– Likely to fall to support level 62.60

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⚠️ Australia — Gross Domestic Product at 01:30 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.3% | 2.5%

🕒 Exp: 0.3% | 1.8%

🎯 Fact.: 0.4% 📈 | 2.1% 📈

⚠️ New Zealand — Official Cash Rate at 02:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 2.50%

🕒 Exp: 2.75%

🎯 Fact.: 2.75%

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⚠️ New Zealand — RBNZ Press Conference at 03:00 GMT

🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/09/03 (GMT)

12:15 🇺🇸 ⚡️ ADP Non-Farm Employment Change — Exp: 47K Actual: 38K

13:45 🇨🇦 ⚡️ Overnight Rate — Exp: 2.25% Actual: 2.25%

13:45 🇨🇦 ⚡️ BOC Rate Statement

14:30 🇨🇦 ⚡️ BOC Press Conference

14:30 🇺🇸 Crude Oil Inventories — Exp: -400K Actual: -4450K

20:10 🇳🇿 RBNZ Governor Anna Breman Speaks

01:45 🇨🇳 Markit Services PMI — Exp: 50.6 Actual: 51.4

01:45 🇨🇳 Markit Composite PMI Actual: 52.1

06:30 🇨🇭 Consumer Price Index — Exp: 0.0% | 0.5%

07:00 🇨🇭 Gross Domestic Product — Exp: 1.7%


[Updated in real time]

Brent is heading towards $100 a barrel

• The escalation of the conflict in the Middle East is driving oil prices higher.

• Brent’s rally is heightening the risk of accelerating inflation and forcing the Fed to raise interest rates.

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⚠️ USA — ADP Non-Farm Employment Change at 12:15 GMT

✔️ Prev: 46K

🕒 Exp: 47K

🎯 Fact.: 38K 📉

⚠️ Canada — Overnight Rate at 13:45 GMT

✔️ Prev: 2.25%

🕒 Exp: 2.25%

🎯 Fact.: 2.25%

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⚠️ Canada — BOC Press Conference at 14:30 GMT

Chevron Wave Analysis – 2 September  2026

– Chevron broke key resistance level 208.10

– Likely to rise to resistance level 215.00

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S&P 500 Wave Analysis – 2 September  2026

S&P 500: ⬆️ Buy

– S&P 500 reversed from support zone

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/09/04 (GMT)

08:00 🇪🇺 Services PMI — Exp: 51.7 Actual: 51.6

08:00 🇪🇺 PMI Composite — Exp: 52.1 Actual: 52.0

12:30 🇺🇸 Unemployment Claims — Exp: 205K Actual: 206K

12:30 🇺🇸 Trade Balance — Exp: -89.4B Actual: -88.6B

12:30 🇺🇸 FOMC Member Christopher J. Waller Speaks

12:30 🇨🇦 Trade Balance — Exp: 3.2B Actual: 0.8B

14:00 🇺🇸 ⚡️ ISM Services PMI — Exp: 54.3 Actual: 55.4


[Updated in real time]

GBPUSD Wave Analysis – 3 September  2026

– GBPUSD reversed from resistance zone

– Likely to fall to support level 1.3435

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NZDCAD Wave Analysis – 3 September  2026

NZDCAD : ⬇️ Sell

– NZDCAD reversed from resistance zone

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The yen is advancing on three fronts

• Rumours of changes to the GPIF’s portfolio structure, currency interventions and monetary tightening by the BoJ are bolstering the yen.

• Falling Treasury yields and a weakening dollar are lending a helping hand to the ‘bears’ on USDJPY.

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▶️ Oil. Forecast Change

Today is Thursday, the 3rd of September, and we’re going to talk about the oil market, where I’m ruling out the scenario that we’ll see a rise to the 70 to 72 mark before a major rally. You’ll recall that my forecast was: the second wave would arrive here, and we’d see a scenario like this.

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