🇺🇸 US Pre-Market: Mixed 📊

Mixed trading is prevailing in the US stock market pre-market, with a slight upward bias.

In the Financials sector, JPMorgan Chase (JPM) is down 0.50%, while Visa (V) is down 0.66%.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is up 0.37%, while Intel (INTC) is up 0.34%.

In the Energy sector, Exxon Mobil (XOM) is down 0.64%, while Chevron (CVX) is down 0.17%.

The pattern of price movements points to a cautious risk-on stance, with no pronounced flight to safety. Buying in the largest technology stocks is partly offset by selling in the energy sector and certain financial stocks, resulting in a neutral balance of capital flows. Under these conditions, the short-term USD trend is likely to remain neutral: demand for safe-haven dollar assets is not strengthening, and there is no sign of large-scale capital outflows from the US.

The yen: has the trend finally been broken?

Currency interventions spooked speculators trading USDJPY.

The likelihood of a Fed rate hike in 2026 continues to fall.

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Will the S&P 500 stay at the top?

Impressive corporate results have propelled the S&P 500 to record highs.

The US stock market may be entering a ‘Goldilocks’ phase.

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Bitcoin Wave Analysis – 17 August 2026

– Bitcoin reversed from support zone

– Likely to rise to resistance level 65225.00

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Brent crude oil Wave Analysis – 17 August 2026

Brent crude oil: ⬆️ Buy

– Brent broke resistance zone

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Amazon Wave Analysis – 17 August 2026

– Amazon falling inside impulse wave c

– Likely to fall to support level 250.00

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Boeing Wave Analysis – 17 August 2026

– Boeing falling inside impulse wave 3

– Likely to fall to support level 220.00

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/08/19 (GMT)

09:00 🇩🇪 ZEW Economic Sentiment — Exp: 30.0 Actual: 34.2

09:00 🇩🇪 ZEW Survey (Current Situation) — Exp: -68.8 Actual: -61.1

09:00 🇪🇺 ZEW Economic Sentiment — Exp: 25.4 Actual: 31.4

12:30 🇺🇸 Building Permits — Exp: 1370K Actual: 1443K | 5.0%

12:30 🇺🇸 Housing Starts — Exp: 1350K Actual: 1239K | -12.4%

13:15 🇺🇸 Industrial Production — Exp: 0.3% Actual: 0.2%

14:00 🇺🇸 Pending Home Sales — Exp: 0.1% Actual: -2.3% | -2.2%

01:30 🇦🇺 Wage Price Index — Exp: 0.8% | 3.2% Actual: 0.8% | 3.2%

06:00 🇬🇧 ⚡️ Consumer Price Index — Exp: 0.3% | 2.9%

06:00 🇬🇧 Core CPI — Exp: 2.5%

06:00 🇬🇧 Retail Price Index — Exp: | 3.2%

06:00 🇬🇧 Producer Price Index Input — Exp: 0.0% | 6.6%

07:10 🇪🇺 ECB President Christine Lagarde Speaks


[Updated in real time]

Bitcoin attempted to push the market off its low

The crypto market capitalisation has risen by 1.6% over the past 24 hours to $2.19T, continuing to consolidate within a fairly narrow range, having pulled back from the lower boundary of the channel it has been trading within for the past month and a half. Among the most actively traded coins, the top gainers were Tezos (+3.6%), Aave (+2.9%) and Bitcoin (+1.3%). The decline was more widespread and sharp, but concentrated among smaller coins such as Immutable (-6.4%), Filecoin (-5.7%) and Cosmos (-4.8%).

The sentiment index rose to 41. This is still in the ‘fear’ zone, but the indicator has not reached this level since mid-May. This upward trend prompts us once again to remind readers that only a sustained move above 50 can be regarded as a shift in the market cycle; for now, early optimists could easily fall into a trap.

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Will Brent return to $100 a barrel?

The escalation of the conflict in the Middle East has allowed oil prices to break out of the $80–90 range.

The rapid decline in stocks is increasing the risk that Brent will rise above $100.

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▶️ USDCHF. Triangle?

Today is Tuesday, the 18th of August, and let’s talk about the Swiss franc. It’s been a while since we’ve looked at this currency pair, and today I’d like to draw your attention to an extremely interesting pattern that has formed on the one-hour and four-hour charts — an A-B-C-D-E triangle. This pattern...

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🇺🇸 US Pre-Market: Mixed 📊

Mixed trends are being observed in the US stock market pre-market.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is down 2.00%, while Apple (AAPL) is up 0.58%.

In the Financials sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) is up 0.71%, while JPMorgan Chase (JPM) is up 0.39%.
In the Energy sector, Exxon Mobil (XOM) is up 1.58%, while Chevron (CVX) is up 0.98%.

The combination of pressure on major technology companies and noticeable demand for energy and financial shares is creating moderate risk-on sentiment without any pronounced flight to safety. Under these conditions, interest in the dollar as a safe-haven asset is limited, and the short-term dollar trend is likely to remain neutral, with localised fluctuations.

▶️ Pro News Flash: The Euro Is Surging

💶 The Euro-Dollar has surged above 1.16 as weak US employment and retail sales, alongside slowing inflation, reduce expectations of further Fed tightening and strengthen the euro.

📈 A growing divergence between the Fed and ECB is supporting the common currency, with Goldman Sachs expecting no Fed rate hikes in 2026 while seeing the ECB potentially tighten policy in September.

🏦 Futures markets reinforce the bullish outlook, pricing an 84% probability of an ECB rate hike in September compared with just 35% for the Fed, while 30-year US Treasury yields climb to their highest level since 2007.

⚠️ The euro now faces key risks from Middle East tensions and Brent crude above $91, which could reignite US inflation and strengthen the dollar. Oil prices, the July FOMC minutes and upcoming business activity data will be crucial for the next move.

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/08/20 (GMT)

10:15 🇪🇺 ECB President Christine Lagarde Speaks

14:30 🇺🇸 Crude Oil Inventories — Exp: 200K Actual: 4405K

18:00 🇺🇸 ⚡️ FOMC Meeting Minutes

18:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ President Donald Trump Speaks

01:30 🇦🇺 ⚡️ Employment Change — Exp: 11.7K Actual: -15.8K

01:30 🇦🇺 ⚡️ Unemployment Rate — Exp: 4.4% Actual: 4.5%

01:30 🇦🇺 Part-Time Employment Change Actual: 16.3K | -32.2K


[Updated in real time]

⚠️ UK — Consumer Price Index at 06:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.1% | 2.6%

🕒 Exp: 0.3% | 2.9%

🎯 Fact.: 0.3% | 2.9%

BTC is range-bound, shrugging off the weakness in equities

The crypto market capitalisation has changed little over the past 24 hours, remaining close to $2.19T. Still, polarisation within the market has intensified, widening the trading range of the most actively traded coins. The top three performers were IOTA (+3.9%), Polkadot (+2.8%) and Hedera (+2.5%); the three worst performers were Immutable (-5.6%), Near Protocol (-3.6%) and Internet Computer (-2.9%). Once again, the crypto market showed a negative or virtually non-existent correlation with the equity market, which saw a significant sell-off on Tuesday.

Bitcoin touched the $65K level at the start of US trading on Tuesday, but was subsequently met with cautious yet fairly persistent selling pressure, pushing the price down to $64.3K. A sequence of lower local highs and higher lows suggests that the battle is centred around the $63.7K level. We will only be able to say that BTC has chosen a direction once it breaks out of the $62.7K-$65.3K range. Although the short-term divergence between Bitcoin and equities is nothing new, a sustained decline in equities will drag cryptocurrencies down with it, starting with the flagship asset.

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Gold has more to offer

The precious metal could rise in tandem with Treasury yields.

The BoJ’s accelerated tightening will support the yen.

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Pfizer Wave Analysis – 19 August 2026

– Pfizer broke key resistance level 27.15

– Likely to rise to resistance level 27.75

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Baidu Wave Analysis – 19 August 2026

– Baidu broke round support level 100.00

– Likely to fall to support level 85.00

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