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⚠️ Australia β€” RBA Interest Rate Decision at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 4.35%

πŸ•’ Exp: 4.35%

🎯 Fact.: 4.35%

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FxPro pinned Β«πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/08/12 (GMT) 14:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Existing Home Sales β€” Exp: 4.05M Actual: 4.06M | -1.7% [Updated in real time]Β»
⚠️ Australia β€” RBA Media Conference at 05:30 GMT
Corporations are returning Bitcoin to the retail investors

Over the past 24 hours, the crypto market has fallen by 2% to $2.18T, once again failing to establish a firm upward trend. Fundamental and psychological pressure on the market is being exerted by the shift towards AI among those companies which, in their desire to be at the forefront, had previously championed cryptocurrencies, from holders led by Strategy to miners such as MARA. Although there are buyers, it is clear that institutional investors are currently focused on selling the leading cryptocurrency to build up liquidity or switch to AI. At the start of the week, the cryptocurrency market was under widespread pressure, with the ratio of rising to falling coins at approximately 1:10. Gainers include Internet Computer (+4.6%), Chainlink (+2.5%) and Cosmos (+1.2%). The three worst-performing among the most liquid coins are Cardano (-5%), Zcash (-4.2%) and Aave (-4.1%).

Bitcoin lost 2%, retreating to $64K. The price is trading just above the 50-day moving average, which has been moving almost horizontally for the past three weeks. This is clear evidence of a delicate balance of power, within which a transfer of value from businesses to investors is likely taking place. For the stock market, this often leads to losses for the latter. In cryptocurrencies, the opposite has historically been the case: retail investors created the hype, and at a certain point, it was beneficial for corporations’ image to join the trend. Now, corporations are keen to focus on other areas, which risks accelerating the liquidation of BTC positions in the coming weeks, but in the long term, it returns cryptocurrencies to their ideological roots.

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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US Pre-Market: Moderately Positive πŸ“ˆ

Moderately positive trends are prevailing in the US stock market pre-market.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is up 1.56%, while Micron Technology (MU) is up 1.66%.

In the Financials sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) is up 0.14%, while JPMorgan Chase (JPM) is up 0.09%.

In the Energy sector, Exxon Mobil (XOM) is down 0.34%, while Chevron (CVX) is down 0.42%.

The predominance of gains among large-cap technology and financial companies points to risk-on sentiment within the US market. In this scenario, demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset remains subdued, and the dollar's short-term performance is likely to be neutral, barring any negative developments on Fed rates or US economic expectations.
▢️ USD. 2026 Forecast

Today is Tuesday the 11th of August, and we'll be discussing the US dollar. We'll be looking at the US Dollar Index chart. This is the daily chart. We don't look at this chart very often, but it's very interesting in terms of context and for the outlook heading into the autumn and winter of 2026–27

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▢️ Pro News Flash: Gold Hits $4,400

πŸ’° Gold has surged to $4,400, its highest level since early June, as weak US jobs data, persistent inflation and a weaker dollar fuel expectations of further gains.

πŸ“Š Slowing job creation and PCE inflation above the Fed’s 2% target are strengthening the case for easier monetary policy, while rising oil prices are adding to stagflation concerns.

🏦 Growing investor concerns over central bank credibility, alongside increased central bank gold purchases, ETF demand and speculative positioning, are providing another boost for the precious metal.

⚠️ Gold now faces a key test from upcoming US inflation data. The slower consumer price growth is, the greater the chances that the rally will continue.

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πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/08/13 (GMT)

12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ Consumer Price Index β€” Exp: 0.1% | 3.4% Actual: 0.1% | 3.4%

12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ Core CPI β€” Exp: 0.2% | 2.5% Actual: 0.2% | 2.5%

14:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Crude Oil Inventories β€” Exp: -1700K Actual: 17422K

03:00 πŸ‡³πŸ‡Ώ Expected Annual Inflation 2y from now Actual: 2.34%

06:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ ⚑️ Gross Domestic Product β€” Exp: -0.1%

06:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ ⚑️ Gross Domestic Product β€” Exp: 0.4% | 1.1%

06:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Industrial Production β€” Exp: 0.1% | 0.2%

06:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Manufacturing Production β€” Exp: -0.2% | 1.2%

06:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Goods Trade Balance β€” Exp: -20.3B


[Updated in real time]
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FxPro pinned Β«πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/08/13 (GMT) 12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ Consumer Price Index β€” Exp: 0.1% | 3.4% Actual: 0.1% | 3.4% 12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ Core CPI β€” Exp: 0.2% | 2.5% Actual: 0.2% | 2.5% 14:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Crude Oil Inventories β€” Exp: -1700K Actual: 17422K 03:00 πŸ‡³πŸ‡Ώβ€¦Β»
BNB’s rise points to a recovery in crypto, despite the cloud hanging over BTC

The crypto market capitalisation has remained virtually unchanged over the past 24 hours, hovering around $2.18T. Trading activity in crypto and equity markets is currently at its lowest due to the holiday season. This period also often lays the groundwork for trends in the coming quarters, as market participants reassess the situation ahead of the end of the US financial year in September.

Bitcoin retreated to $63.3K late on Tuesday, where it found support at the 50-day moving average. The leading cryptocurrency has been unable to break away from this medium-term trend line, although the price has remained predominantly above it for almost a month. This line itself is almost horizontal, underscoring the market’s neutral sentiment. Fundamentally, the leading cryptocurrency’s growth is being hampered by a wave of selling from institutional investors, who are actively selling bitcoins to finance their transition to AI.

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