🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/08/11 (GMT)

04:30 🇦🇺 ⚡️ RBA Interest Rate Decision — Exp: 4.35% Actual: 4.35%

04:30 🇦🇺 ⚡️ RBA Rate Statement

04:30 🇦🇺 ⚡️ RBA Monetary Policy Statement

05:30 🇦🇺 ⚡️ RBA Media Conference


[Updated in real time]

Bitcoin consolidates around $65K, setting its sights on $70K

The crypto market capitalisation has risen to $2.22T, returning to the levels seen at its two-week highs. Since the start of August, the balance of power has shifted in favour of buyers, but the pace of this recovery is significantly slower than that of the similar rally seen in early July. This suggests a slight waning of buyer interest following the rebound from the June and July lows, given that the market currently lacks fundamental drivers of growth. Among the most active coins over the past 7 days, the top performers were Theta (+14.3%), as well as SushiSwap and Cosmos (both +8.5%), while the worst performers were Stellar and NEAR (both down -2.9%), as well as XRP (-2.7%), which further points to a predominance of growth.

The sentiment index stands at 30 at the start of the day on Monday. Since mid-July, this indicator has been in the ‘fear’ zone, only occasionally touching the 25 level (‘extreme fear’). This is a gradual shift in sentiment that is worth monitoring from time to time. Still, cautious medium-term investors will likely prefer to stay on the sidelines until this indicator consolidates above 50.

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The dollar let the labour market down

The USD index plummeted amid a decline in US employment.

Gold is benefiting from the Fed’s reluctance to raise interest rates.

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The US stock market is hitting new record highs

Bad news from the labour market turned out to be good news for the S&P 500.

Euphoria is making the stock market vulnerable to unpleasant surprises.

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🇺🇸 US Pre-Market: Mixed 📊

Mixed trading is prevailing in the US stock market pre-market, with a slight upward bias driven by gains in some of the largest stocks.
In the Financials sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) is up 0.54%, while JPMorgan Chase (JPM) is down 0.09%.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is down 0.33%, while Micron Technology (MU) is down 1.49%.

In the Health Care sector, Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) is down 0.25%, while Eli Lilly (LLY) is up 0.36%.

From a foreign exchange perspective, this mixed picture — with some mega-caps rising while others fall — is creating a neutral, mildly risk-on sentiment. Demand for safe-haven dollar assets remains moderate: there is no clear flight from risk, nor any clear signals of significant dollar weakness.

▶️ Oil. Beginning of a rally?

Today is Monday, and we're talking about the oil market — so what's going on there?

Well, the situation is extremely interesting.

As a reminder, our oil forecast hasn't changed in quite some time. The key point is this: back at the beginning of July, a major triangle that had been forming for eighteen years finally completed at this level.

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Silver Wave Analysis – 10 August 2026

– Silver broke resistance zone

– Likely to rise to resistance level 71.60

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CADJPY Wave Analysis – 10 August 2026

– CADJPY broke resistance level 113.30

– Likely to rise to resistance 115.00

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Ethereum Wave Analysis – 10 August 2026

– Ethereum reversed from powerful resistance zone

– Likely to fall to support level 1715.00

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Airbnb Wave Analysis – 10 August 2026

– Airbnb broke resistance zone

– Likely to rise to resistance level 190.00

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⚠️ Australia — RBA Interest Rate Decision at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 4.35%

🕒 Exp: 4.35%

🎯 Fact.: 4.35%

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/08/12 (GMT)

14:00 🇺🇸 Existing Home Sales — Exp: 4.05M Actual: 4.06M | -1.7%


[Updated in real time]

⚠️ Australia — RBA Media Conference at 05:30 GMT

Corporations are returning Bitcoin to the retail investors

Over the past 24 hours, the crypto market has fallen by 2% to $2.18T, once again failing to establish a firm upward trend. Fundamental and psychological pressure on the market is being exerted by the shift towards AI among those companies which, in their desire to be at the forefront, had previously championed cryptocurrencies, from holders led by Strategy to miners such as MARA. Although there are buyers, it is clear that institutional investors are currently focused on selling the leading cryptocurrency to build up liquidity or switch to AI. At the start of the week, the cryptocurrency market was under widespread pressure, with the ratio of rising to falling coins at approximately 1:10. Gainers include Internet Computer (+4.6%), Chainlink (+2.5%) and Cosmos (+1.2%). The three worst-performing among the most liquid coins are Cardano (-5%), Zcash (-4.2%) and Aave (-4.1%).

Bitcoin lost 2%, retreating to $64K. The price is trading just above the 50-day moving average, which has been moving almost horizontally for the past three weeks. This is clear evidence of a delicate balance of power, within which a transfer of value from businesses to investors is likely taking place. For the stock market, this often leads to losses for the latter. In cryptocurrencies, the opposite has historically been the case: retail investors created the hype, and at a certain point, it was beneficial for corporations’ image to join the trend. Now, corporations are keen to focus on other areas, which risks accelerating the liquidation of BTC positions in the coming weeks, but in the long term, it returns cryptocurrencies to their ideological roots.

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Brent is following a path of demands rather than commitments

A deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz is not inevitable.

Oil prices are rising amid growing risks of an escalation of the conflict in the Middle East.

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🇺🇸 US Pre-Market: Moderately Positive 📈

Moderately positive trends are prevailing in the US stock market pre-market.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is up 1.56%, while Micron Technology (MU) is up 1.66%.

In the Financials sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) is up 0.14%, while JPMorgan Chase (JPM) is up 0.09%.

In the Energy sector, Exxon Mobil (XOM) is down 0.34%, while Chevron (CVX) is down 0.42%.

The predominance of gains among large-cap technology and financial companies points to risk-on sentiment within the US market. In this scenario, demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset remains subdued, and the dollar's short-term performance is likely to be neutral, barring any negative developments on Fed rates or US economic expectations.

▶️ USD. 2026 Forecast

Today is Tuesday the 11th of August, and we'll be discussing the US dollar. We'll be looking at the US Dollar Index chart. This is the daily chart. We don't look at this chart very often, but it's very interesting in terms of context and for the outlook heading into the autumn and winter of 2026–27

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▶️ Pro News Flash: Gold Hits $4,400

💰 Gold has surged to $4,400, its highest level since early June, as weak US jobs data, persistent inflation and a weaker dollar fuel expectations of further gains.

📊 Slowing job creation and PCE inflation above the Fed’s 2% target are strengthening the case for easier monetary policy, while rising oil prices are adding to stagflation concerns.

🏦 Growing investor concerns over central bank credibility, alongside increased central bank gold purchases, ETF demand and speculative positioning, are providing another boost for the precious metal.

⚠️ Gold now faces a key test from upcoming US inflation data. The slower consumer price growth is, the greater the chances that the rally will continue.

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Zcash Wave Analysis – 11 August 2026

– Zcash broke daily Triangle

– Likely to fall to support level 450.00

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