🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/08/04 (GMT)

08:00 🇪🇺 Manufacturing PMI — Exp: 52.0 Actual: 51.9

14:00 🇺🇸 ⚡️ ISM Manufacturing PMI — Exp: 54.0 Actual: 55.6


[Updated in real time]

The crypto market is moving in the opposite direction to equities

The crypto market’s market capitalisation has fallen by 1% over the past 24 hours, returning to levels last seen in mid-July. The positive momentum the market showed in the first half of last week failed to take hold. Once again, we are seeing a negative correlation with the Nasdaq 100 index, this time in the form of falling cryptocurrencies while shares rise. Could this be becoming the new norm?

Bitcoin is dragging the entire market down to last week’s lows after falling below $63K. A brief and tentative rebound on Sunday proved to be a failed attempt to return above the 50-day moving average. Such a plunge clearly highlights the difficulties faced by the bulls in their attempt to convince the wider market of a reversal in the bear market that began last September.

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The dollar is propping up the yen

US involvement in currency interventions is weakening the dollar.

The ‘hawkish’ tone of Fed members gave only temporary support for the greenback.

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⚠️ USA — ISM Manufacturing PMI at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 53.3

🕒 Exp: 54.0

🎯 Fact.: 55.6 📈

▶️ Pound. Alternative

Today It is Monday, the 3rd of August, and we're going to look at an alternative scenario for the pound, which is very, very likely, based on the daily chart. So, alongside the main forecast you can see on your screens with the initial diagonal trend, I will show you an alternative scenario, which could take the form of a triangle

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🇺🇸 US Pre-Market: Mostly Positive 📈

The US stock market is showing a generally positive trend in pre-market trading, with the largest technology and consumer companies leading the gains.

In the Financials sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) is up 0.60%, while JPMorgan Chase (JPM) is up 0.98%.

In the Information Technology sector, Apple (AAPL) is up 0.61%, while NVIDIA (NVDA) is down 1.04%.

In the Energy sector, Exxon Mobil (XOM) is down 1.25%, while Chevron (CVX) is down 1.18%.

With the largest companies by market cap predominantly rising, the market is trading in moderate risk-on mode: interest in risk assets remains, while demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset is subdued. In the foreign exchange market, this is creating a neutral-to-soft picture for the dollar, with no clear momentum toward sustained appreciation.

The S&P 500 is churning under the surface

The calm and consolidation in the US equity market are deceptive.

The S&P 500 is paying closer attention to macro risks.

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GBPJPY Wave Analysis – 3 August 2026

– GBPJPY reversed from support zone

– Likely to rise to resistance level 212.35

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Nasdaq-100 Wave Analysis – 3 August 2026

– Nasdaq-100 reversed from support zone

– Likely to rise to resistance level 29200.00

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/08/05 (GMT)

12:30 🇺🇸 Trade Balance — Exp: -73.0B Actual: -73.3B

12:30 🇨🇦 Trade Balance — Exp: 3.0B Actual: 3.9B

13:30 🇨🇦 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI — Exp: 52.2 Actual: 53.5

14:00 🇺🇸 ⚡️ JOLTs Job Openings — Exp: 7440K Actual: 7360K

22:45 🇳🇿 ⚡️ Employment Change — Exp: 0.1% Actual: 0.5% | 1.2%

22:45 🇳🇿 ⚡️ Unemployment Rate — Exp: 5.4% Actual: 5.6%

01:45 🇨🇳 Markit Services PMI — Exp: 53.7 Actual: 50.4

01:45 🇨🇳 Markit Composite PMI Actual: 50.8


[Updated in real time]

Gold: the calm before the storm

• Citi believes that gold’s consolidation will end with a rise towards $4,500 per ounce.

• The precious metal managed to find a bottom thanks to strong Chinese demand and the uncertainty surrounding the Fed.

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⚠️ USA — JOLTs Job Openings at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 7540K

🕒 Exp: 7440K

🎯 Fact.: 7360K 📉

▶️ Platinum. 2026 Forecast

Today is Tuesday, the 4th of August. Let's talk about the platinum market. It's been a very long time since we covered this one. Let's look at the outlook through To the end of the year. So, I am now showing the monthly chart. This is the outlook and It gives us a view of the last six to eight years. Right, let's see what we've got. The first thing to note is that the growth we saw in 2025, which was absolutely explosive, came in three waves.

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▶️ Pro News Flash: The Yen Fights Back

💴 The Japanese Yen has rallied sharply after the first coordinated US and Japan currency intervention in 26 years, as authorities stepped in to halt its record weakness.

📊 The move triggered a wave of short covering, with hedge funds forced to unwind some of their largest bearish positions on the yen in years.

🏦 While the intervention has strengthened the currency, conflicting policies from the Japanese government and the Bank of Japan could make it difficult for the rally to last.

⚠️ Investors will now be watching whether Japan intervenes again and whether domestic investors begin bringing overseas capital back home, providing further support for the yen.

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CADJPY Wave Analysis – 4 August 2026

– CADJPY reversed from support zone

– Likely to rise to resistance level 113.30

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Platinum Wave Analysis – 4 August 2026

– Platinum broke resistance level 1680.00

– Likely to rise to resistance level 1835.00

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S&P 500 Wave Analysis – 4 August 2026

S&P 500: ⬆️ Buy

– S&P 500 broke resistance level 7600.0

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Alibaba Group Wave Analysis – 4 August 2026

Alibaba Group: ⬆️ Buy

– Alibaba Group broke resistance zone

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⚠️ New Zealand — Employment Change at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.2% | 0.4%

🕒 Exp: 0.1%

🎯 Fact.: 0.5% 📈 | 1.2%

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⚠️ New Zealand — Unemployment Rate at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 5.4%

🕒 Exp: 5.4%

🎯 Fact.: 5.6% 📉