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▢️ Pro News Flash: Markets Brace for a Fed Decision

πŸ’΅ The US dollar is holding steady despite rising Treasury yields as stronger oil prices fuel concerns that inflation could accelerate again. Expectations for additional Federal Reserve rate hikes have increased sharply, but strength in the euro, pound and Japanese yen is preventing the dollar from making a decisive move.

πŸ“Š US stock indices continue to trade near record highs as investors focus on second-quarter earnings rather than geopolitical tensions or the prospect of tighter monetary policy. Wall Street expects one of the strongest earnings seasons in years, with all eleven S&P 500 sectors forecast to report profit growth.

πŸͺ™ Gold remains under pressure as rising bond yields, a resilient US dollar and expectations of higher interest rates reduce demand for the precious metal. Although gold recently bounced from key support, analysts believe the rally could prove short-lived if central banks remain committed to fighting inflation.

β‚Ώ Bitcoin has struggled to extend its recent recovery as investors rotate back into major technology stocks ahead of earnings season. However, bullish forecasts for Strategy and continued confidence in crypto ETFs suggest institutional optimism toward Bitcoin remains intact.

⚠️ With the Federal Reserve meeting approaching alongside key US GDP, European inflation and central bank decisions from the Bank of England and Bank of Japan, investors are preparing for another potentially volatile week across currencies, commodities, cryptocurrencies and global stock markets.

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⚠️ Australia β€” Consumer Prices Index at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: -0.7% | 4.0%

πŸ•’ Exp: 0.2% | 4.0%

🎯 Fact.: -0.1% πŸ“‰ | 3.8% πŸ“‰

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⚠️ Australia β€” Quarterly Consumer Prices Index at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 1.4% | 4.1%

πŸ•’ Exp: 0.7% | 4.1%

🎯 Fact.: 0.6% πŸ“‰ | 3.9% πŸ“‰
πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/07/30 (GMT)

14:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Crude Oil Inventories β€” Exp: 700K Actual: -7167K

18:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ FOMC Rate Decision β€” Exp: 3.75% Actual: 3.75%

18:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ FOMC Statement

18:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ FOMC Press Conference


[Updated in real time]
FxPro pinned Β«πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/07/30 (GMT) 14:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Crude Oil Inventories β€” Exp: 700K Actual: -7167K 18:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ FOMC Rate Decision β€” Exp: 3.75% Actual: 3.75% 18:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ FOMC Statement 18:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ FOMC Press Conference [Updated in real time]Β»
Crypto holds firm despite tech sell-off

On Tuesday, the crypto market capitalisation fell towards $2.14T, a level at which it has repeatedly found support over the past three weeks. This time was no exception, leaving the market above its 50-day moving average – a significant sign of buyer strength, indicating a local shift in priorities. Since the beginning of the year, interest has shifted from cryptocurrencies to AI stocks. Despite the Nasdaq-100 entering a technical correction, with a more than 10% decline from its peak, cryptocurrencies have remained resilient. The top performers among the most popular coins over the past 24 hours were Cardano (+4.8%), Uniswap (+3.1%), and XRP (+3%). The worst performers were Immutable (-5.3%), Official Trump (-4.6%) and Theta Network (-3.7%).

Bitcoin, as was the case a week earlier, dipped below $63K before attracting a fresh influx of buyers, recovering to $64.3K. Although the current support level is lower than it was in February–April, overall, market forces are on the bulls’ side in this area. Judging by the price action, the market is being swept up by large long-term investors who have not yet fulfilled their plans and are not overly concerned about the sell-off in the semiconductor sector. It is even possible that this profit-taking is contributing to capital inflows. However, if and when the sell-off in equities turns into a broad flight from risk, cryptocurrencies will struggle to hold their ground. The risk is that this shift could be driven by fundamental factors, starting with today’s decision and commentary on the Fed’s key interest rate.

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Gold: The Fed will lead the way!

Markets are awaiting the Fed’s decision on interest rates.

Gold’s reaction will depend on the Fed’s rhetoric and the number of dissenting votes.

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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US Pre-Market: Mixed πŸ“Š

Ahead of the Fed's monetary policy decision, mixed trends are prevailing in the US stock market pre-market.

In the Information Technology sector, Apple (AAPL) is down 0.24%, Intel (INTC) is up 0.68%, while Microsoft (MSFT) is up 0.32%.

In the Communication Services sector, Alphabet (GOOGL) is up 0.76%.

In the Energy sector, Exxon Mobil (XOM) is up 2.33%, while Chevron (CVX) is up 2.17%.

Given the support from the largest technology and energy companies by market cap, the market appears to be in moderate risk-on mode: interest in leading equities is curbing demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset, creating a neutral-to-stable short-term backdrop for the dollar.
⚠️ USA β€” FOMC Rate Decision at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 3.75%

πŸ•’ Exp: 3.75%

🎯 Fact.: 3.75%

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⚠️ USA β€” FOMC Press Conference at 18:30 GMT
πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/07/31 (GMT)

08:00 πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Gross Domestic Product β€” Exp: 0.1% | 0.6% Actual: 0.2% | 0.9%

09:00 πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Gross Domestic Product β€” Exp: 0.2% | 0.5% Actual: 0.4% | 1.0%

11:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ ⚑️ Bank of England Interest Rate Decision β€” Exp: 3.75% Actual: 3.75%

11:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ ⚑️ MPC Official Bank Rate Votes β€” Exp: 2-0-7 Actual: 3-0-6

11:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ ⚑️ Monetary Policy Summary

11:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ ⚑️ BOE Monetary Policy Report

11:30 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ ⚑️ BOE Governor Andrew Bailey Speaks

12:00 πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Consumer Price Index β€” Exp: 0.7% | 2.7% Actual: 0.8% | 2.8%

12:00 πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Consumer Price Index - EU Harmonised β€” Exp: 0.8% | 2.8% Actual: 0.9% | 2.8%

12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ Gross Domestic Product β€” Exp: 2.1% Actual: 1.5%

12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Core Personal Consumption Expenditure β€” Exp: 3.5% Actual: 3.4%

12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ GDP Price Index β€” Exp: 4.1% Actual: 6.2%

12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ Core PCE Price Index β€” Exp: 0.2% | 3.3% Actual: 0.1% | 3.3%

12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Personal Spending β€” Exp: 0.3% Actual: 0.3%

12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Unemployment Claims β€” Exp: 200K Actual: 197K

01:30 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ Manufacturing PMI β€” Exp: 50.1 Actual: 49.2

01:30 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ Non-Manufacturing PMI β€” Exp: 50.0 Actual: 49.0

03:11 πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ ⚑️ Overnight Call Rate β€” Exp: 1.00% Actual: 1.00%

03:11 πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ ⚑️ Monetary Policy Statement

03:11 πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ BOJ Outlook Report

06:30 πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ ⚑️ BOJ Press Conference

07:55 πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Unemployment Change β€” Exp: 5K

07:55 πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Unemployment Rate β€” Exp: 6.3%


[Updated in real time]
FxPro pinned Β«πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/07/31 (GMT) 08:00 πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Gross Domestic Product β€” Exp: 0.1% | 0.6% Actual: 0.2% | 0.9% 09:00 πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Gross Domestic Product β€” Exp: 0.2% | 0.5% Actual: 0.4% | 1.0% 11:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ ⚑️ Bank of England Interest Rate Decision β€” Exp: 3.75%…»
The crypto market holds its ground despite the stock market slump

The crypto market capitalisation remained at $2.19T, showing little change over the past 24 hours, despite fairly volatile movements in the stock market. The market remains above its 50-day moving average, continuing to signal a fundamental shift in the medium-term trend towards bullishness. The divergence from the equity market, which had worked against cryptocurrencies at the start of the year, has now become a boon amid the sharp sell-off in the Nasdaq tech index. Among the most actively traded coins, performance ranges from a decline of around 2.5% for Dash and Aave to gains of 4% for Uniswap and 2.1% for Zcash.

Bitcoin is trading at around $64K on Thursday morning, finding support from buyers on dips towards $63K, but lacking the fundamental grounds to resume its upward trend amid the sell-off in the equity market. This is the flip side of the abundance of institutional investors in the leading cryptocurrency. When risk-off sentiment takes hold, it is not only overbought shares that come under pressure, but also cryptocurrencies and metals.

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Bank of England vote could spur GBPUSD jump

β€’ The US dollar has fallen on fears that the Fed will not raise interest rates.

β€’ Positive policy outlook, including the BoE’s hawkish rhetoric, will support the pound.

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