⚠️ Canada — Employment Change at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 87.8K

🕒 Exp: 10.0K

🎯 Fact.: 18.2K 📈

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⚠️ Canada — Unemployment Rate at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 6.6%

🕒 Exp: 6.6%

🎯 Fact.: 6.5% 📈

EURGBP Wave Analysis – 10 July 2026

- EURGBP broke support zone

- Likely to fall to support level 0.8500

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🇺🇸 US Pre-Market: Mixed 📊

Mixed trading is prevailing in the US stock market pre-market, with a slight upward bias among the largest names.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is down 0.65%, Apple (AAPL) is down 0.57%, while Microsoft (MSFT) is up 0.83%.

In the Communication Services sector, Alphabet (GOOGL) is down 0.64%.

In the Financials sector, JPMorgan Chase (JPM) is up 0.61%, while Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) is up 0.30%.

The combination of moderate gains for Microsoft, JPMorgan and Berkshire alongside weakness in technology is creating a cautious risk-on environment: interest in equities remains, but without a marked increase in risk appetite. For the dollar, this suggests a largely neutral backdrop: demand for safe-haven dollar assets is limited, but there are no clear signs of significant USD weakness either.

Dow Jones index Wave Analysis – 10 July 2026

Dow Jones index: ⬆️ Buy

- Dow Jones reversed from support zone

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▶️ Pro News Weekly: Dollar Swings as Bitcoin Stabilises

Welcome to Pro News Weekly!

💵 The U.S. dollar has experienced a volatile week as renewed tensions in the Middle East briefly boosted safe-haven demand before easing geopolitical concerns triggered a rebound in major currencies. Despite rising Treasury yields and expectations for tighter Federal Reserve policy, the greenback has struggled to hold onto its gains.

📊 Stock indices have recovered most of their recent losses as investors embrace the “TACO” trade and rotate away from expensive technology stocks into more cyclical sectors. NVIDIA’s valuation has fallen sharply, bringing its forward price-to-earnings ratio below both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100, improving its long-term appeal.

🪙 Gold has weakened amid rising geopolitical tensions and higher US Treasury yields, with traders fearing that stronger oil prices could keep inflation elevated and delay Federal Reserve rate cuts. Despite the recent pullback, central banks continue to accumulate gold at a strong pace, with China’s central bank extending its buying streak for a twentieth consecutive month.

₿ Bitcoin is stabilising above $60,000 as renewed ETF inflows and strong demand from long-term holders help offset concerns surrounding major institutional token sales. After suffering record outflows at the end of June, improving investor sentiment is beginning to provide fresh support for the cryptocurrency market.

📊 With US CPI inflation, the Bank of Canada’s interest rate decision, US retail sales, PPI, import prices and speeches from Federal Reserve officials all due next week, could fresh economic data determine the next move for global markets?

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▶️ FxPro: What’s Moving Markets Next Week

Stay informed with FxPro’s weekly update and stay ahead of what’s shaping the markets.

Markets are heading into another important week of economic data, with inflation, central bank policy and consumer spending all set to shape expectations for interest rates and the broader economic outlook. 🌍

Tuesday begins with the latest US Consumer Price Index report, covering June inflation. The previous year-on-year reading came in at 4.2%, making this a key release for markets assessing the future path of Federal Reserve policy. Later that day, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh testifies before Congress, with investors watching closely for any fresh signals on interest rates. 🇺🇸

Attention then shifts to Canada on Wednesday, where the Bank of Canada announces its latest interest rate decision. Markets expect policymakers to leave the benchmark rate unchanged at 2.25%, but traders will be paying close attention to the accompanying press conference for clues on the future direction of monetary policy. 🇨🇦

Thursday wraps up the week with the latest US Retail Sales report. As one of the most important measures of consumer spending, the data will provide valuable insight into the strength of the American economy and could influence expectations for future Federal Reserve decisions. 🛍️

With inflation, central bank policy and consumer spending all in focus, currencies, indices and commodities could see increased volatility throughout the week. 👀

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/07/14 (GMT)

02:31 🇨🇳 Trade Balance — Exp: 119.5B | 810B Actual: 125.6B | 859B


[Updated in real time]

▶️ Gold. Current Situation

Today is Monday, the 13th of July, and we're going to talk about the gold market and what's happening there.

Let's take a look at the 4 hour chart, and of course, the main focus this week is on this triangle within wave X, which is nearing its conclusion.

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The crypto market is struggling to break out, but sentiment is improving

On Monday morning, the crypto market capitalisation retreated to $2.16T from the $2.20T region, where we also saw increased selling pressure in the middle of last month. In the short term, market capitalisation remains below the 50-day moving average, showing no signs of a shift to a bullish trend.

The sentiment index has risen to 28, as without fresh downward price momentum, the indicator tends to move towards neutral territory. Current readings are the highest since early June, but, as in May, we urge caution against concluding that a bull market has returned until sentiment consolidates above the 50 level – something that has not been achieved since last September.

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Ethereum Wave Analysis – 13 July 2026

- Ethereum reversed from resistance level 1800.00

- Likely to fall to support level 1715.0.

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GBPJPY Wave Analysis – 13 July 2026

- GBPJPY reversed from support zone

- Likely to rise to resistance level 218.00

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The dollar: Will the CPI and Warsh decide everything this week?

• Geopolitics, Kevin Warsh and inflation data are likely to cause sharp fluctuations in the USD index.

• Gold is under pressure from real Treasury yields.

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S&P 500: within touching distance of a record high

Investors continue stock rotation and await corporate earnings.

The correlation between the stock indices and other asset classes is falling.

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🇺🇸 US Pre-Market: Mostly Negative 📉

Negative sentiment is prevailing in the US stock market pre-market, with the largest technology and industrial companies mostly trading lower, reflecting risk aversion and profit-taking.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is down 1.49%, Broadcom (AVGO) is down 1.65%, while Microsoft (MSFT) is up 0.59%.

In the Communication Services sector, Alphabet (GOOGL) is down 0.52%.

In the Financials sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) is up 0.43%, while JPMorgan Chase (JPM) is up 0.40%.

The predominance of declines among the largest companies points to risk-off sentiment within the US market. Against this backdrop, demand for safe-haven dollar assets is rising, providing short-term support for the dollar and creating conditions for moderate USD appreciation against risk-sensitive currencies.

Ebay Wave Analysis – 13 July 2026

- Ebay reversed from strong resistance level 118.15

- Likely to fall to support level 111.55

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Exxon Mobil Wave Analysis – 13 July 2026

Exxon Mobil: ⬆️ Buy

- Exxon Mobil broke resistance zone

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/07/15 (GMT)

08:45 🇬🇧 ⚡️ BOE Governor Andrew Bailey Speaks

12:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Consumer Price Index — Exp: -0.1% | 3.8% Actual: -0.4% | 3.5%

12:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Core CPI — Exp: 0.2% | 2.8% Actual: 0.0% | 2.6%

13:00 🇪🇺 ECB President Christine Lagarde Speaks

14:00 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh Testifies

20:00 🇬🇧 BOE Governor Andrew Bailey Speaks

02:00 🇨🇳 ⚡️ Real GDP — Exp: 4.5% Actual: 4.3%

02:00 🇨🇳 ⚡️ Real GDP (YTD) — Exp: 4.5% Actual: 4.7%

02:00 🇨🇳 Fixed Asset Investment — Exp: -5.0% Actual: -5.7%

02:00 🇨🇳 Industrial Production — Exp: 4.7% Actual: 5.3% | 5.4%

02:00 🇨🇳 NBS Press Conference


[Updated in real time]

Ethereum is showing resilience, but a key test at $1,850 lies ahead

The crypto market capitalisation has remained close to the $2.16T level, having recovered from a dip to $2.13T at its lows during US trading on Monday and at the start of the Asian session on Tuesday. Pressure on the market came from the escalation of the conflict between the US and Iran, which triggered a risk-off reaction and a strengthening of the dollar. That said, the market dynamics are not straightforward, with no shortage of altcoins rising over the past 24 hours. Among the most popular coins, the top performers were NEAR Protocol (+5.3%), Uniswap (+2.5%) and SushiSwap (+1.8%), while Dash (-3.3%), Basic Attention Token (-2.6%) and IOTA (-2.5%) lagged.

Bitcoin dipped below $62K but soon rebounded, trading near $62.6K at the start of active European trading. Technically, the leading cryptocurrency remains in bearish territory, facing increased selling pressure as it approaches its 50-day moving average from below, while the previous area of local highs lies approximately $3K above the current price. However, the bears also have something to prove, and they will need to push the price below $58K to confirm the downtrend's continuation.

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⚠️ UK — BOE Governor Andrew Bailey Speaks at 08:45 GMT