Brent: How long will it take to reach $70?

• Geopolitics has stripped the US dollar’s rivals of their key advantages.

• Oil prices may return to pre-conflict levels sooner than expected.

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▶️ Bitcoin. Where is the bottom?

Today is Tuesday, the 23rd of June, and let's talk about Bitcoin.

What's actually going on there, where the bottom really is, and how low Bitcoin might fall.

Looking at the pattern on the daily chart, I can say it's quite likely that we're in for a fairly sharp drop in the price of Bitcoin...

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▶️ Pro News Flash: Why the Euro Keeps Falling

💶 The euro has fallen to its weakest level against the US dollar since August 2025, as growing expectations of additional Federal Reserve rate hikes widen the policy gap between the Fed and the European Central Bank.

🏦 Markets are now pricing in nearly a 50% probability of two Fed rate hikes in 2026, while Bank of America considers further tightening its base-case scenario. At the same time, falling oil prices and easing geopolitical tensions are reducing inflation pressures across the eurozone.

📉 The decline in energy prices is also weakening the case for further ECB tightening. Following June's rate increase to 2.25%, investors are increasingly pricing out another hike before the end of the year as inflation concerns begin to ease.

📊 Economic momentum in Europe continues to slow. Although June PMI figures exceeded expectations, the services sector remained in contraction for a third consecutive month, signalling that business activity across the eurozone remains under pressure.

💰 Major institutions are turning bearish on the euro. HSBC believes lower oil prices are removing an important source of support, while Bank of America has adopted a tactical short position on EUR/USD, citing the widening gap between US and European monetary policy.

⚠️ With markets focusing more on interest rate differentials than geopolitics, investors are increasingly wondering whether the euro's decline against the US dollar could still have further to run.

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NZDUSD Wave Analysis – 22 June 2026

- NZDUSD broke key support level 0.5685

- Likely to fall to support level 0.5600

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AUDUSD Wave Analysis – 23 June 2026

- AUDUSD broke support zone

- Likely to fall to support level 0.6850

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⚠️ Australia — Consumer Prices Index at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.4% | 4.2%

🕒 Exp: -0.3% | 4.4%

🎯 Fact.: -0.7% 📉 | 4.0% 📉

🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/06/25 (GMT)

08:00 🇩🇪 Ifo Business Climate — Exp: 85.6 Actual: 85.6

08:00 🇩🇪 IFO - Current Assessment — Exp: 86.4 Actual: 87.0

08:00 🇩🇪 IFO - Expectations — Exp: 85.0 Actual: 84.1

14:00 🇺🇸 New Home Sales — Exp: 637K Actual: 580K | -7.3%

14:30 🇺🇸 Crude Oil Inventories — Exp: -5100K Actual: -6088K

20:00 🇺🇸 Bank Stress Test Results

01:30 🇦🇺 ⚡️ Employment Change — Exp: 31.2K Actual: 40.3K

01:30 🇦🇺 ⚡️ Unemployment Rate — Exp: 4.4% Actual: 4.4%

01:30 🇦🇺 Part-Time Employment Change Actual: 5.2K | 35.2K


[Updated in real time]

EURCHF Wave Analysis – 23 June 2026

- EURCHF reversed from resistance zone

- Likely to fall to support level 0.9150

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Ebay Wave Analysis – 23 June 2026

- Ebay reversed from support zone

- Likely to rise to resistance level 111.10

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Gold: Is a fall to $4,000 on the cards?

Gold is falling as the US dollar strengthens.

The S&P 500’s pullback is accelerating the precious metal’s decline.

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🇺🇸 US Pre-Market: Moderately Positive 📈

A moderately positive trend is prevailing in the US stock market pre-market.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is up 0.59%, while Micron Technology (MU) is up 3.96%.

In the Financials sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) is down 0.15%, while Bank of America (BAC) is up 0.17%.

In the Energy sector, Exxon Mobil (XOM) is down 1.42%, while Chevron (CVX) is down 1.24%.

The predominance of gains among the largest-cap technology stocks points to risk-on sentiment within the US market. In this environment, demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset is limited; short-term dollar performance is likely to remain neutral with no clear momentum toward sustained appreciation, while significant moves will depend on new signals regarding Fed policy and cross-market capital flows.

Bitcoin at the 200-Week MA Hints at a Long Winter

The crypto market capitalisation has stabilised at a low of $2.14T, having lost its recovery momentum in the second half of June after touching the 61.8% line. Consequently, there is a risk of a bearish expansion pattern forming, with the potential for a decline to a market capitalisation of $1.6T, a quarter below the current level. A break below the early-June lows would confirm this scenario, although increased buyer activity is evident near current levels. In any case, the stock market and the US dollar remain the key drivers, while cryptocurrencies are reacting to changes in the fundamental backdrop.

Bitcoin is trading below $63K, once again hovering near its seven-day lows. At these levels, the leading cryptocurrency remains close to its 200-week moving average. A dip towards this line in 2022 marked the start of nearly six quarters of poor performance, with prices hovering near this curve; in 2018, such a period lasted six months, and in 2015, nine. In other words, history suggests we should brace for a crypto winter rather than a rapid rebound.

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WTI Crude Oil Wave Analysis – 24 June 2026

WTI Crude Oil: ⬇️ Sell

- WTI Crude Oil broke support level 75.00

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Solana Wave Analysis – 24 June 2026

- Solana reversed from resistance zone

- Likely to fall to support level 60.00

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Platinum Wave Analysis – 24 June 2026

- Platinum broke support level 1645.00

- Likely to fall to support level 1500.00

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Sushiswap Wave Analysis – 24 June 2026

- Sushiswap broke pivotal support level 0.1600

- Likely to fall to support level 0.1200

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⚠️ Australia — Employment Change at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: -40.7K

🕒 Exp: 31.2K

🎯 Fact.: 40.3K 📈

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⚠️ Australia — Unemployment Rate at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 4.5%

🕒 Exp: 4.4%

🎯 Fact.: 4.4%

🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/06/26 (GMT)

12:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Gross Domestic Product — Exp: 1.6% Actual: 2.1%

12:30 🇺🇸 Core Personal Consumption Expenditure — Exp: 4.4% Actual: 4.4%

12:30 🇺🇸 GDP Price Index — Exp: 3.5% Actual: 3.6%

12:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Core PCE Price Index — Exp: 0.3% | 3.4% Actual: 0.3% | 3.4%

12:30 🇺🇸 Personal Spending — Exp: 0.6% Actual: 0.7%

12:30 🇺🇸 Durable Goods Orders — Exp: -4.9% | 0.5% Actual: -4.5% | 1.3%

12:30 🇺🇸 Unemployment Claims — Exp: 225K Actual: 215K


[Updated in real time]

Bitcoin has formed a double bottom at $59K

The crypto market has fallen 1.4% over the past 24 hours, retreating to $2.12T as it continues its gradual return to the lows seen at the start of June. Notably, this time, cryptocurrencies were in no hurry to rebound alongside the stock market, preferring to wait for a more confident recovery to take shape. Over the past 24 hours, the top gainers were Aave (+14.2%), Internet Computer (+3.6%) and Gram (formerly Toncoin, +2.9%). The biggest declines were SushiSwap (-7.7%), Theta Network (-7.5%) and IOTA (-5.7%).

Bitcoin re-tested its early-June lows, touching $59K at the low point of Wednesday’s sell-off. This was followed by a decisive rebound, fuelling the bulls’ hopes of a double bottom forming. Should the rebound continue, the nearest upside potential is $67K, mirroring the movement seen in the first half of the month. For now, however, we are sticking to the ‘boring scenario’ described earlier, involving several weeks of consolidation near the 200-week moving average. This is trending higher and currently sits near $62.2K, with a likelihood of reaching $68K by October.

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