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▢️ Pro News Flash: EURUSD Faces a Perfect Storm

πŸ’΅ The US dollar has paused its rally as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East create fresh uncertainty across global markets. While Donald Trump claims negotiations with Iran are progressing, renewed clashes around the Strait of Hormuz are keeping investors on edge.

πŸ“‰ The euro remains under pressure as the European Central Bank signals a less aggressive path for future rate hikes. ECB official FranΓ§ois Villeroy de Galhau stated that inflation has not yet shown major second-order effects, reducing expectations for tighter monetary policy in the Eurozone.

🏦 Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve is turning increasingly hawkish. Christopher Waller warned that discussing rate cuts while inflation remains elevated would be β€œmadness,” reinforcing expectations that US interest rates could rise further into 2026.

πŸ›’οΈ Oil prices remain the key wildcard. If the Strait of Hormuz fully reopens and tensions ease, falling energy prices could reduce inflation pressures and weaken the US dollar. This would increase the chances of Fed rate cuts and potentially fuel a rebound in EURUSD.

⚠️ However, the risks of renewed escalation remain high. Any collapse in negotiations between the US and Iran could disrupt global oil shipments once again, pushing inflation higher and strengthening demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset.

πŸ“Š With central bank expectations, oil prices and geopolitical risks all colliding at once, EURUSD could be heading for a period of extreme volatility as traders reassess the future path of both the Fed and the ECB.

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πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/05/27 (GMT)

00:00 πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda Speaks

01:30 πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί ⚑️ Consumer Prices Index β€” Exp: 0.6% | 4.4% Actual: 0.4% | 4.2%

01:30 πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί RBA Trimmed Mean CPI β€” Exp: 0.3% | 3.4% Actual: 0.3% | 3.4%

01:30 πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί RBA Weighted Median Actual: 0.2% | 3.5%

02:00 πŸ‡³πŸ‡Ώ ⚑️ Official Cash Rate β€” Exp: 2.25% Actual: 2.25%

02:00 πŸ‡³πŸ‡Ώ ⚑️ RBNZ Rate Statement

02:00 πŸ‡³πŸ‡Ώ ⚑️ RBNZ Monetary Policy Statement

03:00 πŸ‡³πŸ‡Ώ ⚑️ RBNZ Press Conference

08:00 πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί ECB Financial Stability Report

20:10 πŸ‡³πŸ‡Ώ RBNZ Governor Anna Breman Speaks


[Updated in real time]
FxPro pinned Β«πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/05/27 (GMT) 00:00 πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda Speaks 01:30 πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί ⚑️ Consumer Prices Index β€” Exp: 0.6% | 4.4% Actual: 0.4% | 4.2% 01:30 πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί RBA Trimmed Mean CPI β€” Exp: 0.3% | 3.4% Actual: 0.3% | 3.4% 01:30 πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί RBA Weighted…»
⚠️ Australia β€” Consumer Prices Index at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 1.1% | 4.6%

πŸ•’ Exp: 0.6% | 4.4%

🎯 Fact.: 0.4% πŸ“‰ | 4.2% πŸ“‰
⚠️ New Zealand β€” Official Cash Rate at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 2.25%

πŸ•’ Exp: 2.25%

🎯 Fact.: 2.25%

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⚠️ New Zealand β€” RBNZ Press Conference at 03:00 GMT
The crypto market is nervous, despite record highs in equities

The crypto market capitalisation fell by 1.6% to $2.54 trillion, coming under pressure despite new record highs in US stock indices. This continues the range-bound trading that has persisted for over a month, but the market is now at its lower end. Over the past 24 hours, the top performers were the relatively small-cap Internet Computer (+14.6%), Filecoin (+5.9%) and Cosmos (+4.4%), which were catching up with the latest wave of growth. The biggest declines in our list of the most liquid coins were seen in Near Protocol (-7.8%), Zcash (-6.8%) and VeChain (-4.3%).

The sentiment index has returned to extreme fear territory, falling to 25. As with cryptocurrency market capitalisation, current levels are at the lower end of the range seen since mid-April. If cryptocurrencies are once again acting as a barometer of sentiment in global financial markets, this looks like an early signal of a reversal towards profit-taking. Perhaps investors prefer to take their money off the table ahead of the start of summer, beginning with the riskiest segment.

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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US Pre-Market: Mixed πŸ“Š

Trading in the US stock market pre-market is mixed, with a slight upward bias.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is up 0.36%, Broadcom (AVGO) is up 2.67%, while Microsoft (MSFT) is down 0.65%.

In the Communication Services sector, Alphabet (GOOGL) is down 0.48%.

In the Consumer Discretionary sector, Tesla (TSLA) is up 2.08%, while in the Industrials sector, Uber (UBER) is down 0.06%.

This configuration points to a prevailing risk-on sentiment: gains among a number of mega-caps in the technology and consumer sectors are supporting risk appetite and limiting demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset. At the same time, no clear momentum for dollar strengthening or weakening is emerging, with short-term USD dynamics likely to remain subdued.
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πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/05/28 (GMT)

02:00 πŸ‡³πŸ‡Ώ Annual Budget Release

07:20 πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί ECB President Christine Lagarde Speaks

11:00 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡­ SNB Chairman Martin Schlegel Speaks

11:30 πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts

12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Unemployment Claims β€” Exp: 211K Actual: 215K

12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ Gross Domestic Product β€” Exp: 2.0% Actual: 1.6%

12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Core Personal Consumption Expenditure β€” Exp: 4.3% Actual: 4.4%

12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ GDP Price Index β€” Exp: 3.6% Actual: 3.5%

12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Durable Goods Orders β€” Exp: 4.0% | 0.5% Actual: 7.9% | 1.1%

12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ Core PCE Price Index β€” Exp: 0.3% | 3.3% Actual: 0.2% | 3.3%

12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Personal Spending β€” Exp: 0.5% Actual: 0.5%

14:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ New Home Sales β€” Exp: 661K Actual: 622K | -6.2%

15:00 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ BOC Press Conference

16:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Crude Oil Inventories β€” Exp: -3800K Actual: -3327K

18:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Treasury Sec Bessent Speaks


[Updated in real time]
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FxPro pinned Β«πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/05/28 (GMT) 02:00 πŸ‡³πŸ‡Ώ Annual Budget Release 07:20 πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί ECB President Christine Lagarde Speaks 11:00 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡­ SNB Chairman Martin Schlegel Speaks 11:30 πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts 12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Unemployment Claims β€” Exp: 211K…»
The crypto market has broken through a key support level

The crypto market has lost around 3.5%, falling to a market capitalisation of $2.44 trillion and sharply breaking through the local support level seen in recent weeks. Technically, this is a worrying sign, as the market has fallen below the 50-day moving average, which could herald further sell-offs. The nearest potential stop is not before $2.30T. In a falling market, Stellar (+14.6%) and Basic Attention Token (+1.5%) stand out, but the third-ranked altcoin, BNB, has lost 3% over the past 24 hours. The worst performers among the most popular were Internet Computer (-9.6%), Zcash (-8.7%) and Dash (-8.7%).

Bitcoin has plummeted to $73K, a level not seen since mid-April. The bearish signal from the previous day, with the price falling below the 50-day moving average, is confirmed by market dynamics, which show that selling pressure on the leading cryptocurrency is intensifying. We have witnessed a classic victory of the long-term bearish trend, represented by the falling 200-day MA, over the short-term upward trend, represented by the 50-day MA. The outcome was not a foregone conclusion, but it seems the time for a long-term bull market has not yet come.

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⚠️ USA β€” Gross Domestic Product at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 2.0%

πŸ•’ Exp: 2.0%

🎯 Fact.: 1.6% πŸ“‰

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⚠️ USA β€” Core PCE Price Index at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 0.3% | 3.2%

πŸ•’ Exp: 0.3% | 3.3%

🎯 Fact.: 0.2% πŸ“‰ | 3.3%
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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US Pre-Market: Mixed πŸ“Š

The US stock market is showing mixed trends in pre-market trading, with a slight upward bias.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is down 0.55%, Broadcom (AVGO) is down 1.05%, while Microsoft (MSFT) is up 0.57%.

In the Communication Services sector, Alphabet (GOOGL) is down 0.29%.

In the Energy sector, Exxon Mobil (XOM) is up 1.08%, while Chevron (CVX) is up 0.88%.

From a foreign exchange perspective, this points to a moderate risk-on environment: investors remain interested in US equities β€” particularly in the energy sector and select tech names β€” which supports demand for the dollar as an equity market currency while limiting its role as a purely safe-haven asset. As a result, the short-term dollar trend appears largely neutral and stable.
Stock markets keep rising, but momentum slows

The dollar regained ground as the fragile truce between the US and Iran appeared increasingly unstable. The dollar index moved back towards its April highs, recovering losses seen after the first signs of compromise between the two sides.

However, investors still seem to be betting on de-escalation whenever tensions begin to ease. That is an important signal for those who believe the market often prices in the most likely outcome.

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