The crypto market has taken a step back, while remaining in an uptrend

The cryptocurrency market capitalisation stands at $2.53T, down 0.81% over the past 24 hours but up 5% over the past week. The day’s top performers were SUSHI (+2.5%), IOTA (+2%) and NEAR (+2%). Among the underperformers were ZEC (−4.1%), ALGO (−2.5%) and ETH (−0.4%). The Fear and Greed Index rose to 29 points — its highest level since 28 January.

Bitcoin is trading just below $75K on Monday morning, having retreated from last week’s highs above $78K. For now, we view the current movement as a pullback within an uptrend, rather than a reversal back to a downtrend. The pressure on the leading cryptocurrency is linked to negative reactions in stock markets to news about Iran, which has reduced risk appetite. BTC has lagged significantly behind equities in recent days, building up potential but not yet rushing to realise it.

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Another week, another gap down for EURUSD

The escalation of the conflict in the Middle East has boosted demand for the US dollar.

Washington and Tehran may be strengthening their positions ahead of negotiations.

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⚠️ Canada — Consumer Price Index at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.5% | 1.8%

🕒 Exp: 1.1% | 2.5%

🎯 Fact.: 0.9% 📉 | 2.4% 📉

🇺🇸 US Pre-Market: Mostly Negative 📉

The US stock market is showing a predominantly negative trend in pre-market trading, with major technology and consumer companies trading lower, indicating a moderate flight from risk within the US.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is down 0.88%, Apple (AAPL) is down 0.09%, Microsoft (MSFT) is down 0.61%.

In the Communication Services sector, Alphabet (GOOGL) is down 0.58%.

In the Consumer Discretionary sector, Amazon (AMZN) is down 0.55%, while Tesla (TSLA) is down 0.40%.

Pressure on large-cap stocks and the broad shift into negative territory are boosting demand for safe-haven dollar assets, including Treasuries. In the short term, this provides a supportive backdrop for the dollar, limiting interest in riskier currencies and narrowing the scope for depreciation even amid mixed expectations regarding Fed policy.

Trump Coin Wave Analysis – 20 April 2026

Trump Coin: ⬆️ Buy

- Trump Coin reversed from pivotal support level 2.7500

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Amazon Wave Analysis – 20 April 2026

- Amazon reversed from long-term resistance level 258.00

- Likely to fall to support level 244.00

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Apple Wave Analysis – 20 April 2026

- Apple broke weekly Triangle

- Likely to rise to resistance level 280.00

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Halliburton Wave Analysis – 20 April 2026

- Halliburton reversed from support area

- Likely to rise to resistance level 38.70

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/04/21 (GMT)

06:00 🇬🇧 Claimant Count Change — Exp: 21.4K Actual: 26.8K

06:00 🇬🇧 Unemployment Rate — Exp: 5.2% Actual: 4.9%

06:00 🇬🇧 Average Earnings Index — Exp: 3.6% | 3.5% Actual: 3.8% | 3.6%

09:00 🇩🇪 ZEW Economic Sentiment — Exp: -5.9 Actual: -17.2

09:00 🇩🇪 ZEW Survey (Current Situation) — Exp: -70.0 Actual: -73.7

09:00 🇪🇺 ZEW Economic Sentiment — Exp: -12.7 Actual: -20.4

12:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Retail Sales — Exp: 1.4% | 1.4% Actual: 1.7% | 1.9%

14:00 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Fed Chair-Designate Warsh Testifies

14:00 🇺🇸 Pending Home Sales — Exp: 0.1% Actual: 1.5% | -1.1%


[Updated in real time]

⚠️ New Zealand — Consumer Price Index at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.6% | 3.1%

🕒 Exp: 0.8% | 2.9%

🎯 Fact.: 0.9% 📈 | 3.1% 📈

Crypto: Sentiment is recovering, Bitcoin finds support at ever-higher levels

The crypto market cap rose by 2.52% over the past 24 hours to $2.56 trillion. Among the most liquid coins, the top gainers are Basic Attention Token (+7.7%), Immutable (+7.6%) and Toncoin (+5.9%). Lagging are Tron (−0.74%), Uniswap (−0.68%) and Algorand (+0.2%).

The sentiment index is continuing its recovery, rising to 33, its highest level since 19 January. This remains in fear territory but is now close to neutral levels.

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The euro has closed the gap but is in no hurry to rise

Talks between the US and Iran are likely to take place.

Divergence in monetary policy is supporting EURUSD.

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⚠️ USA — Retail Sales at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.7% | 0.7%

🕒 Exp: 1.4% | 1.4%

🎯 Fact.: 1.7% 📈 | 1.9% 📈

Gold is ready for short-term suffering for a higher goal

Throughout the conflict in the Middle East, gold has moved in tandem with risk assets and has shown a negative correlation with oil and the dollar. Unsurprisingly, Tehran’s announcement that it was opening the Strait of Hormuz triggered a surge in gold to monthly highs, whilst the US seizure of an Iranian tanker caused the precious metal to take a step down.

Markets are gradually growing weary of geopolitics and are beginning to consider the consequences of the conflict in the Middle East. Investors are asking: how high will inflation rise and how long will it last? Rapid consumer price inflation will force central banks to raise rates aggressively, which is negative for gold. Standard Chartered forecasts that the average price in the second quarter will fall to $4,605 per ounce before rising to $4,850 in the third.

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🇺🇸 US Pre-Market: Mostly Positive 📈

The US stock market is showing a predominantly positive trend in pre-market trading, with a significant proportion of the largest large-cap names trading in positive territory, indicating moderate risk-on sentiment.

In the Financials sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) is up 0.08%, while JPMorgan Chase (JPM) is up 0.03%.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is up 0.23%, while Apple (AAPL) is down 0.66%.

In the Consumer Discretionary sector, Amazon (AMZN) is up 2.29%, while in the Consumer Staples sector, Walmart (WMT) is up 0.02%.

The rise in mega-cap shares and the strong performance of Amazon and parts of the technology sector are creating a risk-on environment with limited demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset. In the short term, this sets a neutral-to-moderate backdrop for the dollar: appreciation potential is limited, and performance will largely depend on incoming macroeconomic data and geopolitical expectations.

⚠️ USA — Fed Chair-Designate Warsh Testifies at 14:00 GMT

🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/04/22 (GMT)

06:00 🇬🇧 ⚡️ Consumer Price Index — Exp: 0.6% | 3.3% Actual: 0.7% | 3.3%

06:00 🇬🇧 Core CPI — Exp: 3.2% Actual: 3.1%

06:00 🇬🇧 Retail Price Index — Exp: 0.7% | 3.9% Actual: 0.8% | 4.1%

06:00 🇬🇧 Producer Price Index Input — Exp: 2.8% | 3.4% Actual: 4.4% | 5.4%

14:30 🇺🇸 Crude Oil Inventories — Exp: -1900K Actual: 1925K

17:30 🇪🇺 ECB President Christine Lagarde Speaks


[Updated in real time]

⚠️ UK — Consumer Price Index at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.4% | 3.0%

🕒 Exp: 0.6% | 3.3%

🎯 Fact.: 0.7% 📈 | 3.3%

Bitcoin should have no trouble rising to $86K

The cryptocurrency market capitalisation stands at $2.61T, up 2.48% over the past 24 hours. Leading the gains are Dash (+7.9%), Cosmos (+6.5%) and Immutable (+5.9%), while laggards include Basic Attention Token (−0.2%), Aave (+0.1%) and Theta (+0.3%). The sentiment index fell by 1 point over the past day to 32, remaining in the fear zone.

Bitcoin is rewriting 11-week highs, briefly slipping above $78.4K. This marks a continuation of the upward trend that has been in place since the start of the month. In our view, the $75–86K range is not saturated with strong resistance levels, and in the absence of significant negative factors, we anticipate a positive upward momentum. However, at $86K, the leading cryptocurrency will encounter the 200-day moving average, which is also near an important pivot zone. Breaking through this zone would signify much more than the current relatively quiet range.

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