Crypto stalls as risk appetite shows cracks

The crypto market capitalisation fell by 0.74% over the past 24 hours to $2.5 trillion. Today’s top performers include Immutable (+3.2%), SushiSwap (+0.8%) and Tron (+0.7%). The underperformers were Dash (−5.4%), Toncoin (−4.5%) and NEAR Protocol (−4.4%). The crypto market took a step back, despite further gains in stock indices. From its local low at the end of March, the crypto market has risen by 8.6%, a more modest increase than the Nasdaq 100’s 13.6%.

Bitcoin briefly rose above $76K on Tuesday, almost matching March’s peak levels, but had retreated to $73.6K at the time of writing. Buyers are looking for a catalyst to push the price to a new level beyond the consolidation range. If Bitcoin is looking for external signals, it may remain indecisive until key US stock indices hit new highs. However, we are more inclined to believe that the first cryptocurrency’s stagnation is a sign of a fragile risk appetite that will soon manifest in the broader market.

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The euro sees no obstacles to growth

Global risk appetite and monetary policy divergence are driving gains in EURUSD.

The Bank of Japan gave no signal of a rate hike in April.

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🇺🇸 US Pre-Market: Moderately Positive 📈

The US stock market is showing a moderate risk-on trend in pre-market trading, with major companies in the technology and consumer sectors mostly trading in positive territory, supporting risk appetite.

In the Information Technology sector, Microsoft (MSFT) is up 0.96%, Oracle (ORCL) is up 1.64%, while NVIDIA (NVDA) is down 0.42% and Broadcom (AVGO) is up 2.26%.

In the Consumer Discretionary sector, Amazon (AMZN) is up 0.19%, while in the Consumer Staples sector, Walmart (WMT) is down 0.25%.

The predominance of gains among large-cap technology and consumer companies points to a slight shift toward risk-on sentiment within the US market. In these conditions, demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset appears subdued: support from flows into Treasuries is limited, and short-term USD dynamics are likely to remain neutral, with risks of slight weakening against currencies where investors see higher return potential.

Rumours drive oil markets and ignore the facts

Unprecedented supply disruptions are not leading to record crude oil prices.

Investors are selling Brent and WTI on news of the US-Iran de-escalation.

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Uber Wave Analysis – 15 April 2026

- Uber reversed from round support level 70.00

- Likely to rise to resistance level 78.75

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Tesla Wave Analysis – 15 April 2026

- Tesla broke down channels

- Likely to rise to resistance level 400.00

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Baidu Wave Analysis – 15 April 2026

- Baidu broke daily down channel

- Likely to rise to resistance level 127.00

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Airbnb Wave Analysis – 15 April 2026

- Airbnb broke daily Triangle

- Likely to rise to resistance level 138.00

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/04/16 (GMT)

01:30 🇦🇺 ⚡️ Employment Change — Exp: 20.0K Actual: 17.9K

01:30 🇦🇺 ⚡️ Unemployment Rate — Exp: 4.3% Actual: 4.3%

01:30 🇦🇺 Part-Time Employment Change Actual: 52.5K | -34.6K

02:00 🇨🇳 ⚡️ Real GDP — Exp: 4.8% Actual: 5.0%

02:00 🇨🇳 ⚡️ Real GDP (YTD) — Exp: 4.8% Actual: 5.0%

02:00 🇨🇳 Fixed Asset Investment — Exp: 1.9% Actual: 1.7%

02:00 🇨🇳 Industrial Production — Exp: 5.3% | 5.8% Actual: 5.7% | 6.1%

02:00 🇨🇳 NBS Press Conference

06:00 🇬🇧 ⚡️ Gross Domestic Product — Exp: 0.1% | 0.2% Actual: 0.5% | 0.5%

06:00 🇬🇧 Industrial Production — Exp: 0.2% | -0.9% Actual: 0.5% | -0.4%

06:00 🇬🇧 Manufacturing Production — Exp: 0.3% | -0.3% Actual: -0.1% | -0.5%

06:00 🇬🇧 Goods Trade Balance — Exp: -19.4B Actual: -18.8B

09:00 🇪🇺 Consumer Price Index — Exp: 2.5% Actual: 2.6%

09:00 🇪🇺 Consumer Price Index - Core — Exp: 2.3% Actual: 2.3%

11:30 🇪🇺 ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts

12:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Unemployment Claims — Exp: 213K Actual: 207K

12:30 🇺🇸 Continuing Claims — Exp: 1810K Actual: 1818K

12:30 🇺🇸 Philly Fed Manufacturing Index — Exp: 10.5 Actual: 26.7

13:15 🇺🇸 Industrial Production — Exp: 0.1% Actual: -0.5%


[Updated in real time]

⚠️ Australia — Employment Change at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 49.7K

🕒 Exp: 20.0K

🎯 Fact.: 17.9K 📉

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⚠️ Australia — Unemployment Rate at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 4.3%

🕒 Exp: 4.3%

🎯 Fact.: 4.3%

⚠️ China — Real GDP at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 4.5%

🕒 Exp: 4.8%

🎯 Fact.: 5.0% 📈

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⚠️ China — Real GDP (YTD) at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 5.0%

🕒 Exp: 4.8%

🎯 Fact.: 5.0% 📈

⚠️ UK — Gross Domestic Product at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.1% | 0.3%

🕒 Exp: 0.1% | 0.2%

🎯 Fact.: 0.5% 📈 | 0.5% 📈

Bitcoin at $75K: slow but steady growth

The crypto market capitalisation has risen by 1.5% over the past 24 hours to $2.54T. High-risk appetite in global markets is sustaining interest in cryptocurrencies, which is now extending beyond the top-tier coins. The day’s top performers among the most liquid coins are Theta Network (+10%), Filecoin (+7.4%) and Aptos (+6.9%). Underperforming the market are Zcash (−2.2%), Tron (+0.7%) and Dash (+1%).

Bitcoin is trading around $75K, attempting to break free from the grip of the corrective pullback and head further upwards. Current levels are slightly below the highs of the last two months, but an upward trend is evident, with gains in 9 of the last 12 days. All this, combined with the Nasdaq100’s 16% rally from its late-March lows, increases the chances of accelerated BTC growth towards the 200-day moving average at $87K.

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The dollar is retreating

The de-escalation in the Middle East has left the dollar vulnerable.

The Bank of England is managing rate expectations, maintaining the outlook for two hikes.

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⚠️ USA — Unemployment Claims at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 218K

🕒 Exp: 213K

🎯 Fact.: 207K 📈

🇺🇸 US Pre-Market: Mixed 📊

Mixed trading is prevailing in the US stock market pre-market, with a number of major technology and consumer companies trading higher, while some semiconductor firms and certain banks are showing slight declines.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is down 0.59%, Broadcom (AVGO) is down 1.10%, while Microsoft (MSFT) is up 1.59%.

In the Communication Services sector, Alphabet (GOOGL) is near flat, down 0.06%.

In the Consumer Discretionary sector, Tesla (TSLA) is up 0.98%, while in the Industrials sector, Uber (UBER) is up 1.13%.

The predominance of gains among major tech stocks points to moderate risk-on sentiment within the US. Demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset is limited, with investor interest shifting toward equities; the dollar's trajectory is therefore likely to remain neutral in the near term.

Stocks driven by FOMO on TACO

Confidence in an approaching end to the war in the Middle East, the resilience of the US economy to geopolitical shocks, and expectations of a strong first-quarter earnings season enabled the S&P 500 to surpass the January record highs.

About a year ago, after the White House introduced tariffs, the broad stock index first fell and then surged as Trump Chickens Out. Nowadays, since late March, the fear of missing out on TACO has been driving strong volumes, as investors who missed last year’s rally rush to catch up.

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Exxon Mobil Wave Analysis – 16 April 2026

Exxon Mobil: ⬆️ Buy

- Exxon Mobil reversed from support zone

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S&P 500 Wave Analysis – 16 April 2026

S&P 500: ⬆️ Buy

- S&P 500 broke round resistance level 7000.00

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Bitcoin is gathering momentum around $75K

The cryptocurrency market capitalisation stands at $2.55T, up 0.56% over the past 24 hours. The cryptocurrency sentiment index has fallen from 23 to 21, while US stock indices are rallying. The top performers among the most liquid coins are APT (+7.2%), AAVE (+6.4%) and IOTA (+5.2%); the underperformers are NEAR (−1%), ZEC (−2.5%) and DASH (−3.2%).

Bitcoin remains near $75K, showing little change over the last two days. However, this is not a lull but a build-up of momentum, as the leading cryptocurrency is at a key resistance level where the 61.8% retracement of the decline and the March highs converge. In the first half of 2025, this area acted as support, halting the correction, while in 2024 the rally ended at this level. Given this background, the direction chosen could determine the fate of the entire crypto market over the coming months. And here, both sides need thorough preparation.

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