🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/04/13 (GMT)

14:00 🇺🇸 Existing Home Sales — Exp: 4.07M Actual: 3.98M | -3.6%


[Updated in real time]

The crypto market has once again retreated into a range

The crypto market, with a market capitalisation of $2.42 trillion, is 2% higher than a week ago but has lost 2.3% over the past 24 hours, as investors shift towards safe-haven assets amid developments in Iran. A new escalation has pushed cryptocurrencies back to mid-last-week levels. Among the top coins for the day, Aave (+8.5%), Zcash (+3.3%) and Dash (+2.3%) are leading the way. The laggards on the list are IOTA (−4%), Algo (−3.7%) and Neo (−3.1%).

Bitcoin has retreated from above $73K to around $71K. This marks the third pullback from the upper boundary of the consolidation range, which corresponds to 61.8% of the downward move seen at the start of the year. The bears have once again prevented the market from embarking on an upward trajectory, though BTC remains above the 50-day moving average, indicating a positive medium-term trend.

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Hopes for the talks were dashed, but tensions have eased

The breakdown in US-Iran talks has led to price gaps.

The dollar is regaining ground amid rising demand for safe-haven assets.

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🇺🇸 US Pre-Market: Mostly Negative 📉

Negative sentiment is prevailing in the US stock market pre-market, with most major companies falling — particularly in the technology sector — setting a market-wide tone of risk aversion.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is down 1.49%, while Apple (AAPL) is down 0.36%, Alphabet (GOOGL) is down 0.91%, and Microsoft (MSFT) is down 0.61%.

In the Energy sector, Exxon Mobil (XOM) is up 1.92%, while Chevron (CVX) is up 1.86%.

With pressure concentrated among the largest tech giants, the pre-market points to a risk-off mode in the US market: investors are reducing positions in risky assets and rotating capital into more defensive segments. In currency markets, this is providing moderate support for the dollar through increased demand for safe-haven assets and Treasuries, while further strengthening potential remains dependent on Fed rate expectations and capital inflows into US debt markets.

🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/04/14 (GMT)

02:56 🇨🇳 Trade Balance — Exp: 107.2B | 760B Actual: 51.1B | 355B

12:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Producer Price Index — Exp: 1.2% | 4.6% Actual: 0.5% | 4.0%

12:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Core PPI — Exp: 0.4% | 4.2% Actual: 0.1% | 3.8%

16:00 🇬🇧 ⚡️ BOE Governor Andrew Bailey Speaks

21:00 🇪🇺 ECB President Christine Lagarde Speaks


[Updated in real time]

EURJPY Wave Analysis – 13 April 2026

- EURJPY broke resistance zone

- Likely to rise to resistance level 190.00

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Verizon Wave Analysis – 13 April 2026

- Verizon broke support level 45.65

- Likely to fall to support level 44.00

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USDCHF Wave Analysis – 13 April 2026

- USDCHF broke daily up channel

- Likely to fall to support level 0.7745

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S&P 500 Wave Analysis – 13 April 2026

S&P 500: ⬆️ Buy

- S&P 500 broke the resistance level 6700.00

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Optimism from the stock markets has driven crypto prices higher

The crypto market capitalisation rose by 4.53% over the past 24 hours to $2.52 trillion. The rise in cryptocurrencies was driven by an impressive recovery in risk appetite in traditional financial markets, with the Nasdaq 100 up 2.5% from its opening levels. The day’s top performers were Algorand (+9.4%), Ethereum (+7.6%) and Aptos (+6.2%). Underperforming the market were Dash (−6.3%), Zcash (−3%) and Tron (+0.2%).

The Fear and Greed Index surged to 21 (Extreme Fear) from 12 yesterday — the largest single-day jump in recent weeks. The indicator remains in the extreme fear zone, though the trend is clearly improving in line with the market’s rise.

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Markets return to pre-war levels

The S&P 500 and the pound are trading higher than before the conflict in the Middle East.

European currencies are steadily regaining the ground lost in March.

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⚠️ USA — Producer Price Index at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.5% | 3.4%

🕒 Exp: 1.2% | 4.6%

🎯 Fact.: 0.5% 📉 | 4.0% 📉

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⚠️ USA — Core PPI at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.3% | 3.8%

🕒 Exp: 0.4% | 4.2%

🎯 Fact.: 0.1% 📉 | 3.8% 📉

The S&P 500 has recouped its March losses, focus shifts to earnings

The US stock market has returned to pre-war levels, turning a blind eye to the Fed's interest rate hike, the oil crisis, and the threat of stagflation. Brent is trading $30 a barrel above levels before the Middle East conflict, Treasury bond yields are 35 to 40 basis points higher, and traders have all but given up hope that the Fed will cut rates in 2026. Conditions are far worse than at the end of February, yet the S&P 500 is at the same levels.

Expectations of strong corporate earnings, a robust economy and peace in the Middle East underpin the rally in the broad stock index. Despite the continuing uncertainty in the region, investors are buying into rumours of an agreement between the US and Iran. Markets are tired of geopolitics and are switching to fundamentals.

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🇺🇸 US Pre-Market: Mixed 📊

Mixed trading trends are prevailing in the US stock market pre-market, with a slight upward bias.

In the Financials sector, JPMorgan Chase (JPM) is down 1.25%, while Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) is down 0.08%.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is up 0.55%, Broadcom (AVGO) is down 0.75%, while Microsoft (MSFT) is up 1.34%.

In the Communication Services sector, Alphabet (GOOGL) is up 1.15%.

The predominantly positive performance of large-cap technology stocks is creating a moderate risk-on environment, with interest in risky assets within the US remaining strong, while inflows into safe-haven dollar-denominated instruments stay limited. In this scenario, the dollar's performance remains largely neutral and sensitive to further signals regarding Fed rates and global capital flows.

⚠️ UK — BOE Governor Andrew Bailey Speaks at 16:00 GMT

▶️ Pro News Flash: S&P 500 Rebounds Despite Rising Risks

🟢 The S&P 500 has rebounded to pre-war levels, shrugging off rising interest rates, elevated oil prices and persistent stagflation concerns. Despite worsening macro conditions, equities continue to show resilience.

📉 Market fundamentals remain mixed. Brent Crude is trading significantly higher, while US Treasury yields have surged and expectations for rate cuts in 2026 have largely faded.

📊 Investors are shifting focus away from geopolitics and toward corporate performance. Strong earnings expectations and optimism around a potential US–Iran agreement are fueling the rally.

📈 Wall Street forecasts point to continued strength, with S&P 500 earnings per share expected to grow for a sixth consecutive quarter. Positive corporate guidance is also reaching its highest levels in years.

🌍 The US economy remains steady. Growth forecasts are largely unchanged, supported by productivity gains and advancements in artificial intelligence, helping sustain confidence despite global uncertainty.

💡 Valuations are becoming more attractive. Following the March correction, equities appear undervalued, encouraging renewed buying interest across the market.

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Meta Wave Analysis – 14 April 2026

- Meta broke round resistance level 600.00

- Likely to rise to resistance level 670.00

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Nvidia Wave Analysis – 14 April 2026

- Nvidia broke round resistance level 600.00

- Likely to rise to resistance level 670.00

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Morgan Stanley Wave Analysis – 14 April 2026

Morgan Stanley: ⬆️ Buy

- Morgan Stanley broke resistance level 177.40

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