US Dollar: holds above 100.00, awaits the US GDP and CPI

The US Dollar consolidates at the end of the week, trimming some of its earlier losses after a stellar Nonfarm Payrolls report, maintaining the US Dollar Index above the 100.00 milestone. March data showed the US economy added 178K to the workforce, exceeding economists' forecasts of 60K. Although the headline suggests the labour market is strong, traders should treat the data with a pinch of salt, as last month’s initial number was -92K, but the data was revised down to -133K, one of the largest falls since Covid.

Overall, the US jobs market added 68K people over the first three months, a relief for the Federal Reserve, which noted that the risks under the dual mandate were balanced between employment and inflation. Now, the focus can turn to inflation driven higher by the energy shock from the Middle East conflict, and the risks of it getting out of control increase the chances of a stagflationary scenario.

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/04/04 (GMT)

14:00 🇦🇺 Daylight Saving Time Shift

16:00 🇳🇿 Daylight Saving Time Shift


[Updated in real time]

🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/04/05 (GMT)

09:00 All OPEC-JMMC Meetings


[Updated in real time]

🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/04/06 (GMT)

14:00 🇺🇸 ⚡️ ISM Services PMI — Exp: 54.8 Actual: 54.0


[Updated in real time]

Bitcoin and Ethereum: Prolonged consolidation in focus

The crypto market capitalisation has recovered to $2.38 trillion, rising by around 2.5% over the past 24 hours — most assets on the watchlist are trading in positive territory. Today’s top performers include Avalanche (+6.6%), Cardano (+5.0%) and Ethereum (+3.8%). Among the few underperformers are IOTA (−1.3%), VeChain (−0.9%) and Bitcoin Cash (−0.6%).

Bitcoin has risen again to $69K, confirming the support seen over the last three months amid consolidation following the downturn. A slight upward tilt in the bullish trend should not lead to undue optimism, as a similar pattern was observed for two months leading up to the end of January, followed by a fresh downward momentum. A repeat of this pattern this time suggests a decline to $50K.

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The US labour market has shown resilience

Geopolitics will cause more pain for Europe than for the US.

The markets are wrong about the ECB raising interest rates.

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⚠️ USA — ISM Services PMI at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 56.1

🕒 Exp: 54.8

🎯 Fact.: 54.0 📉

Bitcoincash Wave Analysis – 6 April 2026

- Bitcoincash reversed from support zone

- Likely to rise to resistance level 2400.00

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Ethereum Wave Analysis – 6 April 2026

- Ethereum reversed from support zone

- Likely to rise to resistance level 2400.00

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/04/07 (GMT)

07:50 🇫🇷 Services PMI — Exp: 48.3 Actual: 48.8

07:50 🇫🇷 PMI Composite — Exp: 48.3 Actual: 48.8

07:55 🇩🇪 Services PMI — Exp: 51.2 Actual: 50.9

07:55 🇩🇪 PMI Composite — Exp: 51.9 Actual: 51.9

08:00 🇪🇺 Services PMI — Exp: 50.1 Actual: 50.2

08:00 🇪🇺 PMI Composite — Exp: 50.5 Actual: 50.7

08:30 🇬🇧 Services PMI — Exp: 51.2 Actual: 50.5

08:30 🇬🇧 PMI Composite — Exp: 51.0 Actual: 50.3

12:30 🇺🇸 Durable Goods Orders — Exp: -1.1% | 0.5% Actual: -1.4% | 0.8%

14:00 🇨🇦 Ivey PMI — Exp: 55.9 Actual: 49.7 | 56.5


[Updated in real time]

The crypto market is in no hurry to gain ground

The crypto market capitalisation has fallen by 0.6% over the past 24 hours to $2.35 trillion. The market continues to hover around its 50-day moving average, reflecting a fierce battle for the medium-term trend. Top coins are predominantly down following renewed caution in traditional financial markets. The day’s leaders are Zcash (+3.1%), Filecoin (+0.9%) and Basic Attention Token (+0.6%). Among the underperformers are Avalanche (−9.7%), Algorand (−8.6%) and Ethereum Classic (−5.5%).

Bitcoin briefly exceeded $70K on Monday but failed to hold the level, retreating to $68.6K by Tuesday morning. This represents further fluctuations within the corrective rebound pattern in which the leading cryptocurrency has been trading for the past two months. The latest price action serves as a stark reminder of the market’s current volatility and how difficult it is to shift sentiment.

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Central banks risk making a mistake

Raising interest rates during an oil crisis is a clear mistake.

Stagflation is knocking at the door of the US economy.

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