🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/04/03 (GMT)

01:45 🇨🇳 Markit Services PMI — Exp: 53.6 Actual: 52.1

01:45 🇨🇳 Markit Composite PMI Actual: 51.5

12:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Non-Farm Employment Change — Exp: 65K Actual: 178K

12:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Unemployment Rate — Exp: 4.4% Actual: 4.3%

12:30 🇺🇸 Average Hourly Earnings — Exp: 0.3% | 3.7% Actual: 0.2% | 3.5%

12:30 🇺🇸 Change in Private Payrolls — Exp: 70K Actual: 186K

13:45 🇺🇸 Services PMI — Exp: 51.1 Actual: 49.8

13:45 🇺🇸 PMI Composite — Exp: 51.4 Actual: 50.3


[Updated in real time]

The crypto market is being held down at the month’s low

The crypto market capitalisation has remained close to $2.30T for the second day running, with a wide range of performance among coins: from losers such as Uniswap (−2.7%), Immutable (−2.4%) and BNB (−0.7%) to the leaders Algorand (+20%), IOTA (+6.9%) and Cosmos (+5.3%). Meanwhile, the top five altcoins and BTC have changed in price by less than 1% over the last day.

Bitcoin, at $66.5K, remains near the lower boundary of the range seen since early March, adding around $1K to Thursday’s intraday lows. With US markets closed, cryptocurrencies lack the key benchmark provided by traditional markets amid heightened geopolitical jitters. In such conditions, retail investors are reluctant to take active steps, as has been clear over the past month. We continue to monitor the $66–69K range, a breakout from which would mark the end of consolidation and set the direction for further movement.

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The dollar is lagging behind oil

Politics explains the dollar’s sluggish rise amid rising oil prices.

USDJPY bulls have grown immune to verbal intervention.

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WTI Crude Oil Wave Analysis – 3 April 2026

WTI Crude Oil: ⬆️ Buy

- WTI Crude Oil broke round resistance level 100.00

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Binancecoin Wave Analysis – 3 April 2026

- Binancecoin reversed from support zone

- Likely to rise to resistance level 665.20

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CHFJPY Wave Analysis – 3 April 2026

- CHFJPY reversed from support zone

- Likely to rise to resistance level 202.00

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AUDJPY Wave Analysis – 3 April 2026

- AUDJPY reversed from support zone

- Likely to rise to resistance level 111.00

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⚠️ USA — Non-Farm Employment Change at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: -133K

🕒 Exp: 65K

🎯 Fact.: 178K 📈

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⚠️ USA — Unemployment Rate at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 4.4%

🕒 Exp: 4.4%

🎯 Fact.: 4.3% 📈

Gold: the three-year rally may not be over yet

The Middle East conflict is weighing on gold prices amid expectations that central banks will raise interest rates to address rising inflation driven by oil prices. This seems like a knee-jerk reaction, as this is precisely how central banks acted in 2022. Moreover, it is widely acknowledged that this was a belated response. Another factor working against gold is the reduction in gold purchases, as well as the sale of gold from reserves to support national currencies, as India and Turkey have been doing recently. It is possible that many others are doing the same, but we are not yet aware.

This is a rather short-sighted approach, as current fuel prices are a shock to consumers, and this will be followed by a shock to the economy, requiring monetary policy to be eased, not tightened. However, we first need to hear that central banks share this view; for now, they remain focused on inflation.

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▶️ Pro News Weekly: Chaos Rising… But Stocks Keep Climbing

Welcome to Pro News Weekly!

💵 U.S. dollar regains strength as escalating Middle East tensions and oil supply risks boost safe-haven demand, reversing recent euro gains and fueling market volatility.

📊 U.S. stock indices stay elevated as investors chase momentum and fear missing out on a post-conflict rally, despite growing geopolitical uncertainty and late-week sell-offs.

🪙 Gold turns volatile after a sharp surge, then retreats amid mixed signals on conflict escalation, though long-term forecasts remain bullish on central bank demand.

₿ Bitcoin struggles to break out of its range as crypto whales increase selling pressure, with geopolitical developments and risk sentiment driving short-term downside risks.

Will escalating conflict and oil disruptions continue to support the dollar, or could easing tensions and upcoming economic data shift momentum across global markets?

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US Dollar: holds above 100.00, awaits the US GDP and CPI

The US Dollar consolidates at the end of the week, trimming some of its earlier losses after a stellar Nonfarm Payrolls report, maintaining the US Dollar Index above the 100.00 milestone. March data showed the US economy added 178K to the workforce, exceeding economists' forecasts of 60K. Although the headline suggests the labour market is strong, traders should treat the data with a pinch of salt, as last month’s initial number was -92K, but the data was revised down to -133K, one of the largest falls since Covid.

Overall, the US jobs market added 68K people over the first three months, a relief for the Federal Reserve, which noted that the risks under the dual mandate were balanced between employment and inflation. Now, the focus can turn to inflation driven higher by the energy shock from the Middle East conflict, and the risks of it getting out of control increase the chances of a stagflationary scenario.

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/04/04 (GMT)

14:00 🇦🇺 Daylight Saving Time Shift

16:00 🇳🇿 Daylight Saving Time Shift


[Updated in real time]

🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/04/05 (GMT)

09:00 All OPEC-JMMC Meetings


[Updated in real time]

🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/04/06 (GMT)

14:00 🇺🇸 ⚡️ ISM Services PMI — Exp: 54.8 Actual: 54.0


[Updated in real time]