⚠️ USA — President Donald Trump Speaks at 01:00 GMT

The crypto market has lost 3% but has not broken through support

The crypto market has lost approximately 3% of its market capitalisation, falling back to $2.29T and returning to the lower boundary of the trading range seen over the last seven days. Trump’s latest comments on the war with Iran triggered a sharp sell-off amid a lack of de-escalation signs. TRON (−0.2%), Toncoin (−0.9%) and Neo (−1.3%) appear relatively stable. Dash (−8.6%), Uniswap (−8.0%) and Solana (−5.9%) have been hit hardest.

The Fear and Greed Index rose by 4 points today to 12, partially recovering from yesterday’s drop to 8 — the lowest level in recent weeks. Nevertheless, the index remains deep in the extreme fear zone, where it has been virtually uninterrupted for the past month.

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The dollar has regained the upper hand

Following Trump’s speech, markets are bracing for an escalation over Iran.

Japan’s failure with currency interventions could push USDJPY to 175.

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▶️ Bitcoin. Current situation #tradelikeapro #trading #cryptocurrency #tradingshorts #btc #bitcoin

Today's Thursday, the 2nd of April.

Let's take a look at the latest developments and what's happening.

Remember that for quite some time now, I have been forecasting a very significant correction in Bitcoin, which is not yet complete.

#tradelikeapro #trading #cryptocurrency #tradingshorts #btc #bitcoin

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⚠️ USA — Unemployment Claims at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 211K

🕒 Exp: 212K

🎯 Fact.: 202K 📈

🇺🇸 US Pre-Market: Mostly Negative 📉

Major technology and consumer companies are trading lower, signalling heightened risk aversion.

In the Electronic Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is down –2.73%, while Apple (AAPL) is off –0.91%.

In the Technology Services sector, Alphabet (GOOGL) is down –2.79%, while Microsoft (MSFT) is off –1.22%.

In the Energy sector, Exxon Mobil (XOM) is up +2.81%, while Chevron (CVX) is up +2.51%.

From a currency market perspective, the broad-based decline among major equities is reinforcing a risk-off environment. Against this backdrop, demand for safe-haven dollar assets is receiving short-term support, providing a favourable backdrop for a modest dollar strengthening, absent signs of large-scale capital outflows from US assets.

Exxon Wave Analysis – 2 April 2026

- Exxon reversed from resistance zone

- Likely to fall to support level 165.0

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Pfizer Wave Analysis – 2 April 2026

- Pfizer broke resistance zone

- Likely to rise to resistance level 29.50

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Palladium Wave Analysis – 2 April 2026

- Palladium reversed from support zone

- Likely to rise to resistance level 1600.00

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Solana Wave Analysis – 2 April 2026

- Solana broke daily up channel

- Likely to fall to support levels 75,00 and 70.00

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/04/03 (GMT)

01:45 🇨🇳 Markit Services PMI — Exp: 53.6 Actual: 52.1

01:45 🇨🇳 Markit Composite PMI Actual: 51.5

12:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Non-Farm Employment Change — Exp: 65K Actual: 178K

12:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Unemployment Rate — Exp: 4.4% Actual: 4.3%

12:30 🇺🇸 Average Hourly Earnings — Exp: 0.3% | 3.7% Actual: 0.2% | 3.5%

12:30 🇺🇸 Change in Private Payrolls — Exp: 70K Actual: 186K

13:45 🇺🇸 Services PMI — Exp: 51.1 Actual: 49.8

13:45 🇺🇸 PMI Composite — Exp: 51.4 Actual: 50.3


[Updated in real time]

The crypto market is being held down at the month’s low

The crypto market capitalisation has remained close to $2.30T for the second day running, with a wide range of performance among coins: from losers such as Uniswap (−2.7%), Immutable (−2.4%) and BNB (−0.7%) to the leaders Algorand (+20%), IOTA (+6.9%) and Cosmos (+5.3%). Meanwhile, the top five altcoins and BTC have changed in price by less than 1% over the last day.

Bitcoin, at $66.5K, remains near the lower boundary of the range seen since early March, adding around $1K to Thursday’s intraday lows. With US markets closed, cryptocurrencies lack the key benchmark provided by traditional markets amid heightened geopolitical jitters. In such conditions, retail investors are reluctant to take active steps, as has been clear over the past month. We continue to monitor the $66–69K range, a breakout from which would mark the end of consolidation and set the direction for further movement.

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The dollar is lagging behind oil

Politics explains the dollar’s sluggish rise amid rising oil prices.

USDJPY bulls have grown immune to verbal intervention.

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WTI Crude Oil Wave Analysis – 3 April 2026

WTI Crude Oil: ⬆️ Buy

- WTI Crude Oil broke round resistance level 100.00

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Binancecoin Wave Analysis – 3 April 2026

- Binancecoin reversed from support zone

- Likely to rise to resistance level 665.20

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CHFJPY Wave Analysis – 3 April 2026

- CHFJPY reversed from support zone

- Likely to rise to resistance level 202.00

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AUDJPY Wave Analysis – 3 April 2026

- AUDJPY reversed from support zone

- Likely to rise to resistance level 111.00

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⚠️ USA — Non-Farm Employment Change at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: -133K

🕒 Exp: 65K

🎯 Fact.: 178K 📈

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⚠️ USA — Unemployment Rate at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 4.4%

🕒 Exp: 4.4%

🎯 Fact.: 4.3% 📈

Gold: the three-year rally may not be over yet

The Middle East conflict is weighing on gold prices amid expectations that central banks will raise interest rates to address rising inflation driven by oil prices. This seems like a knee-jerk reaction, as this is precisely how central banks acted in 2022. Moreover, it is widely acknowledged that this was a belated response. Another factor working against gold is the reduction in gold purchases, as well as the sale of gold from reserves to support national currencies, as India and Turkey have been doing recently. It is possible that many others are doing the same, but we are not yet aware.

This is a rather short-sighted approach, as current fuel prices are a shock to consumers, and this will be followed by a shock to the economy, requiring monetary policy to be eased, not tightened. However, we first need to hear that central banks share this view; for now, they remain focused on inflation.

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