🇺🇸 US market: Mostly positive 📈

Major technology and consumer companies are mostly trading higher, setting a general risk-on mood.

In the Financials sector, JPMorgan Chase (JPM) shares are up +0.72%, whilst Wells Fargo (WFC) shares are up +1.40%.

In the technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) shares are up +1.30%, whilst Micron Technology (MU) shares are down -1.62%.

In the Technology Services sector, Microsoft (MSFT) shares are up +1.04%, whilst Oracle (ORCL) shares are up +1.18%.

With the current shift in demand towards riskier assets, including the largest US technology and consumer companies, short-term support for the safe-haven dollar is limited: investor interest is focused on equities, whilst the currency’s dynamics remain largely neutral, with no clear momentum towards strengthening or weakening.

Oil faces falling volatility, but unlikely prices

The US is offering Iran negotiations.

Without dialogue, we must be prepared for an escalation.

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EURUSD Wave Analysis – 25 March 2026

- EURUSD reversed from resistance zone

- Likely to fall to support level 1.1450

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USDCAD Wave Analysis – 25 March 2026

- USDCAD broke resistance area

- Likely to rise to resistance level 1.3900

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Toncoin Wave Analysis – 25 March 2026

- Toncoin broke daily Triangle

- Likely to rise to resistance level 1.3860

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Platinum Wave Analysis – 25 March 2026

- Platinum reversed from support zone

- Likely to rise to resistance level 2030.0

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/03/26 (GMT)

12:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Unemployment Claims — Exp: 210K Actual: 210K

12:30 🇺🇸 Continuing Claims — Exp: 1860K Actual: 1819K


[Updated in real time]

The dusk of the petrodollar age

Iran insists on control of the Strait of Hormuz and is demanding compensation.

The US withdrawal from the Middle East could mark the beginning of the end of the petrodollar era.

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The crypto market has pulled back, but hasn’t given up

The crypto market cap has declined by nearly 1% to $2.4T, once again approaching the 50-day moving average but still remaining above it (a bullish sign). Selling pressure is driven by renewed market fears arising from the situation in the Middle East. Technically, the market must make an early decision: either break through the uptrend line from early February or confirm the 50-day MA as support and break the downtrend.

Bitcoin fell below $70K on Thursday morning as investors exited risky assets in traditional markets. However, the leading cryptocurrency remains close to the psychologically significant round figure and is still above the 50-day moving average, maintaining hopes of a resumption of growth at the first signs of a shift.

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⚠️ USA — Unemployment Claims at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 205K

🕒 Exp: 210K

🎯 Fact.: 210K

▶️ Gold. There was no “five” upwards #tradelikeapro #trading #tradingshorts #tradinggold #gold

Today is Thursday, March twenty-sixth, and let's take a look at the current situation.

Let me remind you that very recently, I published an analysis suggesting the 4th wave might be complete and was expecting an upward impulse to develop.

However, we did not see an upward impulse.

#tradelikeapro #trading #tradingshorts #tradinggold #gold

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🇺🇸 US pre-market: Mostly negative 📉

In the Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) shares are down by -1.26%, whilst Broadcom (AVGO) shares are down by -1.46%.

In the Financials sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) shares are down by -0.03%, whilst JPMorgan Chase (JPM) shares are down by -1.16%.

In the Consumer Services sector, Amazon (AMZN) shares are down by 1.00%, whilst Walmart (WMT) shares are down by 0.25%.

With declines dominating among the largest-cap stocks, market participants are demonstrating a flight to safety within the US. This is supporting demand for safe-haven dollar assets, primarily Treasury bonds, which in the short term is creating a moderately supportive backdrop for the US dollar.

The Middle East conflict didn’t scare investors in the US stocks

US stocks remain resilient, supported by broad investor confidence. Geopolitical conflicts will end sooner or later, whilst the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow Jones indices are rising thanks to a strong economy and corporate profits. If tensions in the Middle East do not trigger stagflation or recession, and earnings expectations remain positive, there is still room for further market gains.

The upward revision of the consensus forecast for first-quarter corporate earnings from 10.9% before the war in Iran to 11.9% seems unexpected. Morgan Stanley notes that it is extremely rare for analysts’ estimates to rise amid falling share prices. The bank anticipates S&P companies’ earnings to grow by 20% over the next 12 months, a trend that has typically followed recessions.

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Stellar Wave Analysis – 25 March 2026

- Stellar reversed from resistance level 0.1790

- Likely to fall to support level 0.1440

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/03/27 (GMT)

07:00 🇬🇧 Retail Sales With Auto Fuel — Exp: -0.8% | 2.1% Actual: -0.4% | 2.5%

07:00 🇬🇧 Retail Sales Ex Auto Fuel — Exp: -0.8% | 2.7% Actual: -0.4% | 3.4%

14:00 🇺🇸 UoM Consumer Sentiment — Exp: 55.5 Actual: 53.3


[Updated in real time]

Tron Wave Analysis – 25 March 2026

- Tron reversed from resistance zone

- Likely to fall to support level 0.3000

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DAX Wave Analysis – 26 March 2026

- DAX reversed from resistance level 23000.00

- Likely to fall to support level 21875.00

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Google Wave Analysis – 26 March 2026

- Google broke the support zone

- Likely to fall to support level 270.00

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Crypto has pulled back, but appears stronger than stocks

The crypto market’s capitalisation fell by 3.4% over the past 24 hours to $2.36 trillion, remaining close to the uptrend line. The downward momentum was once again driven by stock indices, which returned to their lows at the start of the week. However, whilst the Nasdaq 100 has shown a steady downward trend on weekly charts since late January, cryptocurrencies have been forming a sequence of higher local lows since early February, when the market touched the 200-week moving average – a key long-term trend line.

Bitcoin has fallen below $69K, testing the strength of the 50-day MA and the support of the upward trend of the last two months. The nervous mood in the financial markets makes cryptocurrencies, and Bitcoin in particular, vulnerable in the event of a large-scale sell-off. For BTC, the 200-week MA has historically been the most important long-term support level. It currently sits near $60K. However, it is worth remembering that in 2022–2023, the price fell more than 30% below this line before finding structural support for many weeks.

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