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⚠️ Australia β€” Consumer Prices Index at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 0.4% | 3.8%

πŸ•’ Exp: 0.0% | 3.8%

🎯 Fact.: 0.0% | 3.7% πŸ“‰
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⚠️ UK β€” Consumer Price Index at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: -0.5% | 3.0%

πŸ•’ Exp: 0.4% | 3.0%

🎯 Fact.: 0.4% | 3.0%
The crypto market is laying the ground for growth

The crypto market cap has increased by 0.3% over the past 24 hours to $2.43 trillion. The market’s ability to hold at recent highs while maintaining low volatility is a sign of buyer confidence and readiness for a further rally. Conversely, bears may be merely allowing these fluctuations for now, as the market remains within a correctional rebound pattern following the collapse two months ago. A move above $2.5T will be necessary before we can consider a bullish breakthrough and evaluate the prospects of a recovery to $3–3.3T.

Bitcoin is trading near $71K, encountering resistance for the sixth consecutive day as it attempts to climb above $71.5K. However, this seems to be a short-term setback, considering the pattern of higher local lows since early February. Additionally, the 50-day moving average over the past two months has dropped from $90K to $70K, lowering the barrier that bulls need to overcome to signal a trend reversal.

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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US market: Mostly positive πŸ“ˆ

Major technology and consumer companies are mostly trading higher, setting a general risk-on mood.

In the Financials sector, JPMorgan Chase (JPM) shares are up +0.72%, whilst Wells Fargo (WFC) shares are up +1.40%.

In the technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) shares are up +1.30%, whilst Micron Technology (MU) shares are down -1.62%.

In the Technology Services sector, Microsoft (MSFT) shares are up +1.04%, whilst Oracle (ORCL) shares are up +1.18%.

With the current shift in demand towards riskier assets, including the largest US technology and consumer companies, short-term support for the safe-haven dollar is limited: investor interest is focused on equities, whilst the currency’s dynamics remain largely neutral, with no clear momentum towards strengthening or weakening.
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FxPro pinned Β«πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/03/26 (GMT) 12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ Unemployment Claims β€” Exp: 210K Actual: 210K 12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Continuing Claims β€” Exp: 1860K Actual: 1819K [Updated in real time]Β»
The crypto market has pulled back, but hasn’t given up

The crypto market cap has declined by nearly 1% to $2.4T, once again approaching the 50-day moving average but still remaining above it (a bullish sign). Selling pressure is driven by renewed market fears arising from the situation in the Middle East. Technically, the market must make an early decision: either break through the uptrend line from early February or confirm the 50-day MA as support and break the downtrend.

Bitcoin fell below $70K on Thursday morning as investors exited risky assets in traditional markets. However, the leading cryptocurrency remains close to the psychologically significant round figure and is still above the 50-day moving average, maintaining hopes of a resumption of growth at the first signs of a shift.

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⚠️ USA β€” Unemployment Claims at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 205K

πŸ•’ Exp: 210K

🎯 Fact.: 210K
▢️ Gold. There was no β€œfive” upwards #tradelikeapro #trading #tradingshorts #tradinggold #gold

Today is Thursday, March twenty-sixth, and let's take a look at the current situation.

Let me remind you that very recently, I published an analysis suggesting the 4th wave might be complete and was expecting an upward impulse to develop.

However, we did not see an upward impulse.

#tradelikeapro #trading #tradingshorts #tradinggold #gold

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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US pre-market: Mostly negative πŸ“‰

In the Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) shares are down by -1.26%, whilst Broadcom (AVGO) shares are down by -1.46%.

In the Financials sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) shares are down by -0.03%, whilst JPMorgan Chase (JPM) shares are down by -1.16%.

In the Consumer Services sector, Amazon (AMZN) shares are down by 1.00%, whilst Walmart (WMT) shares are down by 0.25%.

With declines dominating among the largest-cap stocks, market participants are demonstrating a flight to safety within the US. This is supporting demand for safe-haven dollar assets, primarily Treasury bonds, which in the short term is creating a moderately supportive backdrop for the US dollar.
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The Middle East conflict didn’t scare investors in the US stocks

US stocks remain resilient, supported by broad investor confidence. Geopolitical conflicts will end sooner or later, whilst the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow Jones indices are rising thanks to a strong economy and corporate profits. If tensions in the Middle East do not trigger stagflation or recession, and earnings expectations remain positive, there is still room for further market gains.

The upward revision of the consensus forecast for first-quarter corporate earnings from 10.9% before the war in Iran to 11.9% seems unexpected. Morgan Stanley notes that it is extremely rare for analysts’ estimates to rise amid falling share prices. The bank anticipates S&P companies’ earnings to grow by 20% over the next 12 months, a trend that has typically followed recessions.

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πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/03/27 (GMT)

07:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Retail Sales With Auto Fuel β€” Exp: -0.8% | 2.1% Actual: -0.4% | 2.5%

07:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Retail Sales Ex Auto Fuel β€” Exp: -0.8% | 2.7% Actual: -0.4% | 3.4%

14:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ UoM Consumer Sentiment β€” Exp: 55.5 Actual: 53.3


[Updated in real time]
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