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πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/02/17 (GMT)

00:30 πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes

07:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Claimant Count Change β€” Exp: 22.8K Actual: 28.6K

07:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Unemployment Rate β€” Exp: 5.2% Actual: 5.2%

07:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Average Earnings Index β€” Exp: 4.6% | 4.2% Actual: 4.2% | 4.2%

07:00 πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Consumer Price Index - EU Harmonised β€” Exp: -0.1% | 2.1% Actual: -0.1% | 2.1%

10:00 πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ ZEW Economic Sentiment β€” Exp: 65.0 Actual: 58.3

10:00 πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ ZEW Survey (Current Situation) β€” Exp: -65.7 Actual: -65.9

10:00 πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί ZEW Economic Sentiment β€” Exp: 45.2 Actual: 39.4

13:30 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ ⚑️ Consumer Price Index β€” Exp: 0.1% | 2.4% Actual: 0.0% | 2.3%

13:30 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Core CPI Actual: 0.2% | 2.6%

13:30 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Common Core CPI β€” Exp: 2.7% Actual: 2.7%

13:30 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Trimmed Core CPI β€” Exp: 2.6% Actual: 2.4%

13:30 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Median Core CPI β€” Exp: 2.5% Actual: 2.5%

13:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Empire State Manufacturing Index β€” Exp: 6.4 Actual: 7.1


[Updated in real time]
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FxPro pinned Β«πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/02/17 (GMT) 00:30 πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes 07:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Claimant Count Change β€” Exp: 22.8K Actual: 28.6K 07:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Unemployment Rate β€” Exp: 5.2% Actual: 5.2% 07:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Average Earnings Index β€” Exp: 4.6% | 4.2% …»
Bitcoin dips below short-term support

The crypto market cap stood at $2.35 trillion on Tuesday morning, roughly the same as it was yesterday and seven days ago. The leaders in growth among the most liquid coins over the past week are the anonymous Zcash and Cosmos, which are widely involved in the tokenisation of debt assets, adding over 20%. At the same time, the leaders in decline during this period are Ethereum (-1.7%), BNB (-1.5%) and Bitcoin (-1.1%). The decline of the largest coins is an ominous sign for smaller ones, as it may soon pull them down with it at an accelerated pace.

Bitcoin technically fell below the support line that ran through the extreme lows of the first half of February, as another attempt to break above $70K on Monday attracted the interest of sellers, which quickly pushed the price back to $67K. On Tuesday morning, BTC is trading near $68K, where it was the day before, but the former support now looks like local resistance. Confirmation of this trend reversal will be a fall below the recent lows of $67K, with subsequent targets at $65K and $60K.

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Geopolitics raises risk premiums, supporting Brent

During crises and turmoil in the global economy or politics, market sentiment outweighs fundamental factors. Geopolitical risk premiums are currently estimated at $5-7 per barrel. At the same time, negotiations between the US and Iran, and between Russia and Ukraine, are the main drivers of oil market pricing.

Over the past two years, the supply of black gold has consistently exceeded demand. As a result, according to estimates by the International Energy Agency, global reserves grew by a record 477 million barrels in 2025 due to increased production in the US, Brazil, OPEC+ and other countries. This is equivalent to 1.3 million barrels per day, which has led to a bear market for Brent and WTI.

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⚠️ Canada β€” Consumer Price Index at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: -0.2% | 2.4%

πŸ•’ Exp: 0.1% | 2.4%

🎯 Fact.: 0.0% πŸ“‰ | 2.3% πŸ“‰
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US pre-market: Mostly negative πŸ“‰

Large technology and consumer companies are trading in the red, setting a generally cautious tone.

In the electronics sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) shares are down -1.07%, while Broadcom (AVGO) shares are losing about -1.77%.

In the financial sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) shares are up about +0.34%, while Bank of America (BAC) shares are up +0.40%.

In the consumer durables sector, Tesla (TSLA) shares are down -1.36%, while in the transport sector, UBER (UBER) shares are showing minimal growth of +0.01%.

The predominance of sales in the largest capitalisation stocks, especially in the technology segment, indicates a shift away from risk within the US market; this creates a favourable backdrop for short-term support for the dollar due to demand for defensive dollar assets and Treasury bonds.
▢️ Pro News Flash: Oil Rally Powered by Politics

🟒 Oil markets are being driven less by supply and demand and more by politics. Geopolitical tensions have added an estimated $5 to $7 per barrel risk premium, pushing Brent higher as traders react to uncertainty rather than fundamentals.

πŸ“Š Ironically, the last two years were defined by oversupply. The International Energy Agency estimates global inventories surged by 477 million barrels in 2025 thanks to increased production from the US, Brazil and OPEC+. That surplus kept both Brent and WTI stuck in a prolonged bear market.

🌍 Now attention has shifted to diplomacy and conflict. Negotiations involving the US and Iran, along with the ongoing Russia Ukraine standoff, have become the main forces setting oil prices as traders weigh the risk of global economic disruption.

🚒 In a worst case scenario, Iran could close the Strait of Hormuz, potentially sending Brent toward $108 per barrel. At the same time tighter sanctions on Russia are forcing major buyers to seek alternative supplies, increasing demand for non Russian crude.

πŸ›’οΈ OPEC+ may also act. Sources suggest production hikes could begin as early as April, while some forecasts expect remaining voluntary cuts of 1.66 million barrels per day to be unwound within six months, potentially capping further upside.

πŸ“‰ In a calmer outcome, analysts expect diplomatic agreements by summer. If tensions fade, Brent could settle around $65 to $70 before weaker fundamentals pull prices closer to $60 to $62.

πŸ“… The oil market now hinges on one question. Will geopolitics override fundamentals, or will supply once again dominate pricing?

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πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/02/18 (GMT)

00:30 πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Wage Price Index β€” Exp: 0.8% | 3.4% Actual: 0.8% | 3.4%

01:00 πŸ‡³πŸ‡Ώ ⚑️ Official Cash Rate β€” Exp: 2.25% Actual: 2.25%

01:00 πŸ‡³πŸ‡Ώ ⚑️ RBNZ Rate Statement

01:00 πŸ‡³πŸ‡Ώ ⚑️ RBNZ Monetary Policy Statement

02:00 πŸ‡³πŸ‡Ώ ⚑️ RBNZ Press Conference

07:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ ⚑️ Consumer Price Index β€” Exp: -0.5% | 3.0% Actual: -0.5% | 3.0%

07:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Core CPI β€” Exp: 3.0% Actual: 3.1%

07:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Retail Price Index β€” Exp: -0.4% | 3.9% Actual: -0.5% | 3.8%

07:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Producer Price Index Input β€” Exp: 0.4% | 0.3% Actual: 0.4% | -0.2%

13:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Durable Goods Orders β€” Exp: -1.7% | 0.3% Actual: -1.4% | 0.9%

13:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Building Permits β€” Exp: 1400K Actual: 1448K | 4.3%

13:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Housing Starts β€” Exp: 1310K Actual: 1404K | 6.2%

14:15 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Industrial Production β€” Exp: 0.4% Actual: 0.7%

19:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ FOMC Meeting Minutes

19:10 πŸ‡³πŸ‡Ώ ⚑️ RBNZ Governor Anna Breman Speaks


[Updated in real time]
FxPro pinned Β«πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/02/18 (GMT) 00:30 πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Wage Price Index β€” Exp: 0.8% | 3.4% Actual: 0.8% | 3.4% 01:00 πŸ‡³πŸ‡Ώ ⚑️ Official Cash Rate β€” Exp: 2.25% Actual: 2.25% 01:00 πŸ‡³πŸ‡Ώ ⚑️ RBNZ Rate Statement 01:00 πŸ‡³πŸ‡Ώ ⚑️ RBNZ Monetary Policy Statement 02:00…»
⚠️ New Zealand β€” Official Cash Rate at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 2.25%

πŸ•’ Exp: 2.25%

🎯 Fact.: 2.25%

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⚠️ New Zealand β€” RBNZ Press Conference at 02:00 GMT