▶️ EURUSD #tradelikeapro #trading #currencytradingtips #tradingshorts #uerusd #currencytrading

Today we will talk about the Euro market.

It is Thursday, February 12th, and we will look at the outlook for the next few months.

#tradelikeapro #trading #currencytradingtips #tradingshorts #uerusd #currencytrading

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The Fed has room to wait

Strong jobs report allows the Fed to pause.

The yen believes in capital repatriation, while the pound fears a double whammy.

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⚠️ USA — Unemployment Claims at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 232K

🕒 Exp: 222K

🎯 Fact.: 227K 📉

🇺🇸 US pre-market: Mostly positive 📈

In the Technology Services sector, Alphabet (GOOGL) shares are up 0.66%, while Microsoft (MSFT) shares are up 0.48%.

In the Financial Services sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) shares are down 0.07%, while JPMorgan Chase (JPM) is up 0.64%.

In the Energy sector, Exxon Mobil (XOM) shares are down 0.97%, while Chevron (CVX) shares are down 0.26%.

The prevailing growth of major technology companies is creating a moderately risk-on environment: investors are more willing to invest in stocks, while demand for safe-haven dollar assets and Treasury bonds remains subdued. As a result, the dollar's short-term dynamics are likely to be neutral, with no clear impetus for strengthening.

The old economy fights back against big tech

US stock indices went on a rollercoaster ride after the release of January jobs data. They first hit new local highs but then fell sharply. Good news for the economy was bad news for the S&P500. Investors reacted to the lower chances of the Fed easing. However, it was just another consequence of the ongoing rotation from big techs to old economy stocks.

Deutsche Bank notes that in the first five weeks of 2026, funds focused on stocks outside the technology sector attracted $62 billion, which is a record high and exceeds inflows for the whole of 2025. Investors are shifting from software manufacturers and financial services providers due to developments in artificial intelligence by Anthropic and Altruist.

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AUS200 Index Wave Analysis – 12 February 2026

AUS200 Index: ⬇️ Sell

- AUS200 Index reversed from resistance zone

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Brent Crude Oil Wave Analysis – 12 February 2026

Brent Crude Oil: ⬇️ Sell

- Brent Crude Oil reversed from resistance zone

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/02/13 (GMT)

02:00 🇳🇿 Expected Annual Inflation 2y from now Actual: 2.37%

07:30 🇨🇭 Consumer Price Index — Exp: 0.0% | 0.1% Actual: -0.1% | 0.1%

10:00 🇪🇺 Gross Domestic Product — Exp: 0.3% | 1.4% Actual: 0.3% | 1.4%

10:30 🇷🇺 ⚡️ Key bank rate — Exp: 16.0% Actual: 15.5%

13:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Consumer Price Index — Exp: 0.3% | 2.5% Actual: 0.2% | 2.4%

13:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Core CPI — Exp: 0.3% | 2.5% Actual: 0.3% | 2.5%


[Updated in real time]

Amazon Wave Analysis – 12 February 2026

- Amazon reversed from pivotal resistance level 212.30

- Likely to fall to support level 190.00

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Nvidia Wave Analysis – 12 February 2026

- Nvidia falling inside sideways price range

- Likely to fall to support level 180.00

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⚠️ Russia — Key bank rate at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 16.0%

🕒 Exp: 16.0%

🎯 Fact.: 15.5% 📉

⚠️ USA — Consumer Price Index at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.3% | 2.7%

🕒 Exp: 0.3% | 2.5%

🎯 Fact.: 0.2% 📉 | 2.4% 📉

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⚠️ USA — Core CPI at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.2% | 2.6%

🕒 Exp: 0.3% | 2.5%

🎯 Fact.: 0.3% | 2.5%

Gold drags down the stock market

• Traders sold gold to meet margin requirements

• The unwinding of currency hedging operations supports the US dollar

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🇺🇸 US premarket: mixed dynamics 📈 📉

Some of the largest technology companies are demonstrating moderate growth, while certain megacaps in the retail and consumer sectors remain under pressure.

In the Electronic Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) shares are up +0.44%, while Apple (AAPL) shares are down -0.06%.

In the Financial sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) shares are down -0.17%, while Bank of America (BAC) shares are up +0.25%.

In the Retail sector, Amazon (AMZN) shares are down -0.40%, while Walmart (WMT) shares are down -0.28%.

The mixed balance of risk appetite and risk aversion is creating a neutral backdrop for the dollar: there is no noticeable risk aversion within the US, but there is also no significant inflow of capital into US stocks. Under these conditions, the short-term dynamics of the USD are likely to remain sideways, and fluctuations in major currency pairs will depend more on news and revised expectations for Fed policy.