Dow Jones’ 50,000 milestone

A significant event has occurred in the US stock market. For the first time in history, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has surpassed the psychologically significant 50,000 mark. Since its creation, it took almost a century to reach the 2,500 mark, yet it doubled in value over just the last 8 years.

In previous years, the DJIA consistently underperformed both the Nasdaq and the S&P500 due to the rally in technology companies. As a result, a new generation of traders viewed it as no more relevant than a stock ticker or a paper certificate. However, in 2026, the industrial index proved its significance. Since the beginning of the year, it has grown by 4%, while the S&P500 has added less than 2%, and the Nasdaq Composite has remained stagnant.

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Forex follows new leaders

AUD confidently leads the currency race.

JPY is getting help from capital repatriation.

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The crypto market still has a significant downside

The crypto market cap fell 2.5% in 24 hours to $2.27T. The market was below this level for several hours last Friday, the first time in the past year and a half. Trading remained stable in this range from March to November 2024. The rebound is losing momentum, increasing the likelihood of a retest of last Friday’s lows at $2.2T, potentially followed by a further 10% decline toward the $2.0T level.

Bitcoin has fallen below $67K, recording its third daily bearish candle. Of the more than 20% rebound from Friday's lows, only slightly more than half remains. Excluding extreme slippage during illiquid trading, the next important support area is $63K, followed by $60K (a round level and recent extremes) and $58K, through which the 200-week moving average passes.

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⚠️ USA — Non-Farm Employment Change at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 48K

🕒 Exp: 70K

🎯 Fact.: 130K 📈

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⚠️ USA — Unemployment Rate at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 4.4%

🕒 Exp: 4.4%

🎯 Fact.: 4.3% 📈

🇺🇸 US pre-market: Mostly positive 📈

In the Electronic Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) shares are up +1.36%, while Micron Technology (MU) shares are up +3.53%.

In the Financial sector, JPMorgan Chase (JPM) shares are up +0.86%, while Bank of America (BAC) is trading higher at +0.83%.

In the Retail sector, Amazon (AMZN) shares are up +0.61%, while Walmart (WMT) shares are adding +0.16%.

The prevailing growth of the most liquid technology and financial stocks is creating a risk-on environment; demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset remains subdued, and the short-term dynamics of the US currency are likely to be predominantly neutral, without any significant momentum for strengthening.

USDCAD Wave Analysis – 11 February 2026

- USDCAD reversed from long-term support level 1.3545

- Likely to rise to resistance level 1.3725

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CHFJPY Wave Analysis – 11 February 2026

- CHFJPY broke 2 daily up channels

- Likely to fall to support level 197.50

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Chevron Wave Analysis – 11 February 2026

- Chevron broke resistance level 180.00

- Likely to rise to resistance level 190.00

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AUDUSD Wave Analysis – 11 February 2026

- AUDUSD broke resistance zone

- Likely to rise to resistance level 1.7200

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/02/12 (GMT)

07:00 🇬🇧 ⚡️ Gross Domestic Product — Exp: 0.1% | 0.2% Actual: 0.1% | 0.1%

07:00 🇬🇧 ⚡️ Gross Domestic Product — Exp: 0.2% | 1.2% Actual: 0.1% | 1.0%

07:00 🇬🇧 Industrial Production — Exp: 0.0% | 1.5% Actual: -0.9% | 0.5%

07:00 🇬🇧 Manufacturing Production — Exp: 0.0% | 1.8% Actual: -0.5% | 0.5%

07:00 🇬🇧 Goods Trade Balance — Exp: -22.3B Actual: -22.7B

13:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Unemployment Claims — Exp: 222K Actual: 227K

13:30 🇺🇸 Continuing Claims — Exp: 1850K Actual: 1862K

15:00 🇺🇸 Existing Home Sales — Exp: 4.16M Actual: 3.91M | -8.4%


[Updated in real time]

⚠️ UK — Gross Domestic Product at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.2% | -0.1%

🕒 Exp: 0.1% | 0.2%

🎯 Fact.: 0.1% | 0.1% 📉

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⚠️ UK — Gross Domestic Product at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.1% | 1.2%

🕒 Exp: 0.2% | 1.2%

🎯 Fact.: 0.1% 📉 | 1.0% 📉

Crypto market finds support despite low sentiment

The crypto market cap regained 0.9% after an earlier collapse, recovering to $2.30 trillion. Heavyweights Bitcoin, Ethereum, BinanceCoin, and XRP have reached significant support levels. We can expect consolidation to begin here. At the same time, it should come as no surprise if optimists promote the idea of a return to a bull market.

Today's sentiment index fell to 5, repeating the historical low for this indicator from August 2019. There are also similarities with June 2022, when we saw many values below 10 that month. In both periods, the lowest sentiment readings were far from the best entry points, though some pullback and consolidation followed.

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▶️ EURUSD #tradelikeapro #trading #currencytradingtips #tradingshorts #uerusd #currencytrading

Today we will talk about the Euro market.

It is Thursday, February 12th, and we will look at the outlook for the next few months.

#tradelikeapro #trading #currencytradingtips #tradingshorts #uerusd #currencytrading

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The Fed has room to wait

Strong jobs report allows the Fed to pause.

The yen believes in capital repatriation, while the pound fears a double whammy.

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⚠️ USA — Unemployment Claims at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 232K

🕒 Exp: 222K

🎯 Fact.: 227K 📉

🇺🇸 US pre-market: Mostly positive 📈

In the Technology Services sector, Alphabet (GOOGL) shares are up 0.66%, while Microsoft (MSFT) shares are up 0.48%.

In the Financial Services sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) shares are down 0.07%, while JPMorgan Chase (JPM) is up 0.64%.

In the Energy sector, Exxon Mobil (XOM) shares are down 0.97%, while Chevron (CVX) shares are down 0.26%.

The prevailing growth of major technology companies is creating a moderately risk-on environment: investors are more willing to invest in stocks, while demand for safe-haven dollar assets and Treasury bonds remains subdued. As a result, the dollar's short-term dynamics are likely to be neutral, with no clear impetus for strengthening.

The old economy fights back against big tech

US stock indices went on a rollercoaster ride after the release of January jobs data. They first hit new local highs but then fell sharply. Good news for the economy was bad news for the S&P500. Investors reacted to the lower chances of the Fed easing. However, it was just another consequence of the ongoing rotation from big techs to old economy stocks.

Deutsche Bank notes that in the first five weeks of 2026, funds focused on stocks outside the technology sector attracted $62 billion, which is a record high and exceeds inflows for the whole of 2025. Investors are shifting from software manufacturers and financial services providers due to developments in artificial intelligence by Anthropic and Altruist.

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AUS200 Index Wave Analysis – 12 February 2026

AUS200 Index: ⬇️ Sell

- AUS200 Index reversed from resistance zone

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Brent Crude Oil Wave Analysis – 12 February 2026

Brent Crude Oil: ⬇️ Sell

- Brent Crude Oil reversed from resistance zone

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