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Crypto: too early to be greedy

The crypto market cap has lost more than 8% in the last 24 hours to $2.22T, dropping to $2.09T at its lowest point. The Crypto fell below last April's lows and rolled back to levels last seen in September 2024. The market did not hold on to the strong line that had served as support and resistance for more than two years. Either this is a switch to panic mode, or we saw a short-term overreaction during a period of reduced liquidity, and cryptocurrencies will partially rebound in the coming days.

The sentiment index fell to 9, where it was last seen in June 2022. In general, reaching single-digit levels is a very rare occurrence. At the same time, we warn again that such oversold conditions may be followed by months of consolidation or bottoming out. Thus, in 2022, the market only bottomed out in November, falling by about a quarter, and the momentum for growth only appeared in January.

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⚠️ Canada β€” Employment Change at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 8.2K

πŸ•’ Exp: 5.2K

🎯 Fact.: -24.8K πŸ“‰

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⚠️ Canada β€” Unemployment Rate at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 6.8%

πŸ•’ Exp: 6.8%

🎯 Fact.: 6.5% πŸ“ˆ
▢️ Pro News Weekly: Dollars Comeback as Stocks Split, Gold Wobbles and Bitcoin Slips

Welcome to Pro News Weekly!

πŸ’΅ The U.S. dollar regains safe-haven status as geopolitical risks and market sell-offs drive demand

πŸ“‰ Stock indices diverge, with tech under pressure while cyclical sectors gain ground

🧈 Gold struggles to regain credibility after its biggest sell-off in decades

πŸͺ™ Bitcoin keeps sliding as confidence fades and capital stays on the sidelines

Will the upcoming jobs and inflation data change the direction of markets?

πŸ”” Like, share, and subscribe for more weekly updates from FxPro!

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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US premarket: mixed dynamic πŸ“ˆ πŸ“‰

Some of the largest tech giants are growing steadily, while other liquid names remain under pressure, which does not form a clear risk trend.

In the financial sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) shares are down -0.26%, while JPMorgan Chase (JPM) shares are up +0.67%.

In the electronics sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) shares are up +3.16%, while Apple (AAPL) shares are down moderately by -0.20%.

In the Consumer Services sector, McDonald's (MCD) shares are down -0.34%, while Disney (DIS) shares are down -0.33%.

The growth of individual mega caps in tech and healthcare is offset by a noticeable decline in AMZN and GOOGL, so capital flows within the US are unevenly distributed without a pronounced risk aversion or risk-on sentiment. In the currency market, the backdrop for the US dollar is neutral, with no increase in demand for defensive dollar assets, but no signs of systemic pressure on the dollar either, suggesting that the exchange rate will fluctuate around current levels without a sustained trend.
Gold tries to prove that the bull trend is not yet broken

After the most significant sell-off since 1980, gold is attempting to stabilise. Bears argue that the bubble has burst and events will unfold as they did in 2011. Back then, after falling from record highs, the precious metal entered a multi-year downtrend. Bank of America notes that volatility remains elevated. This allows us to talk about gold as a speculative asset and reduces central banks' demand for bullion. This is especially true given some recovery of confidence in the US dollar.

Bulls argue that the fundamentals of the gold market remain intact. US government debt is growing rapidly, which devalues Treasuries and the greenback. Political and geopolitical risks remain high. The Fed will resume its cycle of policy easing. Also, precious metals do not seem expensive at these levels. The Dow Jones index exceeded its value by 1.3 times in 1980, and during the dot-com crisis, its ratio soared above 40. Currently, it is just over 10.

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FxPro pinned Β«πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/02/08 (GMT) 02:00 πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Lower House Elections 06:40 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ BOE Governor Andrew Bailey Speaks [Updated in real time]Β»
FxPro pinned Β«πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/02/09 (GMT) 18:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ FOMC Member Christopher J. Waller Speaks [Updated in real time]Β»
πŸ€– AI Battle

We asked 4 AIs to predict the price of WTI for Friday, February 13th.

Which one do you think is closest?

Comment your pick β€” and tell us what we should analyse next! πŸ‘‡
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Bitcoin has encountered new resistance

The crypto market cap has declined by approximately 10% over the past seven days to $2.36 trillion. Ironically, this appears to be positive news, as it represents a 10% increase from Friday's lows. However, we remain very sceptical about the near future, as the recovery momentum lost steam over the weekend, encountering a sell-off near the $2.4T level. Perhaps we have only seen a bounce on the way down, which is not yet complete.

The sentiment index plunged to 6 over the weekend, repeating the lows of June 18-19 from 2022, and we have only seen this indicator lower on August 22, 2019. By Monday, this indicator had recovered to 14, following the quotes. These are still too low levels for confident purchases.

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Important events of the new week: NFP, inflation, and the Middle East

Another shutdown has delayed the publication of important macroeconomic statistics.

As a result, the monthly jobs report will be released on the 11th of February. Bloomberg experts predict an acceleration in employment growth from 50K to 68K in January, with the unemployment rate stable at 4.4%.

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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US premarket: mixed dynamic πŸ“ˆ πŸ“‰

The growth of individual leaders is offset by the decline of some mega-caps, which creates a neutral risk sentiment.

In the Electronic Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) shares are down -0.64%, while Apple (AAPL) shares are down -0.13%.

In the finance sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) shares are down -0.36%, while JPMorgan Chase (JPM) shares are down -0.29%.

In the Technology Services sector, Microsoft (MSFT) shares are up +1.02%, while Alphabet (GOOGL) shares are down -0.45%.

The mixed dynamics of the largest US companies do not form a clear risk-on or risk-off regime: demand for defensive dollar assets and treasury bonds remains moderate, and short-term expectations for the dollar are neutral.
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