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⚠️ USA β€” Producer Price Index at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 0.2% | 3.0%

πŸ•’ Exp: 0.2% | 2.7%

🎯 Fact.: 0.5% πŸ“ˆ | 3.0% πŸ“ˆ

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⚠️ USA β€” Core PPI at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 0.0% | 3.0%

πŸ•’ Exp: 0.2% | 2.9%

🎯 Fact.: 0.7% πŸ“ˆ | 3.3% πŸ“ˆ

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⚠️ Canada β€” Gross Domestic Product at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: -0.3% | 0.5%

πŸ•’ Exp: 0.1% | 0.7%

🎯 Fact.: 0.0% πŸ“‰ | 0.6% πŸ“‰
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Crypto is looking for support

The crypto market cap fell by around 5% to $2.82 trillion over the last 24 hours, and it twice touched $2.78 trillion, the lowest level since April last year. As we expected, the downward momentum in the commodity and stock markets only increased pressure on the cryptocurrency market, and the sell-off occurred at elevated volumes as market participants tightened their stop orders during the prolonged consolidation. Our worst-case scenario assumes a decline to the $1.8-2T range, with an extension to 161.8% of the initial downward momentum in October-November.

The Crypto Sentiment index fell to 16 by Friday. This is the lowest level in the last six weeks and a return to extreme fear, from which it was only possible to escape for two days during this week. We never tire of reminding you that although such sentiment values are perceived as a buying opportunity, a more cautious approach suggests buying when exiting the territory of extreme fear, to avoid the risks of sharp downward slippage.

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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US pre-market: Mostly negative πŸ“‰

Major indices are under pressure from sell-offs in the largest technology and financial companies.

In the Electronic Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) shares are down -1.16%, while Micron Technology (MU) shares are up +3.86%.

In the Technology Services sector, Alphabet (GOOGL) shares are down -1.01%, while Microsoft (MSFT) shares are up +0.52%.

In the Financial sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) shares are down -0.34%, while JPMorgan Chase (JPM) shares are down -0.35%.

The predominance of declines in highly liquid securities indicates a prevailing risk-off sentiment: some capital is shifting to defensive dollar instruments, including US Treasury bonds, which, in the short term, is creating a moderately supportive backdrop for the dollar.
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Where gold is heading

This week, we saw the long-awaited upward slide, which finally knocked out the short sellers and triggered a powerful sell-off, which often follows moments of final destruction for those who stood against the market. Interestingly, Thursday and Friday's dramatic events, with a cumulative price decline of 10% from the peak, have kept the price close to the week's opening level. However, we are confident that the rally has already peaked. This is easy to see in the synchronous sell-off across all metals that followed the spectacular new highs in both nominal and relative terms across many metrics.

As for the potential for a decline in gold, the first target appears to be the $4,700 area, which is a typical correction area of 61.8% of the last rally since August. Given the sharp decline and apparent overheating earlier, the market could reach this level as early as next week. However, in the longer term, up to a year, we see the potential for a more profound decline, between $3,600 and $4,000, which would correct all the growth since 2022.

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FxPro pinned Β«πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/01/31 (GMT) 01:30 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ ⚑️ Manufacturing PMI β€” Exp: 50.1 Actual: 49.3 01:30 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ Non-Manufacturing PMI β€” Exp: 50.3 Actual: 49.4 [Updated in real time]Β»
⚠️ China β€” Manufacturing PMI at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 50.1

πŸ•’ Exp: 50.1

🎯 Fact.: 49.3 πŸ“‰
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πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/02/02 (GMT)

01:45 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ Markit Manufacturing PMI β€” Exp: 50.1 Actual: 50.3

08:50 πŸ‡«πŸ‡· Manufacturing PMI β€” Exp: 51.0 Actual: 51.2

08:55 πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Manufacturing PMI β€” Exp: 48.7 Actual: 49.1

09:00 πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Manufacturing PMI β€” Exp: 49.4 Actual: 49.5

09:30 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Manufacturing PMI β€” Exp: 51.6 Actual: 51.8

14:30 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Actual: 50.4

14:45 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Manufacturing PMI β€” Exp: 51.9 Actual: 52.4

15:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ ISM Manufacturing PMI β€” Exp: 48.5 Actual: 52.6


[Updated in real time]
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FxPro pinned Β«πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/02/02 (GMT) 01:45 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ Markit Manufacturing PMI β€” Exp: 50.1 Actual: 50.3 08:50 πŸ‡«πŸ‡· Manufacturing PMI β€” Exp: 51.0 Actual: 51.2 08:55 πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Manufacturing PMI β€” Exp: 48.7 Actual: 49.1 09:00 πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Manufacturing PMI β€” Exp: 49.4…»