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Major coins dragged the market down

The cryptocurrency market capitalisation fell by 2.7% to $2.94T. Buyers failed to keep the market above the $3 trillion threshold but managed to stabilise prices for key cryptocurrencies above last month's lows. Bitcoin lost 4%, Ethereum and XRP lost about 6%, and Solana lost 5%. These major coins, which have ETFs, now appear to be victims of changing institutional sentiment.

The sentiment index fell to 11, rolling back to its lowest level in precisely one month. Such a deep dive into the fear zone confirms that we are seeing more than just an interim correction, which occurred in February and April.

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The dollar remains focused on the labour market

The US dollar weakened significantly in 2025, and its fate depends on central banks.

The ECB will have a reason to intervene, while the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan may not rush into action.

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⚠️ USA β€” ADP Weekly Employment Change at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 2.8K

🎯 Fact.: 16.3K
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⚠️ USA β€” Non-Farm Employment Change at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: -105K

πŸ•’ Exp: 50K

🎯 Fact.: 64K πŸ“ˆ

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⚠️ USA β€” Unemployment Rate at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 4.4%

πŸ•’ Exp: 4.5%

🎯 Fact.: 4.6% πŸ“‰

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⚠️ USA β€” Retail Sales at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 0.2% | 0.3%

πŸ•’ Exp: 0.1% | 0.2%

🎯 Fact.: 0.0% πŸ“‰ | 0.4% πŸ“ˆ
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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US pre-market: Mixed πŸ“ˆ πŸ“‰

In the Electronic Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) shares are up +0.43%, while Broadcom (AVGO) shares are down -0.81%.

In the finance sector, JPMorgan Chase (JPM) shares are up 0.14%, while Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) is virtually unchanged, down 0.04%.

In the Consumer Services sector, Amazon (AMZN) shares are up 0.32%, while Walmart (WMT) shares are up 0.06%.

Selective dynamics with moderate gains by individual market leaders are supporting the dollar by attracting targeted investment flows. Still, there is no clear momentum for broad strengthening amid mixed signals from major companies.
The US economy added 64,000 jobs in November, according to the latest BLS estimate. This is slightly above 50,000, but follows a 105,000 decline in October. This softer data is putting pressure on the dollar, as markets bet that more interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve are likely next year.
▢️ Pro News Flash: Bitcoin Is Stuck While Billion Dollar Buyers Step In

πŸ›Ÿ Bitcoin is having a hard time staying afloat, even as major players step in to buy.

πŸ’΅ Strategy has been purchasing nearly $1 billion worth of Bitcoin for two weeks straight, raising questions about whether this is smart accumulation or market support during a deeper downturn.

Unrealized losses among recent Bitcoin buyers are climbing, while investors sell into small price rallies to limit damage.

Bitcoin’s growing correlation issues with traditional markets and criticism from firms like Vanguard are also putting pressure on its long term narrative.

πŸ€– Meanwhile, investors may be rotating out of big tech and into small caps with the Russell 2000 now outperforming the Nasdaq 100.

Is Bitcoin part of this shift, or is it being left behind?

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πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2025/12/17 (GMT)

07:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ ⚑️ Consumer Price Index β€” Exp: 0.0% | 3.5% Actual: -0.2% | 3.2%

07:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Core CPI β€” Exp: 3.4% Actual: 3.2%

07:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Retail Price Index β€” Exp: 0.0% | 4.2% Actual: -0.5% | 3.8%

07:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Producer Price Index Input β€” Exp: 0.2% | 0.4% Actual: 0.3% | 1.1%

09:00 πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Ifo Business Climate β€” Exp: 88.2 Actual: 87.6

09:00 πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ IFO - Current Assessment β€” Exp: 85.7 Actual: 85.6

09:00 πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ IFO - Expectations β€” Exp: 90.5 Actual: 89.7

10:00 πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Consumer Price Index β€” Exp: 2.2% Actual: 2.1%

10:00 πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Consumer Price Index - Core β€” Exp: 2.4% Actual: 2.4%

15:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Crude Oil Inventories β€” Exp: -2000K Actual: -1274K

21:45 πŸ‡³πŸ‡Ώ ⚑️ Gross Domestic Product β€” Exp: 0.9% | 1.3%


[Updated in real time]
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FxPro pinned Β«πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2025/12/17 (GMT) 07:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ ⚑️ Consumer Price Index β€” Exp: 0.0% | 3.5% Actual: -0.2% | 3.2% 07:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Core CPI β€” Exp: 3.4% Actual: 3.2% 07:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Retail Price Index β€” Exp: 0.0% | 4.2% Actual: -0.5% | 3.8% 07:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Producer…»
⚠️ UK β€” Consumer Price Index at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 0.4% | 3.6%

πŸ•’ Exp: 0.0% | 3.5%

🎯 Fact.: -0.2% πŸ“‰ | 3.2% πŸ“‰
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The crypto rebound fades with a 40% drop possible

The crypto market capitalisation has changed little over the past 24 hours to $2.96T, remaining close to its late November lows. In the short term, the situation suggests that the rebound has run its course, and we should prepare for a new downward momentum, similar to what was observed in early October. If it falls below $2.75T, it will open a direct path to the $1.8T area, according to the Fibonacci extension pattern. Very close by, in the $1.8T–$1.9T area, is the area of local lows for 2024, which reinforces its importance.

Bitcoin rose to $88K on Tuesday and then returned below $87K on Wednesday afternoon. As with the market as a whole, we are seeing impressive selling pressure with short pauses for a rebound. Bitcoin is still underperforming the stock market. However, this time we see it more as a sign of internal weakness in the crypto market and widespread profit-taking, rather than a bad omen for stocks, but it cannot be completely ruled out.

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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US pre-market: Mixed πŸ“ˆ πŸ“‰

In the Technology Services sector, Alphabet (GOOGL) shares are up 0.29%, while Microsoft (MSFT) shares are up 0.12%.

In the finance sector, JPMorgan Chase (JPM) shares are up 0.46%, while Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) shares are down slightly by 0.01%.

In the Consumer Discretionary sector, Tesla (TSLA) shares are down 0.46%, while in the Retail sector, Amazon (AMZN) shares are up 1.00%.

Mixed dynamics in key sectors and the absence of a clear trend among companies with the largest market capitalisation maintain uncertainty regarding the investment climate, which creates short-term instability for the dollar.
The labour market did not scare the Fed

The Fed is in no hurry to cut rates, and Hassett is unlikely to accelerate the Fed's cycle.

The yen is concerned about the carry trade, while the ECB breathed a sigh of relief.

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πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2025/12/18 (GMT)

00:00 πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί MI Inflation Expectations Actual: 4.7%

12:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ ⚑️ Bank of England Interest Rate Decision β€” Exp: 3.75% Actual: 3.75%

12:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ ⚑️ MPC Official Bank Rate Votes β€” Exp: 0-5-4 Actual: 0-5-4

12:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ ⚑️ Monetary Policy Summary

12:30 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ ⚑️ BOE Governor Andrew Bailey Speaks

13:15 πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί ⚑️ ECB Interest Rate Decision β€” Exp: 2.15% Actual: 2.15

13:15 πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Deposit Facility Rate β€” Exp: 2.00% Actual: 2.00%

13:15 πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Marginal lending facility β€” Exp: 2.40% Actual: 2.40%

13:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ Unemployment Claims β€” Exp: 225K Actual: 224K

13:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Continuing Claims β€” Exp: 1940K Actual: 1897K

13:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Philly Fed Manufacturing Index β€” Exp: 2.5 Actual: -10.2

13:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ Consumer Price Index β€” Exp: | 3.1% Actual: 0.2% | 2.7%

13:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ Core CPI β€” Exp: | 3.0% Actual: 0.2% | 2.6%

13:45 πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί ⚑️ ECB Press Conference

21:45 πŸ‡³πŸ‡Ώ Trade Balance β€” Exp: -1185M

23:30 πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ ⚑️ National Consumer Price Index

23:30 πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ National Consumer Price Index Ex-Fresh Food β€” Exp: 3.0%


[Updated in real time]
FxPro pinned Β«πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2025/12/18 (GMT) 00:00 πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί MI Inflation Expectations Actual: 4.7% 12:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ ⚑️ Bank of England Interest Rate Decision β€” Exp: 3.75% Actual: 3.75% 12:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ ⚑️ MPC Official Bank Rate Votes β€” Exp: 0-5-4 Actual: 0-5-4 12:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ βš‘οΈβ€¦Β»