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The euro’s fight back

The eurozone economy is stable, and Ukraine's de-escalation is helping EURUSD.

The Fed may still cut rates in December, and Japan has announced fiscal stimulus measures.

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Crypto market rebounds after collapse

The crypto market appears to have found a foothold last Friday, adding 5% to its lows and recovering to $2.94 trillion. At the same time, the market is now more than 9% lower than it was seven days ago. This is a timid rebound after a devastating collapse. But in this situation, we can see some green shoots for the near future.

The sentiment index rose to 19, remaining in the territory of extreme fear but breaking out of the narrow range where it had been trading for ten days since November 13th. All this looks like a good, but short-term signal to buy in anticipation of a rebound after excessive overselling.

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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US pre-market: Mostly positive πŸ“ˆ

In the Electronic Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) shares are up +0.68%, and Apple (AAPL) is up +0.30%.

In the Financial sector, JPMorgan Chase (JPM) shares are up 0.47%, and Morgan Stanley (MS) is up 1.67%.

In the consumer durables sector, Tesla (TSLA) shares are up 2.05%, and in the transportation sector, Uber (UBER) is up 0.33%.

The dominant growth of the largest companies is supporting demand for risk, which contributes to capital inflows and creates conditions for a potential strengthening of the dollar in the short term.
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We asked 4 AIs to predict the price of this week’s instrument. πŸ€–πŸ“ˆ
Which one do you think is closest?
Comment your pick β€” and tell us what we should analyse next! πŸ‘‡
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Which one do you think is closest?
Anonymous Poll
43%
ChatGPT
25%
Gemini
16%
Grok
16%
DeepSeek
πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2025/11/25 (GMT)

07:00 πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Gross Domestic Product β€” Exp: 0.0% | 0.3% Actual: 0.0% | 0.3%

13:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ Producer Price Index β€” Exp: 0.3% | 2.7% Actual: 0.3% | 2.7%

13:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ Core PPI β€” Exp: 0.2% | 2.7% Actual: 0.1% | 2.9%

13:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ Retail Sales β€” Exp: 0.4% | 0.3% Actual: 0.2% | 0.3%

14:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ S&P/Case-Shiller 20 City β€” Exp: 1.4% Actual: 1.4%

15:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Pending Home Sales β€” Exp: 0.5% Actual: 1.9% | -0.4%

15:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Richmond Manufacturing Index β€” Exp: -5 Actual: -15

15:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ CB Consumer Confidence β€” Exp: 93.4 Actual: 88.7


[Updated in real time]
FxPro pinned Β«πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2025/11/25 (GMT) 07:00 πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Gross Domestic Product β€” Exp: 0.0% | 0.3% Actual: 0.0% | 0.3% 13:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ Producer Price Index β€” Exp: 0.3% | 2.7% Actual: 0.3% | 2.7% 13:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ Core PPI β€” Exp: 0.2% | 2.7% Actual: 0.1% | 2.9%…»
The crypto market is only supported by America

The crypto market capitalisation has recovered to a round figure of $3.0 trillion, adding 1.3% over the past day. Once again, crypto was pulled along by the American stock market, whose sharply positive dynamics broke the dull trading trend of the first half of Monday. But at the start of the new day, the markets are again lacking American optimism, and we are seeing pressure on quotes with the closing of American stock exchanges.

Bitcoin rose to $89K at its peak last night but fell back to $87K in the morning. Since last Friday, BTCUSD has formed an upward trend, rebounding from its upper limit overnight. However, over the past seven weeks, Bitcoin has still had a sharply negative dynamic, within which the latest growth looks like a rebound. In this case, it would be wise to closely monitor signs of a rebound exhaustion. The first such signal would be a consolidation below the $85K level.

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The Fed may pause after December cut

The US economy is strong, thanks to spending on AI.

The Fed is easing interest rates while tightening forecasts, but the Trump factor has not yet played out.

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⚠️ USA β€” Producer Price Index at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: -0.1% | 2.6%

πŸ•’ Exp: 0.3% | 2.7%

🎯 Fact.: 0.3% | 2.7%

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⚠️ USA β€” Core PPI at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: -0.1% | 2.8%

πŸ•’ Exp: 0.2% | 2.7%

🎯 Fact.: 0.1% πŸ“‰ | 2.9% πŸ“ˆ

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⚠️ USA β€” Retail Sales at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 0.6% | 0.6%

πŸ•’ Exp: 0.4% | 0.3%

🎯 Fact.: 0.2% πŸ“‰ | 0.3%
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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US pre-market: Mostly negative πŸ“‰

In the Electronic Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) shares are down -4.74%, and Apple (AAPL) shares are down -0.63%.

In the finance sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) shares are down slightly by -0.01%, while Morgan Stanley (MS) shares are up +0.47%.

In the Technology Services sector, Google (GOOGL) shares are up +3.80%, while Microsoft (MSFT) shares are down -0.56%.

Overall, a wide range of declines among the largest capitalisation companies is creating negative market sentiment, which could increase capital outflows and weaken the US dollar in the short term.