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The S&P 500 keeps going north

The higher the S&P 500 climbs, the more comparisons are made to the dot-com crisis. At the beginning of the 21st century, inflated valuations of internet companies triggered a collapse in the US stock market. In contrast, today's tech giants are performing very well. The third-quarter corporate reporting season is the strongest in four years. Already, 60% of issuers have reported their results. Most of them exceeded earnings forecasts.

Bank of America notes that global equity ETFs attracted $17.2 billion by the end of the week on October 29th. Any positive news about artificial intelligence boosts US stock indices. For example, news of a multi-year $38 billion deal between Amazon and OpenAI, as well as Microsoft's permission to supply NVIDIA chips to Saudi Arabia, led to a rally in the stocks of the Magnificent Seven.

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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US pre-market: Mostly negative πŸ“‰

In the Technology Services sector, Alphabet (GOOGL) shares are down -2.36%, while Oracle (ORCL) shares are down -2.99%.

In the Financial sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) shares are up 0.07%, while Bank of America (BAC) shares are down 0.90%.

In the Consumer Discretionary sector, Tesla (TSLA) shares are down -3.09%, while General Motors (GM) shares are losing -0.75%.

Widespread sell-offs in large companies could accelerate capital outflows and put pressure on the dollar.
πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2025/11/05 (GMT)

00:00 πŸ‡³πŸ‡Ώ RBNZ Governor Christian Hawkesby Speaks

01:45 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ Markit Composite PMI Actual: 51.8

01:45 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ Markit Services PMI β€” Exp: 52.6 Actual: 52.6

08:50 πŸ‡«πŸ‡· Services PMI β€” Exp: 47.1 Actual: 48.0

08:50 πŸ‡«πŸ‡· PMI Composite β€” Exp: 46.8 Actual: 47.7

08:55 πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Services PMI β€” Exp: 54.5 Actual: 54.6

08:55 πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ PMI Composite β€” Exp: 53.8 Actual: 53.9

09:00 πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Services PMI β€” Exp: 52.6 Actual: 53.0

09:00 πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί PMI Composite β€” Exp: 52.2 Actual: 52.5

09:30 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Services PMI β€” Exp: 51.1 Actual: 52.3

09:30 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ PMI Composite β€” Exp: 51.1 Actual: 52.2

13:15 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ ADP Non-Farm Employment Change β€” Exp: 31K Actual: 42K

14:45 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Services PMI β€” Exp: 55.2 Actual: 54.8

14:45 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ PMI Composite β€” Exp: 54.8 Actual: 54.6

15:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ ISM Services PMI β€” Exp: 50.8 Actual: 52.4

15:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Crude Oil Inventories β€” Exp: -2400K Actual: 5.202K

21:30 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ ⚑️ BOC Governor Tiff Macklem Speaks


[Updated in real time]
FxPro pinned Β«πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2025/11/05 (GMT) 00:00 πŸ‡³πŸ‡Ώ RBNZ Governor Christian Hawkesby Speaks 01:45 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ Markit Composite PMI Actual: 51.8 01:45 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ Markit Services PMI β€” Exp: 52.6 Actual: 52.6 08:50 πŸ‡«πŸ‡· Services PMI β€” Exp: 47.1 Actual: 48.0 08:50 πŸ‡«πŸ‡· PMI…»
⚠️ New Zealand β€” Employment Change at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: -0.1% | -0.9%

πŸ•’ Exp: 0.1% | -0.2%

🎯 Fact.: 0.0% πŸ“‰ | -0.6% πŸ“‰

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⚠️ New Zealand β€” Unemployment Rate at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 5.2%

πŸ•’ Exp: 5.3%

🎯 Fact.: 5.3%
If the 4-year cycles are still alive, BTC faces a pullback to $70K

The crypto market continues its impressive decline, losing another 2.4% over the past 24 hours. Having fallen to a low of $3.3 trillion, the market is now at its lowest point since early July. A steady move below the 200-day moving average and a drop of more than 20% from its peak are sure signs of a bear market. Perhaps crypto enthusiasts are confident that this is a temporary decline, similar to the one seen in March and April. However, we would prefer not to rule out the possibility of another bear market starting in the coming years. At a time when many have buried the 4-year cycles, we still see that they have only lost amplitude but have generally retained their influence. According to these patterns, the market is close to or has already passed its peak for the next couple of years, which explains the intense selling pressure since October.

Bitcoin fell to five-digit price levels overnight, touching lows just below $99,000 twice. BTC traded steadily below these levels from February to May. And then there was a psychologically significant consolidation period in December and January. The market is now undergoing a critical test. Another step down will open the way to the $60,000-$70,000 range. However, there is a theoretical chance that BTC will quickly rebound by the end of the week from the 50-week moving average, which has served as a global support since the first half of 2023.

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⚠️ USA β€” ADP Non-Farm Employment Change at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: -29K

πŸ•’ Exp: 31K

🎯 Fact.: 42K πŸ“ˆ
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US pre-market: Mixed dynamics πŸ“‰πŸ“ˆ

In the Electronic Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) shares are up +0.57%, while AMD (AMD) shares are down βˆ’2.01%.

In the financial sector, JPMorgan Chase (JPM) shares are up 0.24%, while Bank of America (BAC) shares are down 1.10%.

In the Consumer Discretionary sector, Tesla (TSLA) shares are up +1.51%, while in the Technology sector, Microsoft (MSFT) shares are down βˆ’0.08%.

Mixed signals from key sectors are creating uncertainty for the dollar in the short term, making the market sensitive to upcoming macroeconomic data and investment flows.
⚠️ USA β€” ISM Services PMI at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 50.0

πŸ•’ Exp: 50.8

🎯 Fact.: 52.4 πŸ“ˆ
▢️ Pro News Flash: AI Fuels the S&P 500 Rally

Welcome to Pro News Flash! Artificial intelligence is powering Wall Street’s latest surge as the S&P 500 climbs higher, but can it last? πŸ€–πŸ’Ή

We break down the key factors behind the rally:

β€’ AI-driven growth and record Q3 earnings

β€’ A $38B Amazon–OpenAI deal boosting tech stocks

β€’ Seasonal tailwinds supporting US indices

β€’ Why the Fed’s next move could make or break the rally

Despite rising optimism, soaring AI costs and Fed uncertainty could still test investors’ nerves.

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πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2025/11/06 (GMT)

09:30 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Construction PMI β€” Exp: 46.7 Actual: 44.1

12:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ ⚑️ Bank of England Interest Rate Decision β€” Exp: 4.00% Actual: 4.00%

12:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ ⚑️ MPC Official Bank Rate Votes β€” Exp: 0-3-6 Actual: 0-4-5

12:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ ⚑️ Monetary Policy Summary

12:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ ⚑️ BOE Monetary Policy Report

12:30 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ ⚑️ BOE Governor Andrew Bailey Speaks

15:00 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Ivey PMI β€” Exp: 55.2 Actual: 52.4 | 51.7

15:30 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ ⚑️ BOC Governor Tiff Macklem Speaks

20:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ FOMC Member Christopher J. Waller Speaks


[Updated in real time]
FxPro pinned Β«πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2025/11/06 (GMT) 09:30 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Construction PMI β€” Exp: 46.7 Actual: 44.1 12:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ ⚑️ Bank of England Interest Rate Decision β€” Exp: 4.00% Actual: 4.00% 12:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ ⚑️ MPC Official Bank Rate Votes β€” Exp: 0-3-6 Actual: 0-4-5 12:00…»
⚠️ Canada β€” BOC Governor Tiff Macklem Speaks at 21:30 GMT