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Oil rebound, not yet a trend reversal

Oil ended the week up over 4%, continuing the rebound that began on 9 April following a strong rally due to tariff postponement. Prices managed to recover from 4-year lows by more than 16%, which is impressive and brings the market closer to bullish territory. However, the situation currently appears more like a rebound before a possible further decline than a reliable reversal.

Brent remains below the key level of $71, which has served as strong support for two years and may now become equally strong resistance. WTI is similarly holding below $66, where buying has stabilised the market for almost four consecutive years, preventing it from consolidating below this level.

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Pro News Video: Gold Explodes Past All-Time Highs as Dollar Crumbles

Markets are on edge: gold is smashing through all-time highs, the dollar is teetering under the weight of trade tensions, and crypto is losing steam just shy of a breakout. In this week’s Pro News Weekly, we break down the Fed’s tough talk, the stock market’s fear-driven dips, and whether Bitcoin can hold its groundβ€”or if $3,500 gold is the real headline. Like and subscribe for all the latest updates.

00:10 Dollar: Tariffs Ruin β€˜Exorbitant Privilege’

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FxPro pinned Β«πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2025/04/21 (GMT) 01:00 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ Loan Prime Rate β€” Exp: 3.10% | 3.60% Actual: 3.10% | 3.60% 22:45 πŸ‡³πŸ‡Ώ Trade Balance β€” Exp: 80M [Updated in real time]Β»
Bitcoin Starts Breaking Resistance

The crypto market has gained 2% over the past 24 hours, reaching $2.75 trillion. This marks a surge to the highest levels in three and a half weeks and an attempt to break upwards from a prolonged consolidation. At this stage, attention is focused on top-tier coins β€” BTC, ETH, XRP, and BNB β€” all gaining over 2%. However, among slightly smaller-cap coins, performance remains quite varied.

Bitcoin jumped to $87,500 on Monday, testing the late March highs. The leading cryptocurrency managed to bounce off the 50-day moving average, around which it had been hovering for the past week and a half. A solid close above the $88,000 area would signal a break in the downtrend and a return to levels above the 200-day moving average.

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The Dollar Repeats Its Bearish Pattern of the 1980s and 2000s

After four consecutive weeks of decline, the dollar index started the new Monday by continuing its move into the territory of three-year lows. Once again, a worrying sign is that this dollar weakness is not translating into buying in stocks or bonds β€” their indices are also losing ground.

From a technical standpoint, the dollar index has broken through the 161.8% level of the initial impulse from the highs at the start of the year to a significant pause in early March. The DXY received little to no support around the 99–100 area, which had triggered reversals over the past two years.

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What is next: Euro Area PMI and US Durable Goods Orders

The following economic data events are worth paying attention to in the new week.

Wednesday will see the release of preliminary PMI estimates for April, which could have a noticeable impact on sentiment on the Euro and European equities. A strong recovery in business activity began in December but could be shattered by tariff fears, as was the case with the ZEW reading for Germany in the outgoing week.

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FxPro pinned Β«πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2025/04/22 (GMT) 13:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ FOMC Member Philip N. Jefferson Speaks 14:00 πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί ECB President Christine Lagarde Speaks [Updated in real time]Β»
Crypto Market Escapes from Fear

The crypto market has gained around 2% over the past seven days, with most of the increase coming at the start of this week. With a market capitalisation of $2.76 trillion, the crypto market has reached the upper boundary of its April range. For now, it can be noted that the market managed to find support at the key $2.45 trillion levelβ€”a former resistance zone last year that became the launchpad for the rally starting in November.

Sentiment is also recovering, with the relevant index rising to 47, matching the highs of 27 March. This marks a promising move from the fear zone into neutral territory. Such shifts are often followed by continued market strength after a pullback.

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πŸ‘Top earning picks: Tesla, Boeing, Lockheed & more!

Check out FxPro’s top picks for the week ahead. We believe that these earnings reports may significantly impact the following stock prices.

Prepare for volatility and check the earnings calendar for margin requirements here.
Note: Dates and times are subject to change.
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Gold down $50 after touching $3500. A reversal?
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52%
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48%
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