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US Dollar Suffers Amidst Inflation Data and Expectations

The US dollar is nearly in free fall. The primary reason is the sell-off in US bonds, which has not spared even short-term securities that typically serve as a safe haven. The anti-dollar sentiment is fuelled by the weak inflation data released over the past few days.

Consumer prices for March decreased by 0.1%, and the annual rate of inflation fell to 2.4%, compared to expectations of an increase of 0.1% and 2.5%, respectively. Friday's producer price figures were even more divergent from expectations. The overall price index dropped by 0.4% against an anticipated increase of 0.2%. Annual inflation slowed from 3.2% to 2.7%, in contrast to average forecasts predicting an acceleration to 3.3%.

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Video: Massive Market Reversal or Total Collapse? The Charts Are Screaming…

Are we witnessing the beginning of a dollar collapse? Or is this just the calm before an even bigger financial storm?

In this episode of Pro News Weekly, we break down one of the most dramatic weeks in the markets β€” including a record-breaking S&P500 surge, the dollar index slipping below a critical 3-year support line, and gold closing the week at all-time highs.

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πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2025/04/14 (GMT)

03:03 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ Trade Balance β€” Exp: 74.3B | 537B Actual: 102.6B | 737B

17:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ FOMC Member Christopher J. Waller Speaks

23:40 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ FOMC Member Raphael W. Bostic Speaks


[Updated in real time]
FxPro pinned Β«πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2025/04/14 (GMT) 03:03 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ Trade Balance β€” Exp: 74.3B | 537B Actual: 102.6B | 737B 17:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ FOMC Member Christopher J. Waller Speaks 23:40 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ FOMC Member Raphael W. Bostic Speaks [Updated in real time]Β»
The crypto market rebounds sharply, but what’s next?

Crypto market capitalisation has risen by 13% over the past seven days, although there was no significant change over the weekend. This generally looks like a rebound after a drop. Only a rise above the local highs of $2.85 trillion will signal an upturn.

Market sentiment has moved out of the β€˜extreme fear’ area into the β€˜fear’ area, reaching 31. The index has been in the range of 18-45 for the last seven days, showing positive dynamics and supporting the improvement of market sentiment.

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What is next: US Retail Sales and BoC & ECB Rates

In the week ahead, trade tariffs are set to dominate global attention around the clock, though key scheduled events will still remain important.

On Wednesday, the US retail sales data is worth watching. The last three reports have come in significantly below expectations but talk of tariffs this time may encourage consumers to shop more aggressively. This is usually good news for the markets, but in the current situation, it is more of a reminder of the changes in the economy.

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πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2025/04/15 (GMT)

01:30 πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί ⚑️ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes

06:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Claimant Count Change β€” Exp: 30.3K Actual: 18.7K

06:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Unemployment Rate β€” Exp: 4.4% Actual: 4.4%

06:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Average Earnings Index β€” Exp: 5.7% | 6.0% Actual: 5.6% | 5.9%

09:00 πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ ZEW Economic Sentiment β€” Exp: 10.6 Actual: -14.0

09:00 πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ ZEW Survey (Current Situation) β€” Exp: -86.0 Actual: -81.2

09:00 πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί ZEW Economic Sentiment β€” Exp: 14.2 Actual: -18.5

12:30 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ ⚑️ Consumer Price Index β€” Exp: 0.7% | 2.6% Actual: 0.3% | 2.3%

12:30 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Core CPI Actual: 0.1% | 2.2%

12:30 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Common Core CPI β€” Exp: 2.4% Actual: 2.3%

12:30 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Median Core CPI β€” Exp: 2.9% Actual: 2.9%

12:30 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Trimmed Core CPI β€” Exp: 2.9% Actual: 2.8%

12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Empire State Manufacturing Index β€” Exp: -12.8 Actual: -8.1

16:00 πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί ECB President Christine Lagarde Speaks


[Updated in real time]
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FxPro pinned Β«πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2025/04/15 (GMT) 01:30 πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί ⚑️ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes 06:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Claimant Count Change β€” Exp: 30.3K Actual: 18.7K 06:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Unemployment Rate β€” Exp: 4.4% Actual: 4.4% 06:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Average Earnings Index β€” Exp: 5.7% | 6.0%…»
πŸ“ˆ Solana +20% in 7 days on the verge of Bull Market
Anonymous Poll
64%
BUY ⬆️
36%
SELL ⬇️
πŸ’·GBPUSD rallies for 6th day, nearing October highs πŸ“ˆ
Will the climb continue?
Anonymous Poll
57%
BUY ⬆️
43%
SELL ⬇️
The crypto market gathers strength after the rebound

The cryptocurrency market added 8% over 7 days, stabilising at the $2.7 trillion level since Saturday. This is where the market tried to find support in the last days of March before collapsing at the start of April. A move higher could bolster hopes for further gains, but these expectations will only be confirmed after a solid consolidation above the 200-day moving average, which is now near $2.97 trillion.

Bitcoin continues its cautious rise, trading above its 50-day moving average and reaching $85.7K. This is an important technical attempt to reverse the downtrend. Interestingly, the 200-day average is quite close, so a second confirmation of a trend change could come quite quickly. However, from a pessimistic point of view, it is worth noting that bitcoin has entered a resistance accumulation zone where the strength of the initial rebound may fade.

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πŸ‘œLVMH -7% on weak sales with market cap now below Hermes. Bargain or Not worth it?πŸ€”
Anonymous Poll
43%
BUY ⬆️
57%
SELL ⬇️
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