AUDJPY Wave Analysis – 4 April 2025

- AUDJPY broke support level 90.00

- Likely to fall to support level 88.00

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#Shorts

#USDJPY: Beginning of growth?

EURGBP Wave Analysis – 4 April 2025

- EURGBP broke resistance area

- Likely to rise to resistance level 0.8500

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#Shorts

#Gold ETF: When to buy

Tariff wars made the dollar a risky asset

The fall in the U.S. dollar accelerated at the start of April as the shock of trade tariffs caused capital flight from U.S. assets. We don’t know yet how long this trend will be. In finance, it is often said, “America sneezes, and the world gets a fever.” Even if the problems originated in the US, the impact on the markets of other countries will be more substantial.

The dollar index moved sharply below its previous support, confirming the prevailing downtrend. The technical target of the current drop now looks like the area from 99 to 100. The lower boundary represents the Fibonacci extension of the first impulse. The upper boundary passes through the psychologically significant round level, which stopped the dollar's decline in September-October last year.

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The US index’s demise has accelerated after confirming the downtrend

The tariffs announced by Trump were tougher than expected and were not immediately followed by talks on easing them. This triggered a negative reaction in stock markets around the world, including the US. An important barometer of sentiment, the Fear and Greed Index, plummeted to 6, to a 3-year low. This is considered a time for bold buying. However, it is more prudent at times like this to wait for the indicator to move back from the extreme fear zone below 25.

The S&P500 moved to renew multi-month lows after consolidating and rebounding in the second half of March. The technical turning point was the touch of the 200-day moving average near 5800. This level also coincided with a corrective bounce to 61.8% of the decline from the second half of February. A decisive affirmation of the downtrend opens the way to the 5100 area, taking the US market back to the lows of last August.

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Mad Gold and Crude Oil

Movements in metals have been monumental. A 3% rise deep into the region of all-time highs for Gold was followed by a collapse of more than $100 from $3,170 to $3,050 an ounce. On Friday, trading stabilised near $3100, minimally adding to levels at the opening of the week.

Tactically, this is a good time for the bulls to exhale and lock in profits. This is confirmed by the fulfilment of an important growth target and the entry into extreme overbought on weekly timeframes on RSI. Multi-week corrections started in similar conditions in 2024.

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Video Pro News Weekly

The U.S. dollar takes a major hit as trade tariffs spark capital flight, while global markets feel the ripple effect. Crypto faces a tough battle as Bitcoin struggles below $82K, and oil plummets after a double blow from macroeconomics and OPEC+. Will the Fed tighten its grip, or can markets recover? Tune in for all the latest updates, including crucial inflation data and what’s driving the fear in the markets. Don’t miss out on this week’s financial rollercoaster in Pro News Weekly!



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Gold Wave Analysis – 4 April 2025

- Gold broke daily up channel

- Likely to fall to support level 3000.00

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Nikkei 225 Wave Analysis – 4 April 2025

Nikkei 225: ⬇️ Sell

- Nikkei 225 broke support zone

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2025/04/05 (GMT)

14:00 🇳🇿 Daylight Saving Time Shift

16:00 🇦🇺 Daylight Saving Time Shift


[Updated in real time]

🗓 Economic Calendar at 2025/04/07 (GMT)

14:30 🇺🇸 FOMC Member Adriana D. Kugler Speaks


[Updated in real time]

The crypto market slides down

The crypto market capitalisation took a corkscrew turn over the weekend, falling to $2.35 trillion, a low since mid-2024 and a loss of 11.5% in 24 hours. The market has pulled back to levels seen in early November last year when Trump's victory triggered a break of resistance. At these levels, the market looks emotionally oversold, which increases the chances of a bounce. However, for a rebound to be a reversal, fundamental changes are required, and these are not yet in place.

Crypto market sentiment has returned to the extreme fear zone of 23, which is significantly higher than what we see in equities. Meanwhile, nominal prices are updating multi-month lows. This does not mean that cryptocurrency investors are more confident about the future. Rather, it signals that the sell-off here is more organised, making it more dangerous.

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Silver Wave Analysis – 7 April 2025

- Silver reversed from the support zone

- Likely to rise to resistance level 30.75

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Gold Wave Analysis – 7 April 2025

- Gold reversed from round support level 3000.00

- Likely to rise to resistance level 3100.00

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GBPUSD Wave Analysis – 7 April 2025

- GBPUSD reversed from resistance area

- Likely to fall to support level 1.2700

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CADJPY Wave Analysis – 7 April 2025

- CADJPY reversed from strong support 101.60

- Likely to rise to resistance level 105.00

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Fear and Greed: How to Catch Falling Knives?

Sentiment in financial markets has hit its lowest point in more than five years. The Fear and Greed Index fell to 4 on Friday and fell to just 3 at the start of trading in the new week. In recent history, only a return of the index above 10 was the first early signal of a rebound in growth. We consider a move out of the extreme fear zone, i.e., above the 25 level, to be a more reliable indicator.

Today's index levels are the lows since the end of March 2020, when covid lockdowns stormed markets. Back then, the index's period of single-digit levels lasted from 5 to 23 March. The result was a drop of more than 30% in the S&P 500.

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