🧵Frontline Sentinel – Yampil, Donetsk Oblast, 21/11/2025
🇷🇺Russian offensive: Russian forces have captured the village of Yampil in the Lyman direction of the Donetsk Oblast following Ukrainian withdrawal from the vicinity of the area of operations. Located to the west of Yampil Russian forces have also crossed the T0513 highway advancing in the direction of Dibrova, expanding their western flank around the city of Lyman.
📍Territorial changes: New territorial gains have been recorded via neutral mapping project Suriyak map and confirmed geolocated footage of Russian forces operating within the southern outskirts of Yampil village raising the Russian flags over local houses.
📚Open-source information: Member of Ukrainian 8th SOF regiment stated that organized units within the proximity of Yampil village would have to withdraw in coming days due to increased Russian offensive assaults in the region. Russian telegram channel “Creamy whim” confirmed Russian positions within southern Yampil via a series of drone footage that had been geolocated to the following coordinates 48.944286,37.977763, Yampil, Donetsk Oblast.
🎯Strategic value: Russian control over Yampil enables them to consolidate their positions in proximity to the key city of Lyman, providing a strengthened staging area for future offensive operations toward the Siverskyi Donets River. Securing and expanding the western flank is particularly critical, as it positions Russian forces to threaten and potentially cut off Sloviansk, a major logistical hub supporting the defence of Lyman. Additionally, continued advances from Yampil would allow Russia to increase its control over the right/left bank sectors of the Siverskyi Donets River, further shaping the operational environment and enhancing their ability to isolate Ukrainian defensive groups across the broader Lyman axis.
🇷🇺Russian offensive: Russian forces have captured the village of Yampil in the Lyman direction of the Donetsk Oblast following Ukrainian withdrawal from the vicinity of the area of operations. Located to the west of Yampil Russian forces have also crossed the T0513 highway advancing in the direction of Dibrova, expanding their western flank around the city of Lyman.
📍Territorial changes: New territorial gains have been recorded via neutral mapping project Suriyak map and confirmed geolocated footage of Russian forces operating within the southern outskirts of Yampil village raising the Russian flags over local houses.
📚Open-source information: Member of Ukrainian 8th SOF regiment stated that organized units within the proximity of Yampil village would have to withdraw in coming days due to increased Russian offensive assaults in the region. Russian telegram channel “Creamy whim” confirmed Russian positions within southern Yampil via a series of drone footage that had been geolocated to the following coordinates 48.944286,37.977763, Yampil, Donetsk Oblast.
🎯Strategic value: Russian control over Yampil enables them to consolidate their positions in proximity to the key city of Lyman, providing a strengthened staging area for future offensive operations toward the Siverskyi Donets River. Securing and expanding the western flank is particularly critical, as it positions Russian forces to threaten and potentially cut off Sloviansk, a major logistical hub supporting the defence of Lyman. Additionally, continued advances from Yampil would allow Russia to increase its control over the right/left bank sectors of the Siverskyi Donets River, further shaping the operational environment and enhancing their ability to isolate Ukrainian defensive groups across the broader Lyman axis.
WEEKLY STRIKE TRACK REPORT
🗓 November 17th - November 23rd, 2025
🟥 Russian Attacks on Ukraine
🛩 Drone strikes
• 1157 UAVs (Shahed-type, Gerbera and other types) launched from Kursk, Millerovo, Orel, Bryansk,Hvardiiske (ToT Crimea), Primorsko-Akhtarsk (RF)
• 1070 neutralised
source: Ukrainian Air Force, @kpszsu
🚀 Missile strikes
• 55 missiles strikes
source: General Staff of the ZSU, @GeneralStaffZSU and Ukrainian Air Force @kpszu
💥 Airstrikes
• 908 KAB/UMPK strikes
source: General Staff of the ZSU, @GeneralStaffZSU
🧍♂️casualties
• 70 killed
• 267 injured
source: @CIT_shellings
🗓 November 17th - November 23rd, 2025
🟥 Russian Attacks on Ukraine
🛩 Drone strikes
• 1157 UAVs (Shahed-type, Gerbera and other types) launched from Kursk, Millerovo, Orel, Bryansk,Hvardiiske (ToT Crimea), Primorsko-Akhtarsk (RF)
• 1070 neutralised
source: Ukrainian Air Force, @kpszsu
🚀 Missile strikes
• 55 missiles strikes
source: General Staff of the ZSU, @GeneralStaffZSU and Ukrainian Air Force @kpszu
💥 Airstrikes
• 908 KAB/UMPK strikes
source: General Staff of the ZSU, @GeneralStaffZSU
🧍♂️casualties
• 70 killed
• 267 injured
source: @CIT_shellings
🧵Frontline Sentinel – Myrnohrad, Donetsk Oblast, 28/11/2025
🇷🇺Russian offensive: Russian forces continue to expand their zone of operational control inside and around the encircled Ukrainian defended city of Myrnohrad, Donetsk Oblast. From the 25th to 28th of November, Russian forces moved in two directions inside of the city from both east and west, taking control of the settlement of Rivne and moving to capture the nearby district of Svitle (West) and taking control of the residential high-rise district in the east near to Nova Poshta 85327. Geolocated footage has also shown the reality on the ground of the encirclement by showcasing Ukrainian bottlenecks of logistics and drone strikes on Ukrainian vehicles operating in the vicinity. Wrecks of vehicles stretch as far as the eye can see along the side of dirt roads leading in and out of Myrnohrad and Pokrovsk.
📍Territorial changes: Both neutral and pro Ukrainian mapping projects have acknowledged a full encirclement of Myrnohrad either via Russian controlled territory or massive expansion of the grey zone in the region. Deepstate has acknowledged that Ukrainian forces have lost defensive positions north of Pokrovs'k and North of Myrnohrad, acknowledging the loss of positions and virtual encirclement by Russian forces, however some of these positions are included in the grey zone.
📚Open-source information: The Russian Defence Ministry said units from Russia's 2nd Army were advancing in central and northern Pokrovs'k and that its forces had advanced to the east, west and south of Myrnohrad further strengthening their full ground encirclement of the city.
A Ukrainian soldier from the 25th Separate Airborne Brigade spoke with us personally about the encirclement and his job as a First Person View (FPV) Drone operator, he stated that the encirclement of Ukrainian forces is in place, but some Ukrainian soldiers are able to escape it if they’re lucky, but the presence of Russian forces is constantly shifting within the area of operations. He further claimed that he could not estimate a number of Ukrainian forces that are trapped within the city of Myrnohrad, but he would say that 1000+ personnel remain due to the nature of fighting, which is ongoing within the city.
🎯Strategic value: The full operational encirclement of Myrnohrad has enabled Russian forces to gradually strangle the remaining Ukrainian defenders inside the city, severely limiting their access to ammunition, medical evacuation, and basic supplies. With all major approach routes either under Russian control or direct fire coverage, Ukrainian units inside Myrnohrad are increasingly dependent on small, high-risk infiltration routes that are routinely monitored by Russian FPV drones and reconnaissance assets. This pressure is designed to degrade Ukrainian combat effectiveness over time and force a collapse from within the city. Simultaneously, Russian forces are expanding their operational buffer by targeting northern settlements and tightening their hold over Rodnyske and Hryshne, two areas that provide key terrain for any Ukrainian counterattack aimed at relieving pressure on Pokrovs'k. By increasing territorial control in this northern belt, Russia is not only preventing Ukrainian forces from mounting an effort to break the encirclement, but also consolidating a more defensible perimeter around Pokrovs'k and the wider Myrnohrad pocket.
🇷🇺Russian offensive: Russian forces continue to expand their zone of operational control inside and around the encircled Ukrainian defended city of Myrnohrad, Donetsk Oblast. From the 25th to 28th of November, Russian forces moved in two directions inside of the city from both east and west, taking control of the settlement of Rivne and moving to capture the nearby district of Svitle (West) and taking control of the residential high-rise district in the east near to Nova Poshta 85327. Geolocated footage has also shown the reality on the ground of the encirclement by showcasing Ukrainian bottlenecks of logistics and drone strikes on Ukrainian vehicles operating in the vicinity. Wrecks of vehicles stretch as far as the eye can see along the side of dirt roads leading in and out of Myrnohrad and Pokrovsk.
📍Territorial changes: Both neutral and pro Ukrainian mapping projects have acknowledged a full encirclement of Myrnohrad either via Russian controlled territory or massive expansion of the grey zone in the region. Deepstate has acknowledged that Ukrainian forces have lost defensive positions north of Pokrovs'k and North of Myrnohrad, acknowledging the loss of positions and virtual encirclement by Russian forces, however some of these positions are included in the grey zone.
📚Open-source information: The Russian Defence Ministry said units from Russia's 2nd Army were advancing in central and northern Pokrovs'k and that its forces had advanced to the east, west and south of Myrnohrad further strengthening their full ground encirclement of the city.
A Ukrainian soldier from the 25th Separate Airborne Brigade spoke with us personally about the encirclement and his job as a First Person View (FPV) Drone operator, he stated that the encirclement of Ukrainian forces is in place, but some Ukrainian soldiers are able to escape it if they’re lucky, but the presence of Russian forces is constantly shifting within the area of operations. He further claimed that he could not estimate a number of Ukrainian forces that are trapped within the city of Myrnohrad, but he would say that 1000+ personnel remain due to the nature of fighting, which is ongoing within the city.
🎯Strategic value: The full operational encirclement of Myrnohrad has enabled Russian forces to gradually strangle the remaining Ukrainian defenders inside the city, severely limiting their access to ammunition, medical evacuation, and basic supplies. With all major approach routes either under Russian control or direct fire coverage, Ukrainian units inside Myrnohrad are increasingly dependent on small, high-risk infiltration routes that are routinely monitored by Russian FPV drones and reconnaissance assets. This pressure is designed to degrade Ukrainian combat effectiveness over time and force a collapse from within the city. Simultaneously, Russian forces are expanding their operational buffer by targeting northern settlements and tightening their hold over Rodnyske and Hryshne, two areas that provide key terrain for any Ukrainian counterattack aimed at relieving pressure on Pokrovs'k. By increasing territorial control in this northern belt, Russia is not only preventing Ukrainian forces from mounting an effort to break the encirclement, but also consolidating a more defensible perimeter around Pokrovs'k and the wider Myrnohrad pocket.
WEEKLY STRIKE TRACK REPORT
🗓 November 24th - November 30th, 2025
🟥 Russian Attacks on Ukraine
🛩 Drone strikes
•1648 UAVs (Shahed-type, Gerbera and other types) launched from Kursk, Millerovo, Orel, Bryansk,Hvardiiske (ToT Crimea), Primorsko-Akhtarsk (RF)
• 1485 neutralised
source: Ukrainian Air Force, @kpszsu
🚀 Missile strikes
• 63 missiles strikes launched from Black Sea, Kursk, Bryansk, Ryazan, Rostov and Crimea (UA)
•33 neutralised
source: General Staff of the ZSU, @GeneralStaffZSU and Ukrainian Air Force @kpszu
💥 Airstrikes
•902 KAB/UMPK strikes
source: General Staff of the ZSU, @GeneralStaffZSU
🧍♂️casualties
• 41 killed
• 316 injured
source: @CIT_shellings
🗓 November 24th - November 30th, 2025
🟥 Russian Attacks on Ukraine
🛩 Drone strikes
•1648 UAVs (Shahed-type, Gerbera and other types) launched from Kursk, Millerovo, Orel, Bryansk,Hvardiiske (ToT Crimea), Primorsko-Akhtarsk (RF)
• 1485 neutralised
source: Ukrainian Air Force, @kpszsu
🚀 Missile strikes
• 63 missiles strikes launched from Black Sea, Kursk, Bryansk, Ryazan, Rostov and Crimea (UA)
•33 neutralised
source: General Staff of the ZSU, @GeneralStaffZSU and Ukrainian Air Force @kpszu
💥 Airstrikes
•902 KAB/UMPK strikes
source: General Staff of the ZSU, @GeneralStaffZSU
🧍♂️casualties
• 41 killed
• 316 injured
source: @CIT_shellings
🧵 Frontline Sentinel – Sivers’k, Donetsk Oblast 05/12/2025
🇷🇺 Russian advances: Over the last 48 hours Russian forces have ramped up offensive operations inside the town of Sivers’k, Donetsk Oblast taking control over the town centre and railway station and pushing Ukrainian forces further west across the Bakhmutovka River.
📍Mapped Territorial Changes: Pro Ukrainian Mapping project Deep-state map has acknowledged the new territorial changes within the town centre and railway network expanding the grey zone, but not actually confirming that Russian forces take control over it. Neutral mapping project Suriyak Map has confirmed new russian positions further west of the railway station as well as Ukrainian withdrawal across the Bakhmutovka River.
📚Open-Source Information: Ukrainian Commander Stanislav Osman shortly reported via his telegram about Sivers’k, stating:
“The situation within Sivers’k is very sad”
This short quote and its timing highlights issues caused by fast Russian advances and control over the town centre and also reflects upon Ukrainian withdrawal within the proximity.
🎯Strategic Value: The capture of Sivers’k carries significant strategic implications for the wider Donetsk–Luhansk axis. Sivers’k acts as a gateway toward Lyman and the surrounding approaches to the Siversky-Donets River, a key natural barrier in eastern Ukraine. Russian consolidation in this area would not only provide improved logistical and fire-control advantages along the riverline but also open a more direct route for further advances toward the fortress cities of Slovyansk and Kramatorsk, Ukraine’s most fortified and symbolically important strongholds in the Donbas. As a result, the battle for Sivers’k carries operational weight well beyond the town itself, shaping the tempo and direction of future operations across the entire northern Donetsk front.
🇷🇺 Russian advances: Over the last 48 hours Russian forces have ramped up offensive operations inside the town of Sivers’k, Donetsk Oblast taking control over the town centre and railway station and pushing Ukrainian forces further west across the Bakhmutovka River.
📍Mapped Territorial Changes: Pro Ukrainian Mapping project Deep-state map has acknowledged the new territorial changes within the town centre and railway network expanding the grey zone, but not actually confirming that Russian forces take control over it. Neutral mapping project Suriyak Map has confirmed new russian positions further west of the railway station as well as Ukrainian withdrawal across the Bakhmutovka River.
📚Open-Source Information: Ukrainian Commander Stanislav Osman shortly reported via his telegram about Sivers’k, stating:
“The situation within Sivers’k is very sad”
This short quote and its timing highlights issues caused by fast Russian advances and control over the town centre and also reflects upon Ukrainian withdrawal within the proximity.
🎯Strategic Value: The capture of Sivers’k carries significant strategic implications for the wider Donetsk–Luhansk axis. Sivers’k acts as a gateway toward Lyman and the surrounding approaches to the Siversky-Donets River, a key natural barrier in eastern Ukraine. Russian consolidation in this area would not only provide improved logistical and fire-control advantages along the riverline but also open a more direct route for further advances toward the fortress cities of Slovyansk and Kramatorsk, Ukraine’s most fortified and symbolically important strongholds in the Donbas. As a result, the battle for Sivers’k carries operational weight well beyond the town itself, shaping the tempo and direction of future operations across the entire northern Donetsk front.
WEEKLY STRIKE TRACK REPORT
🗓 December 1st - December 7th, 2025
🟥 Russian Attacks on Ukraine
🛩 Drone strikes
•1487 UAVs (Shahed-type, Gerbera and other types) launched from Kursk, Millerovo, Orel, Bryansk,Hvardiiske (ToT Crimea), Primorsko-Akhtarsk (RF)
• 1059 neutralised
source: Ukrainian Air Force, @kpszsu
🚀 Missile strikes
• 59 missiles strikes launched from, Kursk, Bryansk, Ryazan, and Crimea (UA)
•34 neutralised
source: General Staff of the ZSU, @GeneralStaffZSU and Ukrainian Air Force @kpszu
💥 Airstrikes
•1114 KAB/UMPK strikes
source: General Staff of the ZSU, @GeneralStaffZSU
🧍♂️casualties
• 50 killed
• 344 injured
source: @CIT_shellings
🗓 December 1st - December 7th, 2025
🟥 Russian Attacks on Ukraine
🛩 Drone strikes
•1487 UAVs (Shahed-type, Gerbera and other types) launched from Kursk, Millerovo, Orel, Bryansk,Hvardiiske (ToT Crimea), Primorsko-Akhtarsk (RF)
• 1059 neutralised
source: Ukrainian Air Force, @kpszsu
🚀 Missile strikes
• 59 missiles strikes launched from, Kursk, Bryansk, Ryazan, and Crimea (UA)
•34 neutralised
source: General Staff of the ZSU, @GeneralStaffZSU and Ukrainian Air Force @kpszu
💥 Airstrikes
•1114 KAB/UMPK strikes
source: General Staff of the ZSU, @GeneralStaffZSU
🧍♂️casualties
• 50 killed
• 344 injured
source: @CIT_shellings
🧵 Frontline Sentinel – Kupyansk, Kharkiv Oblast 12/12/2025
🇺🇦 Ukrainian advances: Ukrainian forces have carried out several offensive attacks in the Kupyansk direction achieving major success in making breakthroughs into the city central region. Ukrainian forces were able to advance from Moskovka and entirely cut off Russian forces in the northwestern districts of Kupyansk by reaching the right bank of the Oskil River.
📍Mapped Territorial Changes:both pro Ukrainian and neutral mapping projects (Deepstate map and Suriyak Map) have confirmed the new territorial changes following verified drone footage showing Ukrainian forces moving through the city and near to the Oskil river bank.
📚Open-Source Information: geolocated footage released by Russian sources shows Ukrainian forces being targeted by drones in the north western sections of the city near the Oskil river acknowledging Ukrainian counter offensive actions. Locations were also geolocated to Kindrashivka and Radkivka.
🎯Strategic Value: The newly established Ukrainian positions within Kupyansk have placed significant operational pressure on Russian forces by effectively isolating their units concentrated in the city’s central sector. By advancing and securing portions of the right bank of the Oskil River, Ukrainian forces have severed a key logistical corridor previously used by Russian troops for resupply, reinforcement, and troop rotation. This disruption has not only constrained Russian sustainment capabilities but has also undermined their ability to mount a coordinated defense within the city central regions.
🇺🇦 Ukrainian advances: Ukrainian forces have carried out several offensive attacks in the Kupyansk direction achieving major success in making breakthroughs into the city central region. Ukrainian forces were able to advance from Moskovka and entirely cut off Russian forces in the northwestern districts of Kupyansk by reaching the right bank of the Oskil River.
📍Mapped Territorial Changes:both pro Ukrainian and neutral mapping projects (Deepstate map and Suriyak Map) have confirmed the new territorial changes following verified drone footage showing Ukrainian forces moving through the city and near to the Oskil river bank.
📚Open-Source Information: geolocated footage released by Russian sources shows Ukrainian forces being targeted by drones in the north western sections of the city near the Oskil river acknowledging Ukrainian counter offensive actions. Locations were also geolocated to Kindrashivka and Radkivka.
🎯Strategic Value: The newly established Ukrainian positions within Kupyansk have placed significant operational pressure on Russian forces by effectively isolating their units concentrated in the city’s central sector. By advancing and securing portions of the right bank of the Oskil River, Ukrainian forces have severed a key logistical corridor previously used by Russian troops for resupply, reinforcement, and troop rotation. This disruption has not only constrained Russian sustainment capabilities but has also undermined their ability to mount a coordinated defense within the city central regions.
WEEKLY STRIKE TRACK REPORT
🗓 December 8th - December 14th, 2025
🟥 Russian Attacks on Ukraine
🛩 Drone strikes
•1206 UAVs (Shahed-type, Gerbera and other types) launched from Kursk, Millerovo, Orel, Bryansk,Hvardiiske (ToT Crimea), Primorsko-Akhtarsk (RF)
• 954 neutralised
source: Ukrainian Air Force, @kpszsu
🚀 Missile strikes
• 35 missiles strikes launched from, Kursk, Bryansk, Ryazan, and Crimea (UA)
• 15 neutralised
source: General Staff of the ZSU, @GeneralStaffZSU and Ukrainian Air Force @kpszu
💥 Airstrikes
•913 KAB/UMPK strikes
source: General Staff of the ZSU, @GeneralStaffZSU
🧍♂️casualties
• 35 killed
• 165 injured
source: @CIT_shellings
🗓 December 8th - December 14th, 2025
🟥 Russian Attacks on Ukraine
🛩 Drone strikes
•1206 UAVs (Shahed-type, Gerbera and other types) launched from Kursk, Millerovo, Orel, Bryansk,Hvardiiske (ToT Crimea), Primorsko-Akhtarsk (RF)
• 954 neutralised
source: Ukrainian Air Force, @kpszsu
🚀 Missile strikes
• 35 missiles strikes launched from, Kursk, Bryansk, Ryazan, and Crimea (UA)
• 15 neutralised
source: General Staff of the ZSU, @GeneralStaffZSU and Ukrainian Air Force @kpszu
💥 Airstrikes
•913 KAB/UMPK strikes
source: General Staff of the ZSU, @GeneralStaffZSU
🧍♂️casualties
• 35 killed
• 165 injured
source: @CIT_shellings
2x WEEKLY STRIKE TRACK REPORT
🗓 December 15th - December 28th, 2025 (14 days)
🟥 Russian Attacks on Ukraine
🛩 Drone strikes
•2353 UAVs (Shahed-type, Gerbera and other types) launched from Kursk, Millerovo, Orel, Bryansk,Hvardiiske (ToT Crimea), Primorsko-Akhtarsk (RF)
• 1892 neutralised
source: Ukrainian Air Force, @kpszsu
🚀 Missile strikes
• 87 missiles strikes launched from, Kursk, Bryansk, Ryazan, and Crimea (UA)
• 63 neutralised
source: General Staff of the ZSU, @GeneralStaffZSU and Ukrainian Air Force @kpszu
💥 Airstrikes
• 1891 KAB/UMPK strikes
source: General Staff of the ZSU, @GeneralStaffZSU
🧍♂️casualties
• 82 killed
• 587 injured
source: @CIT_shellings
🗓 December 15th - December 28th, 2025 (14 days)
🟥 Russian Attacks on Ukraine
🛩 Drone strikes
•2353 UAVs (Shahed-type, Gerbera and other types) launched from Kursk, Millerovo, Orel, Bryansk,Hvardiiske (ToT Crimea), Primorsko-Akhtarsk (RF)
• 1892 neutralised
source: Ukrainian Air Force, @kpszsu
🚀 Missile strikes
• 87 missiles strikes launched from, Kursk, Bryansk, Ryazan, and Crimea (UA)
• 63 neutralised
source: General Staff of the ZSU, @GeneralStaffZSU and Ukrainian Air Force @kpszu
💥 Airstrikes
• 1891 KAB/UMPK strikes
source: General Staff of the ZSU, @GeneralStaffZSU
🧍♂️casualties
• 82 killed
• 587 injured
source: @CIT_shellings
🧵 Frontline Sentinel – Krasnopillya, Sumy Oblast 01/01/2026
🇷🇺Russian advances: Russian forces have continued operations along the newly opened Krasnopillya frontline attacking a Ukrainian stronghold near Hrabovs’ke. Russian forces continue to advance deeper within the Sumy region via assaulting Ukrainian positions along the nearby railway network. These assaults consist of FPV drone, artillery and infantry strikes.
📍Mapped Territorial Changes: both Ukrainian and neutral mapping projects (Deepstate Map and Suriyak Map) have acknowledged Russian offensive operations within the region, geolocated footage released by Russian forces showcasing Russian assaults within the region also confirm ongoing hostilities.
📚Open-Source Information: geolocated footage released by Russian sources shows Ukrainian forces being targeted by drones and infantry in a trench position along the Krasnopillya railway tracks. Snowfall in the video also confirms that the video was recently recorded likely in the last 32 hours (possibly sooner).
🎯Strategic Value: Russian forces are looking to mount more pressure on the Ukrainian Armed Forces by expanding their buffer zone along the international border of Ukraine and the Russian Federation. This expands Russian presence within the Sumy region forcing Ukraine to commit more reserves to these regions thereby reducing available combat power for the Donbas, where Russia’s primary offensive focus remains.
🇷🇺Russian advances: Russian forces have continued operations along the newly opened Krasnopillya frontline attacking a Ukrainian stronghold near Hrabovs’ke. Russian forces continue to advance deeper within the Sumy region via assaulting Ukrainian positions along the nearby railway network. These assaults consist of FPV drone, artillery and infantry strikes.
📍Mapped Territorial Changes: both Ukrainian and neutral mapping projects (Deepstate Map and Suriyak Map) have acknowledged Russian offensive operations within the region, geolocated footage released by Russian forces showcasing Russian assaults within the region also confirm ongoing hostilities.
📚Open-Source Information: geolocated footage released by Russian sources shows Ukrainian forces being targeted by drones and infantry in a trench position along the Krasnopillya railway tracks. Snowfall in the video also confirms that the video was recently recorded likely in the last 32 hours (possibly sooner).
🎯Strategic Value: Russian forces are looking to mount more pressure on the Ukrainian Armed Forces by expanding their buffer zone along the international border of Ukraine and the Russian Federation. This expands Russian presence within the Sumy region forcing Ukraine to commit more reserves to these regions thereby reducing available combat power for the Donbas, where Russia’s primary offensive focus remains.
WEEKLY STRIKE TRACK REPORT
🗓 December 29th 2025 - January 4th, 2026
🟥 Russian Attacks on Ukraine
🛩 Drone strikes
•680 UAVs (Shahed-type, Gerbera and other types) launched from Kursk, Millerovo, Orel, Bryansk,Hvardiiske (ToT Crimea), Primorsko-Akhtarsk (RF)
• 555 neutralised
source: Ukrainian Air Force, @kpszsu
🚀 Missile strikes
•6 missiles strikes launched from, Kursk, Bryansk and Crimea (UA)
• 1 neutralised
source: General Staff of the ZSU, @GeneralStaffZSU and Ukrainian Air Force @kpszu
💥 Airstrikes
•1082 KAB/UMPK strikes
source: General Staff of the ZSU, @GeneralStaffZSU
🧍♂️casualties
• 11 killed
• 89 injured
source: @CIT_shellings
🗓 December 29th 2025 - January 4th, 2026
🟥 Russian Attacks on Ukraine
🛩 Drone strikes
•680 UAVs (Shahed-type, Gerbera and other types) launched from Kursk, Millerovo, Orel, Bryansk,Hvardiiske (ToT Crimea), Primorsko-Akhtarsk (RF)
• 555 neutralised
source: Ukrainian Air Force, @kpszsu
🚀 Missile strikes
•6 missiles strikes launched from, Kursk, Bryansk and Crimea (UA)
• 1 neutralised
source: General Staff of the ZSU, @GeneralStaffZSU and Ukrainian Air Force @kpszu
💥 Airstrikes
•1082 KAB/UMPK strikes
source: General Staff of the ZSU, @GeneralStaffZSU
🧍♂️casualties
• 11 killed
• 89 injured
source: @CIT_shellings
🧵 Frontline Sentinel – Kup’yans’k, Kharkiv Oblast 11/01/2026
🇷🇺Russian advances: In response to Ukrainian counter offensive actions within the city of Kup’yans’k, Kharkiv Oblast, Russian forces launched a large motorised assault, advancing 11km deep behind Ukrainian lines from the locality of Pishchane successfully entering the territory of Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi and Podoly threatening to cut off Ukrainian forces positioned in the eastern industrial sector of Kup’yans’k as well as outter eastern settlements.
📍Mapped Territorial Changes: Suriyak Map has acknowledged Russian offensive operations within the region, geolocated footage released by Russian forces showcasing Russian assaults within the region also confirm ongoing hostilities within the city of Kup’yans’k-Vuzlovyi.
📚Open-Source Information: geolocated footage released by Russian sources show a Russian flag flying from the a house geolocated to be positioned within the settlement of Podoly.
🎯Strategic Value: Russian forces are seeking to encircle Ukrainian positions in the eastern sectors of Kup’yans’k, applying sustained pressure that has significantly slowed Ukrainian offensive operations within the city. The successful Russian motorized assault into Kup’yans’k-Vuzlovyi has further exacerbated the situation by severing the only remaining operational supply line into eastern Kup’yans’k, critically degrading Ukrainian sustainment and freedom of maneuver in the sector.
🇷🇺Russian advances: In response to Ukrainian counter offensive actions within the city of Kup’yans’k, Kharkiv Oblast, Russian forces launched a large motorised assault, advancing 11km deep behind Ukrainian lines from the locality of Pishchane successfully entering the territory of Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi and Podoly threatening to cut off Ukrainian forces positioned in the eastern industrial sector of Kup’yans’k as well as outter eastern settlements.
📍Mapped Territorial Changes: Suriyak Map has acknowledged Russian offensive operations within the region, geolocated footage released by Russian forces showcasing Russian assaults within the region also confirm ongoing hostilities within the city of Kup’yans’k-Vuzlovyi.
📚Open-Source Information: geolocated footage released by Russian sources show a Russian flag flying from the a house geolocated to be positioned within the settlement of Podoly.
🎯Strategic Value: Russian forces are seeking to encircle Ukrainian positions in the eastern sectors of Kup’yans’k, applying sustained pressure that has significantly slowed Ukrainian offensive operations within the city. The successful Russian motorized assault into Kup’yans’k-Vuzlovyi has further exacerbated the situation by severing the only remaining operational supply line into eastern Kup’yans’k, critically degrading Ukrainian sustainment and freedom of maneuver in the sector.
WEEKLY STRIKE TRACK REPORT
🗓 January 5th - January 11th, 2026
🟥 Russian Attacks on Ukraine
🛩 Drone strikes
•935 UAVs (Shahed-type, Gerbera and other types) launched from Kursk, Millerovo, Orel, Bryansk,Hvardiiske (ToT Crimea), Primorsko-Akhtarsk (RF)
•786 neutralised
source: Ukrainian Air Force, @kpszsu
🚀 Missile strikes
•56 missiles strikes launched from, Kursk, Bryansk, Crimea (UA), Black Sea and Kapustin Yar test site
• 19 neutralised
source: General Staff of the ZSU, @GeneralStaffZSU and Ukrainian Air Force @kpszu
💥 Airstrikes
•1089 KAB/UMPK strikes
source: General Staff of the ZSU, @GeneralStaffZSU
🧍♂️casualties
• 58 killed
• 202 injured
source: @CIT_shellings
🗓 January 5th - January 11th, 2026
🟥 Russian Attacks on Ukraine
🛩 Drone strikes
•935 UAVs (Shahed-type, Gerbera and other types) launched from Kursk, Millerovo, Orel, Bryansk,Hvardiiske (ToT Crimea), Primorsko-Akhtarsk (RF)
•786 neutralised
source: Ukrainian Air Force, @kpszsu
🚀 Missile strikes
•56 missiles strikes launched from, Kursk, Bryansk, Crimea (UA), Black Sea and Kapustin Yar test site
• 19 neutralised
source: General Staff of the ZSU, @GeneralStaffZSU and Ukrainian Air Force @kpszu
💥 Airstrikes
•1089 KAB/UMPK strikes
source: General Staff of the ZSU, @GeneralStaffZSU
🧍♂️casualties
• 58 killed
• 202 injured
source: @CIT_shellings
🧵 Frontline Sentinel – Ozerne, Lyman direction, Donetsk Oblast 17/01/2026
🇷🇺Russian advances: As of the 17th January 2026, Russian forces have expanded their zone of control within the Lyman direction, launching a series of infantry assaults against the localities of Dibrova and Ozerne gaining footholds within the villages and engaging in battles with the Ukrainian armed forces as they attempt to consolidate within their gained positions.
📍Mapped Territorial Changes: both neutral mapping projects “Suriyak map” and pro Ukrainian “Deepstate map” have acknowledged Russian offensive operations within the region, geolocated footage released by Russian and Ukrainian forces showcasing Russian assaults being engaged by drones within the region also confirm ongoing hostilities within the localities of Dibrova and Ozerne.
📚Open-Source Information: geolocated footage released by Russian and Ukrainian sources show a Russian infantry moving throughout the Yampil forest and entering the settlement of Dibrova where they entered local house and were subsequently attacked by Ukrainian First Person View Drones. Geolocated footage of these house confirms that the Russian army has entered the territories of Dibrova and Ozerne.
🎯Strategic Value: Russian forces are expanding their zone of control around the flanks of Lyman, Donetsk oblast. Russian forces gaining a foothold within the settlements of Dibrova and Ozerne bring Russian forces within closer range of the Siversky-Donets river and add more pressure to both the cities of Lyman and Slovyansk, Donetsk Oblast.
🇷🇺Russian advances: As of the 17th January 2026, Russian forces have expanded their zone of control within the Lyman direction, launching a series of infantry assaults against the localities of Dibrova and Ozerne gaining footholds within the villages and engaging in battles with the Ukrainian armed forces as they attempt to consolidate within their gained positions.
📍Mapped Territorial Changes: both neutral mapping projects “Suriyak map” and pro Ukrainian “Deepstate map” have acknowledged Russian offensive operations within the region, geolocated footage released by Russian and Ukrainian forces showcasing Russian assaults being engaged by drones within the region also confirm ongoing hostilities within the localities of Dibrova and Ozerne.
📚Open-Source Information: geolocated footage released by Russian and Ukrainian sources show a Russian infantry moving throughout the Yampil forest and entering the settlement of Dibrova where they entered local house and were subsequently attacked by Ukrainian First Person View Drones. Geolocated footage of these house confirms that the Russian army has entered the territories of Dibrova and Ozerne.
🎯Strategic Value: Russian forces are expanding their zone of control around the flanks of Lyman, Donetsk oblast. Russian forces gaining a foothold within the settlements of Dibrova and Ozerne bring Russian forces within closer range of the Siversky-Donets river and add more pressure to both the cities of Lyman and Slovyansk, Donetsk Oblast.
WEEKLY STRIKE TRACK REPORT
🗓 January 12th - January 18th, 2026
🟥 Russian Attacks on Ukraine
🛩 Drone strikes
•1002 UAVs (Shahed-type, Gerbera and other types) launched from Kursk, Millerovo, Orel, Bryansk,Hvardiiske (ToT Crimea), Primorsko-Akhtarsk (RF)
•875 neutralised
source: Ukrainian Air Force, @kpszsu
🚀 Missile strikes
•34 missiles strikes launched from, Kursk, Bryansk, Crimea (UA) and The Black Sea
• 8 neutralised
source: General Staff of the ZSU, @GeneralStaffZSU and Ukrainian Air Force @kpszu
💥 Airstrikes
• 1150 KAB/UMPK strikes
source: General Staff of the ZSU, @GeneralStaffZSU
🧍♂️casualties
• 22 killed
• 151 injured
source: @CIT_shellings
🗓 January 12th - January 18th, 2026
🟥 Russian Attacks on Ukraine
🛩 Drone strikes
•1002 UAVs (Shahed-type, Gerbera and other types) launched from Kursk, Millerovo, Orel, Bryansk,Hvardiiske (ToT Crimea), Primorsko-Akhtarsk (RF)
•875 neutralised
source: Ukrainian Air Force, @kpszsu
🚀 Missile strikes
•34 missiles strikes launched from, Kursk, Bryansk, Crimea (UA) and The Black Sea
• 8 neutralised
source: General Staff of the ZSU, @GeneralStaffZSU and Ukrainian Air Force @kpszu
💥 Airstrikes
• 1150 KAB/UMPK strikes
source: General Staff of the ZSU, @GeneralStaffZSU
🧍♂️casualties
• 22 killed
• 151 injured
source: @CIT_shellings
🇷🇺🇺🇦 Russian incursions into Ukraine in the last month
Locations of Russian crossings over the international recognised border of the Russian Federation and Ukraine since the beginning of the year mapped.
These actions are aimed at drawing limited Ukrainian manpower and equipment away from more important sectors of the frontline, further stretching Ukraine's ability to put up resistance, and therefore accelerating the rate of attrition. The incursions are focused within the Sumy and Kharkiv Oblasts situated in Northern Ukraine.
Locations of Russian crossings over the international recognised border of the Russian Federation and Ukraine since the beginning of the year mapped.
These actions are aimed at drawing limited Ukrainian manpower and equipment away from more important sectors of the frontline, further stretching Ukraine's ability to put up resistance, and therefore accelerating the rate of attrition. The incursions are focused within the Sumy and Kharkiv Oblasts situated in Northern Ukraine.
🧵 Frontline Sentinel – Hulyaipole/Pokrovs’ke, Dnipropetovsk/Zaporizhzhia Oblast 17/02/2026:
🇷🇺 Russian advances: In response to the Russian attempts at forming a large right flank to the stronghold city of Orikhiv, Ukrainian forces began launching a series of clearing operations against lightly manned and consolidated Russian positions southeast of Pokrovs’ke, which allowed for them to initiate a localised sector-wide counteroffensive. Ukrainian forces were able to advance approximately 12 km behind Russian lines from the north, and around 13 km behind Russian lines from the east, clearing/recapturing the settlements of Staroukrainka, Pryluky, Kosivtseve, Prydorozhnje, Ternuvate, Dobropillya, Nove Zaporizhzhya, Vidradne, Hai, Vovche, Novooleksandrivka, Oleksiivka, Stepove, and Sosnivka, and begin fighting for the settlements of Kalynivske, Vebove, Ternove, Vyshneve, Ostapivske, and Pishchane. This has threatened Russian formations with encirclement in both the Pryluky area and the Danylivka area, forcing them to withdraw from the former and begin withdrawing from the latter.
📍Mapped Territorial Changes: Suriyak Map has acknowledged the Ukrainian advances, along with various other independent mappers. Their reports line up with geolocated footage, available reports from Russian and Ukrainian military sources, and public satellite imagery collected from Sentinel. In particular, there is consensus that Ukrainian forces have managed to retake large swaths of land in the fields north of the tributary of the Yanchur River, and in the fields southeast of Ternuvate, west of the Haichur River.
📚Open-Source Information: Due to the implementation of an information embargo by the Ukrainian side on this counteroffensive, and significant restrictions on reporting for Russian channels, there is very little geolocated footage so far. However, some footage d0es exist, such as a video of Ukrainian positions being shelled in the fields between Dobropillya and Solodke, confirming some Ukrainian movement in this area. This can be cross-references with Sentinel satellite imagery, which shows significant Ukrainian artillery preparation on these fields sometime between February 6 and February 11. Additional footage also shows Russian FPV drone strikes on Ukrainian infantry and an M113 APC in the treelines north of Berezove and Ternove.
🎯Strategic value: The Hulyaipole-Pokrovs’ke area has long been a sector of the frontline that Russia has been focusing on. Russia has been deploying significant amounts of manpower and equipment there to secure the tactical heights at the towns of Ternuvate and Zalizhnychne, aiming to form a right flank to Orikhiv, which would have allowed them begin outflanking this crucial city. In carrying out this operation, Ukrainian forces have denied Russia access to some of these critical heights in the area of Ternuvate, thereby significantly delaying their plans for encircling Orikhiv and beginning a push on Zaporizhzhia City.
🇷🇺 Russian advances: In response to the Russian attempts at forming a large right flank to the stronghold city of Orikhiv, Ukrainian forces began launching a series of clearing operations against lightly manned and consolidated Russian positions southeast of Pokrovs’ke, which allowed for them to initiate a localised sector-wide counteroffensive. Ukrainian forces were able to advance approximately 12 km behind Russian lines from the north, and around 13 km behind Russian lines from the east, clearing/recapturing the settlements of Staroukrainka, Pryluky, Kosivtseve, Prydorozhnje, Ternuvate, Dobropillya, Nove Zaporizhzhya, Vidradne, Hai, Vovche, Novooleksandrivka, Oleksiivka, Stepove, and Sosnivka, and begin fighting for the settlements of Kalynivske, Vebove, Ternove, Vyshneve, Ostapivske, and Pishchane. This has threatened Russian formations with encirclement in both the Pryluky area and the Danylivka area, forcing them to withdraw from the former and begin withdrawing from the latter.
📍Mapped Territorial Changes: Suriyak Map has acknowledged the Ukrainian advances, along with various other independent mappers. Their reports line up with geolocated footage, available reports from Russian and Ukrainian military sources, and public satellite imagery collected from Sentinel. In particular, there is consensus that Ukrainian forces have managed to retake large swaths of land in the fields north of the tributary of the Yanchur River, and in the fields southeast of Ternuvate, west of the Haichur River.
📚Open-Source Information: Due to the implementation of an information embargo by the Ukrainian side on this counteroffensive, and significant restrictions on reporting for Russian channels, there is very little geolocated footage so far. However, some footage d0es exist, such as a video of Ukrainian positions being shelled in the fields between Dobropillya and Solodke, confirming some Ukrainian movement in this area. This can be cross-references with Sentinel satellite imagery, which shows significant Ukrainian artillery preparation on these fields sometime between February 6 and February 11. Additional footage also shows Russian FPV drone strikes on Ukrainian infantry and an M113 APC in the treelines north of Berezove and Ternove.
🎯Strategic value: The Hulyaipole-Pokrovs’ke area has long been a sector of the frontline that Russia has been focusing on. Russia has been deploying significant amounts of manpower and equipment there to secure the tactical heights at the towns of Ternuvate and Zalizhnychne, aiming to form a right flank to Orikhiv, which would have allowed them begin outflanking this crucial city. In carrying out this operation, Ukrainian forces have denied Russia access to some of these critical heights in the area of Ternuvate, thereby significantly delaying their plans for encircling Orikhiv and beginning a push on Zaporizhzhia City.
🧵 Frontline Sentinel – Khotin,Sumy Oblast 28/02/2026
🇷🇺Russian advances: as of the 26th February, Russian forces have continued offensive operations within the direction of Khotin and Pysarivka. Russian forces are focused on advancing along the C191504 highway from the direction of Oleksiivka to consolidate forces within the concealed forest area. A consolidation of Russian forces within the Forrest area would allow their forces to launch more effective assaults against the towns of Khotin and Pysarivka.
📍Mapped Territorial Changes: Neutral mapping project “Suriyak map” has acknowledged Russian offensive operations within the region, geolocated footage released by Russian and Ukrainian forces showcasing Russian assaults being engaged by drones within the open fields north of Khotin also highlighted Russian advances in the region.
📚Open-Source Information: geolocated footage released by Russian and Ukrainian sources show a Russian infantry moving throughout open terrain and entering the settlement of Mala Korchakivka where they continue to push the forested surrounding to consolidate their forces.
🎯Strategic Value: Russian forces are expanding their zone of control around the flanks of Sumy city, Sumy Oblast to enhance their buffer zone along the internationally recognised border of the Russian Federation and Ukraine. Advancing deeper within the Sumy region will also lead to further pressure on the city of Sumy, which is a large population centre.
🇷🇺Russian advances: as of the 26th February, Russian forces have continued offensive operations within the direction of Khotin and Pysarivka. Russian forces are focused on advancing along the C191504 highway from the direction of Oleksiivka to consolidate forces within the concealed forest area. A consolidation of Russian forces within the Forrest area would allow their forces to launch more effective assaults against the towns of Khotin and Pysarivka.
📍Mapped Territorial Changes: Neutral mapping project “Suriyak map” has acknowledged Russian offensive operations within the region, geolocated footage released by Russian and Ukrainian forces showcasing Russian assaults being engaged by drones within the open fields north of Khotin also highlighted Russian advances in the region.
📚Open-Source Information: geolocated footage released by Russian and Ukrainian sources show a Russian infantry moving throughout open terrain and entering the settlement of Mala Korchakivka where they continue to push the forested surrounding to consolidate their forces.
🎯Strategic Value: Russian forces are expanding their zone of control around the flanks of Sumy city, Sumy Oblast to enhance their buffer zone along the internationally recognised border of the Russian Federation and Ukraine. Advancing deeper within the Sumy region will also lead to further pressure on the city of Sumy, which is a large population centre.
🗓️ February 23rd – March 1st, 2026
🇷🇺Russian Attacks on Ukraine:
🛩️Drone strikes
• 794 UAVs (Geran-2, Geran-3, Gebera and other types) launched from Millerovo Airbase, Khalino Airbase, Navlya Test Site, Tsumbulova Test Site, Shatalovo Airbase, Primorsko-Akhtarsk, Hvardiiske Test Site, Donetsk International Airport.
• 685 neutralised
source: Ukrainian Air Force, @kpszsu
🚀Missile strikes
~ 47 missiles launched from, Kursk Oblast, Millerovo, Taganrog, Yeysk, Klintsy, Liski, Dzhankoi, Simferopol, Black Sea, Belgorod Oblast, Vologda Oblast.
~ 14 intercepted
Breakdown by missile type:
14 Iskander-M ballistic missiles
24 Kh-101 cruise missiles
2 Kh-59/69 cruise missiles
2 Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles
2 Kh-22/32 cruise missiles
2 Kh-31P anti-radar missiles
💥Airstrikes
• 951 KAB/UMPK strikes
🧍♂️Casualties
• 30 killed
• 118 injured
source: @CIT_shellings
🇷🇺Russian Attacks on Ukraine:
🛩️Drone strikes
• 794 UAVs (Geran-2, Geran-3, Gebera and other types) launched from Millerovo Airbase, Khalino Airbase, Navlya Test Site, Tsumbulova Test Site, Shatalovo Airbase, Primorsko-Akhtarsk, Hvardiiske Test Site, Donetsk International Airport.
• 685 neutralised
source: Ukrainian Air Force, @kpszsu
🚀Missile strikes
~ 47 missiles launched from, Kursk Oblast, Millerovo, Taganrog, Yeysk, Klintsy, Liski, Dzhankoi, Simferopol, Black Sea, Belgorod Oblast, Vologda Oblast.
~ 14 intercepted
Breakdown by missile type:
14 Iskander-M ballistic missiles
24 Kh-101 cruise missiles
2 Kh-59/69 cruise missiles
2 Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles
2 Kh-22/32 cruise missiles
2 Kh-31P anti-radar missiles
💥Airstrikes
• 951 KAB/UMPK strikes
🧍♂️Casualties
• 30 killed
• 118 injured
source: @CIT_shellings
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🧵 Frontline Sentinel – Dobropillya direction, Donetsk Oblast 06/03/2026:
🇷🇺 Russian advances:
Following the fall of the cities of Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad in late 2025, Russian forces began shifting their focus towards developing an offensive in the direction of Dobropillya – the largest remaining Ukrainian controlled city in this part of Donetsk Oblast. After around two months of back-and-forth fighting, Russian forces were able to achieve a tactical breakthrough in the village of Hryshyne, reaching all the way to its northwestern outskirts. While Russia is yet to fully capture Hryshyne, Ukrainian control there is now very minimal, despite their attempts at counterattacking. At the same time, Russian forces are trying to improve their tactical positions west of Rodynske and have managed to establish a foothold in the southern part of the city of Bilytske, amid assault operations in the surrounding areas. Fighting also continues in the direction of Kucheriv Yar and Zolotyi Kolodyaz, however Russia has struggled to make additional progress in this area, despite Ukrainian redeployments from here to other sectors of the frontline.
📍Mapped Territorial Changes:
Several sources have recorded territorial changes in favour of Russia in the Dobropillya direction recently. Neutral mapping project Suriyak Map reported that Russia was able to establish control over the central part of Hryshyne and begin fighting for the northwestern part of the village. Ukrainian channel Myroshnykov states that the situation in Hryshyne is “difficult” and that only 25% is controlled by Ukraine. Myroshnykov’s previous update on that sector just over a week earlier stated that 40% of the settlement was under Ukrainian control, confirming that Russian advances have indeed taken place recently. Meanwhile, Russian mapping project Divgen reports that Russia was able to advance from Udachne towards Serhiivka, however recent updates by Suriyak Map did not mention any Russian progress here.
📚Open-Source Information:
As usual, with Russian progress suddenly accelerating, Ukraine has implemented much stricter censorship around events taking place in the Dobropillya direction, including increased restrictions on publishing geolocatable videos. One recent clip which surfaced on March 3 shows a Russian position coming under fire from Ukrainian drones in a treeline east of Hryshyne. This confirms that Russian forces have at least managed to make some advances on the right flank of the main thrust in Hryshyne, although without additional evidence from Ukrainian sources, it remains unclear whether the Russian soldiers were able to consolidate in this area.
🎯Strategic value:
The Dobropillya direction is one of the most crucial parts of the frontline. It is situated in the western part of Donetsk Oblast and provides a barrier against Russian progress into other parts of eastern Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, including in the direction of Pavlohrad, forcing Russia to develop other fronts such as in Novopavlivka much more than they otherwise would have to. Additionally, Dobropillya is a fairly large settlement, with a pre-war population of over 28,000. It is very suitable for defence and has become the main Ukrainian fortress and logistical hub for this direction. It also forms the main Ukrainian stronghold on the right flank to Kramatorsk and Druzhkivka. If Russia captures Dobropillya, it will significantly simplify offensive operations to the east and further northeast in the direction of Druzhkivka and Kramatorsk, endangering the last parts of Ukrainian-controlled Donbas.
🇷🇺 Russian advances:
Following the fall of the cities of Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad in late 2025, Russian forces began shifting their focus towards developing an offensive in the direction of Dobropillya – the largest remaining Ukrainian controlled city in this part of Donetsk Oblast. After around two months of back-and-forth fighting, Russian forces were able to achieve a tactical breakthrough in the village of Hryshyne, reaching all the way to its northwestern outskirts. While Russia is yet to fully capture Hryshyne, Ukrainian control there is now very minimal, despite their attempts at counterattacking. At the same time, Russian forces are trying to improve their tactical positions west of Rodynske and have managed to establish a foothold in the southern part of the city of Bilytske, amid assault operations in the surrounding areas. Fighting also continues in the direction of Kucheriv Yar and Zolotyi Kolodyaz, however Russia has struggled to make additional progress in this area, despite Ukrainian redeployments from here to other sectors of the frontline.
📍Mapped Territorial Changes:
Several sources have recorded territorial changes in favour of Russia in the Dobropillya direction recently. Neutral mapping project Suriyak Map reported that Russia was able to establish control over the central part of Hryshyne and begin fighting for the northwestern part of the village. Ukrainian channel Myroshnykov states that the situation in Hryshyne is “difficult” and that only 25% is controlled by Ukraine. Myroshnykov’s previous update on that sector just over a week earlier stated that 40% of the settlement was under Ukrainian control, confirming that Russian advances have indeed taken place recently. Meanwhile, Russian mapping project Divgen reports that Russia was able to advance from Udachne towards Serhiivka, however recent updates by Suriyak Map did not mention any Russian progress here.
📚Open-Source Information:
As usual, with Russian progress suddenly accelerating, Ukraine has implemented much stricter censorship around events taking place in the Dobropillya direction, including increased restrictions on publishing geolocatable videos. One recent clip which surfaced on March 3 shows a Russian position coming under fire from Ukrainian drones in a treeline east of Hryshyne. This confirms that Russian forces have at least managed to make some advances on the right flank of the main thrust in Hryshyne, although without additional evidence from Ukrainian sources, it remains unclear whether the Russian soldiers were able to consolidate in this area.
🎯Strategic value:
The Dobropillya direction is one of the most crucial parts of the frontline. It is situated in the western part of Donetsk Oblast and provides a barrier against Russian progress into other parts of eastern Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, including in the direction of Pavlohrad, forcing Russia to develop other fronts such as in Novopavlivka much more than they otherwise would have to. Additionally, Dobropillya is a fairly large settlement, with a pre-war population of over 28,000. It is very suitable for defence and has become the main Ukrainian fortress and logistical hub for this direction. It also forms the main Ukrainian stronghold on the right flank to Kramatorsk and Druzhkivka. If Russia captures Dobropillya, it will significantly simplify offensive operations to the east and further northeast in the direction of Druzhkivka and Kramatorsk, endangering the last parts of Ukrainian-controlled Donbas.
WEEKLY STRIKE TRACK REPORT
🗓️March 9th – March 15th, 2026
🇷🇺Russian Attacks on Ukraine
🛩️Drone strikes
• 334 UAVs (Geran-2, Geran-3, Gebera and other types) launched from.
• 283 neutralised
Source: Ukrainian Air Force, @kpszsu
🚀Missile strikes:
~ 6 missiles launched from: Crimea, Black Sea.
~ 0 intercepted
Breakdown by missile type:
- 4 Kh-22/32 cruise missiles
- 2 Iskander-M ballistic missiles
💥Airstrikes:
• 515 KAB/UMPK strikes
🧍♂️Civilian casualties:
• 5 killed
• 38 injured
Source: @CIT_shellings
🗓️March 9th – March 15th, 2026
🇷🇺Russian Attacks on Ukraine
🛩️Drone strikes
• 334 UAVs (Geran-2, Geran-3, Gebera and other types) launched from.
• 283 neutralised
Source: Ukrainian Air Force, @kpszsu
🚀Missile strikes:
~ 6 missiles launched from: Crimea, Black Sea.
~ 0 intercepted
Breakdown by missile type:
- 4 Kh-22/32 cruise missiles
- 2 Iskander-M ballistic missiles
💥Airstrikes:
• 515 KAB/UMPK strikes
🧍♂️Civilian casualties:
• 5 killed
• 38 injured
Source: @CIT_shellings
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