🇺🇸ФРБ Нью-Йорка:

📉Инфляционные ожидания потребителей резко сократились:
- в течение следующего года: с 6.2% до 5.7%
- в течение следующих 3 лет: с 3.2% до 2.8%

📈Для американского рынка акций это позитивный сигнал, поскольку трейдеры ждут, что ФРС вскоре прекратит повышение ставок.

👉 Инвестиционная идея: buy limit #NQ100 12731, take profit 12898

🇺🇸New York Fed:

📉Consumer inflation expectations have fallen sharply:
- over the next year: from 6.2% to 5.7%
- over the next 3 years: from 3.2% to 2.8%

📈This is a positive signal for the US stock market, as traders expect the Fed to stop raising rates soon.

👉 Investment idea: buy limit #NQ100 12731, take profit

🛢The depletion of the US oil reserve.

🇺🇸 US strategic oil reserves have fallen to 434.1 million barrels, the lowest level since 1984. The US is running out of strategic oil reserves faster than expected.

📈After the congressional elections, the White House will stop spending the reserve and start replenishing stocks, which is positive for oil prices. Traders are already starting to act out this scenario and are buying black gold.

👉 Investment idea: buy limit #WTI 88.01, take profit 89.25

🧮The real yield of US government bonds has a strong impact on the price of gold. It is customary to look at 10-year government bond yields and inflation expectations for the same period.

📈Now the real yield of government bonds is 1.3% and the rate has risen to an 11-year high, which is negative for the precious metal quotes.

👉Investment idea: sell limit XAUUSD 1706, take profit 1688

🇺🇸 The United States and allies may apply preventive sanctions against China to neutralize the risks of a Chinese military operation against Taiwan.

🇨🇳 Chinese President Xi Jinping has vowed to bring a democratically ruled Taiwan under Beijing's control and has not ruled out the use of force.

📈 The growth of geopolitical tensions between the US and China will contribute to the continuation of the uptrend in the USDCNH currency pair.

👉Investment idea: buy limit USDCNH 6.9650, take profit 7.0000.

📈Цены на природный газ закрепились за средней границей по индикатору Bollinger bands и теперь котировки нацелились на верхнюю границу.

📊Сейчас целесообразно ждать повторного ретеста средней границы Bollinger bands и разворота тренда вверх.

👉Инвестиционная идея: buy limit #GAS 8.882, take profit 9.950.

📈Natural gas prices have fixed above the middle boundary according to the Bollinger bands indicator and now the quotes are aiming at the upper boundary.

📊Now it is advisable to wait for a second retest of the middle border of the Bollinger bands and a trend reversal up.

👉Investment idea: buy limit #GAS 8.882, take profit 9.950.

🇯🇵Japan's trade deficit hit a record.

🧮Japan's trade deficit widened to 2,817.3 billion yen in August 2022 from 653.4 billion yen in the same month a year earlier, the largest trade deficit on record.

What's more, this is the 13th consecutive month of deficits, the longest since 2015 and heightening concerns about the strength of the economic recovery.

👉Investment idea: buy limit USDJPY 143.30, take profit 144.03

📊Bitcoin entrenched behind the middle border of the Bollinger Bands. The RSI indicator is above the oversold area, which is favorable for a further decline in the cryptocurrency.

📉We expect a decline to the lower border of the Bollinger Bands.

👉 Investment idea: sell limit BTCUSD 19818, take profit 18610.

📉 Lower prices for industrial metals will have a negative impact on the Australian dollar, as Australia is among the world's leading exporters of these metals.

👉 Investment idea: sell limit AUDUSD 0.6704, take profit 0.6656.

#gbpjpy #short

GBP/JPY H1 Sell 163.09
SL 163.79
TP 161.42

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❗️На Лондонской бирже металлов сложилась беспрецедентная ситуация – в течение последних 9 месяцев запас серебра, хранящийся в хранилищах LBMA, сокращался каждый месяц и в настоящее время достиг рекордно низкого уровня.

🧮Институт серебра подсчитал, что годовой объем добычи серебра в мире в этом году составит всего 26262 тонны. Таким образом, в хранилищах LBMA с 28506 тоннами сейчас хранится чуть больше годового запаса серебра.

📈Такая ситуация может вызвать ралли в серебре и снижение котировок к ближайшим уровням поддержки целесообразно использовать для покупок.

👉 Инвестиционная идея: buy limit XAGUSD 19.145, take profit 19.900.

🇺🇸🇯🇵Доходность американских 2- летних государственных облигаций достигла максимума с сентября 2007 года, что благоприятно для роста котировок USDJPY, поскольку разница в доходностях между американскими и японскими бумагами настолько большая, что не оставляет трейдерам иного выбора, как покупать доллар.

👉 Инвестиционная идея: buy limit USDJPY 143.28, take profit 143.79.

❗️The London Metal Exchange is in an unprecedented situation - over the past 9 months, the stock of silver stored in the LBMA vaults has been declining every month and is at an all-time low.

🧮The Silver Institute has calculated that the annual production of silver in the world this year will be only 26,262 tons. Thus, the LBMA vaults with 28,506 tons hold a little more than a year's supply of silver.

📈This situation can cause a rally in silver and a decrease to the nearest support levels should be used for Buy position.

👉 Investment idea: buy limit XAGUSD 19.145, take profit 19.900.

🇺🇸🇯🇵US 2-year government bond yields hit their highest since September 2007, which is good for USDJPY quotes as the yield gap between US and Japanese bonds is so large that it leaves traders no choice but to buy the dollar.

👉 Investment idea: buy limit USDJPY 143.28, take profit 143.79.

📉 ADX and Bollinger Bands technical indicators show the development of an uptrend in the DAX30 stock index.

📊The target of the movement will be a renewal of this year's low located at 12371.

👉 Investment idea: sell limit #DAX30 12588, take profit 12371.

🧮According to Gas Infrastructure Europe, EU countries need to fill storage facilities with another 12 billion m³, but with the most favorable outcome, Europeans will be able to pump 9 billion m³. But even this scenario can only be realized if American and Australian energy companies can increase the supply of liquefied natural gas.

📊Thus, we expect high demand for blue fuel in the next few weeks, which forces consumers to increase gas prices. Price competition between Europe and Asia is now very high, forcing all consumers to raise energy prices.

👉Investment idea: buy limit #GAS 7.825, take profit 8.5200.

🇺🇸The yield of US 10-year government bonds broke through a forty-year downtrend and rushed up, which is negative for the precious metals market.

📉We expect gold to decline to the nearest support level of 1655.

👉 Investment idea: sell limit XAUUSD 1676, take profit 1655.

The US Federal Reserve on Wednesday evening, as expected, raised the discount rate by 0.75% and promised to raise the rate by another 1.25% by the end of the year.

🤵 ‍ ♂ ️“My main message is that the FOMC is determined to reduce inflation,” Powell said during a press conference.

Further aggressive growth in interest rates is negative for the US stock market.

👉 Investment idea: sell limit #NQ100 11611, take profit 11450.

📉 ETHUSD has fallen by 28.6% over the past 10 days.

The downtrend is gaining momentum and the breakdown of the support level of 1216 allows us to count on a decline in quotations in the area of 1122.

👉 Investment idea: sell ETHUSD 1210, take profit 1122

September 22th

USDJPY Buy position
Support levels: 144.98 – 144.27
Resistance levels: 145.56 – 146.01

#SP500 Sell position
Support levels: 3737 – 3659
Resistance levels: 3810– 3868