โก๏ธ๐ข๐ฎ๐ ๐Bank of America predicts an increase in oil prices this year by 23% compared to current quotes to $112 per barrel
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โก๏ธ๐บ๐ธ๐ ๐ โ ๏ธ US CPI Core (YoY) :
โซ๏ธ +3.8% (expected +3.7% )
โซ๏ธ prev. value: +3.8%
โ ๏ธ US CPI (YoY) :
โซ๏ธ +3.5% (expected +3.4% )
โซ๏ธ prev. value: +3.2%
โซ๏ธ +3.8% (expected +3.7% )
โซ๏ธ prev. value: +3.8%
โ ๏ธ US CPI (YoY) :
โซ๏ธ +3.5% (expected +3.4% )
โซ๏ธ prev. value: +3.2%
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โก๏ธ๐บ๐ธ๐ ๐ Primary reaction of SP500 futures to the released statistics ๐ฅ
All CPI indicators are above expectations, the highest annual inflation rate since September 2023. Take a look at yields numbers...
Is America being hit by an inflationary 2nd wave already ?
All CPI indicators are above expectations, the highest annual inflation rate since September 2023. Take a look at yields numbers...
Is America being hit by an inflationary 2nd wave already ?
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โก๏ธ๐บ๐ธ๐ข๐ฎ๐ Interesting picture ๐ค What JP Morgan and others were telling about Crude Oil prices?
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โก๏ธ๐บ๐ธ๐ฎ๐ The market is now saying we'll only get two rate cuts this year, and the first won't happen until September
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โก๏ธ๐บ๐ธ๐ค ๐ ๐ Minutes of the Fed meeting March 19-20 , 2024 (FOMC Minutes).
(publ. 04/10/24)
โ Inflation continued to decline, but recent progress has been unsustainable. The latest inflation data did not increase officials' confidence that inflation is steadily moving towards 2%.
โ Some participants noted that the recent rise in inflation was relatively broad-based and should therefore not be dismissed as a mere statistical outlier.
federalreserve.gov
(publ. 04/10/24)
โ Inflation continued to decline, but recent progress has been unsustainable. The latest inflation data did not increase officials' confidence that inflation is steadily moving towards 2%.
โ Some participants noted that the recent rise in inflation was relatively broad-based and should therefore not be dismissed as a mere statistical outlier.
federalreserve.gov
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โก๏ธ๐บ๐ธ๐ฅ๐ Costco gold bars seeing at least $100 million in monthly sales ๐ฅ "It only reinforces its value position," Wells Fargo said.๐
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โก๏ธ๐บ๐ธ๐ ๐ Brief results of yesterday's Inflation report and Fed Minutes:
โช๏ธHigher inflation means the stock market rally will face a critical test as earnings season begins. marketwatch.com
โช๏ธBond sell-off extends to Asia following US inflation data
Shares of Australia, Japan and Hong Kong are declining following the American ones. The 10-year US Treasury yield rose above 4.5% for the first time since November. bloomberg.com
โช๏ธThe Fed's interest rate cut is now a matter of "If" rather than just "When" wsj.com
โช๏ธGoldman Sachs believes it's time to take profits from the tech sector and invest in other areas. Asset managers are betting on energy and Japanese stocks. AI stock returns will vary as the industry matures. bloomberg.com
โช๏ธMarkets have shifted expectations for the Fed's first rate cut from June to November Data on consumer prices and core inflation exceeded expectations.๐ฅ
We warned that market is totally wrong about interest rates and inflation... By the way, concerning November Fed meeting... Will they change rate right after election day?๐
โช๏ธHigher inflation means the stock market rally will face a critical test as earnings season begins. marketwatch.com
โช๏ธBond sell-off extends to Asia following US inflation data
Shares of Australia, Japan and Hong Kong are declining following the American ones. The 10-year US Treasury yield rose above 4.5% for the first time since November. bloomberg.com
โช๏ธThe Fed's interest rate cut is now a matter of "If" rather than just "When" wsj.com
โช๏ธGoldman Sachs believes it's time to take profits from the tech sector and invest in other areas. Asset managers are betting on energy and Japanese stocks. AI stock returns will vary as the industry matures. bloomberg.com
โช๏ธMarkets have shifted expectations for the Fed's first rate cut from June to November Data on consumer prices and core inflation exceeded expectations.
We warned that market is totally wrong about interest rates and inflation... By the way, concerning November Fed meeting... Will they change rate right after election day?
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โก๏ธ๐ฉ๐ช๐ ๐ Bankruptcies in Germany are growing steadily. Current numbers are 30% higher than normal
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โก๏ธ๐บ๐ธ๐ฑ ๐ฎ๐ Who will buy $1 trillion in debt every 100 days?
The most recent Treasury auction was a huge failure. Horrible numbers. There is perhaps a limit to how much US govt debt the market really wants.
If the govt can't control spending, rates have to go higher to attract investors.
The most recent Treasury auction was a huge failure. Horrible numbers. There is perhaps a limit to how much US govt debt the market really wants.
If the govt can't control spending, rates have to go higher to attract investors.
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๐บ๐ธ๐ฆFormer US Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers said the "hot" US consumer price inflation report for March meant the risk that the Fed's next move would be a rate hike needed to be taken seriously.
He noted that this probability is somewhere in the range of 15 to 25%.
He noted that this probability is somewhere in the range of 15 to 25%.
โก๏ธ๐บ๐ธ๐ ๐ Bond traders brace for 5% yields, no rate cuts around the world
โ Schroders* shorts 2, 5 and 10 year Treasuries;
โ The 10-year yield rose above 4.5% for the first time since November.
bloomberg.com
* British multinational financial company
โ Schroders* shorts 2, 5 and 10 year Treasuries;
โ The 10-year yield rose above 4.5% for the first time since November.
bloomberg.com
* British multinational financial company
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โก๏ธ๐ฎ๐ The global economy faces a decade of โsluggish growthโ and โpopulation discontentโ despite avoiding a much-feared recession, IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva has warned .
Calls for measures to increase productivity and reduce debt to avoid the "Cool Twenties" era...
Calls for measures to increase productivity and reduce debt to avoid the "Cool Twenties" era...
โก๏ธ๐บ๐ธ๐ฎ๐ Bank of America:
We are revising our forecast for a rate cut due to higher than expected inflation data in the US:
โ the first rate cut is now expected in December (previously in June)
โ we expect only one rate reduction of 0.25% (previously three reductions)
forexlive.com
We are revising our forecast for a rate cut due to higher than expected inflation data in the US:
โ the first rate cut is now expected in December (previously in June)
โ we expect only one rate reduction of 0.25% (previously three reductions)
forexlive.com
โก๏ธ๐บ๐ธ๐ฎ๐ John Williams Head of NY Fed:
(04/11/2024)
โ There is no need to reduce the rate in the near future.
โ If the economy develops as forecast, it would be prudent to begin easing policy this year.
โ The monetary policy is in good condition and the labor market remains strong.
bloomberg.com
(04/11/2024)
โ There is no need to reduce the rate in the near future.
โ If the economy develops as forecast, it would be prudent to begin easing policy this year.
โ The monetary policy is in good condition and the labor market remains strong.
bloomberg.com
โก๏ธ๐ฅ๐ ๐ฎ๐ what is it this time?๐
"The recent move in gold reminds me of a famous quote โThere are decades where nothing happens, and there are weeks where decades happen.โ Looking at history, gold price can stay in the doldrums for a long time but when it does breakout, the surge is usually fast and furious" - UBS
"The recent move in gold reminds me of a famous quote โThere are decades where nothing happens, and there are weeks where decades happen.โ Looking at history, gold price can stay in the doldrums for a long time but when it does breakout, the surge is usually fast and furious" - UBS
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