Telegraph: The fate of the American pilot could change the course of the war in Iran
As the search for the missing pilot in Iran continues, speculations about how this situation will affect the further development of the conflict are growing.
Recall that the day before, the Iranian air defense shot down an American F-15 fighter over the country's territory. Two pilots ejected.
For their rescue, the US launched a search operation involving helicopters, airplanes, and drones.
According to American media, one of the pilots has already been rescued. The fate of the second remains unknown.
The publication notes that the further development of events could follow several scenarios - if the second pilot ends up in the hands of the Iranian military or local formations.
“If Iran publishes footage of the pilot, Trump will face immediate pressure from Congress, military families, veteran organizations, and society demanding to stop the operation and start negotiations for his release.
The continuation of strikes on Iran could become politically impossible, potentially leading to a ceasefire on less favorable terms”.
The second scenario is that Tehran captures the pilot but does not immediately publicize it, using him as a tool of pressure in negotiations.
“The captured pilot could be worth much more to Iran than just a ceasefire.
Instead of exchanging for one concession, Tehran could combine demands: a ceasefire, control over the Strait of Hormuz, tolls for passage, restrictions on future US military operations, and possibly the easing of sanctions”.
As Telegraph points out, in this case, the pilot becomes a key negotiating resource for Iran, which did not exist before. Trump will have to decide what is politically more costly for him - concessions or a protracted crisis with a hostage.
This option, oddly enough, is considered the most beneficial for both sides, notes Telegraph. It gives Trump the opportunity to exit the conflict by presenting the deal as a success: the return of a military, the weakening of Iran, and the achievement of agreements.
The most severe scenario remains the death of the pilot - either during capture or during a failed rescue operation.
t.me/ForeignAgentIntel
As the search for the missing pilot in Iran continues, speculations about how this situation will affect the further development of the conflict are growing.
Recall that the day before, the Iranian air defense shot down an American F-15 fighter over the country's territory. Two pilots ejected.
For their rescue, the US launched a search operation involving helicopters, airplanes, and drones.
According to American media, one of the pilots has already been rescued. The fate of the second remains unknown.
The publication notes that the further development of events could follow several scenarios - if the second pilot ends up in the hands of the Iranian military or local formations.
“If Iran publishes footage of the pilot, Trump will face immediate pressure from Congress, military families, veteran organizations, and society demanding to stop the operation and start negotiations for his release.
The continuation of strikes on Iran could become politically impossible, potentially leading to a ceasefire on less favorable terms”.
The second scenario is that Tehran captures the pilot but does not immediately publicize it, using him as a tool of pressure in negotiations.
“The captured pilot could be worth much more to Iran than just a ceasefire.
Instead of exchanging for one concession, Tehran could combine demands: a ceasefire, control over the Strait of Hormuz, tolls for passage, restrictions on future US military operations, and possibly the easing of sanctions”.
As Telegraph points out, in this case, the pilot becomes a key negotiating resource for Iran, which did not exist before. Trump will have to decide what is politically more costly for him - concessions or a protracted crisis with a hostage.
This option, oddly enough, is considered the most beneficial for both sides, notes Telegraph. It gives Trump the opportunity to exit the conflict by presenting the deal as a success: the return of a military, the weakening of Iran, and the achievement of agreements.
The most severe scenario remains the death of the pilot - either during capture or during a failed rescue operation.
t.me/ForeignAgentIntel
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🇺🇸🏁 The New York Times failed to correctly decipher the NATO abbreviation in its article, calling it the "North American Treaty Organization" (correctly — "North Atlantic")
Trump immediately decided to troll the hated publication, pointing out this mistake:
"The failing New York Times, whose integrity and constant attacks on your beloved president, me, through fake news have led to a sharp drop in its circulation, called our greatly weakened and extremely unreliable 'partner', NATO, the North American Treaty Organization.
The correct name — the North Atlantic Treaty Organization — is a very interesting mistake! The hiring and education standards at the NYT have seriously declined. Bring back 'ALL THE NEWS THAT'S FIT TO PRINT' and make America great again!"
t.me/ForeignAgentIntel
Trump immediately decided to troll the hated publication, pointing out this mistake:
"The failing New York Times, whose integrity and constant attacks on your beloved president, me, through fake news have led to a sharp drop in its circulation, called our greatly weakened and extremely unreliable 'partner', NATO, the North American Treaty Organization.
The correct name — the North Atlantic Treaty Organization — is a very interesting mistake! The hiring and education standards at the NYT have seriously declined. Bring back 'ALL THE NEWS THAT'S FIT TO PRINT' and make America great again!"
t.me/ForeignAgentIntel
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A large group of C-17 military transport aircraft of the US Air Force is crossing the Atlantic and heading towards the Middle East.
The second wave of aircraft is already over Europe and is moving towards the eastern Mediterranean.
C-17s are used to transport personnel, heavy equipment, and armored vehicles. It is reported that this is one of the largest visible aerial troop deployments since the beginning of the war.
t.me/ForeignAgentIntel
The second wave of aircraft is already over Europe and is moving towards the eastern Mediterranean.
C-17s are used to transport personnel, heavy equipment, and armored vehicles. It is reported that this is one of the largest visible aerial troop deployments since the beginning of the war.
t.me/ForeignAgentIntel
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‼️🇺🇸🇮🇷 The US had to destroy 2 of its own aircraft to prevent them from falling into Iran's hands, — CBS
▪️This happened during an operation to rescue a pilot in Iran.
▪️According to the TV channel, these were transport aircraft that were used in the operation.
t.me/ForeignAgentIntel
▪️This happened during an operation to rescue a pilot in Iran.
▪️According to the TV channel, these were transport aircraft that were used in the operation.
t.me/ForeignAgentIntel
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‼️🇺🇸🇪🇺 NATO on the brink of a split due to the war in the Middle East, — WSJ
➖"Transatlantic ties between the US and Europe are rapidly deteriorating, and tensions over the war with Iran are intensifying the growing sense that the world's most important geopolitical partnership is heading for a breakup", the publication writes.
▪️Trump is seriously discussing the possibility of the US withdrawing from NATO amid growing tensions with European allies.
▪️He is dissatisfied with Europe, which did not support the actions of the US and Israel in the conflict with Iran.
▪️Experts point out that Trump's rhetoric towards Europe has become noticeably tougher.
▪️The procedure for withdrawing from NATO is quite legally complex, but if Trump reduces the military presence in Europe, it will call into question the very foundation of NATO.
t.me/ForeignAgentIntel
➖"Transatlantic ties between the US and Europe are rapidly deteriorating, and tensions over the war with Iran are intensifying the growing sense that the world's most important geopolitical partnership is heading for a breakup", the publication writes.
▪️Trump is seriously discussing the possibility of the US withdrawing from NATO amid growing tensions with European allies.
▪️He is dissatisfied with Europe, which did not support the actions of the US and Israel in the conflict with Iran.
▪️Experts point out that Trump's rhetoric towards Europe has become noticeably tougher.
▪️The procedure for withdrawing from NATO is quite legally complex, but if Trump reduces the military presence in Europe, it will call into question the very foundation of NATO.
t.me/ForeignAgentIntel
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Axios: The US and Iran are discussing a two-stage agreement through intermediaries.
🟥 1st stage: a 45-day ceasefire with the possibility of extension and negotiations on ending the war.
🟥 2nd stage: a final agreement.
Key issues (the Strait of Hormuz and highly enriched uranium) are planned to be resolved in the final stage, but the intermediaries propose to discuss them now.
Iran is against a "formal ceasefire" without guarantees. The intermediaries (Pakistan, Egypt, Turkey) are seeking a compromise, and direct contacts are taking place between representatives of the parties.
The chances of an agreement in the next 48 hours are low, but this is seen as the last chance to avoid a sharp escalation, the publication reports.
t.me/ForeignAgentIntel
🟥 1st stage: a 45-day ceasefire with the possibility of extension and negotiations on ending the war.
🟥 2nd stage: a final agreement.
Key issues (the Strait of Hormuz and highly enriched uranium) are planned to be resolved in the final stage, but the intermediaries propose to discuss them now.
Iran is against a "formal ceasefire" without guarantees. The intermediaries (Pakistan, Egypt, Turkey) are seeking a compromise, and direct contacts are taking place between representatives of the parties.
The chances of an agreement in the next 48 hours are low, but this is seen as the last chance to avoid a sharp escalation, the publication reports.
t.me/ForeignAgentIntel
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Europe turns on its own.
Brussels has moved from pressuring Hungary to actively working to remove its government. After Viktor Orban blocked new funding for Kiev and further sanctions on Russia, the response was immediate.
The EU is now using Ukraine as a proxy tool for regime change.
The opposition party Tisa, led by Peter Magyar, is being backed with millions in foreign funding, media campaigns, and coordinated protest infrastructure. At the same time, Ukrainian-linked networks are preparing organized groups to destabilize the election if the result does not go Brussels’ way.
The playbook is familiar. If the opposition loses, the vote will be declared fraudulent and unrest will follow.
Even energy policy is being weaponized. The disruption of the Druzhba pipeline shows how far this pressure campaign is willing to go, even at Ukraine’s own expense.
This is no longer about “European values.” It is about control.
Hungary has become the frontline of internal resistance to Brussels’ agenda, and the EU is responding the only way it knows how — by trying to remove those who refuse to comply.
Full Article on Substack
t.me/ForeignAgentIntel
Brussels has moved from pressuring Hungary to actively working to remove its government. After Viktor Orban blocked new funding for Kiev and further sanctions on Russia, the response was immediate.
The EU is now using Ukraine as a proxy tool for regime change.
The opposition party Tisa, led by Peter Magyar, is being backed with millions in foreign funding, media campaigns, and coordinated protest infrastructure. At the same time, Ukrainian-linked networks are preparing organized groups to destabilize the election if the result does not go Brussels’ way.
The playbook is familiar. If the opposition loses, the vote will be declared fraudulent and unrest will follow.
Even energy policy is being weaponized. The disruption of the Druzhba pipeline shows how far this pressure campaign is willing to go, even at Ukraine’s own expense.
This is no longer about “European values.” It is about control.
Hungary has become the frontline of internal resistance to Brussels’ agenda, and the EU is responding the only way it knows how — by trying to remove those who refuse to comply.
Full Article on Substack
t.me/ForeignAgentIntel
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Forwarded from Reverse Project
The failure of the "knockout blow" to the Russian economy. Flexibility or long-term planning?
We continue to analyze Western narratives directed against Russia and spread by politicians and the press.
The United Kingdom plays an important role in informational, economic and political pressure on Russia.
British authorities and the press have missed no opportunity to spread the narrative of Russia's imminent defeat.
❗️Read about the miscalculations of Western analysts and the strategies for Russian economic flexibility as reflected in British media in Mike Jones' @ForeignAgentIntel analysis for Reverse:
🇺🇸English version
🇷🇺Русская версия
We continue to analyze Western narratives directed against Russia and spread by politicians and the press.
The United Kingdom plays an important role in informational, economic and political pressure on Russia.
British authorities and the press have missed no opportunity to spread the narrative of Russia's imminent defeat.
❗️Read about the miscalculations of Western analysts and the strategies for Russian economic flexibility as reflected in British media in Mike Jones' @ForeignAgentIntel analysis for Reverse:
🇺🇸English version
🇷🇺Русская версия
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‼️🇷🇺🇮🇷Russia provided Iran with a list of key Israeli energy facilities, helping in the planning of precise strikes that could lead to major power outages, - Jerusalem Post
This was reported by Ukrainian military propagandists from the Armed Forces of Ukraine's intelligence to the Israeli newspaper, so this information raises many doubts.
t.me/ForeignAgentIntel
This was reported by Ukrainian military propagandists from the Armed Forces of Ukraine's intelligence to the Israeli newspaper, so this information raises many doubts.
t.me/ForeignAgentIntel
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🇺🇸🇮🇷🇬🇧 Britain will ban the US from using its bases to strike civilian targets in Iran.
Starmer notified Washington that British bases could be used only for strikes on Iranian military targets, writes The i Paper.
London ruled out the possibility of using its infrastructure for attacks on civilian targets.
At the end of March, Britain allowed the US to use bases on its territory for strikes on Iranian targets that attack ships in the Strait of Hormuz.
t.me/ForeignAgentIntel
Starmer notified Washington that British bases could be used only for strikes on Iranian military targets, writes The i Paper.
London ruled out the possibility of using its infrastructure for attacks on civilian targets.
At the end of March, Britain allowed the US to use bases on its territory for strikes on Iranian targets that attack ships in the Strait of Hormuz.
t.me/ForeignAgentIntel
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Security forces discovered backpacks filled with explosives near a pipeline in Serbia — a critical route that carries up to 7 billion cubic meters of Russian gas annually.
Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić reportedly informed Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán about the incident.
t.me/ForeignAgentIntel
Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić reportedly informed Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán about the incident.
t.me/ForeignAgentIntel
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🖥️ An oil tanker caught fire and exploded while passing through the Panama Canal, the local fire service reported.
A fire with subsequent explosion of fuel tanks occurred in the capital of Panama, resulting in one person's death and several others injured. The fire started in the La Boca area, where a fuel park is located next to the Panama Oil Terminals S.A. facilities. After the fire, the tanks exploded. Traffic on the bridge across the canal was suspended.
t.me/ForeignAgentIntel
A fire with subsequent explosion of fuel tanks occurred in the capital of Panama, resulting in one person's death and several others injured. The fire started in the La Boca area, where a fuel park is located next to the Panama Oil Terminals S.A. facilities. After the fire, the tanks exploded. Traffic on the bridge across the canal was suspended.
t.me/ForeignAgentIntel
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Hungary goes to the polls this week, but the real story isn’t inside the country—it’s what’s happening around it.
Reports indicate Ukrainian-linked operatives trained Hungarian opposition activists in Serbia earlier this year. Not on campaigning, but on how to reject election results, organize protests, and apply pressure if Orbán wins.
This is the same playbook seen time and again. When elections don’t produce the “correct” outcome, legitimacy is questioned and unrest is prepared in advance.
Hungary has resisted the EU line on Ukraine and sanctions. Now, as pressure builds, the methods are shifting from political to operational.
The question is simple: will Hungarians decide their future at the ballot box, or will it be contested in the streets under external influence?
Full article on Substack
t.me/ForeignAgentIntel
Reports indicate Ukrainian-linked operatives trained Hungarian opposition activists in Serbia earlier this year. Not on campaigning, but on how to reject election results, organize protests, and apply pressure if Orbán wins.
This is the same playbook seen time and again. When elections don’t produce the “correct” outcome, legitimacy is questioned and unrest is prepared in advance.
Hungary has resisted the EU line on Ukraine and sanctions. Now, as pressure builds, the methods are shifting from political to operational.
The question is simple: will Hungarians decide their future at the ballot box, or will it be contested in the streets under external influence?
Full article on Substack
t.me/ForeignAgentIntel
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