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Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Two rounds in, Celtic ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ are already 5 points ahead of Rangers ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ.
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

To win the ๐Ÿ† Pro League:

58% ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช Club Brugge
33% ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช Union SG
9% everyone else combined
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท Dinamo Zagreb are overwhelming favorites to win their 20th league title ๐Ÿ† in last 22 seasons.

๐Ÿ† To win HNL (as of 10 Aug):

75% ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท Dinamo Zagreb
12% ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท Rijeka
6% ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท Hajduk Split
...

๐Ÿ‘‰ Full breakdown of probabilities and scenarios for 180+ competitions available in our ๐Ÿ•น๏ธ Simulator
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

[๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ Ekstraklasa - season projection]

๐Ÿ† Title probabilities:

33% ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ Lech Poznaล„
19% ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ Legia Warsaw
11% ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ Gรณrnik Zabrze
11% ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ Jagiellonia
5% ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ Rakรณw
4% ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ Katowice
3% ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ Wisla Krakow
3% ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ Pogoล„ Szczecin
...

๐Ÿ‘‰ Full analysis of probabilities and scenarios for 180+ competitions available in our Simulator

๐Ÿšจ Updated after every round!
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

[๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Eredivisie - season projection]

๐Ÿ† Title probabilities:

56% ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ PSV Eindhoven
13% ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Feyenoord
10% ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Ajax
9% ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ AZ Alkmaar
5% ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Twente
...

๐Ÿ‘‰ Full analysis of probabilities and scenarios for 180+ competitions available in our Simulator
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

๐Ÿ”ต UCL Pot 1 is locked. ๐Ÿ”’

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท

Each team will play 2 games v other teams from the Pot.

โ›”๏ธ Teams from the same country cannot play against each other.

This increases the chance that ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท PSG, ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Bayern, ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Inter will be paired with teams from ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ.
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

[๐Ÿ”ต UCL Play-off Round - Projected pairs]

๐Ÿ“Š Probabilities to reach the PO round shown next to team names.

Update with the latest betting odds blended into the model.

๐Ÿ‘‰ Full analysis of probabilities and scenarios for all teams in UEFA Qualifiers available in our Simulator
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

[๐ŸŸ  UEL Play-off Round - Projected pairs]

๐Ÿ“Š Probabilities to reach UEL PO shown next to team names.

Update with the latest betting odds blended into the model.

๐Ÿ‘‰ Full analysis of probabilities and scenarios for all teams in UEFA Qualifiers available in our Simulator
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

[๐ŸŸข UECL Play-off Round - Projected pairs]

๐Ÿ“Š Probabilities to reach UECL PO shown next to team names.

Update with the latest betting odds blended into the model.

๐Ÿ‘‰ Full analysis of probabilities and scenarios for all teams in UEFA Qualifiers available in our Simulator
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช Sirius failed to win for only the third time in the whole season today (13-3-0), but are still with a gigantic lead at the top!

๐Ÿ† To win Allsvenskan:

94% ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช IK Sirius
5% ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช Hammarby
1% ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช Djurgรฅrdens IF
0.3% everyone else combined

๐Ÿ‘‰ Full analysis of probabilities and scenarios for 180+ competitions available in our Simulator
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

[๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ Parva Liga - season projection]

๐Ÿ† Title probabilities:

61% ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ Levski Sofia
21% ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ Ludogorets
12% ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ CSKA Sofia
5% ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ CSKA 1948
...

๐Ÿ“ˆ Championship Group probabilities (Top 4):

99% ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ Levski Sofia
94% ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ Ludogorets
87% ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ CSKA Sofia
75% ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ CSKA 1948
25% ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ Arda Kardzhali
8% ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ Botev Plovdiv
5% ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ Lokomotiv Plovdiv
3% ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ Spartak Varna
2% ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ Cherno More Varna
1% ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ Botev Vratsa
...

๐Ÿ‘‰ Full analysis of probabilities and scenarios for 180+ competitions available in our Simulator
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

โšฝ๏ธ La Liga starts next weekend!

๐Ÿ† Title probabilities:

53% ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Barcelona
35% ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Real Madrid
6% ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Atlรฉtico Madrid
2% ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Villarreal
1% ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Betis
...

๐Ÿ‘‰ Full analysis of probabilities and scenarios for 180+ competitions available in our Simulator
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Real Madrid are guaranteed to get about โ‚ฌ25m more than ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Villarreal from ๐Ÿ”ต UCL prize money before the first ball is even kicked.

Value Pillar rewards the teams based on their position in:
โ–ช๏ธ5y club coefficient rankings
โ–ช๏ธ10y club coefficient rankings
โ–ช๏ธTV market rankings

This is the reason why clubs may have identical on-field performances but vastly different ๐Ÿ’ฐ UEFA Prize Money allocations.

๐Ÿ‘‰ Detailed club-by-club financial analysis, with cash flow estimates of when exactly UEFA prize money is paid out available in our ๐Ÿ’ฐ Prize Money Lab
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Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

๐Ÿ’ฐ Guaranteed minimum UEFA prize money for ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ Scotland's five European clubs, 2026/27.

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ Celtic
โ‚ฌ29.1m ๐Ÿ”ต UCL
โ‚ฌ12.0m ๐ŸŸ  UEL

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ Rangers
โ‚ฌ10.3m ๐ŸŸ  UEL
โ‚ฌ5.7m ๐ŸŸข UECL
โ‚ฌ1.1m โŒ out in qualifying

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ Hearts
โ‚ฌ4.4m ๐ŸŸข UECL
โ‚ฌ1.3m โŒ out in qualifying

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ Hibernian
โ‚ฌ4.0m ๐ŸŸข UECL
โ‚ฌ0.9m โŒ out in qualifying

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ Motherwell
โ‚ฌ4.1m ๐ŸŸข UECL
โ‚ฌ0.9m โŒ out in qualifying

๐Ÿ“‰ Worst case for each club today:
โ‚ฌ12.0m ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ Celtic
โ‚ฌ1.3m ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ Hearts
โ‚ฌ1.1m ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ Rangers
โ‚ฌ0.9m ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ Hibernian
โ‚ฌ0.9m ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ Motherwell

๐Ÿ‘‰ Detailed club-by-club financial analysis, with cash flow estimates of when exactly UEFA prize money is paid out available in our ๐Ÿ’ฐ Prize Money Lab
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Amazing Sabah ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฟ gets a huge win, enters the ๐Ÿ”ต UCL Playoff round!

๐ŸŸ  UEL league stage is secured as a minimum โœ…
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ช Iberia v Larne

Massively important match both on the club and national level went to extra time!

Winners will secure league stage football and will put their country in a great position to secure Top 50 in 5y ranking.

๐Ÿ‘‰ Follow all matches ๐Ÿ”ด LIVE in our probability dashboard
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

After 22 years of absence, Georgia ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ช returns to league/group stage of UEFA competitions!

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ช Iberia 1999 beat Larne, secured at least ๐ŸŸข UECL league stage and made Georgia jump to Top 50 in country ranking!

N. Ireland and Larne will have a second chance on both fronts vs the loser of ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Lincoln v ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡พ Omonia.
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Arguably the best double-header of the whole Q3 round.

Bodรธ/Glimt ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด prevails and is one step away from returning to ๐Ÿ”ต UCL!

๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด Norway with 2 teams in PO round!
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

*Actually the third chance for Larne/NIR.
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

With Aarhus ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ facing Benfica ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡น in UEL PO, our baseline projection now includes FOUR ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ teams in ๐ŸŸข UECL league stage!

Do we have Poland 2.0 in the making?