Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

What a thriller in Oostende!

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

This is a very tight round with 7/8 results coming very close.

Dinamo Zagreb 🇭🇷 are the only ones winning with more than 1 goal difference, and they were the biggest pre-match favorites of the whole round.

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

🇭🇷 Croatia overtakes 🇺🇦 Ukraine on 22nd.

Northern Ireland climbs to 50th, 🇬🇪 Georgia to 51st after a draw between Larne and Iberia!

🇱🇺 Luxembourg will finish the season on 52nd.

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

🇱🇻 Latvia are flying through these summer qualifiers!

They are at 11-1-3 after another 🇱🇻 Auda win, climbing to 6th place overall in seasonal rankings!

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

[Projected 🔵 UCL league phase, as of 5 Aug]

🇫🇷 Lyon
🇷🇸 Crvena zvezda

...under the biggest threat to go out already in Q3 as they are the two sides trailing after 1st legs.

👉 Full breakdown of probabilities and scenarios for all teams in UEFA qualifiers available in our 🕹️ Simulator

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Sabah's 🇦🇿 4-0-0 series ends in Randers!

Aarhus 🇩🇰 takes a step closer to the PO round.

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

✅ 10/10 first legs of 🔵 UCL Q3 have been played.

🇭🇷 Dinamo Zagreb (99.95%) and 🇹🇷 Fenerbahçe (93%) are the only two teams with >90% to qualify for PO round.

⚖️ Remaining 8 matchups ended either in a draw or with a minimal win of the home/away team.

Return legs next week should be VERY exciting.

Pity that they're all played on the same night (Tue, 11 Aug) due to the Super Cup on Wed.

👉 Full breakdown of probabilities and scenarios for all teams in UEFA qualifiers available in our 🕹️ Simulator

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

It was a quiet night (before the tomorrow's storm!) in 5y country ranking.

But with some results that may have a big influence on the coefficient races this season:

🇳🇴 Brann facing elimination after losing at home to 🇨🇾 Apollon!

🇵🇱 Gornik Zabrze losing to 🇭🇺 Ferencvaros and potentially facing 🇫🇷 Monaco in 🟢 UECL PO.

🇬🇷 Panathinaikos drawing at home v 🇧🇬 CSKA 1948.

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

More and more nations crossing the 2.000 mark.

🇭🇺 Hungary with a 4-place jump into seasonal Top 15.

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

A lot of uncertainty on how the PO matchups will look like.

Apart from:

✅🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Celtic v 🇦🇹 LASK
~100% 🇭🇷 Dinamo Zagreb v 🇳🇴 Viking

...only 🇧🇬 Levski v 🇬🇷 AEK has >50% chance of happening.

👉 Full breakdown of probabilities and scenarios for all teams in UEFA qualifiers available in our 🕹️ Simulator

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

What are the most likely 🟠 UEL PO matchups, as of 5 Aug?

🇧🇪 STVV v Omonia 🇨🇾 tops the list!

👉 Full breakdown of probabilities and scenarios for all teams in UEFA qualifiers available in our 🕹️ Simulator

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

What are the most likely 🟢 UECL PO matchups, as of 5 Aug?

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Hearts v Rapid Wien 🇦🇹
🇩🇰 Midtjylland v Rijeka 🇭🇷
🇵🇱 Gornik Zabrze v Monaco 🇫🇷

...are on the top of the list!

👉 Full breakdown of probabilities and scenarios for all teams in UEFA qualifiers available in our 🕹️ Simulator

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

🏟️ Attendances | 🔵 UCL Q3 Leg 1 (4-5 Aug)

39,800 🇹🇷 Fenerbahçe v 🇦🇹 Sturm Graz
31,134 🇬🇷 Olympiacos v 🇳🇱 NEC
17,515 🇨🇿 Sparta Prague v 🇫🇷 Lyon
16,916 🇧🇬 Levski Sofia v 🇰🇿 Kairat
12,147 🇭🇷 Dinamo Zagreb v 🇱🇹 Kauno Ž.
8,970 🇩🇰 AGF v 🇦🇿 Sabah
8,110 🇦🇲 Ararat-Armenia v 🇸🇮 Celje
4,827 🇧🇪 Union SG v 🇳🇴 Bodø/Glimt
3,327 🇸🇪 Mjällby AIF v 🇸🇰 Slovan B.
882 🇮🇱 Hapoel BS v 🇷🇸 Crvena zvezda

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

💥 New highest attendance this season in 🔵 UCL!

🏟️ Seasonal Top 15 Attendances | 🔵 UCL Qualifiers (7 Jul-5 Aug)

39,800 🇹🇷 Fenerbahçe v 🇦🇹 Sturm Graz 🆕
38,604 🇹🇷 Fenerbahçe v 🇵🇱 Górnik Zabrze
36,215 🇵🇱 Lech Poznań v 🇩🇰 AGF
31,134 🇬🇷 Olympiacos v 🇳🇱 NEC 🆕
28,499 🇵🇱 Górnik Zabrze v 🇹🇷 Fenerbahçe
27,037 🇷🇴 Univ Craiova v 🇧🇬 Levski Sofia
26,114 🇷🇸 Crvena zvezda v Larne
19,135 🇰🇿 Kairat v 🇨🇾 Omonia
17,867 🇸🇰 Slovan Bratislava v 🇬🇪 Iberia
17,861 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Hearts v 🇦🇹 Sturm Graz
17,515 🇨🇿 Sparta v 🇫🇷 Lyon 🆕
17,325 🇧🇬 Levski Sofia v 🇧🇦 Borac
17,092 🇭🇷 Dinamo Zagreb v 🇨🇭 Thun
16,916 🇧🇬 Levski Sofia v 🇰🇿 Kairat 🆕
16,118 🇧🇬 Levski Sofia v 🇷🇴 Univ Craiova

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

⚠️ Biggest potential negative impact on country coefficient in case of elimination before league stage (not adjusted for risk of actually happening):

🇵🇹 Benfica
🇨🇾 Omonia
🇨🇾 Pafos
🇵🇱 Lech Poznan
🇭🇺 Ferencvaros
🇵🇹 Braga
...

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

⚠️ Risk-adjusted most consequential potential eliminations for country coefficient:

(*negative impact adjusted by high likely it is to happen)

🇩🇰 Midtjylland
🇨🇭 St Gallen
🇩🇰 Nordsjaelland
🇭🇷 Rijeka
🇨🇭 Lugano
🇩🇰 FCK
🇭🇺 ETO Györ
🇭🇷 Hajduk Split
...

👉 Detailed country coefficient analysis available in our 🕹️ Simulator

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Bulgaria 🇧🇬 on the way to have 2 teams in the league stages and neither of them is Ludogorets!

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

🇧🇬 Ludogorets is the only Bulgarian team that lost a European match this season.

Remaining three 🇧🇬 teams are unbeaten in 13 matches combined!

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Romanian 🇷🇴 European season goes from bad to worse.

Univ Craiova will be the only 🇷🇴 team left in the PO round.

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Not a good week for teams called 🇱🇹 Žalgiris against 🇭🇷 Croatian opposition.