Football meets data
376 subscribers
4.27K photos
25 videos
5.21K links
Download Telegram
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท Turkish coefficient outlook took a hit on Thursday with ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท Istanbul BaลŸakลŸehir dropping out of ๐ŸŸข UECL qualifiers.

Despite it, they remain strong favorites to stay Top 9, albeit now with 75%.

9th place is crucial as it guarantees 3 teams in league stages, with the vice-champions starting in ๐Ÿ”ต UCL Q3 (league path), with guaranteed ๐ŸŸ  UEL LS as a minimum.

Vice-champions of country ranked 10th start in ๐Ÿ”ต UCL Q2, have no league stage guaranteed and face a threat of a triple elimination that could leave them without European football in the autumn.

๐Ÿ“ˆ Top 9 probability, as of 1 Aug:

95% ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Netherlands
75% ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท Tรผrkiye
--
14% ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท Greece
11% ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Czechia
5% ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ Poland

๐Ÿ‘‰ Full breakdown of scenarios in coefficient races available in our Coefficient Simulator
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

[Race for direct ๐Ÿ”ต UCL entry in 2027]

Four teams in the race added +0.500 pts to their club coefficients this week (winners from ๐ŸŸ  UEL Q2 and ๐ŸŸข UECL Q2):

๐Ÿ“ˆ ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ Ferencvaros
๐Ÿ“ˆ ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ FCK
๐Ÿ“ˆ ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท PAOK
๐Ÿ“ˆ ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท Panathinaikos

Winners from ๐Ÿ”ต UCL Q2 (champions path) did not add any points to their coefficients as the minimum pts they will earn this season is still 2.500.

Worst case scenario for them is now ๐ŸŸข UECL LS, but that brings them the same minimum of 2.500 pts as if they got eliminated in ๐ŸŸข UECL PO.

๐Ÿšจ Club with the highest club coefficient in champions path of qualifiers will enter UCL directly in 2027 if UCL is won by a team that finished on a UCL position domestically.

Applying to current club coeff standings, the following rebalancing would occur (assuming these clubs win their domestic leagues):

โ–ช๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท Olympiacos would move from UCL PO to league stage
โ–ช๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Shakhtar would move from UCL Q2 to PO
โ–ช๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Qarabag, ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ Crvena zvezda would move from UCL Q1 to Q2
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

It seems Thun ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ have not quite recovered from the Tuesday's shock in Zagreb.
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

๐Ÿ“ˆ TEN teams with most matches played in the history of ๐ŸŸ  UEFA Europa League / UEFA Cup.
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

๐Ÿ“ˆ TEN teams with most matches played in the history of ๐Ÿ”ต UEFA Champions League / European Champions' Cup.
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

โŒโŒโŒ Highest ranked nations with 3 clubs already eliminated from Europe:

#24 ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Slovenia
#34 ๐Ÿ‡ฝ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Kosovo
#35 ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฆ Bosnia-Herzegovina
#40 ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฉ Moldova

โŒโŒ Highest ranked nations with 2 clubs already eliminated from Europe:

#21 ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ด Romania
#22 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Ukraine
#27 ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Azerbaijan
#28 ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Slovakia
#30 ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ Serbia
...
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

๐Ÿ“ˆ TEN teams with most matches played in the history of ๐ŸŸข UEFA Conference League
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

โ˜ ๏ธ Teams with the highest risk of experiencing โŒโŒโŒ triple elimination and missing out on league stage football entirely:

50% ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Lincoln Red Imps
50% ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ Hearts
49% Larne
42% ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ด KI Klaksvik
32% ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ช Shamrock Rovers
30% ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ Gornik Zabrze
29% ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ KuPS
24% ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ธ Vikingur Reykjavik
24% ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Egnatia
21% ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ช Iberia
...

๐Ÿ“Š Chart shows the probability to reach the league stage, so the risk to miss out is = 100% - probability shown.

๐Ÿ‘‰ Full details on projected paths and seedings for all 237 teams available in our ๐Ÿ•น๏ธ Simulator
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

๐Ÿ’ฐ Guaranteed minimum UEFA prize money in 2026/27 for ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Italian teams:

โ‚ฌ56.5m ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Inter
โ‚ฌ49.4m ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Roma
โ‚ฌ43.3m ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Napoli
โ‚ฌ28.3m ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Como
โ‚ฌ14.9m ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Juventus
โ‚ฌ14.2m ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Milan
โ‚ฌ0.9m ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Atalanta

๐Ÿ“ˆ Guaranteed minimum = worst case scenario, if they lose all matches, finish bottom of the league stage table

๐Ÿ’ถ UEFA Prize Money includes:
โ–ช๏ธ Starting Fee
โ–ช๏ธ Value Pillar (5y coeff, 10y coeff, TV market rankings)
โ–ช๏ธ Bonuses from league stage points, positions and KO stage

๐Ÿ‘‰ Full club-by-club breakdown of all possible scenarios available in our ๐Ÿ’ฐ Prize Money Lab
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

๐Ÿ’ฐ UEFA Prize Money of every club already out of Europe

75 clubs from 35 countries have been knocked out in ๐ŸŸข UECL Q1 and Q2.

Between them they earned โ‚ฌ40.635m.

๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท PSG are guaranteed โ‚ฌ63.970m before playing a single match.

๐Ÿ”ข Four tiers:

โ–ช๏ธโ‚ฌ0.960m = two qualifying rounds + domestic champion bonus
โ–ช๏ธโ‚ฌ0.700m = two qualifying rounds
โ–ช๏ธโ‚ฌ0.525m = entered at Q2
โ–ช๏ธโ‚ฌ0.325m = out at Q1

๐Ÿ‘‰ Full club-by-club breakdown of all possible prize money scenarios available in our ๐Ÿ’ฐ Prize Money Lab
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

๐Ÿ’ฐ Starting UEFA prize money for the Top 10 earners in the new ๐Ÿ”ต UCL 2026/27.

These are guaranteed sums before the ball starts rolling.

๐Ÿ’ถ Includes:

โ–ช๏ธ Starting Fee
โ–ช๏ธ Value Pillar (5y coeff, 10y coeff, TV market rankings)
โ–ช๏ธ Ranking share minimum (last place brings โ‚ฌ0.275m)

๐Ÿ‘‰ Full club-by-club breakdown of all possible prize money scenarios available in our ๐Ÿ’ฐ Prize Money Lab
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Club season in the Netherlands ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ starts with a bang.
Football meets data pinned ยซhttps://www.instagram.com/ludm7a?igsh=MWZiZWo0a3FsbHI3Zg==ยป
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Your ๐ŸŸข UECL PO draw groupings (Main Path)
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Your ๐ŸŸข UECL PO draw groupings (Champions Path)
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Your ๐ŸŸ  UEL PO draw groupings
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Your ๐Ÿ”ต UCL PO Champions Path matchups.
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Your ๐Ÿ”ต UCL PO League Path matchups.
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Your drawn ๐ŸŸ  UEL PO matchups
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Your ๐ŸŸข UECL PO matchups.