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Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Seasonal Top 15 attendances | UEFA Qualifiers 2026-27 (7-30 Jul)

๐ŸŸ  59,563 ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡น Benfica v ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ St. Gallen
๐ŸŸข 51,251 ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Ajax v ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ Vojvodina
๐Ÿ”ต 38,604 ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท Fenerbahรงe v ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ Gรณrnik Zabrze
๐Ÿ”ต 36,215 ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ Lech Poznaล„ v ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ AGF
๐ŸŸ  31,471 ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท BeลŸiktaลŸ v ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Midtjylland
๐Ÿ”ต 28,499 ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ Gรณrnik Zabrze v ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท Fenerbahรงe
๐ŸŸ  27,752 ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท Hajduk Split v ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡พ Pafos
๐ŸŸ  27,500 ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Twente v ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ Ferencvรกros
๐Ÿ”ต 27,037 ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ด Univ Craiova v ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ Levski Sofia
๐Ÿ”ต 26,114 ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ Crvena zvezda v Larne
๐ŸŸ  23,813 ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฟ QarabaฤŸ v ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ CSKA Sofia
๐ŸŸ  23,572 ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช Hammarby IF v ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช Anderlecht
๐ŸŸ  23,549 ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฟ QarabaฤŸ v ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ธ Vestri
๐ŸŸ  22,500 ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช Anderlecht v ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช Hammarby
๐ŸŸข 22,414 ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท Panathinaikos v ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ Paks
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

๐ŸŸข UECL Q3 (Main Path) - probabilities to qualify for the next round, as of 31 July

๐Ÿ” Biggest favorites to qualify:

๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Nordsjaelland
๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Ajax
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Midtjylland

โš–๏ธ Most balanced ties:

๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ Rakow v ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช Hammarby
๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Dinamo City v ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ป Auda
๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Inter Turku v ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Vaduz

*sums of probabilities can differ from 100% due to rounding

๐Ÿ‘‰ Full breakdown of scenarios and projections for all teams available in our ๐Ÿ•น๏ธ Simulator
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

๐Ÿ”ต UCL Q3 - probabilities to qualify for the next round, as of 31 July

๐Ÿ” Biggest favorites to qualify:

๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท Dinamo Zagreb
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท Olympiacos
๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท Lyon

โš–๏ธ Most balanced ties:

๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด Bodรธ/Glimt v ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช Union SG ๐Ÿ‘‰ this one has been going back-and-forth in simulations (51-49, 50-50, 49-51), essentially a coin toss

๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช Mjรคllby v ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Slovan Bratislava
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Celje v ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฒ Ararat-Armenia

๐Ÿ‘‰ Full breakdown of scenarios and projections for all teams available in our ๐Ÿ•น๏ธ Simulator
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

This is how the seeding pots for ๐Ÿ”ต UCL league stage would look like if all seeded teams (highest club coefficient) won each matchup in Q3 and PO.

Seeded in Champions Path:

๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ Crvena zvezda
๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท Dinamo Zagreb
๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ Celtic
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Slovan Bratislava
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท AEK Athens

Seeded in League Path:

๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท Olympique Lyonnais
๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด Bodรธ/Glimt

๐Ÿ‘‰ Full details on probabilities and projected paths and scenarios for each team available in our ๐Ÿ•น๏ธ Simulator
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

This is how the seeding pots for ๐ŸŸ  UEL league stage would look like if each matchup in Q3 and PO is won by a team with a higher club coefficient (instead of a team with a higher % to win).

๐Ÿ‘‰ Full details on probabilities and projected paths and scenarios for each team available in our ๐Ÿ•น๏ธ Simulator
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

This is how the seeding pots for ๐ŸŸข UECL league stage would look like if each matchup in Q3 and PO is won by a team with a higher club coefficient (instead of a team with a higher % to win).

๐Ÿ‘‰ Full details on probabilities and projected paths and scenarios for each team available in our ๐Ÿ•น๏ธ Simulator
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

To reach the ๐Ÿ”ต UCL league stage from the Champions Path, as of 1 Aug.

Four teams starting from the PO round with a visible advantage in % as they face no risk of dropping out in Q3.

๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท Dinamo Zagreb is the only Q3 team near the top due to their heavy favorite status in Q3.

PO draw on Monday (12:00 CET) will shake things up.

๐Ÿ‘‰ Full details on probabilities, projected paths and scenarios for each team available in our ๐Ÿ•น๏ธ Simulator
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ช remain strong favorites to finish Top 33 at the end of the season and ensure their cup winners a slot in UEL qualifiers in 2028/29.

๐Ÿ“ˆ Top 33 probability, as of 1 Aug:

94% ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ธ Iceland
78% ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฒ Armenia
73% ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ช Ireland
---
14% ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Finland
10% ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Kazakhstan
10% ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ป Latvia
10% ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Liechtenstein
8% ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฆ Bosnia-Herzegovina
3% ๐Ÿ‡ฝ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Kosovo
0.1% ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡พ Belarus

๐Ÿ‘‰ Full breakdown of scenarios in coefficient races available in our Coefficient Simulator
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

โŒ UEFA members that have never had a club in league/group stage of UEFA competitions:

๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ช Montenegro
๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฉ Andorra
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฒ San Marino
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท Turkish coefficient outlook took a hit on Thursday with ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท Istanbul BaลŸakลŸehir dropping out of ๐ŸŸข UECL qualifiers.

Despite it, they remain strong favorites to stay Top 9, albeit now with 75%.

9th place is crucial as it guarantees 3 teams in league stages, with the vice-champions starting in ๐Ÿ”ต UCL Q3 (league path), with guaranteed ๐ŸŸ  UEL LS as a minimum.

Vice-champions of country ranked 10th start in ๐Ÿ”ต UCL Q2, have no league stage guaranteed and face a threat of a triple elimination that could leave them without European football in the autumn.

๐Ÿ“ˆ Top 9 probability, as of 1 Aug:

95% ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Netherlands
75% ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท Tรผrkiye
--
14% ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท Greece
11% ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Czechia
5% ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ Poland

๐Ÿ‘‰ Full breakdown of scenarios in coefficient races available in our Coefficient Simulator
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

[Race for direct ๐Ÿ”ต UCL entry in 2027]

Four teams in the race added +0.500 pts to their club coefficients this week (winners from ๐ŸŸ  UEL Q2 and ๐ŸŸข UECL Q2):

๐Ÿ“ˆ ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ Ferencvaros
๐Ÿ“ˆ ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ FCK
๐Ÿ“ˆ ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท PAOK
๐Ÿ“ˆ ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท Panathinaikos

Winners from ๐Ÿ”ต UCL Q2 (champions path) did not add any points to their coefficients as the minimum pts they will earn this season is still 2.500.

Worst case scenario for them is now ๐ŸŸข UECL LS, but that brings them the same minimum of 2.500 pts as if they got eliminated in ๐ŸŸข UECL PO.

๐Ÿšจ Club with the highest club coefficient in champions path of qualifiers will enter UCL directly in 2027 if UCL is won by a team that finished on a UCL position domestically.

Applying to current club coeff standings, the following rebalancing would occur (assuming these clubs win their domestic leagues):

โ–ช๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท Olympiacos would move from UCL PO to league stage
โ–ช๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Shakhtar would move from UCL Q2 to PO
โ–ช๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Qarabag, ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ Crvena zvezda would move from UCL Q1 to Q2
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

It seems Thun ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ have not quite recovered from the Tuesday's shock in Zagreb.
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

๐Ÿ“ˆ TEN teams with most matches played in the history of ๐ŸŸ  UEFA Europa League / UEFA Cup.
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

๐Ÿ“ˆ TEN teams with most matches played in the history of ๐Ÿ”ต UEFA Champions League / European Champions' Cup.
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

โŒโŒโŒ Highest ranked nations with 3 clubs already eliminated from Europe:

#24 ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Slovenia
#34 ๐Ÿ‡ฝ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Kosovo
#35 ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฆ Bosnia-Herzegovina
#40 ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฉ Moldova

โŒโŒ Highest ranked nations with 2 clubs already eliminated from Europe:

#21 ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ด Romania
#22 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Ukraine
#27 ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Azerbaijan
#28 ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Slovakia
#30 ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ Serbia
...
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

๐Ÿ“ˆ TEN teams with most matches played in the history of ๐ŸŸข UEFA Conference League
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

โ˜ ๏ธ Teams with the highest risk of experiencing โŒโŒโŒ triple elimination and missing out on league stage football entirely:

50% ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Lincoln Red Imps
50% ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ Hearts
49% Larne
42% ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ด KI Klaksvik
32% ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ช Shamrock Rovers
30% ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ Gornik Zabrze
29% ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ KuPS
24% ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ธ Vikingur Reykjavik
24% ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Egnatia
21% ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ช Iberia
...

๐Ÿ“Š Chart shows the probability to reach the league stage, so the risk to miss out is = 100% - probability shown.

๐Ÿ‘‰ Full details on projected paths and seedings for all 237 teams available in our ๐Ÿ•น๏ธ Simulator
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

๐Ÿ’ฐ Guaranteed minimum UEFA prize money in 2026/27 for ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Italian teams:

โ‚ฌ56.5m ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Inter
โ‚ฌ49.4m ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Roma
โ‚ฌ43.3m ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Napoli
โ‚ฌ28.3m ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Como
โ‚ฌ14.9m ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Juventus
โ‚ฌ14.2m ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Milan
โ‚ฌ0.9m ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Atalanta

๐Ÿ“ˆ Guaranteed minimum = worst case scenario, if they lose all matches, finish bottom of the league stage table

๐Ÿ’ถ UEFA Prize Money includes:
โ–ช๏ธ Starting Fee
โ–ช๏ธ Value Pillar (5y coeff, 10y coeff, TV market rankings)
โ–ช๏ธ Bonuses from league stage points, positions and KO stage

๐Ÿ‘‰ Full club-by-club breakdown of all possible scenarios available in our ๐Ÿ’ฐ Prize Money Lab
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

๐Ÿ’ฐ UEFA Prize Money of every club already out of Europe

75 clubs from 35 countries have been knocked out in ๐ŸŸข UECL Q1 and Q2.

Between them they earned โ‚ฌ40.635m.

๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท PSG are guaranteed โ‚ฌ63.970m before playing a single match.

๐Ÿ”ข Four tiers:

โ–ช๏ธโ‚ฌ0.960m = two qualifying rounds + domestic champion bonus
โ–ช๏ธโ‚ฌ0.700m = two qualifying rounds
โ–ช๏ธโ‚ฌ0.525m = entered at Q2
โ–ช๏ธโ‚ฌ0.325m = out at Q1

๐Ÿ‘‰ Full club-by-club breakdown of all possible prize money scenarios available in our ๐Ÿ’ฐ Prize Money Lab
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

๐Ÿ’ฐ Starting UEFA prize money for the Top 10 earners in the new ๐Ÿ”ต UCL 2026/27.

These are guaranteed sums before the ball starts rolling.

๐Ÿ’ถ Includes:

โ–ช๏ธ Starting Fee
โ–ช๏ธ Value Pillar (5y coeff, 10y coeff, TV market rankings)
โ–ช๏ธ Ranking share minimum (last place brings โ‚ฌ0.275m)

๐Ÿ‘‰ Full club-by-club breakdown of all possible prize money scenarios available in our ๐Ÿ’ฐ Prize Money Lab
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Club season in the Netherlands ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ starts with a bang.