Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

✅ Your final and confirmed seedings for 🟢 UECL PO draw (Champions Path).

🗓️ Monday, 14:00 CET

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland overtakes 🇦🇹 Austria on 19th!

Three 🇸🇮 Slovenian clubs wiped out in one night! They are down to only 1 team.

Amazing night for 🇫🇮 Finland who has all 4 clubs still active!

🇱🇺 Luxembourg climbed 2 places but it's a Pyrrhic victory as they have no clubs left, and will surely be taken over by either 🇬🇪 or NIR because 🇬🇪 Iberia and Larne play each other in Q3!

🇲🇹🇱🇺🇲🇪🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 are completely eliminated and have no active clubs in Europe!

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

✅ 13 matchups of 🟠 UEL Q3 are confirmed.

📈 Winners will ensure participation in UEFA league stage (UEL or UECL).

📉 Losers will have one more chance in UECL PO.

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

✅ 30/30 matchups of 🟢 UECL Q3 are confirmed.

📈 Winners will get within 1 round of reaching the league stage.

📉 Losers will end their European path.

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

📈 Coefficient points added this week:

+1.000 🇱🇮
+0.750 🇦🇿🇨🇾🇩🇰🇫🇮
+0.625 🇱🇹🇮🇱🇱🇻
+0.600 🇦🇹
+0.500 🇵🇱🇧🇬🇭🇷🇭🇺🇽🇰🇷🇸🇸🇰🇨🇭
+0.400 🇨🇿🇵🇹🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿
+0.375 🇦🇱🇰🇿🇦🇲🇪🇪🇷🇴🇸🇪
+0.333 🇲🇰🇧🇾
+0.300 🇧🇪🇬🇷🇹🇷
+0.250 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿🇳🇱🇧🇦🇫🇴🇮🇸🇮🇪
+0.200 🇳🇴
+0.166 🇬🇮
+0.125 🇱🇺🇬🇪🇲🇩🇺🇦🇸🇮

🟰 🇲🇪🇲🇹☘️🇦🇩

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

🇱🇻 Latvia still leads the way in the number of European wins this season!

🇺🇦 Ukraine and 🇲🇪 Montenegro are the only two nations that played European matches but haven't won a single game.

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

🇱🇺🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿🇲🇪🇸🇲 will have only 3 teams in Europe in season 2028/29.

(🇸🇲 could theoretically climb to Top 50, but it happened in 0 simulations)

🇱🇺 LUX are currently on 50th but will 100% drop below the line as Iberia and Larne play each other in UEL Q3, so one of GEO / NIR will overtake LUX.

🇬🇪 Iberia v Larne matchup thus carries an enormous weight not only because the winner will ensure league stage football, but as it will also decide the number of European slots their league will have in 2028.

To finish Top 50:

98% 🇪🇪 Estonia
92% 🇦🇩 Andorra
89% 🇬🇮 Gibraltar
76% 🇬🇪 Georgia
--
45% Northern Ireland

👉 Full breakdown of all scenarios in coefficient races available in our 🕹️ Simulator

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

🇦🇿 Azerbaijan climbed to 6th place in seasonal country ranking, but lost 2 teams this week.

🇱🇻 Latvia also overtakes 🇫🇷 France.

🇵🇹 Portugal added +0.400 and joined the club of nations with 3.000+ points.

By the end of Q3 they could enter Top 2!

👉 Full breakdown of all scenarios in coefficient race available in our 🕹️ Simulator

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Can our Belgian followers help us with the info on the official attendance at 🇧🇪 Anderlecht v 🇸🇪 Hammarby?

Only for that match the attendance is missing in UEFA reports.

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

🏟️ Seasonal Top 15 Attendances | 🟢 UECL Qualifiers (7-29 Jul)

51,251 🇳🇱 Ajax v 🇷🇸 Vojvodina 🆕
22,414 🇬🇷 Panathinaikos v 🇭🇺 Paks 🆕
20,541 🇩🇰 Copenhagen v 🇺🇦 Polissya 🆕
15,749 🇸🇪 IFK Göteborg v 🇪🇪 FCI Levadia
15,270 🇰🇿 Astana v 🇦🇱 Dinamo City
15,182 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Hibernian v 🇽🇰 Malisheva 🆕
13,319 🇷🇴 FCSB v 🇱🇻 Auda
13,208 🇦🇹 Rapid Wien v 🇦🇩 Santa Coloma 🆕
12,312 🇵🇹 Braga v 🇷🇸 Železničar Pančevo 🆕
12,308 🇳🇴 Brann v 🇷🇴 Universitatea Cluj 🆕
11,714 🇸🇪 GAIS v 🇩🇰 Nordsjælland
11,543 🇵🇱 GKS Katowice v 🇸🇰 Žilina 🆕
10,637 🇷🇸 Partizan v 🇱🇺 UNA Strassen
10,164 🇸🇰 Spartak Trnava v 🇧🇬 CSKA 1948
10,107 🇧🇦 Sarajevo v 🇫🇮 Inter Turku

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

🏟️ Attendances | 🟠 UEL Q2 Leg 2 (30 Jul)

59,563 🇵🇹 Benfica v 🇨🇭 St. Gallen
22,500 🇧🇪 Anderlecht v 🇸🇪 Hammarby
18,760 🇬🇷 PAOK v 🇺🇦 Dynamo Kyiv
17,201 🇭🇺 Ferencváros v 🇳🇱 Twente
16,172 🇧🇬 CSKA Sofia v 🇦🇿 Qarabağ
10,227 🇩🇰 Midtjylland v 🇹🇷 Beşiktaş
9,300 🇨🇿 Hradec Králové v 🇳🇴 Tromsø
4,169 🇨🇾 Pafos v 🇭🇷 Hajduk Split
1,012 🇮🇱 Maccabi Tel Aviv v 🇲🇩 Sheriff

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

🏟️ Seasonal Top 15 attendances | UEFA Qualifiers 2026-27 (7-30 Jul)

🟠 59,563 🇵🇹 Benfica v 🇨🇭 St. Gallen
🟢 51,251 🇳🇱 Ajax v 🇷🇸 Vojvodina
🔵 38,604 🇹🇷 Fenerbahçe v 🇵🇱 Górnik Zabrze
🔵 36,215 🇵🇱 Lech Poznań v 🇩🇰 AGF
🟠 31,471 🇹🇷 Beşiktaş v 🇩🇰 Midtjylland
🔵 28,499 🇵🇱 Górnik Zabrze v 🇹🇷 Fenerbahçe
🟠 27,752 🇭🇷 Hajduk Split v 🇨🇾 Pafos
🟠 27,500 🇳🇱 Twente v 🇭🇺 Ferencváros
🔵 27,037 🇷🇴 Univ Craiova v 🇧🇬 Levski Sofia
🔵 26,114 🇷🇸 Crvena zvezda v Larne
🟠 23,813 🇦🇿 Qarabağ v 🇧🇬 CSKA Sofia
🟠 23,572 🇸🇪 Hammarby IF v 🇧🇪 Anderlecht
🟠 23,549 🇦🇿 Qarabağ v 🇮🇸 Vestri
🟠 22,500 🇧🇪 Anderlecht v 🇸🇪 Hammarby
🟢 22,414 🇬🇷 Panathinaikos v 🇭🇺 Paks

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

🟢 UECL Q3 (Main Path) - probabilities to qualify for the next round, as of 31 July

🔝 Biggest favorites to qualify:

🇩🇰 Nordsjaelland
🇳🇱 Ajax
🇩🇰 Midtjylland

⚖️ Most balanced ties:

🇵🇱 Rakow v 🇸🇪 Hammarby
🇦🇱 Dinamo City v 🇱🇻 Auda
🇫🇮 Inter Turku v 🇱🇮 Vaduz

*sums of probabilities can differ from 100% due to rounding

👉 Full breakdown of scenarios and projections for all teams available in our 🕹️ Simulator

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

🔵 UCL Q3 - probabilities to qualify for the next round, as of 31 July

🔝 Biggest favorites to qualify:

🇭🇷 Dinamo Zagreb
🇬🇷 Olympiacos
🇫🇷 Lyon

⚖️ Most balanced ties:

🇳🇴 Bodø/Glimt v 🇧🇪 Union SG 👉 this one has been going back-and-forth in simulations (51-49, 50-50, 49-51), essentially a coin toss

🇸🇪 Mjällby v 🇸🇰 Slovan Bratislava
🇸🇮 Celje v 🇦🇲 Ararat-Armenia

👉 Full breakdown of scenarios and projections for all teams available in our 🕹️ Simulator

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

This is how the seeding pots for 🔵 UCL league stage would look like if all seeded teams (highest club coefficient) won each matchup in Q3 and PO.

Seeded in Champions Path:

🇷🇸 Crvena zvezda
🇭🇷 Dinamo Zagreb
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Celtic
🇸🇰 Slovan Bratislava
🇬🇷 AEK Athens

Seeded in League Path:

🇫🇷 Olympique Lyonnais
🇳🇴 Bodø/Glimt

👉 Full details on probabilities and projected paths and scenarios for each team available in our 🕹️ Simulator

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

This is how the seeding pots for 🟠 UEL league stage would look like if each matchup in Q3 and PO is won by a team with a higher club coefficient (instead of a team with a higher % to win).

👉 Full details on probabilities and projected paths and scenarios for each team available in our 🕹️ Simulator

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

This is how the seeding pots for 🟢 UECL league stage would look like if each matchup in Q3 and PO is won by a team with a higher club coefficient (instead of a team with a higher % to win).

👉 Full details on probabilities and projected paths and scenarios for each team available in our 🕹️ Simulator

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

To reach the 🔵 UCL league stage from the Champions Path, as of 1 Aug.

Four teams starting from the PO round with a visible advantage in % as they face no risk of dropping out in Q3.

🇭🇷 Dinamo Zagreb is the only Q3 team near the top due to their heavy favorite status in Q3.

PO draw on Monday (12:00 CET) will shake things up.

👉 Full details on probabilities, projected paths and scenarios for each team available in our 🕹️ Simulator

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

🇮🇸🇦🇲🇮🇪 remain strong favorites to finish Top 33 at the end of the season and ensure their cup winners a slot in UEL qualifiers in 2028/29.

📈 Top 33 probability, as of 1 Aug:

94% 🇮🇸 Iceland
78% 🇦🇲 Armenia
73% 🇮🇪 Ireland
---
14% 🇫🇮 Finland
10% 🇰🇿 Kazakhstan
10% 🇱🇻 Latvia
10% 🇱🇮 Liechtenstein
8% 🇧🇦 Bosnia-Herzegovina
3% 🇽🇰 Kosovo
0.1% 🇧🇾 Belarus

👉 Full breakdown of scenarios in coefficient races available in our Coefficient Simulator