Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Tonight is a crucial night for 🇬🇷 AEK's chances to be seeded in 🔵 UCL PO draw (Monday, 12:00 CET).

If 🇭🇷 Dinamo Zagreb eliminates 🇨🇭 Thun, AEK will almost certainly be unseeded.

If 🇨🇭 Thun eliminates 🇭🇷 Dinamo Zagreb, AEK will switch to the seeded side

Seeded sides in the league path are already LOCKED 🔒.

👉 Full probabilities and seeding scenarios for all 237 teams available in our Simulator

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Passing through Q2 and Q3 in the Main Path of 🟠 UEL qualifiers may be more difficult than getting through the PO round.

It is because the Main and Champions paths merge in PO round and 12/24 draw slots are taken by champions of mostly lower ranked leagues.

It is best visible by the fact that 🇮🇱 Maccabi TA and 🇧🇪 Anderlecht were UNSEEDED in Q3 draw with a coefficient of >30.000.

If they entered the PO draw with that same coefficient, they'd be easily seeded.

You can see a huge drop-off in coefficients on the seeded side after 🇦🇿 Qarabag's 42.750, who was the last seeded team in Q3.

👉 Full probabilities and seeding scenarios for all teams available in our Simulator

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

🇨🇭 Lugano are currently 2 spots above the projected seeding line in 🟢 UECL PO draw (assuming they don't get eliminated by 🇽🇰 Dukagjini in Q2).

📈 Every team with a ✅ in the visual below that wins their Q2 tie HELPS 🇨🇭 Lugano.

📉 Every team with a ✅ that loses their Q2 tie, HURTS 🇨🇭 Lugano.

To stay seeded, they can afford only one of the ⬛️ selected teams below that carry a ✅ to lose their tie.

For example, if 🇱🇻 Auda get eliminated by 🇷🇴 FCSB, this pushes Lugano one place down.

Ironically, 🇨🇭 St Gallen eliminating 🇵🇹 Benfica would HURT 🇨🇭 Lugano's chances of being seeded in PO!

Overall, Lugano's chances of being seeded are 81%.

👉 All seeding details and everything about UEFA club qualifiers available in our 🕹️ Simulator

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

🟢 UECL PO seedings will be decided on Thursday, for the draw that follows on Monday at 14:00 CET.

Projected line is currently between 🇹🇷 Istanbul Başakşehir and 🇪🇸 Getafe, but it's possible it moves several places up or down.

🇷🇸 Partizan is currently at 98% to be seeded, so if the line does go up, it is unlikely it will go above them.

👉 All seeding details, who needs what, and everything about UEFA club qualifiers available in our 🕹️ Simulator

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Sabah 🇦🇿 qualifies for their first ever league/group stage participation in UEFA competitions!

Whether it will be in 🔵 UCL, 🟠 UEL or 🟢 UECL we'll find out over the next 4 weeks.

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Huge drama in Zagreb as 🇭🇷 Dinamo came back from the dead after being 0-2 down to qualify for Q3!

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

🇭🇷 CRO inching in on 🇺🇦 UKR.

🇽🇰 KOS overtook 🇧🇦 BIH on 34th.

🇦🇱 ALB overtook 🇧🇾 BLR on 43rd.

🇬🇮 GIB overtook 🇪🇪 EST on 48th.

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Latvia 🇱🇻 continues their amazing run (9-0-2❗️) and climbs to 7th place in seasonal coefficient ranking!

Can they overtake 🇫🇷 France and 🇵🇹 Portugal by the end of this week?

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

🇬🇷 AEK was very close to securing a seeded status in 🔵 UCL PO as 🇨🇭 Thun were leading 0-2 in Zagreb in 74th minute.

But the turnaround of 🇭🇷 Dinamo Zagreb from 0-2 to 3-2 changed everything and now 🇬🇷 AEK will almost certainly be unseeded (95%).

They'd need one of 🇷🇸 C. zvezda, 🇸🇰 Slovan or 🇵🇱 Lech to drop out in Q2, after winning the first legs by a big margin.

👉 Full probabilities and seeding scenarios for all teams available in our Simulator

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

✅ Teams that confirmed league stage football on Tuesday:

🇦🇿 Sabah
🇸🇪 Mjällby
🇭🇷 Dinamo Zagreb
🇦🇲 Ararat-Armenia
🇸🇮 Celje
🇦🇹 Sturm Graz

⏳ All these teams have at least 10 more European matches to play this season.

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

✅ Only one confirmed matchup in the champions path of 🔵 UCL Q3 so far:

🇦🇲 Ararat-Armenia v 🇸🇮 Celje

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

🟠 UEL Q3 is one of the most important rounds of the whole summer qualifiers.

📈 Winners ensure qualification for league stage football.

📉 Losers will have one last chance in 🟢 UECL PO, but the opponents they face there for some teams may be more difficult than in 🟠 UEL Q3.

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

🔺 The pair 🇮🇪 Shamrock Rovers v 🇦🇱 Egnatia ✅ confirmed seeded in 🟠 UEL PO draw.

🔻 The pair 🇸🇮 Celje v 🇦🇲 Ararat-Armenia confirmed unseeded.

🗓️ Draw: Monday, 13:00 CET

👉 Full probabilities and seeding scenarios for all teams available in our Simulator

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

🔻 Pair 🇮🇪 Shamrock Rovers v 🇦🇱 Egnatia now confirmed unseeded in 🟢 UECL PO draw (champions path).

🔺 Pair 🇽🇰 Drita v 🇸🇲 Tre Fiori confirmed seeded.

👉 Full probabilities and seeding scenarios for all teams available in our Simulator

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

🔒 63 of 108 league stage places are already locked by 20 countries:

8️⃣ 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿
7️⃣ 🇪🇸
6️⃣ 🇫🇷 🇩🇪 🇮🇹
5️⃣ -
4️⃣ 🇳🇱
3️⃣ 🇧🇪 🇨🇿 🇬🇷 🇳🇴 🇵🇹
2️⃣ 🇦🇹 🇹🇷
1️⃣ 🇦🇲 🇦🇿 🇭🇷 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 🇸🇮 🇸🇪 🇺🇦

How a place gets locked:
▪️teams start in 🔵 UCL or 🟠 UEL league stage
▪️teams in 🔵 UCL Q3 or PO where even a defeat means 🟠 UEL or 🟢 UECL
▪️teams in 🟠 UEL PO, where a defeat still means 🟢 UECL

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

No changes to projected 🔵 UCL league stage after Tuesday's matches.

None are expected after tonight either.

But the PO draw on Monday may stir this up a bit!

👉 Full details on projected paths and seedings for all 237 teams available in our 🕹️ Simulator

‌Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

More details on the features available in 💰 Prize Money Lab in the blog post below. 👇

https://football-md.com/blog/launching-the-prize-money-lab

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

UEFA Prize Money options for 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Hearts after elimination by 🇦🇹 Sturm Graz.

Guaranteed minimums:
🟠 UEL = €5.33m
🟢 UECL = €4.45m
❌ Out in qual. = €1.28m

Average expected prize money:
🟠 UEL = €9.32m
🟢 UECL = €7.86m
❌ Out in qual. = €1.28m

💸 UEFA Prize Money includes:
▪️ Participation in qualifying rounds
▪️ Starting fee
▪️ Value Pillar (5y coeff, 10 coeff, TV market ranking)
▪️ Bonuses for points, league positions and KO rounds

👉 Our interactive 💰 Prize Money Lab app brings detailed breakdown of expected and guaranteed UEFA prize money for each of the 237 teams playing UEFA competitions.

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

🔴 LIVE probabilities for 🔵 UCL Q3 matchups

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Crazy game in Poznań...

🇬🇷 AEK's live probability for seeded status in 🔵 UCL PO went from hopeless to 19%!

👉 Follow it all in our 🔴 LIVE dashobard in the Simulator