Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)
Sirius' ๐ธ๐ช tempo of winning points compared to their best, worst and average of last 9 seasons.
โ๏ธWith 38 pts after 14/30 rounds, Sirius ๐ธ๐ช are already above their average SEASONAL point tally (36.8 pts).
And only 4 pts below their best seasonal record in that time period (42 pts).
Incredible.
Sirius' ๐ธ๐ช tempo of winning points compared to their best, worst and average of last 9 seasons.
โ๏ธWith 38 pts after 14/30 rounds, Sirius ๐ธ๐ช are already above their average SEASONAL point tally (36.8 pts).
And only 4 pts below their best seasonal record in that time period (42 pts).
Incredible.
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)
๐ธ๐ช Sirius are absolutely crushing it, with a 12-2-0 record since the start of the seasonโผ๏ธ
๐ 11 points advantage, and a game in hand over ๐ธ๐ช Hammarby.
It seems we're on the road for another surprising ๐ธ๐ชchampion, for the second year in a row!
๐ To win Allsvenskan:
79% ๐ธ๐ช Sirius
11% ๐ธ๐ช Hammarby
7% ๐ธ๐ช Djurgarden
1% ๐ธ๐ช AIK
1% ๐ธ๐ช Malmรถ
...
๐ Full details on 70+ competitions (incl. all 55 European leagues!) available in our ๐น๏ธ Simulator
๐ธ๐ช Sirius are absolutely crushing it, with a 12-2-0 record since the start of the seasonโผ๏ธ
๐ 11 points advantage, and a game in hand over ๐ธ๐ช Hammarby.
It seems we're on the road for another surprising ๐ธ๐ชchampion, for the second year in a row!
๐ To win Allsvenskan:
79% ๐ธ๐ช Sirius
11% ๐ธ๐ช Hammarby
7% ๐ธ๐ช Djurgarden
1% ๐ธ๐ช AIK
1% ๐ธ๐ช Malmรถ
...
๐ Full details on 70+ competitions (incl. all 55 European leagues!) available in our ๐น๏ธ Simulator
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)
๐ Bodรธ/Glimt jumps to the top of ๐ณ๐ด Eliteserien after Viking dropped 2 pts at Aalesund.
Viking still have a game in hand, but the ๐ chances have now tilted further in Glimt's favor.
๐ To win the league:
67% ๐ณ๐ด Bodรธ/Glimt
32% ๐ณ๐ด Viking
1% ๐ณ๐ด Tromsรธ
<0.1% everyone else combined
๐ Full details on 70+ competitions (incl. all 55 European leagues!) available in our ๐น๏ธ Simulator
๐ Bodรธ/Glimt jumps to the top of ๐ณ๐ด Eliteserien after Viking dropped 2 pts at Aalesund.
Viking still have a game in hand, but the ๐ chances have now tilted further in Glimt's favor.
๐ To win the league:
67% ๐ณ๐ด Bodรธ/Glimt
32% ๐ณ๐ด Viking
1% ๐ณ๐ด Tromsรธ
<0.1% everyone else combined
๐ Full details on 70+ competitions (incl. all 55 European leagues!) available in our ๐น๏ธ Simulator
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)
With 11 rounds to go and with a 7-point lead, ๐ฎ๐ช Shamrock Rovers are heavily favored to defend their League of Ireland title ๐.
To win the league:
86% ๐ฎ๐ช Shamrock Rovers
7% ๐ฎ๐ช Bohemians
65 ๐ฎ๐ช St Patrick's Athletic
0.2% ๐ฎ๐ช Shelbourne
<0.1% ๐ฎ๐ช Dundalk
๐ Full details on 70+ competitions (incl. all 55 European leagues!) available in our ๐น๏ธ Simulator
With 11 rounds to go and with a 7-point lead, ๐ฎ๐ช Shamrock Rovers are heavily favored to defend their League of Ireland title ๐.
To win the league:
86% ๐ฎ๐ช Shamrock Rovers
7% ๐ฎ๐ช Bohemians
65 ๐ฎ๐ช St Patrick's Athletic
0.2% ๐ฎ๐ช Shelbourne
<0.1% ๐ฎ๐ช Dundalk
๐ Full details on 70+ competitions (incl. all 55 European leagues!) available in our ๐น๏ธ Simulator
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)
๐ฐ How much will English clubs earn from UEFA in 2026/27?
Expected prize money, across 10,000 simulated seasons:
โฌ123.0m ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Arsenal
โฌ110.2m ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Man City
โฌ101.8m ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Liverpool
โฌ92.7m ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Man United
โฌ89.9m ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Aston Villa
โฌ27.7m ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Bournemouth
โฌ24.3m ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Crystal Palace
โฌ20.6m ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Sunderland
โฌ14.9m ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Brighton
โ๏ธThe orange part of each bar is what they are ALREADY guaranteed, whatever happens on the pitch.
๐ The twist: Liverpool (โฌ62.3m) and Man City (โฌ61.5m) have a HIGHER floor than Arsenal (โฌ58.8m), even though Arsenal are expected to earn the most.
Why? The Value Pillar pays on coefficient and market rank, not on results.
โ ๏ธ Brighton's floor is only โฌ0.8m, because they still have to come through UECL qualifying.
Full breakdown for all 237 clubs available in the Prize Money Lab ๐๏ธ
https://football-md.com/prize-money-lab
๐ฐ How much will English clubs earn from UEFA in 2026/27?
Expected prize money, across 10,000 simulated seasons:
โฌ123.0m ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Arsenal
โฌ110.2m ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Man City
โฌ101.8m ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Liverpool
โฌ92.7m ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Man United
โฌ89.9m ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Aston Villa
โฌ27.7m ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Bournemouth
โฌ24.3m ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Crystal Palace
โฌ20.6m ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Sunderland
โฌ14.9m ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Brighton
โ๏ธThe orange part of each bar is what they are ALREADY guaranteed, whatever happens on the pitch.
๐ The twist: Liverpool (โฌ62.3m) and Man City (โฌ61.5m) have a HIGHER floor than Arsenal (โฌ58.8m), even though Arsenal are expected to earn the most.
Why? The Value Pillar pays on coefficient and market rank, not on results.
โ ๏ธ Brighton's floor is only โฌ0.8m, because they still have to come through UECL qualifying.
Full breakdown for all 237 clubs available in the Prize Money Lab ๐๏ธ
https://football-md.com/prize-money-lab
โFootball Meets Data (Twitter/X)
Built for clubs budgeting a European campaign, and for media who need the number behind the story.
Season licence (2026/27) available for purchase now.
Includes full FMD platform access (Simulator and more) as an extra bonus.
More details ๐๏ธ
https://football-md.com/blog/launching-the-prize-money-lab
Built for clubs budgeting a European campaign, and for media who need the number behind the story.
Season licence (2026/27) available for purchase now.
Includes full FMD platform access (Simulator and more) as an extra bonus.
More details ๐๏ธ
https://football-md.com/blog/launching-the-prize-money-lab
Football Meets Data
Launching the Prize Money Lab: how much will your club earn from UEFA in 2026/27? | Football Meets Data
The Prize Money Lab is live: expected prize money, guaranteed minimums, editable league-phase lineups and season ladders for all 237 clubs in the 2026/27 UEFA club competitions. Built for clubs, media and analysts.
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)
The best part: build the league phase yourself.
Value Pillar money per club depends on who else plays in the league stage. You can try out any hypothetical scenario and see how estimated prize money changes.
Click a club to advance it, and every club re-prices instantly. Losers cascade down their real UEFA drop-down paths, so all three competitions stay coherent.
The best part: build the league phase yourself.
Value Pillar money per club depends on who else plays in the league stage. You can try out any hypothetical scenario and see how estimated prize money changes.
Click a club to advance it, and every club re-prices instantly. Losers cascade down their real UEFA drop-down paths, so all three competitions stay coherent.
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)
For each of the 237 teams you can find:
- Expected prize money across 10,000 simulated seasons
- Value Pillar, Starting Fee, expected bonuses from league stage points, positions and KO stage
- A guaranteed minimum, the floor across every outcome still reachable
- Every exit stage with its probability and its money
For each of the 237 teams you can find:
- Expected prize money across 10,000 simulated seasons
- Value Pillar, Starting Fee, expected bonuses from league stage points, positions and KO stage
- A guaranteed minimum, the floor across every outcome still reachable
- Every exit stage with its probability and its money
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)
How much will your club earn from UEFA in 2026/27?
We launched our new product - Prize Money Lab ๐ฐ๏ธ .
It includes every one of the 237 clubs in UEFA competitions, priced from Q1 to the final.
How much will your club earn from UEFA in 2026/27?
We launched our new product - Prize Money Lab ๐ฐ๏ธ .
It includes every one of the 237 clubs in UEFA competitions, priced from Q1 to the final.
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)
Last season ๐ต๐ฑ Poland broke the competition record with 4 teams entering ๐ข UECL league stage.
Can they pull a crazy move and enter FIVE this year?
It's unlikely, but crazier things have happened in football.
To end up in ๐ข UECL league stage:
49% ๐ต๐ฑ Jagiellonia
32% ๐ต๐ฑ Gornik Zabrze
32% ๐ต๐ฑ Rakow Czestochowa
11% ๐ต๐ฑ Lech Poznan
10% ๐ต๐ฑ GKS Katowice
๐ Full details on projected paths and seedings for all 237 teams available in our ๐น๏ธ Simulator
Last season ๐ต๐ฑ Poland broke the competition record with 4 teams entering ๐ข UECL league stage.
Can they pull a crazy move and enter FIVE this year?
It's unlikely, but crazier things have happened in football.
To end up in ๐ข UECL league stage:
49% ๐ต๐ฑ Jagiellonia
32% ๐ต๐ฑ Gornik Zabrze
32% ๐ต๐ฑ Rakow Czestochowa
11% ๐ต๐ฑ Lech Poznan
10% ๐ต๐ฑ GKS Katowice
๐ Full details on projected paths and seedings for all 237 teams available in our ๐น๏ธ Simulator
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)
๐จ๐ฟ๐ต๐ฑ๐ฌ๐ท are three main contenders for 10th place in 5y UEFA country ranking.
๐ฌ๐ท Greece are currently lagging behind in points but are in the best position right now to enter 4 or 5 teams into league stages.
โช๏ธ At least 3 clubs:
โ ๐จ๐ฟ Czechia
โ ๐ฌ๐ท Greece
68% ๐ต๐ฑ Poland
โช๏ธ At least 4 clubs:
91% ๐ฌ๐ท Greece
50% ๐จ๐ฟ Czechia
21% ๐ต๐ฑ Poland
โช๏ธ All 5 clubs:
38% ๐ฌ๐ท Greece
5% ๐จ๐ฟ Czechia
2% ๐ต๐ฑ Poland
๐ Full details on projected paths and coefficient points for all teams and countries available in our ๐น๏ธ Simulator
๐จ๐ฟ๐ต๐ฑ๐ฌ๐ท are three main contenders for 10th place in 5y UEFA country ranking.
๐ฌ๐ท Greece are currently lagging behind in points but are in the best position right now to enter 4 or 5 teams into league stages.
โช๏ธ At least 3 clubs:
โ ๐จ๐ฟ Czechia
โ ๐ฌ๐ท Greece
68% ๐ต๐ฑ Poland
โช๏ธ At least 4 clubs:
91% ๐ฌ๐ท Greece
50% ๐จ๐ฟ Czechia
21% ๐ต๐ฑ Poland
โช๏ธ All 5 clubs:
38% ๐ฌ๐ท Greece
5% ๐จ๐ฟ Czechia
2% ๐ต๐ฑ Poland
๐ Full details on projected paths and coefficient points for all teams and countries available in our ๐น๏ธ Simulator
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)
Top 2 nations in 2026/27 seasonal UEFA country ranking will earn an extra ๐ต UCL slot next year.
๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ England are big favorites to win it once again.
๐ช๐ธ Spain's probability is hurt by Getafe's likely unseeded position in ๐ข UECL PO draw.
We still expect ๐ช๐ธ Getafe to qualify, but there is considerable risk there of facing a strong opponent, higher than that of ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ ๐ฎ๐น ๐ฉ๐ช ๐ซ๐ท who all have seeded sides in PO.
One of the key moments will be the PO draw on Monday, after which probabilities could potentially shift considerably.
Having a team in ๐ข UECL league stage has proven crucial for coefficient races due to a lot of "easy" points available there.
๐ Full details, what-if scenarios and probabilities for ALL nations and teams in UEFA coefficient races available in our ๐น๏ธ Simulator
Top 2 nations in 2026/27 seasonal UEFA country ranking will earn an extra ๐ต UCL slot next year.
๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ England are big favorites to win it once again.
๐ช๐ธ Spain's probability is hurt by Getafe's likely unseeded position in ๐ข UECL PO draw.
We still expect ๐ช๐ธ Getafe to qualify, but there is considerable risk there of facing a strong opponent, higher than that of ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ ๐ฎ๐น ๐ฉ๐ช ๐ซ๐ท who all have seeded sides in PO.
One of the key moments will be the PO draw on Monday, after which probabilities could potentially shift considerably.
Having a team in ๐ข UECL league stage has proven crucial for coefficient races due to a lot of "easy" points available there.
๐ Full details, what-if scenarios and probabilities for ALL nations and teams in UEFA coefficient races available in our ๐น๏ธ Simulator
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)
Tonight is a crucial night for ๐ฌ๐ท AEK's chances to be seeded in ๐ต UCL PO draw (Monday, 12:00 CET).
If ๐ญ๐ท Dinamo Zagreb eliminates ๐จ๐ญ Thun, AEK will almost certainly be unseeded.
If ๐จ๐ญ Thun eliminates ๐ญ๐ท Dinamo Zagreb, AEK will switch to the seeded side
Seeded sides in the league path are already LOCKED ๐.
๐ Full probabilities and seeding scenarios for all 237 teams available in our Simulator
Tonight is a crucial night for ๐ฌ๐ท AEK's chances to be seeded in ๐ต UCL PO draw (Monday, 12:00 CET).
If ๐ญ๐ท Dinamo Zagreb eliminates ๐จ๐ญ Thun, AEK will almost certainly be unseeded.
If ๐จ๐ญ Thun eliminates ๐ญ๐ท Dinamo Zagreb, AEK will switch to the seeded side
Seeded sides in the league path are already LOCKED ๐.
๐ Full probabilities and seeding scenarios for all 237 teams available in our Simulator
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)
Passing through Q2 and Q3 in the Main Path of ๐ UEL qualifiers may be more difficult than getting through the PO round.
It is because the Main and Champions paths merge in PO round and 12/24 draw slots are taken by champions of mostly lower ranked leagues.
It is best visible by the fact that ๐ฎ๐ฑ Maccabi TA and ๐ง๐ช Anderlecht were UNSEEDED in Q3 draw with a coefficient of >30.000.
If they entered the PO draw with that same coefficient, they'd be easily seeded.
You can see a huge drop-off in coefficients on the seeded side after ๐ฆ๐ฟ Qarabag's 42.750, who was the last seeded team in Q3.
๐ Full probabilities and seeding scenarios for all teams available in our Simulator
Passing through Q2 and Q3 in the Main Path of ๐ UEL qualifiers may be more difficult than getting through the PO round.
It is because the Main and Champions paths merge in PO round and 12/24 draw slots are taken by champions of mostly lower ranked leagues.
It is best visible by the fact that ๐ฎ๐ฑ Maccabi TA and ๐ง๐ช Anderlecht were UNSEEDED in Q3 draw with a coefficient of >30.000.
If they entered the PO draw with that same coefficient, they'd be easily seeded.
You can see a huge drop-off in coefficients on the seeded side after ๐ฆ๐ฟ Qarabag's 42.750, who was the last seeded team in Q3.
๐ Full probabilities and seeding scenarios for all teams available in our Simulator
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)
๐จ๐ญ Lugano are currently 2 spots above the projected seeding line in ๐ข UECL PO draw (assuming they don't get eliminated by ๐ฝ๐ฐ Dukagjini in Q2).
๐ Every team with a โ in the visual below that wins their Q2 tie HELPS ๐จ๐ญ Lugano.
๐ Every team with a โ that loses their Q2 tie, HURTS ๐จ๐ญ Lugano.
To stay seeded, they can afford only one of the โฌ๏ธ selected teams below that carry a โ to lose their tie.
For example, if ๐ฑ๐ป Auda get eliminated by ๐ท๐ด FCSB, this pushes Lugano one place down.
Ironically, ๐จ๐ญ St Gallen eliminating ๐ต๐น Benfica would HURT ๐จ๐ญ Lugano's chances of being seeded in PO!
Overall, Lugano's chances of being seeded are 81%.
๐ All seeding details and everything about UEFA club qualifiers available in our ๐น๏ธ Simulator
๐จ๐ญ Lugano are currently 2 spots above the projected seeding line in ๐ข UECL PO draw (assuming they don't get eliminated by ๐ฝ๐ฐ Dukagjini in Q2).
๐ Every team with a โ in the visual below that wins their Q2 tie HELPS ๐จ๐ญ Lugano.
๐ Every team with a โ that loses their Q2 tie, HURTS ๐จ๐ญ Lugano.
To stay seeded, they can afford only one of the โฌ๏ธ selected teams below that carry a โ to lose their tie.
For example, if ๐ฑ๐ป Auda get eliminated by ๐ท๐ด FCSB, this pushes Lugano one place down.
Ironically, ๐จ๐ญ St Gallen eliminating ๐ต๐น Benfica would HURT ๐จ๐ญ Lugano's chances of being seeded in PO!
Overall, Lugano's chances of being seeded are 81%.
๐ All seeding details and everything about UEFA club qualifiers available in our ๐น๏ธ Simulator
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๐ข UECL PO seedings will be decided on Thursday, for the draw that follows on Monday at 14:00 CET.
Projected line is currently between ๐น๐ท Istanbul Baลakลehir and ๐ช๐ธ Getafe, but it's possible it moves several places up or down.
๐ท๐ธ Partizan is currently at 98% to be seeded, so if the line does go up, it is unlikely it will go above them.
๐ All seeding details, who needs what, and everything about UEFA club qualifiers available in our ๐น๏ธ Simulator
๐ข UECL PO seedings will be decided on Thursday, for the draw that follows on Monday at 14:00 CET.
Projected line is currently between ๐น๐ท Istanbul Baลakลehir and ๐ช๐ธ Getafe, but it's possible it moves several places up or down.
๐ท๐ธ Partizan is currently at 98% to be seeded, so if the line does go up, it is unlikely it will go above them.
๐ All seeding details, who needs what, and everything about UEFA club qualifiers available in our ๐น๏ธ Simulator
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)
Sabah ๐ฆ๐ฟ qualifies for their first ever league/group stage participation in UEFA competitions!
Whether it will be in ๐ต UCL, ๐ UEL or ๐ข UECL we'll find out over the next 4 weeks.
Sabah ๐ฆ๐ฟ qualifies for their first ever league/group stage participation in UEFA competitions!
Whether it will be in ๐ต UCL, ๐ UEL or ๐ข UECL we'll find out over the next 4 weeks.
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)
Huge drama in Zagreb as ๐ญ๐ท Dinamo came back from the dead after being 0-2 down to qualify for Q3!
Huge drama in Zagreb as ๐ญ๐ท Dinamo came back from the dead after being 0-2 down to qualify for Q3!
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)
๐ญ๐ท CRO inching in on ๐บ๐ฆ UKR.
๐ฝ๐ฐ KOS overtook ๐ง๐ฆ BIH on 34th.
๐ฆ๐ฑ ALB overtook ๐ง๐พ BLR on 43rd.
๐ฌ๐ฎ GIB overtook ๐ช๐ช EST on 48th.
๐ญ๐ท CRO inching in on ๐บ๐ฆ UKR.
๐ฝ๐ฐ KOS overtook ๐ง๐ฆ BIH on 34th.
๐ฆ๐ฑ ALB overtook ๐ง๐พ BLR on 43rd.
๐ฌ๐ฎ GIB overtook ๐ช๐ช EST on 48th.
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)
Latvia ๐ฑ๐ป continues their amazing run (9-0-2โ๏ธ) and climbs to 7th place in seasonal coefficient ranking!
Can they overtake ๐ซ๐ท France and ๐ต๐น Portugal by the end of this week?
Latvia ๐ฑ๐ป continues their amazing run (9-0-2โ๏ธ) and climbs to 7th place in seasonal coefficient ranking!
Can they overtake ๐ซ๐ท France and ๐ต๐น Portugal by the end of this week?
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)
๐ฌ๐ท AEK was very close to securing a seeded status in ๐ต UCL PO as ๐จ๐ญ Thun were leading 0-2 in Zagreb in 74th minute.
But the turnaround of ๐ญ๐ท Dinamo Zagreb from 0-2 to 3-2 changed everything and now ๐ฌ๐ท AEK will almost certainly be unseeded (95%).
They'd need one of ๐ท๐ธ C. zvezda, ๐ธ๐ฐ Slovan or ๐ต๐ฑ Lech to drop out in Q2, after winning the first legs by a big margin.
๐ Full probabilities and seeding scenarios for all teams available in our Simulator
๐ฌ๐ท AEK was very close to securing a seeded status in ๐ต UCL PO as ๐จ๐ญ Thun were leading 0-2 in Zagreb in 74th minute.
But the turnaround of ๐ญ๐ท Dinamo Zagreb from 0-2 to 3-2 changed everything and now ๐ฌ๐ท AEK will almost certainly be unseeded (95%).
They'd need one of ๐ท๐ธ C. zvezda, ๐ธ๐ฐ Slovan or ๐ต๐ฑ Lech to drop out in Q2, after winning the first legs by a big margin.
๐ Full probabilities and seeding scenarios for all teams available in our Simulator