Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

To reach 🟢 UECL Q3 (main path) 1/2

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

🏟️ Weekly Top 15 attendances | UEFA Q2 First Legs (21-23 Jul)

🔵 38,604 🇹🇷 Fenerbahçe v 🇵🇱 Górnik
🟠 31,471 🇹🇷 Beşiktaş v 🇩🇰 Midtjylland
🟠 27,752 🇭🇷 Hajduk v 🇨🇾 Pafos
🟠 27,500 🇳🇱 Twente v 🇭🇺 Ferencváros
🟠 23,813 🇦🇿 Qarabağ v 🇧🇬 CSKA Sofia
🟠 23,572 🇸🇪 Hammarby v 🇧🇪 Anderlecht
🟠 17,179 🇨🇭 St. Gallen v 🇵🇹 Benfica
🔵 16,118 🇧🇬 Levski v 🇷🇴 Univ Craiova
🔵 15,822 🇦🇹 Sturm Graz v 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Hearts
🟢 15,749 🇸🇪 IFK Göteborg v 🇪🇪 Levadia
🔵 14,106 🇨🇾 Omonia v 🇰🇿 Kairat
🟢 13,319 🇷🇴 FCSB v 🇱🇻 Auda
🟢 11,714 🇸🇪 GAIS v 🇩🇰 Nordsjælland
🟢 10,637 🇷🇸 Partizan v 🇱🇺 UNA Strassen
🟢 10,164 🇸🇰 Spartak T. v 🇧🇬 CSKA 1948

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Projected 🟢 UECL league stage pots, as of 24 July.

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Projected 🟠 UEL league stage pots, as of 24 July.

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Projected 🔵 UCL league stage pots, as of 24 July.

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

📈 Number of wins in 2026/27 UEFA competitions (as of 25 July):

8️⃣🇱🇻
7️⃣🇦🇿🇪🇪
6️⃣-
5️⃣🇭🇺🇮🇸
4️⃣🇭🇷🇸🇰🇧🇬🇦🇲🇦🇩🇫🇮🇲🇰🇬🇪🇮🇪
3️⃣🇦🇹🇮🇱🇰🇿🇱🇹🇦🇱🇧🇾🇫🇴🇽🇰
2️⃣🇬🇷🇹🇷🇨🇭🇸🇪🇸🇮🇷🇴🇨🇾🇵🇱🇧🇦🇷🇸☘️🇱🇺
1️⃣🇱🇮🇨🇿🇳🇱🇵🇹🇲🇩🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇬🇮🇲🇹🇸🇲
0️⃣🇧🇪🇺🇦🇳🇴🇩🇰🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁿🇲🇪

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

📊 Percentage of possible points won in 2026/27 UEFA club qualifiers:

100% 🇦🇹 Austria (3-0-0)
100% 🇬🇷 Greece (2-0-0)
100% 🇱🇮 Liechtenstein (1-0-0)
83% 🇹🇷 Türkiye (2-1-0)
80% 🇱🇻 Latvia (8-0-2)
75% 🇦🇿 Azerbaijan (7-1-2)
75% 🇭🇷 Croatia (4-1-1)
75% 🇸🇰 Slovakia (4-1-1)
75% 🇮🇱 Israel (3-0-1)
75% 🇨🇭 Switzerland (2-2-0)
71% 🇪🇪 Estonia (7-3-2)
69% 🇧🇬 Bulgaria (4-3-1)
69% 🇭🇺 Hungary (5-1-2)
63% 🇸🇪 Sweden (2-1-1)
60% 🇦🇲 Armenia (4-4-2)
60% 🇮🇸 Iceland (5-2-3)
58% 🇸🇮 Slovenia (2-3-1)
56% 🇦🇩 Andorra (4-1-3)
56% 🇰🇿 Kazakhstan (3-3-2)
56% 🇱🇹 Lithuania (3-4-2)
55% 🇦🇱 Albania (3-5-2)
55% 🇫🇮 Finland (4-3-3)
50% 🇧🇾 Belarus (3-3-3)
50% 🇫🇴 Faroe Islands (3-3-3)
50% 🇲🇰 North Macedonia (4-0-4)
50% 🇷🇴 Romania (2-4-2)
50% 🇨🇾 Cyprus (2-0-2)
50% 🇵🇱 Poland (2-0-2)
50% 🇧🇪 Belgium (0-2-0)
50% 🇨🇿 Czechia (1-0-1)
50% 🇳🇱 Netherlands (1-0-1)
50% 🇵🇹 Portugal (1-0-1)
45% 🇬🇪 Georgia (4-2-5)
45% 🇮🇪 Ireland (4-1-5)
45% 🇽🇰 Kosovo (3-3-4)
40% 🇺🇦 Ukraine (0-4-1)
39% 🇧🇦 Bosnia-Herzegovina (2-3-4)
33% 🇲🇩 Moldova (1-4-4)
33% 🇷🇸 Serbia (2-0-4)
33% 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland (1-0-2)
31% Northern Ireland (2-1-5)
30% 🇱🇺 Luxembourg (2-2-6)
29% 🇬🇮 Gibraltar (1-2-4)
25% 🇲🇹 Malta (1-2-5)
25% 🇳🇴 Norway (0-1-1)
17% 🇸🇲 San Marino (1-0-5)
13% 🇩🇰 Denmark (0-1-3)
6% 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Wales (0-1-8)
0% 🇲🇪 Montenegro (0-0-9)

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

📈 12 teams with the highest probability to end up in UECL league stage:

92% 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Brighton & Hove Albion
88% 🇮🇹 Atalanta
84% 🇩🇪 SC Freiburg
83% 🇫🇷 AS Monaco
76% 🇵🇹 Sporting Braga
70% 🇬🇪 Iberia 1999
69% 🇪🇸 Getafe
68% 🇬🇷 OFI Crete
63% 🇮🇸 Vikingur Reykjavik
63% 🇳🇱 Ajax
62% 🇳🇴 Lillestrøm SK
61% 🇱🇹 Kauno Zalgiris

👉 Full details on projected paths and seedings for all 237 teams available in our 🕹️ Simulator

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

🤏 There are only 2 spots that lead to 🔵 UCL league phase via the league path of qualifiers.

Probabilities are heavily tilted towards the outcome that those spots will be taken by 2 of the following teams:

🇫🇷 Lyon
🇧🇪 Union SG
🇬🇷 Olympiacos
🇳🇴 Bodø/Glimt
🇹🇷 Fenerbahçe

👉 Full details on projected paths and seedings for all 237 teams available in our 🕹️ Simulator

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

🇵🇹 Portugal is <5.000 coeff pts behind 🇫🇷 France in the race for Top 5 in 5y country ranking.

Top 5 position brings 4 🔵 UCL spots.

If they want to attack it this year, it is imperative for 🇵🇹 Portugal to bring all 5 teams into league stages, and then utilize the lower denominator to amass coeff points.

🇫🇷 France already have 6 teams safe in league stages and are favorites to bring in the 7th.

To finish Top 5 in 5y coeff ranking (as of 26 July):

93% 🇫🇷 France
7% 🇵🇹 Portugal

👉 Full details about scenarios & probabilities in coefficient race and UEFA qualifiers available in our 🕹️ Simulator

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Sirius' 🇸🇪 tempo of winning points compared to their best, worst and average of last 9 seasons.

❗️With 38 pts after 14/30 rounds, Sirius 🇸🇪 are already above their average SEASONAL point tally (36.8 pts).

And only 4 pts below their best seasonal record in that time period (42 pts).

Incredible.

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

🇸🇪 Sirius are absolutely crushing it, with a 12-2-0 record since the start of the season‼️

📈 11 points advantage, and a game in hand over 🇸🇪 Hammarby.

It seems we're on the road for another surprising 🇸🇪champion, for the second year in a row!

🏆 To win Allsvenskan:

79% 🇸🇪 Sirius
11% 🇸🇪 Hammarby
7% 🇸🇪 Djurgarden
1% 🇸🇪 AIK
1% 🇸🇪 Malmö
...

👉 Full details on 70+ competitions (incl. all 55 European leagues!) available in our 🕹️ Simulator

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

🔝 Bodø/Glimt jumps to the top of 🇳🇴 Eliteserien after Viking dropped 2 pts at Aalesund.

Viking still have a game in hand, but the 🏆 chances have now tilted further in Glimt's favor.

🏆 To win the league:

67% 🇳🇴 Bodø/Glimt
32% 🇳🇴 Viking
1% 🇳🇴 Tromsø
<0.1% everyone else combined

👉 Full details on 70+ competitions (incl. all 55 European leagues!) available in our 🕹️ Simulator

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

With 11 rounds to go and with a 7-point lead, 🇮🇪 Shamrock Rovers are heavily favored to defend their League of Ireland title 🏆.

To win the league:

86% 🇮🇪 Shamrock Rovers
7% 🇮🇪 Bohemians
65 🇮🇪 St Patrick's Athletic
0.2% 🇮🇪 Shelbourne
<0.1% 🇮🇪 Dundalk

👉 Full details on 70+ competitions (incl. all 55 European leagues!) available in our 🕹️ Simulator

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

💰 How much will English clubs earn from UEFA in 2026/27?

Expected prize money, across 10,000 simulated seasons:

€123.0m 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Arsenal
€110.2m 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Man City
€101.8m 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Liverpool
€92.7m 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Man United
€89.9m 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Aston Villa
€27.7m 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Bournemouth
€24.3m 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Crystal Palace
€20.6m 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Sunderland
€14.9m 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Brighton

❗️The orange part of each bar is what they are ALREADY guaranteed, whatever happens on the pitch.

📈 The twist: Liverpool (€62.3m) and Man City (€61.5m) have a HIGHER floor than Arsenal (€58.8m), even though Arsenal are expected to earn the most.

Why? The Value Pillar pays on coefficient and market rank, not on results.

⚠️ Brighton's floor is only €0.8m, because they still have to come through UECL qualifying.

Full breakdown for all 237 clubs available in the Prize Money Lab 👇️
https://football-md.com/prize-money-lab

‌Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Built for clubs budgeting a European campaign, and for media who need the number behind the story.

Season licence (2026/27) available for purchase now.

Includes full FMD platform access (Simulator and more) as an extra bonus.

More details 👇️
https://football-md.com/blog/launching-the-prize-money-lab

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

The best part: build the league phase yourself.

Value Pillar money per club depends on who else plays in the league stage. You can try out any hypothetical scenario and see how estimated prize money changes.

Click a club to advance it, and every club re-prices instantly. Losers cascade down their real UEFA drop-down paths, so all three competitions stay coherent.

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

For each of the 237 teams you can find:

- Expected prize money across 10,000 simulated seasons
- Value Pillar, Starting Fee, expected bonuses from league stage points, positions and KO stage
- A guaranteed minimum, the floor across every outcome still reachable
- Every exit stage with its probability and its money

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

How much will your club earn from UEFA in 2026/27?

We launched our new product - Prize Money Lab 💰️ .

It includes every one of the 237 clubs in UEFA competitions, priced from Q1 to the final.

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Last season 🇵🇱 Poland broke the competition record with 4 teams entering 🟢 UECL league stage.

Can they pull a crazy move and enter FIVE this year?

It's unlikely, but crazier things have happened in football.

To end up in 🟢 UECL league stage:

49% 🇵🇱 Jagiellonia
32% 🇵🇱 Gornik Zabrze
32% 🇵🇱 Rakow Czestochowa
11% 🇵🇱 Lech Poznan
10% 🇵🇱 GKS Katowice

👉 Full details on projected paths and seedings for all 237 teams available in our 🕹️ Simulator